Comments by "Scott Tovey" (@scotttovey) on "Sabine Hossenfelder" channel.

  1. ​ @Leo99929  "3) Solar panels have no moving parts. Their warranties are like 15 years and that's only to a reduced capacity where they'll still produce power. Do you mean variability of energy production rate? Yeah, we need maybe nuclear aswell, and/or pumped hydro/hydrogen/batteries." The problem with that is; the activists are against those forms of cleaner energy as well. That's unreasonableness is a good indication that they are not concerned with the environment. They are more concerned with destroying the stable energy we now have. Why is it so crucial to have an EV fleet by 2030 or 2035, when it is a well known fact that the electrical grid, can neither produce, nor deliver the amount of electricity that the transition will demand? Michigan electric companies had to bring gas powered plants back on line because the projected reduction in energy demand that they were basing their decisions on, turned out to be false. Demand has increased as a result of EVs rather than go down. In regards to the reduction in demand projection is concerned, I have no idea where they got that stupid idea. As population increases, demand does not decrease, it increases, and even though Michigan's population has reduced, that reduction does not necessarily equate to a demand so low that it allows for the turning off of multiple electric plants. One cannot maintain a stable power grid by using projections based on wish full thinking data. You have to use real time data which will always imply an increasing demand.
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  2.  @Leo99929  "4) It's not about the energy, it's about the CO2 that was sequestered by plants over hundreds of millions of years that we're re-emitting in about 100. The planet is showing that it cannot smooth out that drastic a dump... But also Internal combustion engines are about 25% efficient before idling and air con loads." Not all ICE's idle when you come to a stand still. Some actually shut down until you depress the accelerator, then it starts back up and you go. I can't say how many cars are out there with that technology, but they began showing up sometime in the early 2000s. "Power stations more like 37%. Solar panels are ~20% efficient and wind turbines are about 40% efficient. The only difference is that they get their power more directly from the sun, rather than a plant absorbing a photon, using that to sequester some carbon, which is then fossilised over millions of years, we find that, dig it up, transport it, refine it, then burn it at the same efficiency as solar and wind." Again, fossilization does not produce petroleum. Fossilization produces a mineralized representation of the item that was mineralized. No matter how much you process a fossil, you are not going to get oil from it. "You know, rather than spilling excess oil into the sea, or flaring excess methane off." The first time I seen a flaring stack, I thought it was a stupid thing to do. That methane can be collected and sold in the market just like all other natural gases. Dumping excess oil into the sea also makes no sense. Why not just close the tap on the outlet a bit and slow down the production?
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  7.  @Leo99929  "Is there, or is there not, a finite amount of petroleum fuels stored under ground? If it's not finite, then how is it replenished? At what rate? If it is finite, then any extraction rate will mean that it eventually runs out. If it's extraction rate is faster than it's replenishment rate, then it will run out." Oil and gas exploration has been artificially hampered in the US by the Federal government. That means there is no definitive way to determine the extent of the US's petroleum reserves. "Look up a graph of historic gasoline prices. They've been increasing for the last 100 years. At least with inflation, which should be obvious. " The cost of everything increases with inflation. Look at gold prices. An ounce of gold remained at $20 an ounce until Roosevelt offered foreigners $35 an ounce while at the same time making it illegal for Americans to own gold, and confiscating the gold Americans did own. The price of gold has increased steadily since Nixon took the US dollar off the gold standard. This is not truly an increase in the cost of gold, rather, it is a decrease in the buying power of the dollar. Likewise with oil. Inflation is a hidden tax, especially when it is caused by the federal government borrowing and spending money like it's a spring of water flowing out of the ground. "It's a general trend over macro time. I'm talking about tens of years. Not just the last 4. Oil prices shot up when President George W. Bush invaded Iraq in 2002/2003. There was a dip in 2008 due to the financial crisis (contributed in no small part by the US subprime mortgage crisis) and in 2014-2015 there was an overproduction of oil which lead to oil prices tanking through to 2018. 2020 there was reduced demand due to the pandemic, then a spike in 2022 as Russia invades Ukraine." The drop in oil production since Biden took office, is artificial. The reason there was an over production in 2014-2015, is because Trump recognized the fact that if the US pumped out more oil and became energy independent, it would reduce the ability of terrorist supporting nations like Iran to fund terrorists organization like Hamas. When wicked people have money, they use it for evil means. When wicked people don't have so much money, they use it for their personal well being. "The only thing any of that has to do with the president is Bush invading Iraq in 2002/2003... Also I guess the subprime mortgage thing a little bit?" Do you notice how many mistakes the so called experts make when it comes to the economy? It takes a colleges degree to be that stupid or so greedy that you intentionally tank the global economy. "The reason these petroleum fuel reserves weren't previously tapped was because there were cheaper extraction options at the time. Now they've ran dry and we're starting to scrape the barrel with fracking and tar sands. Those processes are more expensive than the ways we've been extracting primarily to date." Fracking helped in bringing prices down. Biden canceling oil leases before Oil companies have time to do a proper assessment of the area is part of the reduction of US oil. Biden closing down the pipeline and destroying Union Jobs, is part of the reason gas prices have gone up. "All that is without mentioning the health costs: between 1 in 4 and every single person exposed to aviation fuel is expected to get cancer in their life time. It's every single person for boat fuel. Leaded fuel is responsible for a general 6 IQ point drop in human population. Globally, air pollution it is estimated to cause about 29% of lung cancer deaths, 43% of COPD deaths, about 25% of ischaemic heart disease deaths and 24% of stroke deaths." I'm inclined to believe that these ailments have more to do with the proliferation of seed oils in the US food chain, than to do with petroleum fuels. The Worst Ingredient in the World: Interview with Dr. Chris Knobbe https://youtu.be/MuYvGyNXvPk?feature=shared
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  11. I find that scientists, that have observed the rotation of the earth technologically and therefore with strict accuracy for less than 100 years, are always claiming that man is affecting the earth's climate one way or the other, and non of them considers the plausibility that what they are observing is nothing more than a smidgen of a thousand year cycle and therefore cannot be used to make such dogmatic and inflexible hypothesis's. Around 100 years before Israel's destruction and subsequent 70 year Babylonian captivity, the prophet Isaiah prophesied that the earth will reel to and fro like a drunkard. Isaiah 24:20: The earth shall reel to and fro like a drunkard, and shall be removed like a cottage; and the transgression thereof shall be heavy upon it; and it shall fall, and not rise again. Some speculate that this is the result of a nuclear exchange and other's speculate that it is the result of the 200,000,000 million man army from the east marching on Israel. Revelation 9:13: And the sixth angel sounded, and I heard a voice from the four horns of the golden altar which is before God, 14: Saying to the sixth angel which had the trumpet, Loose the four angels which are bound in the great river Euphrates. 15: And the four angels were loosed, which were prepared for an hour, and a day, and a month, and a year, for to slay the third part of men. 16: And the number of the army of the horsemen were two hundred thousand thousand: and I heard the number of them. Regardless of which you choose to believe, it is all a part of the Lord shaking the heavens and the earth, and man can do nothing to stop it. Isaiah 13:13: Therefore I will shake the heavens, and the earth shall remove out of her place, in the wrath of the LORD of hosts, and in the day of his fierce anger. Isaiah 2:6: For thus saith the LORD of hosts; Yet once, it is a little while, and I will shake the heavens, and the earth, and the sea, and the dry land; Haggai 2:21: Speak to Zerubbabel, governor of Judah, saying, I will shake the heavens and the earth;
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  12. I worked at an Autoparts store back in the late 90's. A customer came in to get an electronic part for his vehicle. A new employee looked up the part and fetched it off the shelf in the back. He opened the box to show the customer that he got the correct part and was shocked to see that they were not the same. In his confused state he asked me; Which one is right? Referring to the part the customer brought in I asked him; where did that one come from? The car. he replied. To which I said; The car is always right. In the factory, the just in time parts supply often run out and the linemen with grab the closest available replacement that will work and put that on the vehicle instead. In the process they will also change out the connector plug. On another occasion, the parts look up computer called for a round donut air filter for a given year and mode truck; but there was a square filter on the truck. The solution to these misfit parts, unless you have a memory like one of the assistant managers of the store, who could look at a part and tell you the part number, was to pull boxes off the shelf, open them up and compare the two parts. Once we found the needed air filter, I advised the customer to keep part of the box with the part number on it so he knew exactly what filter to get the next time. Theory is always subject to reality. Reality is always correct and never subject to theory. If one maintains that reality is wrong and theory is correct, one is no longer involved in scientific observation; one is involved in religious worship. Your theory may dictate that it is impossible for a thrown stick to come back and hit you in the head. But, that stick will continue to come back and hit you in the head unless you do one of two things. Stop throwing that stick or learn how to catch a boomerang. Reality is always correct.
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  15.  @kimchristensen2175  "Yup... It's like the 'Merica car is driving down the road when all of a sudden the engine stops. A mechanic gets out and takes a look at the engine, but can't figure out what's wrong right away. Then Trump gets out of the car and slashes the tires with a knife. The mechanic says "WTF" but the rest of the occupants praise Trump because “Something needed to happen”" I don't know Trump's knowledge of cars, but it I do figure he knows enough to not slash the tires when the engine stops running. You need to know a bit more about cars if you want to use an automobile as a metaphor with tariffs. For the first 100 years of US existence, the primary source of Federal revenue was tariffs, not income taxes. Since 1913, Federal income taxes have been increasing year by year, while at the same time, the national debt has been increasing year by year. Up until 2000, spending and the debt remained fairly stagnate, but after 9/11, spending on wars increased, and as that spending increased, so too did all the corruption and unlawful spending. It is quite obvious that both democrats and republicans have received ample kickbacks for all that corruption they put into US law through the 1000 page omnibus spending bills, and the 1000 page omnibus bills passed into laws. Neither party is innocent, but people like you are so biased in your view, that you blame the republicans for everything when it was in fact a minority of republicans, and a majority of democrats that corrupted the Federal government and gained power through that corruption.
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  17.  @THX..1138  "If you put information into the public you cannot restrict the public from accessing that information as long as you leave it in public view the public has the right to view it. All copyright does it stop people from copying your information...... " That's kind of funny as YouTube and other streaming apps do it all the time. It's called a copyright claim by the copyright holder and a copyright strike against the creator that the claim is against. "Which brings us to what people do not seem to understand about how these models work is they do not download information from the net and keep like you do when you right click save as on a picture of an apple. Rather the model looks at the picture of the apple and it learns what an apple is, what it looks like. The picture itself is not retained." The picture is not retained, but the data bits that describe the apple do. AI is capable of recreating the image of the apple with those data bits. AI can retain the data bits, but AI may not recreate the image. When you purchase a book, you take that book home and keep it in your home until you decide to dispose of it. You may give that book away or sell it in a yard sale or garage sale. You may not make copies of that book and sell them. You may site portions of that book in order to quote the author as long as you provide proper recognition and citation to the author. AI is capable of infringing on your rights as an author and you may not have the legal wherewithal to do anything about it. "In that sense these models are surfing the net the same as you or I do and what they retain is their impressions of what they seen. Again more or less like you or I do when we surf the net.... So there is no theft going on." That's not entirely accurate. A song writer opened a fake YouTube account. He had AI generate a song in to be similar in style and genre to what his real name does in real life. He then posted that song on his fake channel. He then was able to generate a copyright strike against a non AI generated song he had posted in a video on his real channel, making the claim with his fake channel. YouTube, not being sophisticated enough to know how to determine proper copyright ownership, found in favor of the fake channel despite the fact that the song they put a strike against, was older than the one they sided with and used to determine infringement. That's a problem. A problem that can be easily solved by requiring AI platforms to add artifacts to AI generated content so that should someone attempt to steal the work of a legitimate artist by using an AI bot, the artifacts will be in the AI generated content. And even that is not fool proof as someone may use an audio editing program to edit out the artifacts. AI is not artificial intelligence and never will be. AI is closer to a language interpreter, coupled with a database, that receives instructions in every day language rather than a programming language like C++, PHP, Python, JavaScript, etc. As much as the developers working on AI deserve credit for their excellence in developing AI, they are pretty reckless in not including in their development model, safeguards against AI being used and abused by nefarious actors like the CCP, and people that do not have a problem with stealing intellectual property from others. AI is a problem that will eventually come to an end, because the one thing the masses won't stand for, is not being able to work and get ahead, and being subjugated to low class peasants, which is what the elites want to do.
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  32. "@maddhatter3564 thank you for the EV propaganda. " Propaganda is stating things that are a lie in order to deceive and mislead the people. The truth is not propaganda. If I am so wrong, why does the main stream media report that the Automakers are loosing billions of dollars in their attempt to push EVs on the public? "@FLPhotoCatcher The fact is, EVs are now less expensive than most comparable ICE vehicles, and have less required maintenance, and less maintenance costs compared to similar ICE engine vehicles. Of course, they also save a bunch on gasoline and oils over their lifespan, so that even if maintenance costs are not lower, you still come out ahead." If EVs are now less expensive, why are the US automakers loosing billions by building EVs? If they were less expensive, Ford would not have to price their EVs $132,000 below cost. Ford just reported a massive loss on every electric vehicle it sold https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/24/business/ford-earnings-ev-losses/index.html "Ford’s electric vehicle unit reported that losses soared in the first quarter to $1.3 billion, or $132,000 for each of the 10,000 vehicles it sold in the first three months of the year, helping to drag down earnings for the company overall." Ford loses $1.3 billion to EV segment, but hybrid and electric sales https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/energy-transition/042524-ford-loses-13-billion-to-ev-segment-but-hybrid-and-electric-sales-grow Ford Lost $130,000 on Every EV It Sold in the First Quarter https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a60621256/ford-ev-revenue-losses-q1-2024/
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  34. My take on upcoming future events: Jesus Christ returns to earth with the armies of heaven, restores the kingdom of Israel, and makes Israel the single super power on earth and global hegemon. No one will occasion to say; "There is no God". Gold and Silver will become the global legal tender. Some US States have already made gold and silver coin legal tender and not subject to being taxed. Technology to tap into the hydrogen supplies that are within the earths crust will come into existence and begin the transition to a hydrogen economy from the petroleum economy. For a time, the two will be equally used. Over the next 100 years, all government debt is paid off. Swords are beaten into plow shears and man does not learn war anymore. Isaiah 2:4: And he shall judge among the nations, and shall rebuke many people: and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more. Micah 4:3: And he shall judge among many people, and rebuke strong nations afar off; and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up a sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more. I can agree with polygamy returning as that is a biblical prophesy. Isaiah 4:1: And in that day seven women shall take hold of one man, saying, We will eat our own bread, and wear our own apparel: only let us be called by thy name, to take away our reproach.
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  42. "Is the present determined by the future? The idea that our universe, and everything in it, has a secret plan, a goal that we inevitably have to reach, is called Teleology. This sounds strange, if not outright crazy and a little bit depressing." It's odd to me that highly educated people, will go out of their way, to turn "the Universe" into a conscious being while at the same time, deny the existence of a Creator God who is actively bringing about His plan to bring the earth and mankind to His ultimate goal of bringing His kingdom on earth, and imposing a period of time where man learns war no more; bringing about a thousand years of peace under the rule of His only begotten Son, the Lord Jesus Christ. Is there an ultimate plan? Yes. Isaiah 46:8: Remember this, and shew yourselves men: bring it again to mind, O ye transgressors. 9: Remember the former things of old: for I am God, and there is none else; I am God, and there is none like me, 10: Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times the things that are not yet done, saying, My counsel shall stand, and I will do all my pleasure: Revelation 19:11: And I saw heaven opened, and behold a white horse; and he that sat upon him was called Faithful and True, and in righteousness he doth judge and make war. 12: His eyes were as a flame of fire, and on his head were many crowns; and he had a name written, that no man knew, but he himself. 13: And he was clothed with a vesture dipped in blood: and his name is called The Word of God. 14: And the armies which were in heaven followed him upon white horses, clothed in fine linen, white and clean. 15: And out of his mouth goeth a sharp sword, that with it he should smite the nations: and he shall rule them with a rod of iron: and he treadeth the winepress of the fierceness and wrath of Almighty God. 16: And he hath on his vesture and on his thigh a name written, KING OF KINGS, AND LORD OF LORDS. Revelation 20:1: And I saw an angel come down from heaven, having the key of the bottomless pit and a great chain in his hand. 2: And he laid hold on the dragon, that old serpent, which is the Devil, and Satan, and bound him a thousand years, Revelation 20:3: And cast him into the bottomless pit, and shut him up, and set a seal upon him, that he should deceive the nations no more, till the thousand years should be fulfilled: and after that he must be loosed a little season. 4: And I saw thrones, and they sat upon them, and judgment was given unto them: and I saw the souls of them that were beheaded for the witness of Jesus, and for the word of God, and which had not worshipped the beast, neither his image, neither had received his mark upon their foreheads, or in their hands; and they lived and reigned with Christ a thousand years. Isaiah 2:4: And he shall judge among the nations, and shall rebuke many people: and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more. Micah 4:3: And he shall judge among many people, and rebuke strong nations afar off; and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up a sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more.
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  46.  @zyansheep  "Sure, but wasn't this the same argument against solar? Now solar is arguably the cheapest energy source in many places." If a technology needs government subsidies, other than the standard business tax write offs that business receive, it's market is not sustainable. California is the best example of the lies put forth by those advocating for "green energy". 1) Neither wind or solar produces actual energy. It only produces electricity. As a result, it neither wind nor solar can produce many of the products that are on the market today. The problem here is not that the technology will never be able to do the job, the problem is that people are demanding that a boy, can do a man's job. The boy is too young. Let the boy grow up a bit and see what the boy is capable of doing himself. 2) The more solar and wind are used to produce electricity, the higher the price of electricity climbs. This alone is not sustainable. 3) When the government subsidies cease, the real price of wind and solar will be seen. You may still be able to purchase solar panels in the $200 to $300 range, but it is doubtful that the prices will remain there. 4) Most solar panels are made in China. China has been at war with the United States for several decades. This means that those pushing solar in the US, have adhered themselves to the enemies of the United States and are giving them aid and comfort and is an act of treason. What this means to the average American as that globalists and their global market, have put every American in a position in which we have no choice but to commit treason by purchasing products made in China.
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