Comments by "Golag Is watching you" (@golagiswatchingyou2966) on "" video.
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On the issue of civil war, I would say it's very unlikely, you can have a period like the troubles for sure but for an outright civil war you need certain factors that aren't present right now, one of them is not having any faith in the government process, being a democracy gives some more trust in people that they can always vote for someone to try and fix things, the law is the law untill people no longer follow it, the enforcers are no longer willing to enforce it and the army is no longer willing to enforce the enforcers.
What is likely going to happen is that as the demografic collapses start to appear even more clear for most people and they start to feel how other groups start to dominate them they will be forced to pick a side, they will start to counter the rising group but find that their efforts aren't very effective and thus become more radicalized, the point at which a civil war would happen is when at a certain point you have armed groups, area's of controle, a semi collapse in government institutions and then a push for either creating their own new institutions or the take over of those institutions by one group or the other.
The end result no matter who wins is going to be a splitting up of society, talented people leave for better shores, large destruction of society, collapse and birth of new systems and then a slow reconstruction with a new estabilished order which will then rule for good or bad for as long as they can untill a new series of conflicts erupts.
The nations that will get ahead will be those that skipped all these parts and simply never get there or delay it as long as possible.
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I slightly disagree with the proposition at the end, because while Balkanization is certainly possible and is even likely in certain parts of the west like the UK, Belgium, France perhaps, Italy as the central government and culture changes so does the loyalty to those nations change for better or for worse, that being said the opposite is also true, environments with a lot of chaos in them and a sense of fear and despair are going to turn towards either religion or utopian ideologies, now some nations will turn to religion as is likely the case in most of eastern Europe but in the west it's likely to be more utopian ideologies that takes shape and I think the main ideas that will start to melt into the wider societies will be nationalism, pan nationalism, transhumanism, techno-gainism, communism/neo communism and ethnic nationalism/racial nationalism
The reason why I think these ideologies will play a role in whole or in part is due to the ethnic/cultural tensions, climate change, present day environmentalism not working as envisioned and collapse of economic systems as well as new technologies shaping society, all these things thrown together is going to be a free for all for competing groups and they can evolve in very strange ways, you could see environmentalist islamists who want equality in ways that mirror communists from the past, you could see pan European transhumanists who want to create their own god machine "leader" to guide them, you could see fascistic capitalists with christian state religion.
It all depends on who grows the most, gets the upper hand and crushed the other.
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