Comments by "King Ace" (@kingace6186) on "CaspianReport"
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You make a great point that China obviously notices its disadvantage when compared to the United States, so an armed conflict in this decade is very unlikely. However, where your point waivers is expecting that China can keep making progress until 2050. After all, it should be common knowledge by now that Chinese hard power protection is set to peak in 2025 to 2027, and then decrease after that. Therefore, 2030 will give America an even greater advantage, since the US's pivot to Asia is sincere and Japan is remilitarizing like never before. (With the major caveat being the logistics of the US's military-industrial complex is strained due to the War in Ukraine.)
Other crucial points that weren't addressed are the effects of Biden's successes in the Chip War, the fact that China's defense budget got over-inflated while US's defense budget wasn't recalculated accordingly, and most importantly the fact that China has to contend with NATO, the QUAD, ALMOST EVERY SOUTH EAST ASIAN NATION + the severely underestimated Taiwanese Military.
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I think that, for the sake of stability and security, nations and/or leaders must be held accountable for their actions. BUT, I also KNOW that a collapse of the Russian Federation would be the 21st Century's worst possible chaos factor that can be unleashed upon the world. For centuries -- or more importantly, decades -- a powerful Russian state has always served as an underlying pin on geopolitics in Eastern Europe, especially in the Great European Plains. When the Russian Empire was falling, the new USSR and newly independent states transformed the calculus of Europe -- setting the board for the Eastern Theatre during WW2. Thankfully, when the USSR collapsed, NATO was able to, diplomatically & democratically, fill in the power vacuum so as not to create a new foe -- all be it, Ukrainian-Russo War being a ramification. If Russia fell in the 21st century, NATO would not be enough... Russia would be carved into by an international pack of hyenas and a domestic pack of wolves.
And this isn't just a European issue. Russia is a giant behemoth that stretches +9,000 KM from Europe to the northern edges of the Pacific. This means any collapse would have colossal ramifications throughout the "world island". Regions that would be directly affected, include: The Baltics, the Arctic, the Black Sea, the Caucasus, Western Axia, Central Asia, Northeast Asia, & the Pacific + beyond. In short, the world would crumble and the fabric of global trade and geopolitics would become tattered -- and that's w/o bring nukes to the equation.
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I do believe that Washington needs to reinstate the Monroe Doctrine, but it most likely would happen next decade. After all, in the 2020s, the near-hyperpower has contended with war in Europe, a sincere pivot to Asia, and peacemaking in Africa (specifically, stabilizing the Horn of Africa). But, nevertheless, in the 2030s, Washington must abandon its neglectful behavior and reprioritize Latin America in an ethical manner (this is unheard of, I know). Staying with ethics, the reason China's power projection should be handled is because of Beijing also follows the exploitative theme that has haunted the Americas. Swapping one form of "colonization" for another is redundantly costly, despite the massive economic benefits seen with partnering with PROC. Therefore, the United States needs to make a return to the continent with a brand new playbook of "empowerment > exploitation".
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@IHATEMOCHA So I hit you with facts, empathy, and rational persuasion. And you react by claiming Turkey's historical NATO allies are threats, implying "other" Kurds are irrelevant, & slandering 'most' Black Americans.
Also, something you may not know is that Turkey, since Ataturk, has been a secular nation w/ separation of "church" & state -- that is, until Erdogan.
And, the US has always been Turkey's most strategic ally during the Cold War & American Islamophobia doesn't rly target Turkic Muslims, so you sound like a hypocrite.
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