Youtube comments of Tom Riley (@tomriley5790).

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  79. Technology was essentially static for much of the Roman Empire - very different to today, which essentially led to the fall of constantinople (cannon/gunpowder). They did face challenges as a result of climate variation - much less severe than those we're facing today and to a certain extent those can be blamed for the collapse of the western Empire (one warning to us). In terms of these 6 guys arriving, they'd also not understand what was being said to them in modern italian, probably they'd be admitted to a psychiatric hospital, they could probably find someone from a church who could talk to them in latin (and we'd finally find out how it was really pronounced!). They'd have found christianity wierd, another thing I think they'd find odd is the split between North Africa and Europe, to the Romans the mediteranian was the centre of civilisation (surrounded by their empire) now it's a boundary. I think they'd be surprised at the presence of so much disorder in North Africa. I don't think it's fair to say they weren't into exploration - they explored everywhere around the mediterranian, where they could easily get to by sea. How much exploration they did outside the pillars or hercules is debatable, they tried to go to subsaharan africa but horses are very vulnerable to tetse flies and Trypanosomiasis which made military logistics etc. impractical (And is largely why those areas were not attacked by land based armies and vice versa why they weren't a real threat once they encountered horse based armies). China and Iran (persia) are probably the closest political survivours from that time. They might be interested in how much classical style architecture has still been built (and is indeed still being built). Modern Food would be bizarre and incredible to them, as would freezers, electricity, ice. Ostritch is tasty.
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  119. Personally I think Argentina's claim is pretty weak, the original Spanish Claim on which Argentina bases its clame was based on the Pope allocating territory between Portugal and Spain. The French settled there, almost at the same time as the British and in ignorance of each other, they then left in deference to the Spanish ejected by the British however when the Spanish invaded in 1770 they then left in deference to the British after France refused to back them in a War against Britain. It's not really true to say that the Spanish continued occupation after the British settlemetn failled, there were several atempts essentially independently to settle the Falklands, on the last attempt the leader was granted the position as representitive of the "United Provinces of the Rio Plata" (proto Argentina), Britain responded by sending a warship to eject the settlement, the Argentinian warship present refused to fight and left. The US Navy also destroyed a pirate settlement on the islands. Britain then defended the islands against Von Spree's fleet in 1914 and again in 1982. The Argentinian claim was actually not really taken seriously until the military government of Peron after which it was used as a rallying cry for the government and continues to serve Argentinian governments as a dead cat when convenient. Realistically it's impossible for a British government to hand over the islands to Argentina now. Similarly independence for the Falklands could well lead to occupation by Argentina in a similar manner to Cyprus, or the atempted invasions of Belieze and British Honduras by Guatemala, all of which required British Military interventions. I don't think that a joint soverignty agreement is possible either as a result of the war and again on what basis? Similarly the results of both Cyprus and South Sudan do not in anyway bode well for your proposed academic "solutions" both of which as you suggest are likely mechanisms for eventual Argentinian control. I disagree that it's an example of colonialism - there was no indigenous population therefore the current populations are/were the indigenous population and "claim of soverignty by virtue of proximity" is clearly ridiculous - a stronger claim would then exist over Chile (which Argentina planned to invade in 1979) or any adjacent countries.
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  193. Excellent video Peter! Until I worked in the tropics I really wasn't aware of just how complex and difficult the ICTZ and its storms can be. Flying through the ICTZ at night over water with no visual references is always going to be something that can't be taken lightly and make it much more difficult to recover an aircraft than it might be on a clear day. Such a shame that the probes weren't changed before this flight, It seems to be small holes in the cheese that led to this, but it occurs to me that there have been other accidents you've covered where stall training was done only close to the ground with the aim to minimise altitude stall. It would be interesting to know if airlines reviewed other recurrent training scenarios to see if they had significant differences at high altitude compared with low altitude. It does seem surprisingly that they didn't pitch down in response to the stall warning, and hard to understand why there wasn't a visual and stick shaker in the design addition to the audible stall warning, that said it again must have been completely bizarre to have a stall warning that sounded when pitching down and disappearing on pitching up - very poor systems design by airbus. Whilst it seems again that fatigue and panic (for want of a better word) may have been a significant issue in this accident it would have been hard to work out what was going on with such a confusing picture. One factor that seems to have been very significant though was the lack of proper airmanship in terms of who had control of the aircraft. Very impressive that they managed to recover the cockpit voice recorders. At least the outcome of the investigation incorporated lots of good recommendations including as you say understanding your aircraft, it does occur to me taht although pitch and power will keep the aircraft flying - it wont if you're in a stall...
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  214. Anyone holding up a Russian flag in an Eastern European Country at the moment is not doing it out of respect for the soviet victory over Nazi Germany - they're sending a very clear pro-putin message, which understandably is likely to result in both a populist and official response from countries which were effectively subsequently occupied for 50 years by a country now threatening reinvasion. I'm not entirely sure what relation this has to do with the holocaust, however it's well documented that various nationalities were involved, similarly the plan was not limited to extermination of the Jews, for example the entire Polish race was also due to be exterminated by the mid 1950s. The Soviet Union allied with Nazi germany, prior to the begining of World War 2 both invaded poland, the Soviet Union invaded latvia, estonia and lithuania as with other countries being "liberated" from the Soviet Invasion was often initially welcomed by the population, similarly people cooperated in nearly every occupied country as has been the case with occupying forces throughout history. The Soviet Union also continued to supply oil to Germany and support its war effort until the launching of Barbarossa. All of this occurred whilst the United States continued a peacetime existence and refused at all to get involved beyond supplying equipment on loan. All of this is history that is basically irrelevant to the current situation. Harvard by the way is not in California and I don't understand why a respected academic would not be willing to put their name to their statements.
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  228. God....Excellent video Peter, done very professionally, I found this hard to watch, I don't know what it was like to record. Normally there's something that could have been done by most parties to avoid an accident but as far as I can see the SAS crew did absolutely everything right and still ended in disaster, its hard you feel so bad for them. I hadn't heard about this accident before, It's almost unbelievable that this could happen in a major European city in the recent past. I'm actually shocked that the management complete absence of any safety culture could be normalised - not fixing the broken lights, nomralising crossing a stop bar, not replacing broken ground survielance radar is literally disregarding lessons that have been learnt from other disasters, but most unbelievably accepting runway frequent runway incursions in an airport supposedly capable of flying cat 3 approaches... it beggars belief. Similarly the confusion within ATC and firefighting on its own some degree may be understandable but it just seems to further point to terrible management of the airport without serious consideration of safety. That it had been able to go on for so long and not be recognised calls into question the competency of the Italian governments regulator's, I seriously hope that changes were implemented and whatever the root causes of those whether simply incompetence or with this degree of systemic failure you have to wonder about corruption were addressed. It does seem that the Cessna crew were knowingly operating outside their competence, presumably trusting that the other holes in the "swiss cheese" would not line up, I wonder if their awareness of this and not wanting to be caught led to them not questioning things they might otherwise have done. I'm sorry to sound so vehement and appologise if I upset anyone, normally I do believe a no-blame culture yields the best results (as was clearly not the environment at this airport). In this case though I really do think the management of the airport deserved to be prosecuted.
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  236.  @seanthompson258  assuming you're not trolling. The thing is if you live on a sphere then if the sphere is sufficiently large then it appears flat. Aircraft do actually pitch down slightly during the course of a flight (although down is not really the correct term as the direction of down changes so that the aircraft always remains perpendicular to it but there is a ventral curve in the flight of the aircraft. The radius of the earth is roughly 6300km, aircraft cruise at about 450-500kts so about 900km/h, if we say the radius of the earth is 6000km then 2xpixr = 12000 x pi kilometers all the way around the earth (360 degrees) so an aircraft would be changing it's attitude by (roughly) (900/12000pi)*360 degrees per hour, that's 0.02 degrees per hour. So as you say the pilots always keep the horizon level (or more accurately they always keep the nose of the aircraft at the correct angle of attack so that the direction of motion of the aircraft is towards the hoirzon), doing this manually they will be pitching the noses down about 0.02 degrees per hour (far too small to notice given all the other disruption to level flight). Similarly when it's done by autopilot it's too small/slow to notice. So here are my questions for you, why can planes fly north from Europe to Asia, also fly east from europe to asia, east from asia to north america and east from north america to europe? Why does the angle at which the pole star appears change as you fly south? Pilots have used this fact to navigate across oceans (Infact Alcock and Brown only had a few glimpses of stars on their whole journey across the atlantic). Why are some constalations - such as the Southern Cross only visible in the southern hemisphere? Why do low pressure weather systems go anticlockwise in the northern hemisphere and clockwise in the southern hemisphere. Why can you calculate your longditude by the Why are there spring tides and neap tides, why are there seasons? If people have been told to lie about this, why has nobody come out to tell the truth or prove that they're lying? Why would it need to be secret if we were living on a plane? How can you calculate your longditude from the angle between the moon and the sun? (Sorry Peter!)
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  374.  @1chish  Basic economics - in the EU we have a home market to sell our goods and services of several hundred million people cost free (cost doesn't necesarily mean duties it means the cost of the time sitting in a que waiting to clear customs, time spent filling in forms, cost of owning the goods that are sitting in a lorry doing nothing and not going into something and out the door or cost of someone having to fill in a visa application) made from components and materials sourced from firms components accross a whole contient who compete with each other to be the best value made with the best value personel from accross that contient. Once we leave it will be stuff from the UK with costs added on to anything imported (either in duty or other cost). Free trade only works most efficiently with freedom of movement of goods services and people (because otherwise there's still costs to the truck driver driving the truck across the border etc.) which is why the EU has these things incorporated into it. This will make UK industry less competitive (it's basic economics and why free trade works). Therefore leaving the EU will make us less competetive in terms of our goods and services internationally (we may be more competitive domestically but as a country that's not making us money - examples North Korea, Soviet Russia, Nazi Germany all of whom tried to be isolated economies and failled). "Free trade" deals wont replace a single market because as mentioned they don't include movement of people and services so there are still costs involved. So our economy will shrink (Relatively) as smaller market (therfore not as worth investing in as investing in a limited market just drives down prices relative to a larger one), which equates to a lower tax take and a relatively poorer country. Sources - Economic text books, but being poorer a smaller poorer funded military and having blue passports is apparently all worth it so I'm told.
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  416. Good video - Had the 5 de Mayo very launched an airstrike against the Task group it would have been the first carrier battle since the second world war. With Belgrano and the Carrier group were manouvering to attack. I do believe it was the correct strategic decision to sink the Belgrano. In terms of legality a state of armed conflict does not require a declaration of war, under international humanitarian law an attack on a naval vessel at sea in such a state is prefectly legal. Incidentally the reason for selecting the Mk8 was to preserve the Tigerfish torpedoes incase they were needed to engage the remaining Argentinian submaine. It seems likely that one of the escorting destroyers was also hit by one of the torpedoes but it didn't explode (a thump was heard and a dent was later found, retrospectively it was also in the correct position to have been hit by one of the spread. It's extremely sad that it happened and so many people died but that is the nature of naval warfare, to me the Argentinian Navy were very professional in the manner with which they addressed it. I think it was right to have fought the war but it was extremely sad that it had to be fought, that the invasion was not deterred. (Incidentally both the purpose & result of the MEZ/TEZ was to remove civilian traffic from the theatre of war - simply by making the declaration it became impossible for merchant shipping or civil aircraft to get valid insurance in that part of the world and therefore it had to be avoided - even if someone had wanted to go through it, therefore it meant that anything in that area actually was a legitimate target)
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  436. Well done to the crew in exectuing their escape, reacted exactly as they should - it must have come as a surprise to them and they did absolutely the correct thing. It is slightly scary that a modern airliner managed to loose awareness of where it was though! I did aeromedical retrival in central africa and one of the other issues if you're used to flying in Europe is the lack of lights on the terrain, usually in Europe you'll be able to see the mountains as gaps in the lights (in the valleys) not so in Africa. Similarly the thunderstorm cells in the ITCZ can go much higher than in more northern latitudes - well above cruise altitude and the lightning can be ferrocious! Well done surviving. I suppose an advantage of being below MORA in an area is that you can be pretty sure you're not going to run into any other traffic, still not perhapt to be recommended - it does show how well GPWS works though. One thing that would have been interesting that could have come out of the CVR if the breaker had been pulled (which it really should have been I think) would have been the discussion between the aircraft and ATC. Presumably the aircraft was describing what it was doing (course and altitude) and ATC was querying - as that couldn't possibly be right because they'd be going to fly into Mount Cameroon. It would have been interesting to know if there was any atempt by ATC to warn them of where they were saying they were going. Still it shows the danger of displaying weather radar on both screens and not being in radar contolled airspace. It also occurs to me that they could move the insert on that map card so it's clearer that it's two separate maps.
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  462. Can I recomend the video on subbrief's channel he's a former US Navy Submariner who goes over lots of aspects of the design of the submarine and the systems on board. Personally I think the hull failled and they are all dead. However I'd add another possible scenario to your 3 options - that of a fire in the pressure vessel, there doesn't seem to be much information on how the 96 hours of life support worked - it may well have had a scrubber system to remove CO2 and some way of introducing oxygen, similarly they are operating electrical equipment (a sony playstation controller) I don't know how the atmosphere was monitored but it seems possible that a fire could have developed in an oxygen enriched environment - then even if it was extinguished by the crew before it consumed the oxygen or led to fatal levels of carbon monoxide or dioxide you have a thoroughly smoke filled capsule with as far as I am aware no way to clear the smoke and then operate the sonar and controls, there was a russian special forces submarine a few years ago where the entire crew was killed by a fire. Operator error seems highly likely to have caused this despite their claims to have learned from aviation they do not seem to have considered NASA's experience with bolting crews into a pressure vessel in Apollo 1 or to have realised that an appreciation for checklists and human factors originally came from when navies realised that they couldn't operate submarines like they did surface ships which was then adopted by aviation. The CEO is recorded as saying he wanted to recruit young people rather than people with expertise in operating submarines, I strongly suspect that if it is found what has happened to these people then it will have turned out to be avoidable and a known problem that has occured previously which is tragic. As you said even if they're on the surface if they're not communicating finding them is likely to be incredibly difficult, if they're on the bottom then finding them and rescuing them from that death is likely impossible. As you say SOLAS was probably the best thing to in maratime history in terms of safety, it does see that avoiding this happening again would be a good idea for some incorporation into SOLAS. Reading about the design of this submersible it makes me incredulous that they persuaded these billionaires to get into it. I agree from a SAR point of view you continue looking until all hope is gone, but I will be very surprised if it is successful and they return alive.
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  506. Current international law does cover the construction of artificial islands and specifically states that a country cannot create territorial claims based on them, infact it defines what represents an island and that you can't "add to" a reef/shoal to make it qualify. Which is what the Chinese have done (evicting Philipino Marines from one of them). China has always claimed the whole of the South China Sea regardless. The actual reason for the recent militarification is the more assertive foreign policy and the fact that most of Chinas balistic nuclear capability is land based and therefore vulnerable to a strike by the US (negating SAD/MAD) China is developing better balistic missile submarines but its main submarine base is at the north of the south China sea which is relatively shallow and ringed by islands. NATO ran a sonar surviellance network (SOSUS) of hydrophones across the Greenland-Iceland-UK (GIUK) gap during the cold war and a similar system could have been installed with sufficient cooperation around the South China Sea making it very difficult for a chinese SSBN to exit to deeper water on a deterence patrol. By creating militarised forts around the south China sea China has defacto (regardless of law) made it its territory, makes the establishment of a sosus network unlikely and makes it very dangerous or difficult to trail ssbns from their home ports thus giving china a much better SSBN deterence capability. Any article arguing that artificial islands can be used to justify territorial waters probably has its origins (one way or anther) in China.
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  560. Actually the MK8 torpedos used by HMS Conqureror were considerably older than World War 2 (and General Belgrano) entering service in 1927, they were trusted by the commanding officer of the submaine as a reliable weapon that would work well whilst he only had a limited supply of tigerfish guided torpedoes and he was concerned that they may malfunction and also that he may need them if he encountered Argentinian Submarines known to be in the area (one of which was later caught on the surface and beached in south Georgia, the other conducted attacks on the british task group and was probably detected but it wasn't recognised at the time - one of her torpedos probably destroyed a towed sonar, she also experienced problems with her modern torpedo system - leads were connected with revered polarity). Ironically given the captains faith in the MK8s a dent was later found in the side of one of the destroyers escorting the Belgrano and her position at the time fits with the area into which the torpedos would have overrun - therefore one failled to explode (and would have probably sunk the Argentinian destroyer) one of the reasons for the loss of life was the speed with which the ship sank - her watertight doors were either not closed (which seems incredible for a warship at sea in wartime) or not sufficiently maintained another was that one of the first torpedoes to hit destroyed the radio room so no Mayday was sent, the conditions were so bad at the time that it was 20minutes before her escorts realised she'd been attacked and went back to pick up survivours - Conqueror had solutions plotted on them but did not fire once it became apparent that they were rescuing the survivours. Just to correct another post above Argentina only had 5 exocet missiles during the war, all were fired, they atempted to buy more but France refused to sell them, British intelligence also went out and bought as many as they could from other countries, outbidding the argentinians (and probably using other methods) successfully preventing them from acquiring any more - the Super Entendards that carried them (systems integration provided by the Israelis) could not operate from the 5 de Mayo carrier at the time and were purely land based with air to air refueling, the Carrier operated the A4 skyhawk and at one point was in position to launch an attak on the british Carrier group but the wind over the deck was too light for her to be able to launch them - it would have been the first carrier battle since the second world war. She was then detected (accounts vary) by a British Sea Harrier on reconaisance and ran for the Argentinian coast whist submarines atempted to intercept her, due to the need to evade argentian ASW they were unable to get in position in time. Actually an invasion had been planned in 1977 and a force started to build but but an attack submarine was sent to position herself between Argentina and the Falklands and the Argentinian government informed that she would attack any invasion force which led to it being cancelled. One other detail - when declaring the TEZ (total exclusion zone) it was stated that any ship in that radius from the falklands would be fired on - actually not in keeping with international law as firing on a civilian ship would be against IHL however it was more a matter of practicality in that it would be very difficult to confirm identitiy before firing, actually the result of this was that no insurance company would insure ships within the TEZ and so all merchant shipping kept clear, the same declaration however also stated that the UK reserved the right to fire on any Argentinian military vessel anyhwere in the south atlantic, so whether the belgrano was inside or outside of the TEZ is essentially unimportant. As for it being an "undeclared war" IHL is quite clear that war does not need to be declared for a state of war to exist. There are also some comments about the degree of US support during the Falklands, the US was in a bit of a hard place as it had supported the Argentinian government (indeed this is probably why Soviet Russia did not oppose the UK's resolution in the UN - as well as seeing lots of UK forces beaten up in the South Atlantic being entirely in their interest), some within the administration wanted to support Argentina because of this, in the end though Regan decided to support Britain, AIM-9L sidewinders were taken from NATO Stocks by britain (although probably not too consequential as the sea harrier pilots were used to the AIM-9J and all shots in the Falklands were taken within that missiles parameters) these were replaced via a new order to the US. The US provided sattelite intelligence (as well reportedly of some Russian Satellite reconaisance after they were hacked into by the Norwegians - possibly with russian knowledge - who knows!) and the USAF base on Ascension island was used extensively (actually the USAF report on the logistics of the falklands war - on the internet now is interesting reading, they were very impressed with the adapatability of the UK forces - for example when there was a problem truking enough jet fuel from the port in ascencion to the base the British laid a pipeline :-)). All in all it's such a shame so many lives had to be lost fighting over islands in the middle of nowhere to end up in the same situation as before between what had historically been two friendly nations. It's largely forgotten now but Britain and Argentina had a long history of friendship and cooperation - some of the first ships to arrive with beef after the end of world war 2 were from Argentina, Britain sent trains to pay for them the Falklands issue largely didn't exist until it was stoked up by Peron to help himself win power. Sorry for the long and disjointed post but hopefully you found it interesting.
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  656. Like all things that are made to look by chance it wasn't entirely like that. Argentina had prepared to invade in 1977 and been deterred by an SSN deployed to the area and the Argentinian government informed of its presence. In 1982 the build up was noted but the US assured Britain that an invasion wouldn't occur. Once SSNs were deployed into the area (sea control was effectively established as demonstrated with the sinking of the Belgrano and subsequent withdrawl of 5 de Mayo) Sandy Woodward actually telephoned the Argentinian commander after the Belgrano was sunk to ask if he would surrender. The warship escorts were deliberately positioned to take the attacks by the Argentinian airforce/naval aircraft - Hence the number of hits they took. Similarly the "pilots that flew too low so their bombs didn't explode" is the other side of the coin from "the pilots that flew higher got shot down". I don't disagree that by any strategic analysis we should have lost even Margaret Thatcher was told it was "at the edge of capability". The Argentinians had good reason to think that Britain wouldn't fight - withdrawl from colonies throughout the 1950s/60s, no real strategic or economic importance of the islands, withdrawl of HMS Endurance, economic problems in Britain, Plans to sell our carriers (sorry"through deck cruiser" - oh whoops they've done that now:-)) All in all it was a war that shouldn't have happened and several hundred people died for something that could have been easily avoided. The news over the past couple of days has been very good. It's interesting but the Falklands were never an issue until General Peron needed something to rally his new country against - until then Britain and Argentina had had relatively good relations.
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  697.  @rahulsharma-ht7ut  again this was basically untrue - yes churchil said some stuff that taken out of context sounds bad but usually after particularly annoying things - so for example even whilst trying to supply the bengal famine and defend India from Japanese invasion the Indian independence movement was still attacking British Troops. Plus it's simply not true that Britain did not try to resupply Bengal with food, Bengal had a tenuous food supply in the prewar period - with a population rising from 4 million in 1904 to 60 million in 1944 due to improved medical care and vaccinations, static agricultural practices and smaller farms due to divisions of land between surviving children, Bengal was dependent on food from Burma which was then invaded by Japan and cut off, similarly despite there being food elsewhere in India it couuldn't be transported to Bengal due to japanese submarines and airpower over the Bay of Bengal (Calcutta was also bombed making it harder to unload supplies), food was supplied from Australia and offered by Canada but there wasn't shipping free to take it across the Pacific - the US was asked by Churchill if they could supply it but they didn't have it available either. It was compounded by not activating the famine codes (which had largely prevented famines in India in the colonial period). The Bengal famine only ended when the British (including British Indian Army) pushed the Japanese back after Kohima and Imphal and shipping could again safely enter the Bay of Bengal, plus the harvest in Bengal itself. Similarly the treatment of refeeding syndrome was developed in Bengal, later used in the concentration camps.
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  706.  @originalkk882  Funnily enough being a doctor who works in intensive care with covid patients and also holds a diploma in tropical disease and hygiene I do understand the difference. You stated "that you get near 100% vaccination rate, that will have a negligible effect on transmissions and deaths." That statement is simply not true as with a 100% vaccination rate you would substantially reduce (almost to zero) severe disease or death in that poplulation regardless of whether it had any affect on transmission. The fact that a few cases returning with acute disease have infected large numbers of people does not necessarily mean that vaccines are less effective at reducing transmission however. This is simply because you don't know the vaccination status of those infected originally and by them, so they may be large numbers, but they could have potentially be worse. Similarly we do know that although the delta variants immediate infectivity was pretty much unaffected by vaccination it was cleared more rapidy in vaccinated individuals which at a population level should lead to people being infective for a shorter time, therefore having fewer contacts and infecting fewer people - regardless of whether the vaccine directly affected the infectivity itself. Actually if Omicron infectivity is not affected by vaccination then it's reinforces the argument for individuals to get vaccinated because they cannot rely on vaccinated individuals around them to protect them from catching the disease and therefore stand to benefit more from the reduction in risk of severe disease or death. It is highly likely that (virtually) everyone on the planet will be exposed to and catch covid at some point in the next few years, being vaccinated gives you the best chance of surivivng it.
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  965. Cappy these conflcits go back thousands of years, before the Otomans there was the Byzantines and the arab caliphates, before them romans/Seljuks/parthians/sassanids/babylonians/hittites etc. Anatolia has been a conflict zone for as long as there has been written history Turkey is indispensbile to NATO, it's strategic position makes it important and puts it in an important position. However it also puts it between several different trouble spots with very unstable situations around it. Its expeditionary assertivness is likely both to defend its borders "at a distance" but also to counter similar activites by hostile nearby rivals - Russia, Iran, China even to a degree Sauid & UAe. Turkey is also building up a very impressive indeginous defence industry which is very impressive. One major hurdle for Turkey though is the Turkish economy and with massive inflations and quite frankly crazy economic policies until recently which ordinarily could lead to a financial collapse this is unlikely to happen though as it's likely financial backing will be provided to preven such an important "ally" of the west collapsing. The other is political instability and corruption - Erdogan has already faced one recent military coup, democracy is deteriorating and it's not clear that he could be replaced democratically, similarly his politics have become more islamist and Turkey has turned a very blind eye to funding of Hamas and other terrorist groups. Additionally you have Kurdish groups both full blown terrorists and more moderate groups. All in all Turkey is in a complicated position but continues to effectively straddle the fence and do okay, who knows what the future holds.
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  997. Using the resources you have available is part of how you handle a ship in an emergency. If Mummy is able to help then use it. He also wasn't the captain he was the acting captain. I suspect it's detailed in the board of inquiry but a more severe failing is why a maintenace team went ahead with a procedure on such a critical piece of equipment without the knowledge of the engineering officer, acting captain or captain. Yes it's important not to get in the way of people doing the work as mentioned but it's equally important to ensure that good procedures are put in place and followed, if they're not being followed then there's a problem at some level either with the procedure itself or the general state of the crew and their respect for procedures/regulations on board, from what was mentioned it sounds like the crew felt under pressure to deliver more fresh drinking water due to the ship being overloaded with people, why did that happen - if the ship was so overloaded why was there a party of school children and teachers on board. Why did the maintenace team feel under such pressure to address the fresh water issue that they bypassed safety precautions - that's a huge red flag, why was this not addressed earlier. All very easy to do in hindsight and learning from these things enables you to potentially avoid them in the future (although not learning is also very possible), similarly the lack of compartmentalisation in the design of HMS Endurance, yes a civilian ship but operating in conditions where being holed was not unlikely. Had she not been in the Drake Pasage but in a more remote location this could have ended much worse.
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  1076. What a sad story. I agree that non-standard terminology played a big role in leading to the diverging mental models between ATC and the flight crew however I'm also of the opinion that the french report was really more acurate - the issue was that those diverging mental models allowed a plane to descend well beyond where it should have been and into the terrain with out anyone being aware of it. Even with standardised terminology (when it is used) there will always be scope for misunderstanding of verbal communication particularly between areas of very different social and political spheres (such as Yugoslavia and Corsican, France in the 1960s, both of whom might well have had very limited English or use of English outside of work - Corisca has it's own language in a similar manner to the Catalan in Catalonia that Peter is no doubt familar with. To me the real root cause of this accident was simply complacency, an expectation of success and failure to properly study the approach and conduct a threat/risk analysis, this led to the lack of awareness and therefore no contingencies for mitigating those risks, which I find truly bizarre for a flight crew flying their airlines first approach into a mountainous airfield. Similarly the controller was complacent that the aircraft was following the same path he was used to despite it being the first time he had controlled this airline. Similarly the bizarre holding pattern and lack of radar seem to suggest complaceny from the people responsible for the airport and the safety authroties. I suspect some of the abrogation of responsiblity was down to a cultural difference between the Yugoslav crew who were likely more used to a more directed style where the controller directed the crew and took more responsibility for the planes safety with the pilots precisely following the instructions and the controller who was more used to the flight crew taking that primary responsibility. That said I loved the outcomes from this report in that they did not simply blame the crew and controller for the misunderstanding but put in place hard technological and procedural fixes to minimise the risk of it happening again. Moving the holding pattern to over the sea - "Removing the mountain" Equiping the airport with radar - mimising the risk the conroller would loose track of the aircraft. And as Peter says if you ever have a GPWS "Terrain -- Pull up" whatever you think you're doing or wherever you think you are immediately do a full terrain escape manouvere - it may well save your life... So close to surviving and such a tragedy - and potentially so avoidable.
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  1142. Thanks for your erudite comment. Actually the Harrier, designed in part by Sydney Camm who also designed the Hurricane (so great pedigree was in 2 forms at that time the RAFs GR3 (ground attack, Reconaisance)harrier didn't have a radar. Sea Harrier FRS1 (Fighter Reconaissance Strike = nuclear attack) was designed as a fleet defence fighter from incoming air attack. Differences The cockpit was 10 inches higher to give better visibility, more computing power for the HUD to enable it to respond quicker, navalised engine, folding nose cone, pulse doppler navigation radar in place of inertial system (for overwater flight) replacement of magnesium alloys with aluminium, revision of the 5 Hardpoints with outboard launch rails for single AIM9 sidewinders (All aspect AIM9L sidewinders were taken from NATO forward deployed warstocks and then resupplied by the US until after the conflict). the double sidewinder launch rails were later fitted but again not until after the conflict.  Trials of fitting sidewinder launch rails on GR3s were also conducted incase there was a significant loss of sea harriers and successful (later put into service) but as few Sea Harriers were lost it wasn't needed. As far as I can tell Sea Harrier did not carry the Martel antiship missile carried by Buccaneers, which was the only British antisip missile at the time of the falklands (discounting helicopter launched AS12 and Sea skua - all fired in the falklands) but it did later carry the Sea Eagle antiship missile (1984 on Buccaneers a bit later on SHAR) until that missile was retired (read wore out and wasn't replaced) in 2000. The sea harrier actually had a decent kill ratio at red flag against US fighters. You can see the difference between the GR3s and the FRS1s in this picture (pointy noses are the radars of the FRS1s the GR3s were originally intended to have IR imaging in their noses but that wasn't fitted until later versions https://theaviationist.com/2012/05/22/sea-harrier-the-forgotten-hero-that-won-the-war-in-the-falklands-to-be-replaced-by-the-f-35b/ The Mirage III and IAI Dagger aircraft were designed in the early 1950s philosphy of speed being the most important thing for fighters basically as a manned SAM to get up from french bases as fast as possible and shoot down high flying soviet bombers (or reconaisance MIG25s) there was little thought for manouverability. This philosphy changed post Vietnam when it was leant that semiactive radar missiles of the time were downright awful against other fighters and if you fly quickly you get to your target rather quickly and then have to bother with things like turning and guns. The harrier (entering service 20 years after the Mirage III) was built with the intention for being manoverable from the begining. Plus the Mirage III was only supersonic on afterburner (uses lots of fuel) which it couldn't really do over the falklands as it was at the extreme end of its range. I fail to see how it could possibly be described as outclassed, the FAA believed it would be but learnt differently - there was NO air to air kill of a Sea Harrier by the Argentinian Airforce (or navy) during the whole conflict, it came off best every single time. The only proper fighter on fighter engagement where shots were fired ended with one Mirage III shot down and the other damaged - it was shot down trying to make an emergency landing at goose green when its jetissoing of its fueltanks were mistaken for bombs. There was another occasion where the FAA tried shooting long range Semiactive missiles from high altitude but they missed by a long distance. After the first few days of the war without success the FAA gave up on trying to win the air war and went completely for antishiping/ground attack. One A4 Skyhawk pilot did manage to get into a firing position on a Sea Harrier but his gun jammed (the sea harrier shot down his wingman (ejected but died) the pilots eventually became friends). If you believe A4s, Mirage IIIs and IAI daggers were better aircraft then that's your choice but honestly Sea Harrier FRS1 as flown in the Falklands was a much better fighter design, ironically it's actually a better fighter (nimble quick accelerating dogfighter) than an interceptor (Mirage III was an excellent interceptor) when for carrier defence you really want an interceptor (ala F14, AWG9 /AIM54). In actual fact the Sea Harrier was a much better fighter than even some of its own pilots appreciated and many of the losses could have been avoided if more training/time/apreciation of its capabilities had been made, Sharkey Ward (this was a guy who was an air warfare instructor and previously flown Phantoms from the old Ark Royal) kept telling people what a great fighter it was before they even got down there - it's amazing that even 30 years later people don't appreciate what a great plane it was http://www.thenorthernecho.co.uk/news/1309357.the_rivalry_that_cost_lives/  I don't think the FAA even with a paper numerical advantage had the force projections capacity to establish air control over the Falklands and more to the point neither did they. The biggest threat was probably the superentendards with exocet, as a standoff weapon they were able to be launched before they could be easily intercepted although the oppourtunity to shoot down one Super Entendard was missed due to Hermes sending her CAP out of position) If they been stockpiled or managed to get more or better launch aircraft then potentially there was a risk that one would eventually have hit a carrier - although Woodward was aware of this and positioned his ships as safely as possible. Fortunately the French didn't supply any more and British intelligence managed to frustrate the acquisition of second hand ones.
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  1188. They "never identify the enemy" I submit to the prosecution that the big red star on the tail narrows it down to well 3 or 4 countries. Be careful before you start a shooting war - hmm.. seems that sailors and airmen aren't the only ones who could do with that advice :-)! It may be ilegal in the USC however in the 1950s RAF Lightnings would manouvere around Tu-95s too fast for the Russians to photograph them whilst photographing the Bears themselves. Similarly Mount Pleasant Phantoms barrel rolled around the Argentinian 707 that atempted to ram them. Topgun was in the 1980s - times change (fortunately!). Finally I'm going to disagree with the USMC lawyer about something - "the right of innocent passage" requires "continuous and expeditious passage" if a ship has drifted into territorial waters it is clearly not making inocent passage, on the other hand when it comes to a US Navy vessel drifting into the potentially hostile waters of a country in the middle east (map on the wall of the briefing room), the US has played very fast and loose with international law when it comes to shooting things in the past and I don't see that stopping anything (1988 tanker war, Iran Air 655, numerous bombings etc.). Incidentally Ward Carroll's channel included the story of a F14 pilot who was very good, but careful and conservative, he was tasked with doing a flyby of the carrier for a Japanese delegation who was on board and he was told - you've been doing fine but a bit bland, now is the time to really go for it - he took it to heart followed the orders and did the flyby supersonic in full afterburner at below deck level - result the Japanese were punching the air and apparently Japan nearly bought the F14 instead of the F15, the shockwave from the pass also did damage to equipment on the side of the carrier :-)! Incidentally a $250 fine for not wearing a helmet is compartively light compared with loosing part of your skull...
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  1221. The point mainly was that people hadn't realised just how more destructive a war in the Industrial age would be compared with the Napoleonic war. Whilst many ambassadors were keen to avoid war, afterall it's basically their job to maintain good relations, plenty of politicians and leaders were keen to go to war. The war was ultimately more than avoidable, particularly by Serbia (Serbia wanting to see a larger serbia incoporating all ethnic serbs has not changed). Similarly Russia hasn't really changed in 100 years.... the decision to mobilise in Russia seems crazy, and turns out that it was for Russia. If Germany had not been the agressor and had waited for Russia to make the first move I suspect that France and Britain would not necessarily have engaged in the war - but it would obviously have been a huge risk for Germany, Potentially Germany could have negotiated this - but it would have required alot of trust. Either way invading France through Belgium was a huge mistake. France could have stated that they would not attack Germany if Germany did not attack first. The arguments that Britain should not support Russia is hugely correct in what happened, Britain should have leaned hugely on Russia and France. All in all it seems there was a collective lack of desire to really avoid war, however it seems that the Serbs, Austrians and Russians deserve the most of the blame, then Germany for actually invading. Everyone else is essentially a bit player in my opinion but should have been clearer in their desire not to have the war that I don't think they really saw coming. (Similar to how Europe currently regards the war in Ukraine as not really affecting western europe - which it doesn't really, until a shell or missile starts flying)
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  1261. Turkey is an interestng country, various different factors going on with it in the East it's very middle eastern and pretty backwards. There's lots of historical justification for pretty much everything both Turkey and Greece. The irony is that modern Turks are 98% genetically greek as pretty much the entire population of Turkey has roots from the roman/byzantine empire all in all it's a good example of why drawing coutry borders on strictly ethnic lines is not necessarily a good idea. I think you may have underestimated the influence of Erdogan and his party as an islamist (in contrast with the secular nature of the Turkish republic) which has significantly changed Turkey's direction. Everyone (appart from Russia) supported the government in Tripoli. Turkey's managed to avoid complete economic meltdown which is pretty impressive given what it's been up to. I disagree that Turkey would never have been admitted into the EU, there was definitely a process for it but it chose not to. Simlarly just as the pipelines going through Turkey is a geographic accident rather than a planned conspiricy, the southern pipeline through Cyprus/greece is simply because that's the most sensible route for it. It's a shame Turkey didn't choose to remain secular and become more western aligned, honestly think in the long term it had more to win than loose. Technically Article 5 does not specify that the attack on a country must be an external country so Greece could invoke article 5 if attacked by Turkey (Turkey could not if it attacked greece since it is simply a defensive agreement) I don't think Turkey has any intention of rebuilding the Ottoman empire (I mean that would invovlve taking over all the balkans and syria, iraq, egypt and lybia - why on earth would you want those headaches and putting down rebellions by massacring people is less in vogue these days...
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  1264. Ukraine has done amazingly well. However I suspect that Russia's main objective was to secure the oil resources in Dontesk and Luhansk as well as the water supply to Crimea to enable it to retain Crimea and the associated territorial sea and underlying oil. The secondary objectives were likely to cut Ukraine off from the sea and tertiary objective was political control of Ukraine. It has so far secured the cimean canal (although Ukraine could pull a huge move and divert the entire river...) and basically secured Crimea much more than in 2014. It has failled to secure Donteskk and Luhansk so far. the secondary and teritiary ojectives have failled. The main determinants of their success will basically be how long Ukraine can keep up the fight versus how long Russia can, that depends on the political will of the west (I suspect Putin expects people to start moaning about taxes going to ukraine etc. which already is happening to a degree). Russias manpower resources though are not as inexhaustable as they might have been in the 17th and mid 20th centuries due to alcoholism and covid, not to mention corruption and draft dodging. Politically Russia has been hugely weakened and even internally faced with a failure of this operation Putins position must have been weakened, unfortunately I'm not sure what the end of Putin's regieme would look like - one Russian empire managed to end peacefully 40 years ago- I'm not sure another would and China is much more militarily and politically assertive now.
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  1294. The vessel does seem to be a classic merchant "vessel of convenience" should the vessel really have been in the Suez canal in the first place (yes I realise the huge impact of reducing the maximum length of vessels permitted through Suez - probably a factor in why it hasn't happened). Control of such a large ship in such a narrow channel is going to be very difficult, it does seem that there were exceptionally high winds at the time - is there a maximum safe wind limit for transitting the canal? I realise that the master of a ship has overall responsiblity for their ship but in general it does seem quite alot of pressure on the master to have the responsiblity to refuse the transit when the Suez authority and the pilots were saying it was safe - but the wind does seem to have been the factor that led to the grounding, the master intervening in the conning of the ship plus the lack of a course to steer by the pilots seems to suggest how difficult they were finding the conditions (verging on out of control). Similarly there does need to be questions asked as to why the escorting tugs were not present, especially with the high winds - was this in the report? I'm also interested in what happened with the rest of the convoy that Evergiven was part of when she grounded - stopping those vessels in the channel must have been "fun" - did they anchor? 13 days to complete the damage assessement and repair is amazing! Overall the report seems to very much be blaming human factors (inclduing the pilots) and whilst that is in some ways justified, looking at systematic methods to avoid that - in terms of practices, but also safe limitiations on what is practical - such as max wind speeds for transit, better protocols etc. SCA should defnitely be able to afford the tugs too given teh fees for transiting suez.
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  1343. Every RN ship runs a fire drill every day.... hotwork on a ship would have additional firewatches, I don't know what was going on on the BHR but hopefully the lessons were learnt (again!). Two major fires on Grimaldi firs should prompt some sort of regulatory response, port state control does give the right for inspection in terms of compliance, getting a ship impounded would be a significant punishment for a ship line. I agree it doesn't matter how the BHR fire started - indeed in the current environment with asymetric warfare naval shipyards should be pepared for atempted arson/sabotage. Great video thank you. One other issue from the BHR fire was how poor that command structure was - a naval ship does damage control from DC central - that was never established throughout the whole incident. That the port fire service were so poor at responding to a fire on a US Navy ship in a US Navy port is truly unbelievable, it does seem that there was no understanding between the various parties involved on how to cooperate and work together to manage the fire, it also seems incredible that the USN ship didn't have a compatible ISC connector to enable them to pump to the ship. The only group that responded well to that fire (in my opinion) was the San Diego fire department who did their job well, actually above and beyond what could have been expected including their excellent decision to evacuate. It's almost unbelievable that the AFFF wasn't activated and aditionally that there isn't a connector to allow you to close hatches whilst still supplying water through. That there was a problem with lack of water whilst sitting in the Pacific Bay is ridiculous. Hopefully someone is looking at improving provision of fireboats.
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  1371. Good video as always - and triggered people nicely by not including its use of gbus:-)! One aspect of the Tomcat that you didn't really comment on beyond passing was the Irainian experience with them. The US engineers leaving Iran attempted but failled to sabotage the AIM-54 missiles, they were later used by Iran agaisnt the Iraqis (At that time western supported) and the Tomcat was so effective that by the end of the war the Iranians could establish air superiority by simply turning up and switching on the AWG-9 radar, as soon as the iraqi's detected it on their RWRs they would run. This led to the dwindling supply of AIM-54s being eaked out far more effectively than you might think and I suspect is one of the reasons why in the initial air battles of the 1991 war the Tomcat (on paper) did so poorly for the USN. Small asside the parts for the reverse engineering of the Tomcats was managed through London. It's important to realise that the Tomcat wasn't designed as a fighter - it was an interceptor, designed to get off the deck or away from its CAP as fast and far as possible to lob missiles at incoming supersonic bombers carrying standoff missiles, therefore its performance in this role was intertwined with the capabilities of the E2. It probably (possibly) would have been able to shoot down enough incoming Tu-22s and their once launched missiles to save a carrier group but in the 1970s (pre AEGIS cruisers) I'm not so sure. The NATF program was supposed to provide this capability into a new generation but it was cancelled and there's realistically no way that the F18 provides a similar fighter interceptor capability (although the newer E2 is more capable so may enable earlier detection etc.). If you really want to worry consider the RNs equivalent - the results of no AEW in the Falklands and that the JSF is even slower than the F18 and the RNs radar cover for the QEs will be technically very similar to the radars introduced after the Falklands more than 30 years ago... can't help thinking the QEs could have a brief war career against any capable opponent (of which there are more each year)
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  1469. The other factor is that France's commitment to European defence has varied hugely over the years. French troops fought against allied landings in North Africa and Madagasgar. French forces were pulled out of the NATO command structure - essentially leaving NATO in all but name, it's difficult for other European countries to look to France for their protection. Joint projects with France Horizon Frigate, Eurofighter have often not gone well. Similarly since the collapse of the soviet union, remembered by Eastern European states as mainly an american victory over the soviet union. Europe collectively has failed to invest in the many platforms that were due to "age out" and need replacing - they're not unique in this the same occured in Russia and to a degree in the US - hence the problems they're having replacing their tanker fleet and only Australia saved them (to a degree) with the wedgetail now that the E3 is to a large degree obsolete. However whilst the US is having problems there is simply no European equivalent to the wedgetail, no european equivalent to the "Rivet Joint", no European replacement for the Tornado, no European equiavlent to the Poseidon ASW aircraft, France from my point of view has always prioritised itself over its "allies" but it's military spending is too small to develop the capailities needed for a modern battlefield -so the only real option now is to buy american. Add to this that most of the combat operations for most of the militaries in Europe over the last 30 years have been in combination with the US and of a nature completely different from high intensity peer-peer conflict and you have large gaps in defence capability in all European nations. The return of a common enemy may alter this but alot of the knowledge base and experience has been lost, it will not be undone overnight and only with consistent investment (above 2% GDP) and compromise - I'm personally not entirely sure it can be done, I doubt I'm alone and that will be the biggest problem.
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  1493.  @leaselmary_sims2189  occupying Finland moves things away from St. Petersburg and would give Russia a more secure access to the Baltic sea - it would also really isolate the baltic countries. Similarly occupying Sweden would make Northern Norway and the Baltics extremely difficult to defend. Northern Norway is important becasue of Murmansk and Archangelsk (sp?) where the russian northern fleet is based and submarines would come from to try and attack convoys/supplies into western europe accross the atlantic. Similarly it's likely Russia/USSR would have tried to occupy Iceland to use Keflavik as an airbase to launch Backfires at the same convoys and any carrier groups in the Atlantic. NATO recently did an exercise in the arctic (shortly after the invasion of Ukraine, which is probably a semi coincidence - they're planned long in advance but even so it took on more significance). Looking to the future - The Northern Sea Route north of Russia and the northwest passage north of Canada are likely to become important shipping routes during this century as they become ice free for most/all of the year. This is why Russia has put more military bases into the arctic and has been again doing its hybrid thing in Svalbard. Russian submarines repeatedly intruded into swedish and Finish waters during the cold war and have started to do so again. Ukraine's neutrality did not prevent Russia from attacking it when it certainly did have a choice not to attack Ukraine, which was essentially no military threat, a political threat only to Putin and small economic threat due to its oil/gas discoveries.
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  1723. So I do think that Crassus made a great "fall guy" for the mistakes in his campaign. However I do think that although in conemporary roman belief his errors may not have been too great I do think he deserves censure for his performance and certainly was bested in strategy by his Parthian opponent. His timing of the invasion was correct due to an internal strife however I don't know if this was judgement or chance is not clear. He appears to have been underprepared - not waiting for cavalry reinforcement. His choice of route appears wrong to me, whist I agree with your argument he had a predominantly infantry focussed army against an unknown enemy (although his enemy seems to have known him). Advancing across a plain seems unduly risky, yes a campaign through the mountains would have played to the strengths of his infantry based army, whether or not artivasdes turns up - he would have run into King Arodes but I don't think it would have been undoable as mentioned the Romans had had success against mixed parthain forces in the past. The route he took is to a certain degree understandable, the hollow square is actually a pretty good formation for facing a full cavalry force. My own feeling (armchair general point) was that he failled to gather sufficient intellignece about his opponent - particularly their bows and that the charge by Pubilus should have been directed against the Camel train carrying the arrow resupply - which I think was his last chance to escape. I think he was defeated in battle by a superior general who had taken the time to develop intelligence about his enemies army and tactics, planned better and executed his play better all of which could have been countered.
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  1733. Thanks for another very well made video. There seems to have been basic normalisation of deviance here - initially from standard separation to visual separation, but then from visual separation to "the plane has reached the point where I would clear them if I was looking at it" with the flight crew reverting to . The use of speed as a proxy for being airbourne seems bizarre as well - it actually seems very dangerous for RIMCAS to decide that it's airbourne on this criteria, having a single measurement to override the weight on wheels sensor seems a potentially poor system as well - potentially it would be better to combine a realistic airspeed and a change in altitude before deicding the weight on wheels sensor was faulty? Similarly it seems extremely poor that pilots were commencing their takeoff rolls whilst other aircraft were on the runway - almost unbelievable. ATC seem to have being prioiritised take offs over everything else - a crazy system. Very difficult for the 777 crew to make the decision to continue the takeoff - good chance of hitting the tail, very well done to them for safely aborting - but surely they really shouldn't have started their takeoff roll if they were VFR with another aircraft on the runway? Pure luck that hundreds of people weren't killed. I don't think the investigation should have described it as "highly optimised ATC workflow" "unsafe taskloading for the ATC controllers" plus inappropiate initiation of the takeoff roll with an occupied runway would have been a much better phrasing. I'm not convinced that the ATCi was enough to prevent this happening again. Glad most of my flying is in Europe.
    2
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  1759.  @boterlettersukkel  Yeah well when I did my phsyics degree one thing I learnt early on was that people believed theories for about 2000 years, until galielo turned up and showed it to be wrong so whatever maths you do it's always trumped by experiment, that's science. But lets do a bit of theorising - corriolis effect is actually just conservation of anguler momentum, seen in a rotating frame of reference, this is a universal effect that doesn't depend on scale (at least in the newtonian limit & classical mechanics), I'll try and do some maths later, I have to go to work but in general I think it works out, water is about 1000 times denser than air, 100 times more viscous, relative pressure difference betwen the top of my sink and bottom of my sink is similar to that in a low pressure system in the atlantic, my sink is relatively only about 10^5 times smaller. So two main points - I think the corriolis effect (at least the change in angular momentum) should be similar, I don't think the resistive forces will be sufficient to prevent spinning. More to the point - I cannot see any other reason for why water would spin as it goes down a plug hole (released from rest) - it should just drain uniformly from all directions and again I have personally never seen an example of it spinning in an clockwise manner in the northern hemisphere or anticlockwise in the southern hemisphere, or why it would change at the equator (and yes I have done all of these things) so with all due respect to the theoriticians unless they can explain that to me I'm going to thumb my experimenters nose at them and say that their theory is inconsistent with experiemental results - that's science. This would actually be quite an easy thing to do - I don't know if sabine would be up for it but you'd just need to get people to pull their plugs out and look at which way it span as it went down the hole and then record whether they were in the northern or southern hemisphere.
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  1896. So unlikely to happen - the political impetus for the Argentinain invasion was a quick victory to shore up support for a Military Junta. Whilst a majority of argentinains still support their countries claim to the islands I think the memory of the pain and basic pointlessness of the war is still enough that repeating it wouldn't help any government. Plus the new president seems keen on cooperation. However yes the lack of a carrier is a major strategic hole in the UK military (similarly the lack of ASW aircraft and antiship missiles on aircraft). That said the T45s when their engines are working are much more capable than the T42s. The falkland islands guard ship was recently withdrawn (not enough ships basically) We have better assault ships and Ocean in service. I'm not as confident that we could rely on the US, all of our experiences WW1, WW2, Suez show us that basically the US will only come to our aid when it's forced to and in their intrests, the Falklands are pretty much irrelevant to them (Venezuela isn't they really don't like Chavez). It would be very difficult for Argentina to take the Falklands - they'd have to take the runway and prevent reinforcement/resupply - so a crashed/surprise landing by a 747 and take over by 400 commandos followed by an airborne landing? The SSNs we still have should be capable of doing the same thing they did in 1982 and maintaining sea control/keeping the argentian navy in port. Question would be whether the T45s and T23s could escort ships down to retake the islands even if they were being resupplied by air, again on paper it looks difficult... But as I said it was basically a pointless waste of life and I think everyone appreciates that
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  2112. So my understanding is that this sub had ditchable ballast, whats more it was designed so that the devices holding the ballast in place would corode and automatically ditch the ballast after a period of time, all of which sounds like a nice failsafe system (not that it will do any good if the submarine is crushed/flooded) however it would return a powerless crew to the surface - assuming they hadn't died from hypothermia. Obviously any leak would be virtually instantly fatal, the other thing that submariner's are scard of is fire - fire inside a submarine is incredibly dangerous - consuming your oxygen generating CO2 and reducing visiblity to zero, navy submariners drill for it constantly and discipline is important - tourists may not be so disciplined. What I don't understand is the stuipid design decision to bolt the submarine shut from the outside and for it to be unopenable from the inside - I can't understand why this would need to be a design feature as water pressure would clearly hold anything shut under normal circumstances but unless I'm misinformed it seems likely that even if the sub has returned to the surface they will need to be found before the air runs out/CO2 builds up. given how difficult it is to find things in the ocean this seems unlikely. I believe that they are probably all dead as a result of something catastrophic but hope that they may survive and absolutely correct that we should continue to search and try to find them, but it will be extremely difficult to find if it's not able to communicate or radiate and even if it is located underwater I'm not sure there is anything that has the capability to dive and retrieve the submarine/submersible or that could be brought into the area in time. Highly ironic that 110 years later another famous sinking is occuring in this area...
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  2113. Essentially having messed up their own company McDonald Douglas's management took over boeing and messed it up too. Ultimately maintainace, design, human factors all interact and some how boeing aren't getting it right - whether you call it culture or something else there needs to be a change in how boeing approaches all of this including its relationship with other companies and the airlines which they work together with to make sure they get it right. I'm really not convinced that the outsourcing and subcontracting of major parts of this makes this process easier and that structure - all as a result of boeing's management decisions, makes it vulnerable to technical and human factor misunderstandings. The very existence of Spirit is a decision of boeing and what they do with it and them putting it on their aircraft is as much their responsiblity as Spirit's. Responsibility in aviation can't (or at least shouldn't!) be evaded just by wierd corporate structures. Their need to send "armies of people" over there is a result of this stupid decision. It makes no sense to me to separate a company and spin off part of your production process if you're just going to have them continue to make absolutely the same parts and things for your. You loose control over that part of the production and no ability to do it. The fact that there are faults with parts arriving in Boeing may well be related to the fact that they're now two separate companies and so not liasing properly between the two and similarly exporting or maintaining an equivalent safety culture in another company where the unwritten motivation is to produce parts cheaper and quicker.... Overall the responsiblity for Spirits problems are all a result of boeing (or more accurately McDonald Douglas's management decisions). It's an example or market/captiatlism's failure to deliver actual product that is what the market actually wants (rather than what it can get) temporarily. In the end though it will likely lead to Boeing's decline and disappearance as a major aircraft manufacturer.
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  2168. Other stuff, sorry will be a long post, I was a small boy in 1982 so didn't fight there but - I think the SAS operation you're recalling is part of Operation Mercado which was a plan to land a hercules (C130) full of troops on an argentinian air base in Argentina to destroy the Super Entendards which were the aircraft that carried the exocets that sank HMS Sheffield and the Atlantic Conveyor, fortunately it was not carried out as there was a very large argentinian presence nearby. The Atlantic Conveyor was a merchant ship which sails between Liverpool and New York (she was replaced by insurance and a new ship with the same name sails the route today), she carried lots of supplies and Helicopters - the original idea was that those helicopters would be used to move the troops forward during the campaign but after she was sunk there was a severe lack of helicopters (one chinook survived as it was just taking off when the ship was hit) the RM and Paras had to walk - Yomping carrying large amounts of kit across the island. All of the medical support for the war was provided by the British as there was no argentian support, I'm fortunate enought to have met and helped teach on a course taught by the guy who was in charge of that - at one point they were operating in an abattoir with an unexploded bomb in the corner of the room. The falklands are indeed very cold as is South Georgia - infact the first SAS landings on South Georgia had to be evacuated due to the weather and a helicopter crashed. Whist it's often portrayed as the UK stomping over a small country the truth is very different - it was actually very close run. With your US Maine background you'll appreciate the magnitude of performing an amphibious landing 5000miles from your nearest base, without air superiority against an opposing force 3 times larger.
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  2228. Yeah it's crap having people's opinion of you conflated due to your nationality. I'm British and it happens all the time. Similarly it can be seriously embarrasing when you see what your government or even your country decides to vote for brexit, boris etc. (Some of which I'm personally sure Putin had his hand in). Likewise I'm pretty sure the only reason Bald hasn't been beaten up at some point is because he's a big bloke - he has some some weird views on things too sometimes to be honest, ("Everything Soviet is good and I must say so to people who actually had to live in it"). Putin's actions have politicised being Russian in a foreign country though - he's justified the invasions of Georgia, Crimea and Ukraine on the basis of "we're protecting the Russians living there" or even "we're defending Russian Speakers" the result of that is going to be that countries are going to be twitchy about having Russians around especially in places like Georgia and Ukraine, or even people speaking Russian - simply because they know Putin could use it as an excuse to invade them. That's before you go into older things from the Soviet Union which (with some justification) they view Russia and Russians as having done to them. I can understand Georgia being worried about being invaded. the sad thing is that the people of a given nationality that you meet outside of it are the most likely to be in oppostiion to what their country has done (like you), yet you're going to encounter this the most. Yep it's crap and it's not fair, and it's likely to be a self perpetuating thing which is a shame because as your channel shows regularly in general Russians are just the same as anyone else. It can end though, it takes a while but if you look at how much France and Germany hated each other for millenia and now you have the situation today. I'm pretty sure humans are still wired to develop "tribal alliegances" (Football teams, countries) and so there's some of that too. I would say that in Britain I don't think anyone hates Russian individuals that aren't associated with Putin/his regime. Infact one of the saddest things for me about this is thinking of all the Russian conscripts who didn't ask to fight this war or want to and are now being killed. Hopefully despite all this people can separate you from your country and you get to enjoy Georgia.
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  2369. So there are pretty large differences between Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Israel's invasion of Gaza. It isn't genocide - i.e. there is no systematic atempt to eradicate a race. This is currently occuring in Sudan, why have we not heard of this? Well Sudan doesnt have a $1Billion a year organisation invested around the world unlike Hamas. Unfortunately killing civilians (including children) isn't inherently a war crime, deliberately targeting civilians (and or children) is. Similarly hospitals are protected sites and should not be attacked. However it is also a warcrime (violation of IHL/LOAC) to position a military target (not necessarily military itself - includes things like fuel stores etc.) next to a hospital/protected site and doing so is actually a warcrime itself, similarly using "human shields" by keeping hostages or large numbers of civilians around a protected site. Hamas has been in power in Gaza since 2006, it has had lots of oppoutnities to move the peace process forward or make even basic changes (giving up violence for instance) to improve the lives of Palestinians, it's failled to do so infact it depends on armed conflict to exist and as mentioned there is a $1Billion a year up for grabs. This buys them alot of social media. Ignoring the fact that it's a warcrime to do so using protected sites, hostages and human shields whilst giving maximum exposure to casualties appears to be Hamas's tactic for defending itself against counter attack by the IDF. So in general war (everywhere) is crap, people getting killed is crap especially children and in any war in a built up city/populated area that is going to happen. Russians are suffering, Ukranians are suffering, Israelis are suffering and so are Palestinians. I take the point of collective punishment of Russians for their government - but really there is very little else that can be done to restrict Russia's military capability, just as Palestinians are suffering becuase of their (semi-) elected government, so are Russians.... Overall it would be much better if Hamas laid down its arms and stopped killing people, Israel gave citizenship to palestinians and everyone got on with living in peace (obviously some things would change), Russia withdrew from Ukraine and Ukraine joined NATO. That might at least give people a chance for peace for a few more decades but it seems unlikely to happen, because as mentioned too many people and too much money is involved in not doing so.
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  2414. Thank you Peter for an absolutely fantastic video - I have to say though hearing the whole story is horrifying. On the plus side This does show how many layers of safety and protection exist and need to go wrong before something like this happens. On the other side It does seem that knowledge of how many layers of safety there are has led to more than a degree of contempt and complacency and at several levels that responsiblity had been forgotten. This whole thing makes me angry. Boeing's arrogance and risk management structure and decision making was terrible - How do you describe something as "Major" and then decide it is irrelevant is almost unbelievable similarly the regulatory capture and abrogation of responsiblity/complacency by the FAA The crew on the first flight did remarkably well, that could very well have been a crash. The refurbishment and maintenance contractors failing to adequetely test the AoA sensor and calibrate it properly is also horrifying. I'm pretty sure it was the captain retracting the flaps, I think he realised that his first officer was throroughly overloaded and failing and tried to do things without involving the first officer to offload him. Failing to declare a an emergency situation. I don't think the captain appreciated that there was a major problem with the trim (From a system he didn't know of) I think handing the controls over the first officer was also due to a perception that he could then concentrate on managing the flight rather than having to fly the aircraft. I suppose lessons to be learnt, look at more than the back page of the techlog and first of all aviate, navigate and then communicate. I do think that the 737max should also have been grounded after the Lion air crash before the Ethiopian crashes, the fact that Boeing had not mentioned MCAS to anyone crazy.....
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  2428. Given how much boeing is messing up and airbus being maxed out on its production plus Russia not able to buy from Boeing or Airbus and potentially Trump giving China the perfect excuse to ban both boeing and airbus from China with the tarifs/impending trade war then the door is basically sitting wide open for a Chinese aircraft manufactuerer. China's domestic market is likely to be huge in the next few years, add in India and potentially if Comac can corner those two markets it doesn't really need to sell in many other places... If Airbus can boost production to meet demand and/or boeing can make their business acutally work then it will be much harder for a chinese manufacturer to do it but even then it's probably possilbe, look at what the chinese have done in other manufacturing spheres and are doing currently (cars for example). Suppliers being unwilling to supply China wiht the latest versions is going to be a big issue and entirely justified, China doesn't really have a division between state/military and civil use as the state is basically in charge of everything and the military is also invovled in many things that would be civilian in other countries, given that intelectual property protection for foreign companies is basically non-existent then you can see why companies would be unwilling to risk their technology that required alot of hard work to develop. That's not to mention that it may even then be hard to actually duplicate the most cutting edge technology as making them alone is difficult.
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  2466.  @3ast3rn3r  Sorry but this is absolute revisionist nonsense. Germany and Russia had agreed to divide up Poland Nazi Germany's plan was actually to completely erradicate the Polish population by the 1950s (look it up). That was prevented by European (and later American and Russian interventions). France and Britain chose to declare war on Germany in response of the invasion of Poland, neither at that time was at immediate threat of invasion and it was also not the optimal time certainly for Britain. Other countries they could have gone to war with was Italy against Albania but didn't. Hitler's original plan was to fight in the East first against the Soviet Union and he expected to fight a war against Britain and France late in the 1940s. He did not believe that the western countries could sustain an alliance with Russia (and continued to believe it would fall apart right up to the end.) infact many in Nazi Germany's military were convinced that they should join with the allies and fight Russia (ironically rather close to what happened ultimately). At Yalta eastern europe was already occupied by Russia - short of fighting a huge war against the Red Army there was effectively nothing they could do - Churchil did manage to ensure the Russians would not occupy the Balkans (which would have been interesting!) or Greece. Poland was a victim of its geography but not a lack of support. (Which is pretty obvious with some historical knowledge and the fact that so many poles went to the UK to fight, 302 and 303 squadron, the destroyer blyskawica and the submarine orzel.
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  2491. Regarding costs/benefits of Europe the issue is that the Houthi blockade hasn't been as significant as it might have been as there's alot of spare capacity in international shipping at the moment. Oil tankers have continued to go through the Red sea as the houthi have discovered sinking a modern oil tanker is pretty difficult with small numbers of drones/missiles - the crude oil doesn't burn easily and absorbs alot of energy. Similarly the value of a tanker is relatively low by the standards of international shipping so additional insurance costs for shipping oil through Suez have stayed low (and oil tankers have contiued to use this route). Container ships have the opposite problem - damaging a ship loaded with containers full of iphones is exteremely expensive (even more so if the whole ship of 20,000 containers of them sinks), damage from a single hit could be very expensive, therefore insurance costs have been high and these ships have therefore diverted around the cape. This would be a problem but there is alot of spare capacity in container ships at the moment so this capacity has essentially absorbed the need to have ships strung out along a longer trade route and the outcome has only been slower delivery...so the costs to Europe has been limited... That said there is a very good ethical/legal precedent argument for maintaining freedom of navigation and detering the houthi from compromising that in addition to attacking neutral civilian shipping being a warcrime and an act of war in itself.
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  2509. So there's two points here: Military gains and political process interact as Britain, Afghanistan and others have found out when the US promises support it does come with limits - what was bipartisan US support has now become politicalised "why should I pay for it" - the answer by the way is Russia benefiting from its invasion will enrcourage China - infact China invading Taiwan and ending up with territorial gain as a result of it (Even at the cost of lots of losses) is pretty much the outcome they want. Purely from a self interest point of view supporting Ukraine in degrading Russian military capability gives the west (particularly Europe) the oppourtunity to rebuild conventional forces to deter further Russian military adventurism and from the US point of view as well as that benefit (less so given the US baseline capability) it allows it to focus more forces on China. It is interesting to me that China did not choose to simultaneously invade Taiwan alongside Russia's invasion of Ukraine as this would have seemed to make strategic sense - presumably the Chinese wanted Russia to test the waters first or they lacked the capability. NATO membership of Ukraine has basically nothing to do with the cause or outcome of the war and never did other than as a diplomatic smokescreen for misinformation and to atempt to smear western support for Ukraine and to convince the Russian population - Quite simply Russia knows that NATO will never invade Russia due to the nuclear deterrant and vice versa. I do believe that Russia will not be able to sustain its military performance indefinitely - even with 500000 new recurits they will not be able to equip them or utilise them. As I have said since the begining the key is Crimea - it's what Ukraine basically depends on for the future of its economy and similarly what Russia requires. Ukraine can probably outlast Russia in a long war of attrition providing that western support continues, however the US has been pretty fickle when it comes to sustaining campaigns over a long period and even though Ukraine is arguably of more direct benefit to the US than either Iraq (certainly) or Afghanistan (arguably) the US political landscape means that Ukraine may not be able to rely on its support outlasting Russian campaign. Russia cannot retain Crimea if Ukraine controls the crimean canal (which supplies it with water) which was likely the main cause of the invasion. Any settlement with Russia is likely to have to be very carefully phrased to avoid situations which essentially just allow Russia to rearm and invade again - such as allowing NATO membership or similar security guarantee (including having bases on Ukraine territory). A buffer zone around Ukraine of Russia not basing troops close to the border - a DMZ etc. Ultimately I'm not sure where an end to this is, Russia will effectively become richer in about 50 years time as it controls the Northern Sea route, but that does assume that Russia exists as a single country - there is the possiblity that Russia breaks up between west and east or China invades Eastern Russia and reoccupies it.
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  2517.  @fadyal-qaisy5213  I disagree - the decision to continue the takeoff was wholy inappropriate, if there's not room to stop there's not room to take off unless you're very close to takeoff speed, simply because aircraft stop alot faster than they accelerate (as do most things). Even if the decision was made his CRM was flawed in that he failled to appropriately take command of the aircraft "My controls", leading to an unclear picture as to who was in command and who was flying the aircraft. I disagree that he "saved lives" actually he put them in more danger - rather than stopping the aircraft (which he had room to do from 57kts) he panicked and accelerated the aircraft risking a higherspeed runway excursion which he was lucky to avoid. I personally think the thing that "startled" her was not that they'd turned onto the aircraft in the wrong direction but that the captain had suddenly started behaving in the unexpected manner he started moving controls without taking control of the aircraft properly and therefore her not being clear what she was supposed to be doing, without him clearly taking control, she could have challenged this or clarified it "my/your aircraft" but for a supervised pilot with a senior pilot behaving in this manner in a culture where women are generally expected to be deferential (which I expect was why the captian didn't - under stress feel the need to explain his taking control of the aircraft) that's a very uneven heirarchy and I can see why she didn't do it. As it was she did the best thing she could - leading to a partially successful takeoff, had she been frozen in a conventional sense of partial pilot incpacitiation she wouldn't have released the nose pressure at the correct time, I feel that the investigating authority found this a more convenient explanation. Had she been the captain - I'm pretty sure she would have stopped the aircraft. It could have been avoided with the technological aids mentioned but there also seems to have been an inadequate brief before takeoff - every brief I've ever seen has been clear on the taxiing - whilst pointing "okay we're going via A, left onto J, Right onto G, left to line up on 20" etc. and single engine start and single engine short taxi is quite a heavy task loading for a pilots first rolling takeoff all of which was avoidable.
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  2921.  @danstoneman4353  well you havent listed anything about your qualifications although based on your dataset I suspect you're american so our perspectives are likely to be different and I am aware that attitudes to the pandemic have become significantly politicised there, I would point out that the US has a pretty terrible record on Public health in general and so far a poor record with regards to covid. As you ask I have diploma in tropical medicine from the Liverpool School of Tropical medicine, I've worked as a doctor in intenisve care throughout covid and seen an awful lot of people die from it, including some young people. I've had the astrazenica vaccine myself, which is based on 10 years of development research. mRNA vaccines are relatively new but it's not true that the covid vaccine is its first use, they were in use against cancers in oncology before covid, your body also produces huge amounts of mRNA all the time. I'm familiar with treating infectious disease and vaccination, I do believe that covid vaccination is safe for everyone - there is always a balance of risks and risk is never zero which is why there is ongoing monitoring, people are also highly likely to experience symptoms which are a normal response to a vaccine which may make them feel unwell (fever, chills, myalgia etc.) this is normal. There are a few cases of clots forming in patients after the first AZ jab (none after the second) but this is still extremely rare (as mentioned comparable to the risks of crossing the road every 3 months), vaccination has been shown to reduce transmission of covid and there is no evidence whatsoever of a risk to fertility, as mentioned this is not something seen with vaccination. Covid infection itself does definitely produce widespread coagulation infact in general I have seen more clots in patients infected with covid than in any other condition, we routinely treated patients for this clot burden. Similarly should people present with symptoms or signs of CSVT or PE after vaccination everyone is now very aware of this possibility (although again very unlikely) and they can be treated, although as of yet I have not been involved with the treatment of any vaccine related problem. There is a risk with doing everything (eating a meal, crossing the road, having a vaccination) at the moment given the covid pandemic vaccination is safe, which isn't to say entirely risk free and I believe appropriate to reduce the risk of covid and future covid waves.
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  2952. 1, Two islands - The gas turbines are mounted high in the ship as they're light enough to do so and the power transmitted electrically to the shafts so the exhausts could literally have gone anywhere. Having two islands breaks up the disruption to wind and airflow over the deck caused by one large island. Any damage likely to take an island is highly unlikely to leave the flight deck in a condition to be used and most likely will have sunk the ship. Even when carriers were taking hits I cannot recall an incidence of this actually happening, I also can't recall an incidence of a carrier taking a hit on its island. The carrier is not fought from the bridge anyway. I strongly suspect a large proportion of why there are two island is interservice rivalry no other navy has done this and separating air ops from sailing seems to me a mistake. 2, Abraham Lincoln Transited the Suez Canal in May 2019. If you have nuclear power you can uses that fuel for flight ops and your escorts not for moving yourself through the water. Plus you can have excess power for future weapons that are likely to be very power hungry (eg. lasers) QE can't do this. The real reason is simply cost. Mid life refueling time depends on the design and as it only needs to be done once you'll spend longer refueling/off station for fueling in a conventional design than a nuclear one. Oil supply to the UK is from the North Sea (highly unlikely to remain viable in a conflict) or the middle east also highly vulnerable to disruption. The UK has large stockpiles of uranium and the ability to reprosess it, we won't require anymore for tens of thousands fo years. New Zealand is a lovely country but hardly strategically vital for a nuclear powered carrier. 3, The carriers were supposed to have been designed with space for and the capability to fit catapults but BAe didn't do any design work on this or take it seriously from about 2000 so when the government actually said they wanted to do it it would be massively expensive to retrofit them. EMALS was unproven then it isn't now, the US Navy was betting on it for the future of its carriers and realistically never going to allow that technology to fail, plus if QE had had nuclear power she would have had a source of steam should it be necessary to fit steam catapults. The reason she doesn't have catapults is because of the short sighted decision in the 1980s to go with a short take off vertical landing design rather than the more capable CATOBAR design and it then becoming prohibitively expensive to change them- the National Audit Office has stated this. 4, She will operate with just 12 JSFs again for cost reasons. In short are there some benefits to gas turbine propulsion, two islands and stovl aircraft? Yes but they don't outweigh the costs (and no other navy has made these decisions). The QEs will be carriers and it will be good for the RN to have a carrier force again. They are not really supercarriers though and dont' really add much more capability currently to the what the Invincibles would have offered if they had flown JSFs, appart from stealth they will be less capable than the French carriers. In summary like so many MOD/British projects short sighted decisions interservice rivalry and saving money in the short term have compromised it and it will have to be lived with, it's unlikely that there will be money available for a refit (which would likely be more expensive than doing things at the time of construction) Issues you didn't touch on: JSF is also not really fast enough to work as a carrier launched air defence interceptor (it was never designed for this) the US Navy will rely on its escorts but the RN has pitifully few antiaircraft escorts and they will be mandatory for each carrier stretching capability further. Similarly the RN has not invested in a phased array or more modernised airborne early warning radar, or a cooperative engagement capability.  I can't help thinking that these combine to leave the carrier vulnerable - relatively poor fighter cover, relatively poor (potentially jamable) ability to detect airbourne threats and limited ability to disminate that ability rapidly. Combined with the likely dissemination over the next few years of more advanced combat aircarft and antiship missiles leave our carriers vulnerable (more so than the USN who are also worried about theirs).
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  2981. Love that both intelligent birds and intelligent pilots had learnt to ignore the repetivive warning of potential threat :-)! All in all I don't think the pilots did that badly in the initial period - yes they made mistakes but selecting the autopilot actually sorted out the incorrect pitch. Similarly failing to raise the gear is not something that would be unusual I think. I wonder if they potentially got fixated on the checklist, the failure to identify the lack of thrust from the right engine followed and failure toraise the gear when they had a low energy state do suggest that they had lost situational awareness. I'm rather surprised that the airbus autopilot isn't capable of trimming the rudder itself though, similarly some sort of warning "check gear" or "rudder trim" might be useful in giving the pilots information about why things are happening rather than just that they have (cavalry charge). The atempt to increase the thrust again was pretty reasonable, but should have been reduced when the compressor stall occured. Not really surprising that the final report was never released after you've awared the Hero of Russia medals it's a bit embarrassing.... I wonder if "confirm gear up" should be added to the engine failure after takeoff checklist, a bit surprised it isn't already there. Airbus's alpha protection saved so many more lives again, all in all the human/aircraft interaction resulted in everyone surviving .In the end we can be thankful that although the crew could definitely have done better but all in all a good outcome.
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  3015. This is a huge problem with checklists they can prevent sense being used, the necessity for memory actions to be completed, that said it is ridiculous that they didn't check the "emergency checklists." As you say the pilot almost certainly didn't have faith in the flight engineer. All in all spending 6 minutes (12 minutes both ways) flying. This crew really was not up to any sort of acceptable standard, likely because of nepotism and corruption within the Saudi airline and political structure, the initial management, management of the return. Why on earth the pilot would say not to evacuate is unexplainable, how he didn't believe that there was a fire on the aircraft when there was reports from the cabin crew.... completely crazy. I can understand falling back on just getting the aircraft on teh ground and in many ways flying it normally would be the way to do it, but all he had to do was apply max breaking and order an evacuation, why did he roll all the way out? Why didn't he evacuate, completely crazy. Turning the PACS off too was crazy, why did they do it? This video made me so sad/angry, it was all so avoidable this was clear idocy....crazy. I think this is the worst aviation I've ever heard of... not sure I'd want to fly on a Saudi Airline. The lack of training and equipment for the fire crews is another unbelievable aspect to this what was IACOs involvement in this, how was situation allowed to occur? A horrendous situation for the poorly trained fire crews to be in, their managers and those responsible for the structures and services as well as the management of Saudi Airlines (and the Saudi government) should have been held responsible for it. The failure of the FAA to act on the NTSBs recomendation takes it to another level....Honestly it's mind blowing.... As you say the flight attendants were absolute heros here, they were horrendously let down.
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  3119. The people you can't lie to are the logistics, they actually do need to know what needs to be where and not. If the guys doing the logistics don't like what's going on then stuff starts to take a long time to get places, go to the wrong place and an army slows down and runs out of food, fuel etc. which all seems to be happening now... you can listen to russian radio over a website - it's still not encrypted, presumably they don't have enough. Once again it was never about NATO (only in so much as if Ukraine was in NATO Russia couldn't attack it) it was never about "uniting two peoples" it's simply about controlling Ukraines oil and gas (to protect Russia's European monopoly) regaining control over the Dneiper to supply fresh water to Crimea (which was running out of water). Either way I feel that the Russians are not moving as fast as they want to and they're not making the progress they expected to and I expect them to move but even so it's a huge logistical challenge to supply MLRS (each salvo from a TOS-1 needs a truck load to resupply). Incidentally the Russians are arresting protestors. There's a new law with a 15 year sentance for sharing something on Social media that's not from an official source and every school in Russia has given a special lesson "Ukrainian people are intimidated by their government. The country is ruled by nazis. They lie to them and kill all of the Russian speaking people there. All of the European countries lied to Ukraine and they don't take any refugees. While Russia already accepted millions of refugees" if all was going to plan I don't think Putin would be going to these lengths... You have to make light of things that are horrendous otherwise it's so fucking awful you couldn't survive... The chances are if they're Russians in the west they're more anti Putin than we do. That said the reasons for invading Ukraine are minimal (unless your economy depends on oil and gas exports - precisely why Russia hasn't turned off gas to Europe despite all of this... and wont). I disagree that its "Russian" perspective that we'd try to overthrow authoritarian rule in Russia - it's Putin's (most Russians would be perfectly happy to get rid of Putin and his cronies although that may change with the stuff that's going on now. The degree of propaganda that we're getting is far less than they will be.).
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  3332. I mean what to say.... Terrible professionalism, this was likely not the first time this had been done. The course format was an avoidable human factors issue that really was predictable. Similarly the The pilots and copilots giving up and not continuting to try and save their aircraft until the end is probably the worst, not verifying the course, not declaring a mayday, not planning the forced landing, not being able to find the L3 map (I'm sorry it's in the cockpit somewhere). Someone on another video commented that flying an aircraft full of passengers should make you feel a huge reponsibility to carry it out safely, let alone your own life. Either way this crash was entirely avoidable and the crews behaviour was pretty terrible throughout it. The most horifying thing about this is that the report was so brief... I'm glad that the report recommended CRM and a review of practices within the airline (and hopefully others in Brazil) Assuming you survived the crash being alone in the middle of the Amazon jungle somewhere..... would have been a horrible feeling. Similarly a horrendous job for the SAR effort trying to find them. Normally I'd advocate staying put if you're lost and people are looking for you, but clearly impressive that the pilots were able to find themselves. The principles of focussing on digging yourself out of a hole rather than confirmation/fatalism. Simlarly just making a sanity check against what insturments are telling you - that they managed to reverse coruse to th east and still not realise that they'd been flying in the wrong direction is crazy tome.
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  3399. It's quite a legalistic view that "speeding" i.e. breaking the speedlimit is what suddenly divides bad speed from good speed, indeed until the 1974s there was no speedlimit on the UK motorway network. I've seen the results of plenty of road accidents and it is grim, however I've also seen the results of multiple people being stabbed to death which society also doesn't appear to really care about, society has already decided that some people dying is an acceptable cost for using cars (infact having also worked in other places aroudn the world societies are amazingly tolerant of people dying in return for what they consider their freedom - plenty of BBB's videos during lockdown would also support this. My view - high speeds can be driven safely - Germany proves this on the small proportion of its autobahn network that is derestricted, most of the autobahn does indeed have speed limtis. We now have vast parts of the motorway network that have variable speed limits which reduce the speed limit below 70 when it is considered safer. I would suggest that it would also be possible to perfectly safely have parts of the motorway network (M6 in the borders and M5 into the South west) late at night that are virtually empty where the speed limit could either be removed, back to the situation in the 1950s with an advisory speed limit (similar to the derestricted parts of German Autobahn). Certainly I think raising the speed limit on the whole motorway network to 80 would be reasonable. It is also worth noting that there IS approximately a 10% safety margin of error in your car's speedometer - you can see it if you watch your speed on a GPS device (which gives true speeds) therefore if you're driving at 80 indicated then you're likely driving in the low 70s. Lower speeds will give better fuel economy and reduce emissions - an argument that doesn't apply (at least directly) to electric cars. From a practical point of view if you hit something at 80 you're equally dead as you would be at 70, similarly in reality the difference between stopping in 350feet to 430 feet is unlikely to make a real difference as you're talking about making a full emergency stop from those speeds which is only going to be the case if something were to fall on the motorway infront of you - in general it is going to be traffic slowing or relative closing speed, which comes down to my other point that it is not how fast you are going but when and where you drive at that speed. One problem with the obsession with speed as a metric for enforcement is that it removed consideration of dangerous driving for example tailgating, passing people at a high relative speed or undertaking, which is strictly enforced in Germany and which is much more likely (in my opinion) to lead to an accident, it has also led to traffic police essentially disappearing from the roads in favour of cameras.
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  3416.  @asmirann3636  sorry but all of this is nonsense. Britain fought the Germans for 6 years. Britain stopped the germans at El Alamein having prevoiusly fought the Italians to a stop. Von Manstein stated that he believed he could have won the war in the East for germany without political interference and given the fact that Zukhov never managed to encircle him all the way back to Berlin he's probably right. Britain at the time was both a country, a race and an empire. Just as Canada and Australia were nominally independent they were still very much British and declared war on Germany wihtin days of Britain doing so. Britian dropped more bombs on Germany than any other country. Britain fought for 6 years without which the war ends in 1940 and Germany defeats an unsupported soviet union. Britain developed the antisubmarine tactics that defeated the U boats in 1941. Britain developed radar and fighter control which was instumental to US naval superiority at night. Britain defated the Japanese at Kohima and Imphal. Australian troops stopped the Japanese in New Guinea. Britain responded by lending a carrier to the US when the US was down to a single carrier in the Pacific. Two thirds of the troops that landed on the beach in Normandy were British or commonwealth forces. British code breakers broke Enigma enabling German codes to be read. Finally without British help the development of the atomic bomb would have taken far far longer. So please read some history before spouting utter nonsense.
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  3428. Given all of the redundency involved in aviation systems it does seem rather ridiculous to me that a ship the size of Dali is capable of loosing all her power due to a single loose wire.... That jury rigging is common doesn't in my opinion excuse it, it just reflects the state of the industry world wide, which essentially is terrible, similarly failing to learn from the "near misses" which had they been picked up on could have avoided the accident does not excuse it. I appreciate that a ship doesn't fall out of the sky when power goes down but it could still have been extremely serious - loosing power in heavy seas/hurricane could have led to the loss of the ship. The maratime industry's attitude to safety has always been questionable willing to risk the lives of crews (and passengers) for profit and very loathe to improve without external regulation. Hopefully this event was sufficiently high profile that it will lead to something being done at a international level and the IMO taking its responsiblities seriously. Having the fuel pump for the emergency generator not being in automatic is an operations issue but it's also a design issue, similarly the utilisation of an incorrectly specified pump for the emergency generator. Whilst all of this can be laid straight at the feet of the vessel operator the huge question that should be being asked is why were they able to do this and get away with it, why are vessels not being inspected and these things being caught before it causes a major accident... you can hardly say that Dali is a small vessel operating "under the radar" completely agree wiht Sal that the USCG and similar authroities world wide need more funding and more teeth, with political backing, to get changes done, having a few ships impounded until the improvements are done (actually costing the operators money) should do it. I actually think suing the owner/operator is the way to go - the maratime industry basically only understands financial costs imho....Sals statement that the various things are standard practice within the maratime industry may defend the operators from negligence but is essentially reinforcing my point that safety is not a priority and problems with safety are endemic throughout the industry and it will not change without interventions.
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  3437. NATO won't help if Russia actually invades - it would mean war between NATO/Russia - the two largest nuclear arsenals on the planet - that's potentially world ending, it would lead to a new cold war on the border of Ukraine/Russia with NATO/Russian forces staring at each other - which is risky but (hopefully nobody is crazy enough to actually start that one). Sadly I'm not sure the man portable SAMs or antitank weapons will be as effective as they might to be expected - bear in mind that Russia has also adapted since 2014 too - they've been practicing in Donblass and also alot of their equipment and tactics are designed to counter US tactics - so it's likely that they'll use lots of Jamming, interference with comms, Lots of SAM cover to prevent air attacks lots of drones (which may be vulnerable to man portable sams but who knows...) lots of artillery support to destroy anything that could be a threat before occupying it with tanks and infantry - their tactics are mainly to avoid getting into a tank v tank or infantry v infantry fight and operate under a SAM net to prevent air strikes (although they'll likely have air superiority). Personally I think it wont happen - Russia has alot to loose by actually invading and it's already gotten alot of attention to it's "concerns" and Putin has already been made to look stronger and willing to use force against any opposition (remember he was facing opposition that was growing within Russia)... It's unlikely much is being missed - the European Space Agency images all of europe with Synthetic Aperture Radar every few days - tanks and metal things show up very well.... it's alot harder to hide stuff than it used to be. China is not necessarily allied with Russia - more that their interests coincide - it's interesting how few troops are currently on the Russian/Chinese border- fewer than in 1941, the only potential chinese involvment I could see is that it might be a good time to invade Taiwan whilst this is going on in Russia. Apparently a hacker group managed to turn off the Belarussian railways :-)!
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  3462. Great video, very professional explanation of everything...Positve and constructive...My most charitable explanation of this is that he changed it to an experiemental aircraft (although this doesn't seem to be the case from the details on the FAA investigation page)- worked on it whilst not really being qualified/experienced enough to do so possilby modifying the fuel system - perhaps to complete the flight he had in mind - I don't know if such a flight would normally be within the capability of the aircraft. Having modified the fuel system it may then have led to a fuel supply failure (either due to the modifications or because of pilot error in selecting the right tank etc. it wouldn't be the first time...). As a presumably experienced parachutist but inexperienced pilot he may be more comfortable with the idea of parachuting from an aircraft than most pilots would be, and similarly more comfortable with the idea of wearing a parachute than pilots normally would be. With that idea in his head when enountering the engine failure he does not behave as you'd expect a pilot to do so and "went to what he knows" and jumps out. However that is the most charitable explanation. The least charitable is that he set it up for youtube views... I wouldn't wish to give an opinion on that - however it does seem to have been well flimed... and it seems bizarre that having decided to jump out of the aircraft he continues to film. Similarly he jumped remarkably early - long freefall which seems strange for someone comfortably with the idea of jumping (even in more extreme environments...) and as you say odd decision as to where to land the parachute, had it been real why would he go to the aircraft - the only reason I can see is to recover the gopros...... Similarly he seems to be wearing very tough boots suitable for hiking through coarse bush, in my experience very few pilots (outside of military/SAR) dress for the condiditons outside of the aircraft on the ground (possibly unwisely!) but I can't see that footwear being the most comfortable for flying a plane.... Completely agree that hte FAA and NTSB should be soley focused on safety, absolutely as it should be...Just my thoughts...
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  3473. How on earth does Farage have a job??? Farage supported Putin's agenda to undermine the EU and was probably (likely unknowningly) puppeted by him for that end. Putin and Lavrov were clear there could be a "peace deal" with Ukraine but it involved loads of territory being given up/independent (and would later likely have joined Russia), Ukraine forever out of NATO/EU, which means that Russia can invade it whenever it likes - and likely would have done eventually to ensure that he actually had control when faced with resistance from Ukranians (like he's done in Belarus.) I do not believe Trump would not have stood up to Putin, most likely he would have sat back and watched it happen and isolated the US, it was also Trumps decision to pull out of Afghanistan. Churchill said that jaw jaw was better than war war but he also was a strong advocate for going to war against Hitler. The plain truth is that Putin sees himself in a conflict with the west he has convinced his population that they are in a conflict with the west, he has turned his country into a complete war economy and has focussed the country in oppoistion to the west which he relies on for maintaining his excuse for hardships etc. that Russia is undergoing. If Putin is not defeated - by which if he wins terroitory (particularly Dontesk, Luhansk and Crimea with the atendent oil and gas - which is what the war is really about) then he will have gained from initiating the war, his country will be focussed around conflict with the west and have fully ramped up war production, NATO may well be deplete of arms... he may well see this as an oppoutunity.
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  3489. This video seems a rather tenuous wandering argument - extrapolating employment law to the interpretation of a contract, extrapolating discrimination on the grounds of a belief to this case and then gerneralising it to the general population from a particular individual. Most likely we're now into the second year of a major war in Europe against an enemy that invaded Ukraine and then started bombing Syria to generate refugees and undermine the social and political alliance put in place at the end of the second world war to ensure it's peace, prosperity and underpin its military alliance. Nigel Farage is known to associate with people who have met with the intelligence agents of that country. There has never been a fully published investigation into Russian influence behind Brexit despite calls for such an enquiry in the UK Parliament's Intelligence and Security Committee report, and despite Russia having been found by the parliamentary committee to have interfered with the Scotish Independence Referendum. According to accounts the UK Parliament’s Intelligence and Security Committee report claims the UK government does not know and did not try to find out how much influence Russia had on brexit and additionally states russian money and some of their “illicit finance has been recycled through the London ‘laundromat’” commenting on their connections to "political figures” (including potential violations of campaign financing). It would seem much more likely that in the post (most recent) Ukranian invasion world of sanctions there is a non-political beliefs related reason for farage's account being closed.
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  3543. This video is just the most superficial nonsense analysis (or lack of analysis)- so the manager said that Brett was going to be replaced anyway i.e. they were going to squeeze Brett out and replace her with Reagan, which is probably why Brett wasn't happy with the management (unless they did something else). It also says Brett chose to leave, yes probably because they were saying they were going to replace her with Reagan, Brett was clearly not happy about having to leave, if she had been happy to leave there would have been no need for all this drama they could have done some transition videos where she welcomed her best friend and she'd have had no reason to cut her off on all the social media. All this says is that Brett chose to leave for a reason, the comments section were planing on replacing her for a reason before she left and she wasn't happy about her "best friend" taking over. All in all it basically doesn't add anything, realistically the comments section is finished as a youtube channel with the views its getting it wont attract the advertising and be able to sustain the workforce it had supporting it. Brett is sensibly staying quiet and waiting for it to implode (probably due to NDAs or something similar - I suspect she's also banned from doing another youtube channel), for her to star another channel would be difficult too as she'd need to replicate all the behind the scenes stuff that goes on - but then soon there may well be a large amount of those people out of work so....
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  3563. Ultimately you have to make it not in the Houthi's interests to continue attacking civilian shipping. This is difficult because at the moement it costs them basically nothing and they gain loads of publicity etc. Militarily your options are bombing campaigns but unlikely to be completely successfull and likely to lead to lots of the usual nonsnese (It wasnt an arms depot honest etc.) or a ground invasion (the only thing that really stopped piracy in North Africa - both for the Romans and in the 19th Century) a ground invasion into another fractured middle eastern country is unlikely to be a short involvment with no clear exit plan and likely to cost mroe in the long run than you gain. The Houthi have weaponsied aid and food distribution in their areas of Yemen to the extent that the WFP have had to pull out. Increasing economic and food aid to the other areas of Yemen may help undermine them a bit. Similarly aid and economic growth in other areas but the Yemeni war is both never ending and extremely complex with multiple factions involved and so there aren't really 2 sides.). The cost side of things needs to be addressed as well, taking out a bulk carrier every now and then is bad for the crew etc. but really doesn't cost the world economy much and certainly not enough to pay for a naval force. Any naval force invovled would need to provide area ballistic missile defence and close in shore support -it is litorally (Literally!) the war the Freedom and Independence classes were built for in many ways - why are they not involved whilst the Burkes do the ballistic air defence?
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  3685. A 1982 surface action against the Belgrano... geez.. T21s, Leanders... I'm struggling to think of anything else... that would have been very messy, have to hope the RN gets its own exocets off first or I can't see them winning.... I suspect if Conq hadn't been able to sink her, Harriers with freefall bombs would have been used, correct me if I'm wrong but I don't think there as an antiship missile capablility so it would have been bombs still probably could have gotten though - I dont think her groups AAA would have been that great against high subsonic jets.... "Scarpa flow" a little bit in the middle of nowhere, understatement of the year:-). More usefully it is half way between the Denmark Straight and the Channel so great if you want to keep people out of the Atlantic. Can't help wondering why at the begining of the war - both in the North Sea and the far East the RN managed to spectacularly loose so many ships given that on paper (as has been discussed) it was capable of winning... was this a systemic problem or just bad luck? If Lexington was back being refitted that presumably means that the G3s were built... so how would they have been refitted:-)? The Midway's remained in service for about 50 years so rather a good deal long term:-)! Preference...possibly because the ships were knackered:-)! Family experience - my grandad was shelled by the RN on D-day (he said it was Warspite but I don't know) apparently the observers were supposed to be 1 tactical bound behind the front line - which according to him, rather believably, meant they were as close to 2 tactical bounds back as they could get away with and so couldn't really see too much of what was going on, they were mistaken for a german troops and shelled - until he fired off a predetermined sequence of very lights. Apparently very accurate and it took the tops off all the trees they were going through but didn't actually injure any of his troops (lying flat). Those exhaust vents seem crazy - great way to flood your whole ship! Battle of Sunda straight with an Australian Tiger along... hmmm.....
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  3791. This is clearly not true, plus NATO doesn't need to put ICBMs in Ukraine - there are ICBMs in the US that can hit Russia already, similarly lots on submarines somewhere in the Atlantic and Pacific all with enough range to hit all of Russia. Similarly there are enough Russian ICBMs to anihilate all of the US from Russia's strategic rocket forces and its submarines in the Arctic. So there's literally no need to put nuclear missiles in Ukraine and nothing to gain. Similarly nobody can explain why NATO would want to attack Russia - there's literally nothing to gain from it. The real purposes of the war - Russia depends on oil and gas for its money (specifically Putin - because he gets it all from Gazprom), Ukraine used to tax russia for using its pipelines, Russia built around it. Oil and gas was discovered in Ukraine off the Crimean and in the East and west, Ukraine asked western oil companies to come in and drill for it, because this would have given them a competitor Russia stoked up an excuse invaded and siezed their kit 80% of that oil and gas is now where Ukraine can't get at it (THIS is why Russia doesn't want Ukraine to be in NATO ever, because if Ukraine discovers oil/gas somwhere Russia wants to be able to control it and have the option of invading....they couldn't if Ukraine was in NATO). The Ukrainians then cut off the water to crimea, Russia was trying but not really succeeding to supply water by road and life was getting worse in Sevastapol and Crimea... Russia could have lost it.. so they invaded....
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  3793. The airforce attacking warships wasn't entirely due to their preference, the RN deliberately positioned its ships so they would have to be flown over in order to attack the landing and civil ships (the exocet that hit Atlantic conveyor was decoyed away first only to reacqurie it). I do not think that the Argentinian Navy could have established sea control around the Falklands - yes it's a long supply line but the RN was used to long distance deployments and warships (and particularly nuclear attack submarines) are very strategically mobile. Similarly establishing an actual airbase on the falklands whilst under attack would be very difficult and without sea control would have been difficult to supply with aviation fuel. I think you missed out a very important part of the Argentinian perspective which was the motivation - since Peron the Falklands/Malvinas had/has been used as a rallying point for Argentinian nationalism and to distract from actual incompetence etc. in government the government was looking politically shakey and the idea was to win a quick unopposed war with a coup de mano before Britain could react and then potentially use the surge in popularity to launch an attack on Chile (as they very nearly did in 1978). This was why the operation was done in a rush and why there wasn't preparation for a fight - simply because they didn't expect one, had they expected to actually have to fight for the Falklands I'm not sure they'd actually have launched the operation at all (they didn't invade Chile in 1978 when Chile positioned its forces to oppose the invasion).
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  3818. I'm sorry but alot of this is nonsense. India was a large economic power in the South Asian Area (and hadbe been for essentially ever). However fundamental changes occured between the 16th Century and the 18-19th century, if you didn't industrialise the being a large country in the 16th century is nothing in the 19th, similar to Britain being an industrial behmoth in the 19th century means nothing in the 21st. Indian GDP growth was actually higher during the colonial period than the periods preceeding it. Similarly there were numerous famines in the periods preceeding the colonial period and they were largely erradicated during the colonial period with the introduction of the famine codes, which are still (adapted) in use today. The Bengal famine was a war famine caused by the invasion of the Japanese occupation of Burma and destruction of the food supply to Bengal (whose population had gone from 4 million in 1904 to 60million in 1944 due to vaccination and improved medical care). Similarly the author seems to not be aware of the 1968 famine. Simlarly the idea of some british consiracy in 1943 ignores that the Bengal government was elected and constituted by Bengali politicians. Did the British do some horrendous things by modern standards - definitely, However it's definitely not true that the British were not invested in India and did not want to develop it - Churchil's main argument for delaying independence was to try to remove the distiction and prevent violence between muslims and hindus which he thought would follow independence, Gandi insisted on independence now and the independence movement's plan for partition instead. There's plenty to be ashamed of in any countries history particularly if you go back far enough to times of different standards however India and the US both have considerable antibritish sentiment.
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  3968. The NATO expansion aspect to the invasion of Ukraine is there - it's just far from the direct link that the internet/KGB/GRUbots like to make. Russia's economy is based nearly entirely on oil and gas exports, its major customer for these was the European union (and it still sells alot to them). Germany belived that this made Russia dependent on cooperation with Europe and so encouraged gas exports/imports believing this would result in an avoidance of conflict. This continued throughout the cold war. In 2013 (From memory) oil and gas was discovered under Dontesk, Luhansk and in the Black Sea off Crimea. Russia/Putin offered extremely generous terms to the Ukranians for Gazprom to come in and provide the technology to exploit them and was awarded the contract after a (probably dodgy) election. After the Mandian revolution the russian oil companies were thrown out and BP, Shell and other Western oil companies moved in provide the technology for Ukraine to exploit them. This was a major threat to Russia from Putin's zero sum/great power fromer KGB mindset - if Ukraine's oil and gas reserves could be recovered and pipleines built to the Europe, Europe would no longer be dependent on Russian oil/gas and could potentially destroy Russia's economy by sanctions. There was also the risk that if Russia allowed Western Europe to develop an oil and gas economic relationship with Europe then Europe may expand european union membership to Ukraine to capitalise on this and well extend military protection through giving Ukraine NATO membership in order to protect and secure its oil and gas supply. Russia had previously scared off western oil companies and frustrated pipleline building in Gerogia by invading there, if Russia delayed and Ukraine got EU or NATO membership that may not be possible. Therefore in 2014 Russia made up various excuses (nazi's persecuting russians, nato expansion, historical etc.) to invade Dontesk, Luhansk and Crimea.... So far so good. But there was a problem, Crimea has insufficient fresh water for its population and agriculture. Therefore after the invasion Ukrane cut off the Crimean canal. Despite the construction of the Kerch straight bridge Russia was not able to supply enough water to support their military and civilian population in Crimea.... Therefore in 2022 they either had to return Crimea to Ukraine, or occupy land that would create a land bridge to Crimea and take the Crimean Canal. Despite their other set backs in the war they have occupied and created the land bridge to Crimea (so Lloyd Austin was incorrect when he said Russia had not achieved it's strategic objectives) and they did control the crimean canal until the feeding damn was destroyed (possibly to flood the land downstream but who knows). This is why Crimea and the land bridge has been key to this whole thing from the start..
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  4123. I've got to say it was really bad of the ambulance crew and the police to respond how they did - the police should definitely have collected evidence - blood, urine and swabs. GHB would certainly be a drug that produces complete amnesia followed by waking up quite a few hours later. If this story is true whilst this particular instance might be difficult to prove as has happened in other cases often coroboration will come forward later who have been hushed up at the time - like the youtuber. This woman certainly the woman deserves to be heard and it's really disturbing that this was going on and they definitely deserve everything that they get as a result. I'm not sure we do know she wasn't raped - lots of bruises that she doesn't know where they came from and clearly sex had been the intention earlier. Certainly if I saw her in ED in the UK where I'm sure she would have been brought by any ambulance crew here we would definitely be having the coversation about the possiblity that she could have been raped whilst she was drugged and swabs done. It all makes me so bloody angry that this stuff has been going on and no-one has openned it up before especially with #metoo and all these people knew about it... The fact that it happened in Lithuania will make it harder - I'm not sure how good the police are in Lithuania, proving and arresting him would be difficult - ah you mentioned that they're not investigating at the end of the video, that's just sickening. Hopefully the German Police will be more thorough and actually properly investigate, as you mention consent is the most important part of it - it also victim blaming and hate towards these poor women is unbelievable, it must be so hard to do. So glad that they're getting at least financial support. Thank you for such a comprehensive video, very well done about a I did some disaster medicine training and the difference between the media in different countries I remember German media was striving to be very thorough, factual and acurate your video was in this tradition (Not so much British media :-)). It can't have been an easy video to make or to keep your cool whilst explaining the story - I was getting upset and angry just listening to it. Plus again to complement you once again on your fantastic english Feli, this video was far more articulate than many others could manage in their first language and much more coherent than my comment. You're definitely a force for good over this :-)!
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  4190. Completely agree with your video and statements. I have scientific and medical training, no specific engineering training however it seems to me that Rush (who I believe was an aeronautical engineer) and Ocean gate drew the wrong conclusion when analysing the evidence of most submersible accidents being due to operator error. Similar to Abraham Wald's interpretation of the bullet holes in returning bomber fuselages, the reason that operator error is responsible for so many accidents is because of the established systems in place for testing and certifying vessels, it does not render those systems unnecessary. Operator error is also a huge category - this failure could be due to "operator error" in that they took the vessel down...That this disaster was avoidable is the saddest thing about it. The surprising thing to me is that it appears the crew were aware of problems with the hull prior to failure if the trascript on the internet is to be believed and also that the hull seems to have been heavier(less bouyant) than at design (descending faster and unable to ascend quickly despite jettisoning ballast). I have no problem with people developing and exploring the edges of what is technically possible (infact I applaud it) but developing a composite hull is something that could have been done with enough money to test and develop composites that on testing do succeed in resisting repeating compression and advancing the technology to work out how to do it safely. Oceangate were just cutting corners and doing things cheaply, arguing that the technology doesn't exist is a cop out and an falacy - if it doesn't then develop it and test its success/failure correlated against actual failures of test hulls (or samples). Stockton Rush did say that he recruited graduate engineeers as he wanted young faces that the next generation of engineers would be inspired by. Personally I suspect the motivation may have related more to their salaries being cheaper. Hopefully though oceangate will leave a legacy but it will be that of a cautionary tale rather than anything else. Good Luck! Thank you for the video.
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  4209. Quite frankly the French hated us during the war too.... first of all they promised not seek a separate peace before surrendering unilaterally. Then they refused to put their ships at Algriers beyond use (with the admiral in question refusing to even pass on to his government an offer for them to be interned in the US) getting his fleet destroyed. French forces in Algiers opposed US landings. France permitted Vietnam to be used to launch torpedo bombers against Prince of Wales and Repulse. French troops on Madagascar fought against allied invasion and French troops in Syria fought against Australia. So yes there was bombing in france, but lets face it it was with the aim of knocking out German military facitilies (St. Nazare was a large U boat base). De Gaulle's main reason for being annoyed with Britain post war in 1945 was because british forces forced them to respect the referendum that they had previously agreed to do with the arab population. This led to Syria basically becoming much more into the British and De Gaulle actually stating that the only reason French troops didn't open fire on British Troops was because they were militarily out numbered and would have lost. French experience of D-day did involve bombing and shelling but it also ended the occupation all in all alot of France's post war annoyance with Britain has been simply due to its long standing rivalry that goes back far further combined with France's perception of a loss of power at least initially far greater than that of Britain although I'd argue that is probably no longer the case.
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  4220. It's interesting because alot of Russian equipment hasn't actually performed badly - I mean both Russia and Ukraine have largely been using Russian kit, additionally Russian manufactured ground air defence has been extremely effective at preventing fighter operations by either side. I suspect that the change may have more to do with the consequences of buying Russian equipment, russia is under sanctions - so should you buy Russian equipment at present you are cutting yourself off from the west so rather than hedging your bets on which equipment you can buy from you're firmly planting yourself on the side of Russia. Additionally as you say India is developing some indigenous equipment and China with its BAR initiative is generating soft power which also feeds into arms sales, it's also notable that India and China have cooperated on developing some systems such as the Brahmos antiship missile which whilst developed for their requirements the west really has no equivalent to. Additionally whilst Russia was able to leverage its Soviet technological base for a considerable amount of time (30 years) it hasn't had the money to invest in developing new technology which as we have seen in Ukraine means that although projects have been started (Su-57, T14) they aren't ready for combat/export. One other exporter that you didn't mention is South Korea which has also been leveraging it's enormous industrial capability to develop indigenous weapons systems largely I suspect after the equivocation of US support in the past few years (Trump meeting with Kim) and a feeling that they may be left on their own should prus come to shove.
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  4245. Alfred, Lord Tennyson wrote the poem "The Charge of the Light Brigade" after the charge of the British Light Cavalry during the Battle of Balacava when Lord Raglan sent an order ordering them to charge the Russians atempting to remove captured guns from an overrun Turkish position but this was misunderstood as to be an order to attack the Russian emplaced artilery in a direct frontal attack, despite taking enormous losses and basically being anihilated the survivours fo the charge took the guns. It was very contentious in British society afterwards. I Half a league, half a league, Half a league onward, All in the valley of Death Rode the six hundred. “Forward, the Light Brigade! Charge for the guns!” he said. Into the valley of Death Rode the six hundred. II “Forward, the Light Brigade!” Was there a man dismayed? Not though the soldier knew Someone had blundered. Theirs not to make reply, Theirs not to reason why, Theirs but to do and die. Into the valley of Death Rode the six hundred. III Cannon to right of them, Cannon to left of them, Cannon in front of them Volleyed and thundered; Stormed at with shot and shell, Boldly they rode and well, Into the jaws of Death, Into the mouth of hell Rode the six hundred. IV Flashed all their sabres bare, Flashed as they turned in air Sabring the gunners there, Charging an army, while All the world wondered. Plunged in the battery-smoke Right through the line they broke; Cossack and Russian Reeled from the sabre stroke Shattered and sundered. Then they rode back, but not Not the six hundred. V Cannon to right of them, Cannon to left of them, Cannon behind them Volleyed and thundered; Stormed at with shot and shell, While horse and hero fell. They that had fought so well Came through the jaws of Death, Back from the mouth of hell, All that was left of them, Left of six hundred. VI When can their glory fade? O the wild charge they made! All the world wondered. Honour the charge they made! Honour the Light Brigade, Noble six hundred! As an aside, Captain a horse in the novel "Black Beauty" told from the horse's perspective describes his experiences during the charge. Kipling wrote "The last of the Light Brigade" to reproach the country and government for treatment of veterans.
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