Comments by "Marc Joly" (@emjizone) on "Ukraine Proves Russia Will Never Take Kyiv" video.
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1:25 This is not what I heard from the experts The opinion was that the Ukrainians would fight bravely, but would be defeated in many places by the supposedly more organized and much better equipped Russian war machine. I think that the experts believed :
- that the Russian military equipment was ready and improved according to the official announcements and propaganda.
- that all Russian troops would be well trained and equipped, not only the elite troops.
- that all forces participating in this Russian operation would be given clear objectives and doctrines, that they would know what they are doing in Ukraine, would not be surprised, and that they would have high morale.
I suppose these experts believed this because their training prevents them from imagining preparing and launching a military operation otherwise. According to them, if Russia attacked, it necessarily implied that it was actually ready to attack, seriously.
The surprise that Russia was not really ready for the operation it was conducting was immense; a real shock. It seemed too nut to be true.
The experts probably also underestimated the expertise and training of the best Ukrainian troops. But not their morale.
In any case the intense resistance efforts of the Ukrainians were expected, even in case of loss of the central command, as their interest in anti-vehicle defensive weapons was noticed the year before. The kind of weapons that do not allow to assault enemy positions at all, but are perfect for ambushes against invaders. So they had already perceived the danger and were already mentally prepared to resist if necessary.
And it is quite consistent with their political choices of the previous years.
It was quite obvious that, for them, the invasion started in 2014 and they were already opposed to it.
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