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Monsieur Z
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Comments by "Golag Is watching you" (@golagiswatchingyou2966) on "Monsieur Z" channel.

im not so sure that's what would happen, Poland wants Ukraine to join because it's a vital area for Russia, taking that away from them is a major win for Poland and the rest of Europe.
154
back in 2016 I was in support of Brexit because the EU leaders were being very stupid and deserved a pushback for their bad policies, esspecially Merkel's policies, I also wanted to see if the UK could make it on their own and perhaps implement a more capitalistic alternative to the EU, my hope was either the EU would change following this shock or the EU would collapse and new blocks that weren't stupid would take it's place, I was quite suprised to find out the UK government was much more incompetent than I had expected and the EU seemed to have realised their mistakes and started doing things to try and preserve the union as well as moving more towards a federal Europe since the UK was it's biggest opposition for doing so. now years later, I don't really regret supporting brexit but I am very disapointed in the UK, they had 5 years to try and make brexit work and they blew all the chances they got to fix things which made me realise how much I dislike the current EU it offers a better and wider platform of change for most of Europe than a collapse would, I do hope things change for the better and hope to see the UK rejoin the EU one day, reformed of course.
130
If you asked me 2 weeks ago if Russia could win vs Ukraine I would have said the same thing. However, having seen how much the Russian military has messed up, how low their moral is, how incompetent their leaders are, the scale of the sanctions and esspecialy the determination and ability of Ukraine to defend itself, I've become convinced they will win. I believe it was Sun Tsu that said "victory is given by the enemy" meaning if the enemy is still willing to fight no matter what, you won't have victory, the Ukrainians are fighting on every level, have the weapons to take out Russian tanks, the advancement of Russian troops has come to a crawl and with each passing day the rubal goes further down, the Kremlin might not care about suffering Russian people but their soldiers on the front lines do and many are deserting, have surrendered or sabotage their own tanks and cars just so they have an excuse to surrender. Unless Russia starts sending in the shock troops and totally goes full Stalin on the people and finds a way to break their spirit and will to fight, Ukraine will win. That being said I do think Russia can force a treaty in which they gain some of the eastern parts of Ukraine, it's not like Ukraine really wants to keep those parts anyways nor will it be worth much after this war.
127
There were polish collaborators as there always are in every conflict but yes most if not all of those people were ethnically germans and were basically making plans on how to fully annex all of Poland and how best to deal with the actual polish people, some wanted germanisation, others deportations beyond the urals, slavery, genocide, mix between all of them but basically nothing like an actual polish state with it's own laws and autonomy.
55
because the western roman empire died and the east became it's own new entity, if anything the EU-USA split seems more likely but even then one or both could collapse for multiple reasons, don't think the USA will remain friendly if the EU added Russia for example, it's unlikely but if it did suddenly the US global power projection would have a massive problem and they know it.
30
@andrewjennings7306 don't think you want to destroy Russia, rather change it's regime.
28
well, yes and no, the USA has gone through many stages, at it's birth and still to a large degree it has been mostly British in culture, laws and language but after it's revolution and expansion into the rest of north america it became distinctly pan-european in it's cultural ''melting pot'' with specific rules to keep other people's out and having debates about their african american slave populations, you can read up on abraham lincoln's views on that for more context. after ww2 and during the cold war the USA became much more of a global empire and opened up it's borders for most of the world, the results have been.... well mixed bag, on some ends it's been great for the high tech sector of the nation, more labor for it's growing economy and manpower for military engagements but on the other hand there is a clear polorization going on in the USA and it looks weaker and more divided than ever while the Chinese with their homogenic population seems far more able to grow, change and adapt new technologies and expand than the USA has been. if anything the USA would do well to become more of a north american focused nation and less on a global scale to try and assimulate it's people to a more united people because right now the path the USA is on seems to me like Balkanization and civil war more than anything.
24
Mr.Z is ahead of the game, keep it up
21
the immigration train never stops with the UK....
20
@hadi8699 Russians seem more European than Turkey, the relationship of Turkey has been more hostile towards Europe for most of it's history where as Russia has been more equal in terms of wanting the same things, plus Turkey is majority muslim and that clashes with christianity. like I said im not sure, it's 50/50% on where they stand but from my perspective they don't realy want to be part of Europe and most of Europe don't consider them part of it too is my take.
14
it's very unlikely, the idea of the EU becoming a federation and either annexing or merging with Russia makes way more sense than a merger with the USA and Russia, the two have nothing in common, don't share a border, language is different, history is different, economies aren't that tied to one another, political system is different, while that's also true for the most part with the EU, at least they share more of a history, Russia is a slavic language, economies are much more tied together, political systems while different are closer than the US system, they share borders with eachother. in short the Russia-US merger is as likely as Brazil merging with China.
11
as a Dutch person, we know surprisingly little about Indonesia or our own history related to it, all I know is that we did exploit the locals a lot, kept certain technologies away from the general public and mostly ran it on a combination of rubber, sugar, tea and spices plantation. We did not really try to convert the people to christianity though missionair's would try and convert locals of course and we also did not try and impose our language upon the local as a means of cultural colonialism, that being said we of course weren't very nice though not as cruel as some of the British, Belgium or Portuguese colonies were. As for the future of Indonesia, I can only look at the border maps of ethnic groups, religions and languages and ask myself ''how the hell did we manage to rule this place for so long?'' this place is a giant mess and it's also along the sea which makes isolationism for it's distinct cultures on each island even more likely, the fact that Java has such a massive population compared to the others is also very bizzar, you would think it be a little more spread out over all the islands. If I could think of any way of Indonesia to continue existing it would be to have a very federalist view of it's own identity, try and find ways to both supress and assimulate local cultures, languages, religions together, perhaps continue pressing the threat of China or other powers in the region as a means of maintaining their own national identity, though I think it's almost inevitable that major parts of the islands are going to break away at some point, not sure how to respond to those break away, doing nothing might cause a chain reaction, then again supressing those moves for succesion might further devolve the already fragile state. I have no idea, I think it's a miracle it stayed together for as long as it already has, just look at Yugoslavia, it had like 20 times less ethnic people between eachother and enemies to unite against and they still fell apart.
11
I wished we had a united Europe with Russia in it as well, Turkey not so sure, feel like they are on the edge of what is considered Europe.
11
(reads title) me : PREPOSTEROUS! HOW CAN YOU EVEN SAY SUCH A THING?!
11
hey I''m from the Netherlands and im just curious how people in Indonesia remember/view the Dutch colonial period and Dutch people in general, we know very little about Indonesia here but I have the feeling you guys might have more negative views about us, I''m just wondering how significant it is to Indonesian culture and people.
11
If it's fantasy what types of mythical beings exist within it?
11
@GUNN3R1990 the fact that brexit could not have happened if the young people just went out to vote shows an great lack of political engagement by the public, the media did not help of course but it really shows that the youth did not care about their future and thus have to live with it, in the meantime they have not done much to reverse or mitigate the damage or changed their culture for the better. Sometimes the people have to suffer so they remember why they should care about politics, Eastern Europe remembers the communist era that's why they are so patriotic and engaged with politics, they know how bad things can get.
10
you could say the same about the USA or the Russian federation, who is going to run it and how? I think it's very likely that there would be a new constitution for all member states and one that all member states would have to agree on, that would really be the main issues since each member state has a specific kind of constitution and thus would clash in legal battles as we see today with Poland and EU laws, that being said I don't see why they could not make a constitution that works for all, there are plenty of examples to pick from the USA being the best example for such a large scale. though I would not say a copy of the US constitution would work, better would be to adopt laws by by it's member states to get the best of all with minimal conflicts between them, the major conflict is between southern Europe and eastern Europe with western Europe and northern europe having largely the same laws already, a compromise might be nessisary and for the parlement to actually work people need to be represented in a more direct manner than the current form of elections, less top down and more bottom up. it's complicated for sure but we have seen examples of this happen and working in the past, Germany used to be a collection of smaller states consolidated into a single state, a European federation would be much the same.
9
im no so sure, the relations between the USA might get worse but as long as Russia remains a threat the USA is going to be seen as a potential ally over anything else.
9
@GUNN3R1990 it should have been closer to 90% for such an important vote but it's high enough to be legitimate for sure. I don't think you understand what I meant, your nation is not independent nor is it powerfull, the UK is a joke because the people voted for Brexit but don't vote for leaders that will actually keep it free, independent and strong which is what's needed for any nation's people, culture and identity to survive let alone thrive, I like the UK that's why it's so tragic and sad to see them this weak and not acting in their own self interest and as a result you now see more independence movements from the UK in northern ireland, scotland and wales, you say you care about your nation yet your nation seems to be imploding and collapsing and you don't even realise it. the irony is that the UK as a member of the EU would probably be a lot more stable and exist for much longer than it's current path it is on with it's current leadership, you might think that's not true and fair enough but I think the majority of people in the EU don't want to leave the EU because of the mess of brexit and the lack of real change that people want to see even if they dislike the EU seems better than leaving. that should be an indicator for you that brexit is not working otherwise other nations would have pushed for the same thing by now, when in fact the opposite is happening, now you can disregard everything i said and believe I only care about power or the world stage or whatever but that's just not true and hope the UK does well but im not seeing it doing well which makes me sad.
9
@PeekaNox Russian and Ukrainian sources are often the most filled with propaganda and bias, outsiders with inside sources and analisis of before the invasion and accurate numbers from both sides are closer to the truth than direct statements from the mainstream media, states in the conflict or political leaders. But yes the full in scale picture is only possible after the war when even more outside forces can analise the situation on the ground, in the meantime it's a constant changing narrative. Right now however Ukraine seems to be winning, how long that's going to last we shall see but time is mostly on their side.
9
@thesimpleanswer2264 lets agree to disagree but as a European country I hope not to become more like the USA with the exception of gun rights and free speech, everything else I consider the USA a harmfull entity for Europe and most of the world, esspecialy their politics right now.
9
@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986 is that from this year or the last 20 years? also the UK is a pretty small country compared to Canada or Australia so they could deal with more migrants if they have them, the UK on the other hand is already very full and most of it's people can't get ahead as a result, also the way the UK deals with these waves of migration seems very disfunctional though you could argue that is the case with all these countries right now.
7
while Russia does hold massive more military power and would very much be able to take Ukraine, it would probably be unable to hold it for long, suffer immense losses while doing so, it would be a disaster for Russia and Ukraine if they went to war, we have to remember that war is politics by other means, Russia would go to war with Ukraine if it sees no other means of gaining it´s political goals. Ukraine´s leadership as well as most of it´s people aren´t interested in backing down to Russian interest, moral is high, support for the Ukrainian government is very strong and really only it´s eastern region has any interest in joining Russia and even then it´s not that supportive, mostly a means to an end of the conflict and bring some stability. do I think Russia is going to invade Ukraine? yes, do I think it's all of Ukraine? no, would Ukraine be split in two perhaps? possible but not likely, I think the Russians are going to invade but it's going to fail after years of sanctions as well as heavy losses both from the conflict itself as well as citizens going to arms against Russia, there is still a possibility for peace but that would mean stronger NATO action, stronger EU action and stronger sanctions against not just Russia but also Germany for supporting Russia indirectly, that would make Russia reconsider attacking Ukraine for sure.
7
@frankthetank5708 I don't read the Telegraph so I can't say if they take the same view, I do believe the British could have made Brexit work, they could have changed their immigration policy, elect smart capitalistic minded people, they could have speed up free trade deals with the USA and common wealth nations, embraced libertarian/conservative values to be the most free and enlightened parts of Europe but instead they did the opposite and elected weak and disgracefull leaders, the push for independence from northern ireland, Scotland and perhaps even Wales will be due to their government and their own culture much more so than anything the EU did or could do.
6
@djw8965 that's the thing, we weren't sure if that actually was true or not, you can be a very small nation but with capitalism you could become very rich, just look at Taiwan, Hong Kong or Singapore (which is not even a democracy) the EU was seen as incompetent as well as leaders like Merkel, people were fed up and afraid that the EU had abandoned their interests and thus many people even outside of the UK wanted to see brexit, first to stick it to the EU's arrogance and second to see how the UK would develop outside of the EU, now we know and very few members want to leave the block.
6
@lif3andthings763 the US constitution does not allow for peacefull breakaway states, there is no peacefull brexit within the US frame work possible, therefor there can only ever be a violent means of independence of states. the balans is between states desire for independence and their own ability to fight against the federal government, if the USA gets involved in major wars abroad those tensions might come to a boiling point or multiple states will desire to leave the union for their own reasons and thus would be forced to form an alliance or confederacy to engage within a war for independence, the first US civil war happened exactly like this with only a handfull of states leaving the union via force and others joining in as it escalated. the less faith americans have in the current government (not the constitution perse) the more likely civil war could happen, this could further evolve if the USA no longer has it's allies to draw support from either because of lack of support or preoccupied with other conflicts.
5
Vietnam probably has a better future compared to Combodia, since it's mostly coastline, is allied to the USA and are already competing with China for a lot of export markets, I think it all depends on how well the education system and demografics of Vietnam develop long term to see how they will prosper, perhaps someone should consider a EU like market for South-East asia for them to trade and have more equal competition between eachother, otherwise it might be a race to the bottom on who can lower their price for labour the fastest which would not be good for your economic development is my take at least.
5
I think the majority of EU member states would support a federal Europe, the main issues is what kind of Europe? it's clear that the more conservative side of the EU would be eastern Europe where as the western side is much more progressive and open minded to ideas of a federal Europe, I won't get into which is better or worse for whatever specific topic or how things would evolve if it came about today but what I will say is that for this new federal Europe to work both sides need to be represented in a manner that might be disliked by the other but still with enough checks and balances that overreach or seccesion movements don't break it apart, in this regard the EU might be at a major disadvantage because it does not have proper checks and balances or the same kind of liberty focused constitution as the USA has, nor does it want to be exactly like the USA in this regard. Though without some form of compremise and a platform for futher expansion the union is not going to work as federation, there is also the military aspect and while nations have improved their military projects cross member state lines there is still much work to be done for it to even pose a threat to say Russia, in this regard the actions of Russia are almost a blessing for the EU since the threat of Russia, China and of a more distant USA might motivate people and governments to accept federalization as a means of gaining national security the same way Germany was created due to the threat of France. while not inevitable and still very much in question, the recent developments and threats from outside the EU are forcing members to consider federalism as a solution and I believe many of the anti European voices and parties are going to end up leading parts of the more conservative pan-european political parties in the future when they see the benefits of such a federation.
5
@GUNN3R1990 the thing is you have neither now, your not significant on the world stage, nor are you independent with your own distinct culture and people anymore, it's very depressing actually to see, esspecialy knowing how great the UK used to be, not having anything close to that anymore and being humiliated, abused and seen as a joke is just tragic and sad, I rather see a strong, independent and great UK than a weak, divided and beaten UK as a member if the EU, even if that would magically make the EU powerfull on the world stage.
5
@Mr.Byrnes it certainly has the potential to be that but also one that is great like the USA.
5
@portfan645 we say ''Handdoek'' for Towel but it's funny to see some words stuck around, don't know much about Indonesia's influence on us but all I know is we have something called ''Spek koek'' which literally translated means ''bacon cookie'' which is like a multi layered cake of slices of soft dough with sugar and cinnimon and it's delicious which as far as I know came from Indonesia. on the subject of food, Indonesian food is quite spicy but very tasty, I believe Rangdang (not sure if that's a real indonsian dish) is very good and now I wish I had some.
5
@bucolicberyllium2717 I don't think anyone is saying zero immigration is a good thing but we clearly don't need more low skilled labor and we would benefit the most from automation which means getting more high skilled labor, engineers, scientists, programers, not people from third world countries, unless they fit into that specific order or are so young that they could be educated to fill those rolls they are a net drain on all services, housing, medical costs and form potential 5th collums on society. what's even more ironic is these same governments have promoted smaller families for decades now and suddenly they need millions more people and they don't like it when other parties want to promote their own population growth so im not realy buying this argument and it's always forced upon us and told it's inevitable because reasons, nothing is inevitable within politics.
4
@lif3andthings763 I think it's funny how the great replacement denialists still going strong within some echochambers, it's not exactly a secret.
4
@lif3andthings763 what's also interesting is from my perspective you are the one being racist by claiming European nations should not act in their own collective self interest while non-European populations do. Another point that's interesting is the argument that doing so would lead to authoritarian governments which is ironic because European nations were more free and had more rights esspecialy around freedom of speech before this ideology came around and it always demands more authoritarian policies in order for it to be maintained, it has to supress and demonize populism and mildly rightwing views as "far right" while ironically pushing moderate views more towards real far right ideologies because of it, alienation leads to radicalism if you want to avoid that you have to listen to people. Also if the EU for example ever wishes to become a federation it has to act in the interest of European nations, if it can't you get things like Brexit, there realy is no benefit to this ideology of multicultralism and "diversity" it lowers standards, it divides people, makes people more radical and society less advanced, if it was a meritocratic ideology that would be one thing but it's not and if it was that would still be unfair to European nations that exist due to having fought for their right to exist as nations, you could push to see it change but if it's replaced with something worse, what's the point? Then it's just suicidal.
4
I don't really see it at all, I see a push against immigration, against many social changes and weak leaders who sell out their people but I don't actually see that big of a support for leaving the EU, in fact I would say many nationalists are starting to realise that on their own they can't really effect or do much on the world stage and rather than leave the union they would probably want to influence it and bring it more towards their interested, if the EU becomes a federation that might actually empower nationalists to become politically active within the EU instead of trying to leave it. sovereignty does not really exist, nations are always influenced by others around them, esspecially today, in the 19th and 20th centuries it might have mean't something but today sovereignty only matters in how much you can effect other nations because other nations are effecting yours regardless.
4
why not Mosley's Europe a nation idea?
4
always, the UK is heading towards disaster and frankly the sooner it gets there the less damage it might do.
4
@ronaldenglish4493 some far right people support Russia, majority seem to support Ukraine but im not sure which ones support which.
4
@lif3andthings763 because it's true and everyone can see it? I mean you can censor everyone and try and suppress the truth but that's not going to stop reality. looking at Europe the populists seem to be the most sane and down to earth compared to the loonies in charge.
3
@EEE-pv2eo true but how did they solve this? A more powerfull federal government and policies to encourage cooporation, that's not to say that we won't have a civil war or conflict within a federal EU but I think the majority are going to agree with federalisme, esspecialy with hostile powers around it, if there were no enemies we probably not see this push for federalisme.
3
@Tosse901 what problems? you mean the EU being annoyed at Poland or something? it's not something really major, we probably have way more issues with Turkey joining the EU than Ukraine, I just don't see the issues, Ukraine is not going to be able to take over the EU or cause major issues within it, it's a bigger benefit to Ukraine than the EU but we still do benefit.
3
I really don't understand the point of Intermarium in today's world, it's literally just a weaker, less coherent and more divided eastern european union that probably won't be able to fend off Russia or maintain their current levels of economic growth, that's not to say they can't form a political block to try and counter the western european agenda in the EU, after all in the USA the southern and middle american states are more republican and conservative compared to the eastern and western states, eastern Europe in many ways would just be the south of Europe compared the the south in the USA, I just don't see why this would be a big issue.
3
@JohnCenaFan6298 no they want all of Ukraine but they might only get the eastern part so Putin can have a pretend victory at home, if you look at the cost of it all, the loss of face, economic costs, it would be the most hollow ''victory'' in history, even worse than the winterwar against USSR and Finland.
3
@lif3andthings763 the UK and most western countries are actually doing that, promoting the idea that native culture just deserves to be wiped out while also extracting resources from them to fund it, not to mention that most western nations are aging, meaning that within 20-50 years the majority native population is going to collapse and what's left will be a minority of native people and a new majority of "diverse" people. Now you don't need to care about that, even though it's against your own self interest, but say it what it is, it's colonialism and at worst ethnic cleansing, if it's wrong when Europeans do it (on a much smaller scale btw) then how is it suddenly justified when it's us? If anything your fueling far right and extremist thinking because you prove to society that democracy does not work to defend ones own nation, which is exactly the argument that was made by historical fascism, if you want to repeat history, oke but I think that's very stupid and easy to avoid.
2
Russia is kinda falling apart though, everyone is cringe these days, esspecially the USA with it's wokeness, thought Europe is not far behind.
2
@Sakattack2023 your forgetting how technology changes culture, the USA used to actually be very divided per state but because of the industrial revolution and the growth of the federal government's authority the people could move around more and empower their sense of unity as a single nation, the EU and European nations have been doing that as well, to a lesser extend of course but today we can move and communicate much more directly and so the barrier for federalisme is lower compared to the 19th Century.
2
@thesmilinggun-knight9646 not really, there was a mix between mostly english and german cultures and even back then it was a major issue but those have all but been solved by now.
2
@Arcaryon pretty much yeah.
2
@THE_ELÐEN_LORÐ yes mostly in the western parts, the USA might be the strongest military power but it's spread thin and does not seem able to defend the border region with Ukraine, likewise it's not like the European nations are very prepared for war, they have the people and funds to do so, yet they have not done so, partly because it would be member states doing the build up not the EU as a whole, plus nations like Germany aren't allowed to build up their army or use it to conduct war which is the primary roll of a military which makes investment into it make little sense.
2
good eye, what is that?
2
@bempire26 that makes sense.
2
@3dcomrade that is very true but look at it from this perspective, China wants to rule the world or at the very least Asia, now there is this concept when a rising power (China) is getting close to extending beyond the dominant power (the USA) that this causes war, Indonesia by picking one side over the other is going to find itself potentially on the losing side which would be bad for them, while if it remained largely neutral and benefited from trade between both it might prosper while the rest of the world burns, likewise though not picking the side of China might also backfire, point being be carefull moving forward because things can backfire regardless on how you pick a side or non at all.
2
Never gonna happen.
2
@FrankDePlank the referendum was not exactly legitimate when done with russian occupation. As for Russia feeling threatened by NATO expansion, so what? Are they going to start a nuclear war just because Ukraine does not wish to join them and in fact feels very threatened by Russia and for good reason. War is going to happen if Russia decides to invade, if NATO, the EU and the USA made clear that attacking Ukraine would lead to war with all of NATO they would back down, the fact that they have not offered full support makes war more likely not less. Perhaps the status quo of Russia being an authoritarian dictatorship needs to end, perhaps it's a relic of a bygone era and they should change with the times?
2
@Tosse901 nonsense, it would be another investment market for western europe to invest in, same as Poland, Ukraine´s main issue is it´s corruption level, lack of western style virtue signaling points and lack of economic prosperity at an acceptable level, it´s a big country with a lot of people in it so those could be reached rather quickly with just a little investment and we allowed other nations to join the EU before who were even worse off and they are still in it today.
2
@GUNN3R1990 I don't think the UK is going to like or will allow a referendum on the issue, they are going to do their best to postpone and deny it because like it or not losing it's core states is a big sign of decline, stagnation and failure on the part of brexit. also for the third time now I said I don't care if the UK does not want to be a powerfull nation on the world stage, im simply pointing out you nether got power, influence or govern your own nation, that's why your fixation on this is kind of a joke. but hey if that's what you want to be and not have your own nation and be weak at the same time, enjoy im just saying that's not something anyone sane would want or who has any self interest in his own future or love for his own nation.
2
@awddsa2923 I just did you just don't care and I know you don't care that's why I don't care to answer in any specific way you pretend to not actually care about.
2
@ShamanMcLamie I disagree, that's the narrative americans want, it is in their national interest to keep Russia and Europe divided, Russia long term has more to offer Europe than the USA, which is why the USA needs to keep the rivalry alive, further Russia believes it can still remain a super power on it's own but is failing to do so, more so because of economics than it's impressive military, a EU-Russian alliance or Russia becoming part of the EU is a nightmare for both the USA and China, though more so for the USA since it would then be unable to justify it's NATO alliance and military bases. It is true that the USA is more like western Europe in terms of culture and values but that does not matter in geo-politics. The USA will attempt to block any chance for Russia to westernize and become closer to Europe and will fund seperatist group within Russia to break it apart if it does. I am well aware of how the USA threatens, uses sanctions, trade wars, invasions or covert means to get what they want, which is exactly why it enjoys the status quo and keeping nations divided within NATO frame work, as long as they are apart, disunited and have no greater goals than their national interests, the USA will remain the world's sole super power, the threat of China however has shown that era is slowly coming to an end and as Europe becomes presured by both the USA, China, Russia and the problems in the middle-east and Africa, they will have no choice but to create a European federation and seek complete independence from the USA first, dealing with Russia second and maintaining it's new position between China and the USA third. It's that or cease to exist and be an even more directly vazal playground for Russia, China and the USA, the people know it, the leaders know it, the USA elites know it, China knows it and Russia knows it, we are moving towards a multipolar world, no more sole superpowers anymore.
2
Sino-Russian-EU alliance?
1
@swampdonkey1567 I know Texas and Vermont have some constitutional loophole to have the right to leave the union, most states don't and even those that do have that right would be suicidal if they think the federal government is just going to stand for it, in the case of texas they joined the confederates but after the civil they were kept in the union. with say the EU which is like a semi federal/confederate system, member states have the right to leave the union, not in the USA where a state first has to have that right (few states have it) and then have to be allowed to leave by I believe a majority of the other states, something quite like this happened in the UK during the troubles, when irish nationalists wanted a path to reunification with northern ireland, after a lot of terrorism and a plot to kill the PM of the UK the UK signed the Bellfast agreement meaning they would allow a refurendum on irish unification, likewise if the USA as a whole is corrupt with it's federal government elites, crony actions and culture becomes something hostile to it's state members then seeking independence becomes much more likely and since there is no real path for most states to do so it only really leaves violence as a means of progressing it further. the USA has changed a lot since it's creation and not always for the better, looking at the trends I can't help but feel that people are losing faith in it, it could change of course but I don't think that's likely unless something really gets them fired up.
1
0:25 India is a pretty strong and solid ally of the western alliance to be honest, not sure why you did not include them.
1
@lif3andthings763 the math does work out and the ironic thing is that your argument's side is the emotional one, accusing people who point out reality as being somehow immoral or racist and desperate in need of censorship and exclusion of those who point out what's going on, if your side is so correct why do you need censorship? Why are you so afraid? How come you can't realy convince people of your arguments? I've heard these counter arguments for over 15 years now and they have never convinced me or anyone, if anything they made me more sure of the facts.
1
@EEE-pv2eo a federation is a complex entity, it is often seen as a more evolved confederation, the EU as of right now is what is called a supranational organisation which basicaly means a mix in between, a move towards federalisme would simply expand upon what is already there, likewise not all federations are the same and some autonomy would still need to be given to member States, that's why sometimes the push for EU federalization is called "a federation of nation states" instead of a "Federation of states" as is the case with the USA.
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there actually are a lot of reasons, most people just wished they did not exist.
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@nightprowler6336 it's not just Europe that's aging, also I don't see many Europeans being lazy and not doing anything, in fact many of them work very hard, everyone needs the internet, it's a tool like any other, if you don't have it your probably a third world person trying to get to Europe.
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I think this is a realy stupid and ineffective plan that will never become a reality for multiple reasons. for starters these places are far too distant from eachother and don't trade as much as they used to, they are seperate with their own issues, governments, people's and conflicts, the reason why the EU is focused on it's region is because that's what matters to their position, their self interest and having that in order is actually their best way to grow and move towards a more impactfull union that can compete with the USA and China. the UK can't do that and seems more likely to fall apart right now than ever before, it's government is disfunctional and frankly insane with their policies while their populations suffer and can't even get the most basic self respect as a nation, it's entirely living on it's history, it's relationship with the US and now declining power around the globe, in many ways it's a joke. as for the other nations they are focused on other things, Canada has it's own internal problems and has to work with the USA, New Zealand and Australia are focused on China and in many ways are becoming like puppet states for Chinese interest. this whole concept has no foundation to stand on, at best it could become a military alliance but that roll is already being filled by NATO so unless the USA ceases to exist this will never become a reality, it's more likely that the UK will fall apart and it's members try and rejoin the EU.
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@3dcomrade that's good but it might still fall apart if it's not well balanced between each island, some parts might leave, as things develop economically you could see more or less pushes for independence, idk how best to deal with them but I think a balanced amount of action would be best, the worst case could be some radical, extremist political party or group trying to dominate all the other islands with sheer force that would likely backfire badly is my take.
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@3dcomrade modernity brings new problems as well, it's never all sunshine and rainbows but it would be a major improvement and a nice counter to the rise of China.
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@Homoerectus1548 very interesting, sounds like Indonesia is more complex than I already thought it was, I do wonder how effective non ethnic founded nation states tend to be, it´s not impossible of course and in the case of indonesia it might tear itself apart in a really bad way but I don't think it's impossible for some regions and islands to become independent or at least demand more autonomy but again I don't know enough of the region to say for sure just my perception compared to other regions with the same situation, former colonies, new reality, ideological/identitty struggle, rarely stays one united nation, we saw one small break away part in East-Temor no? but thanks for sharing that info, it's interesting to learn more about other people and nation states and how they function.
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@kolakpatolik1857 the elites most often are the biggest supporters of any such movements and the first to jump ship, in every conflict ever this has been the case, Poland is no exception, same for Russia, same for the Netherlands, hell even the same in the UK and USA, plenty of people wanted the nazi's to win this was before all their crimes really got laid out.
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no
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your right but politics is strange, sometimes nothing happens for almost a century and then suddenly everything can change in a matter of years, I think your going to see talks and movement towards federalization by 2025 and probably a real attempt around 2035 or sooner depending on the situation with Russia and China, if Russia invades Ukraine for example that would make the geopolitical push for federalization much stronger. I think at some point Russia is going to have a mild collapse probably after the death of Putin, it's economy and aging population as well as authoritarian government is going to become a major issue, there could be a movement towards democracy in Russia as a result and waves of independence some of it's regions, the EU could also change and become more like a federation, either in conflict with Russia as it declines or seeing it's weakened state and offer a mutual beneficial set of deals to slowly get it into it's sphere. I do think with enough time and effort you could see Russia become part of the EU and then at that point you can see talks of the US-China Alliance to try and counter such an alliance/merging of powers, it's unlikely for the short term but long term it's a real possiblility.
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I think this is a very poorly made video for a number of reasons. The first reason is that the current rightwing is not actually that rightwing, the republican party consists of many factions that aren't that willing to see eye to eye because they don't agree on many issues, the left also suffers from this but is more conformist to the elitist class so they appear stronger, while in reality their alliance is very fragile and growing more fragile by the day which will likely be reflected in the midterms. The second thing is that it's jot just about raw fire power which the rightwing still has plenty of and many democratic states aren't trying to catch up to, groups like Antifa might but they are a very small group and pose more of a threat to themselves and their political ideology, the scale of potential is realy small for them while the rightwing in the USA consists of Veterans, gun fanatics, patriots and the military itself. The third thing is that Trump while a leader, is not a warlord nor is he trying to become one, he mostly lost due a temporary chain reactions of bad luck, democratic policy changes and a very powerfull alliance of elites within big tech and within the deep state these are the truly powerfull forces that pose a major threat to the rightwing and controle narratives, major corporations and universities, these forces would be much harder to defeat then the actual voter base or army forces of the democratic party. And fourth is the USA as a super power has a vested interest of the rest of the world to remain stable, even if it's breaking down from the inside and having major problems the rest of the world would support the side that benefits them the most, these are also a powerfull group that influence public opinion and is what makes rightwing people not risk a civil war because unlike the leftwing, they realise just how important the USA is and their image to project power. As China grows stronger under the current regime more and more nations will prefer Trumps policies and pro americanism over the weak and anti americanism of the democratic party but this also depends on Trump or his replacement, there is a real probability that someone from the democratic party might even become tempted to switch sides to symbolise the change of hearts and mind due to power Trump has it will grow stronger as Biden fails to rule things properly, it would not be someone well known, it would be someone from the lower ranks but who sees where the democratic party is going. To win is not to crush your enemies, to win is to make them switch sides without having to fight at all, a civil was is just not beneficial for the USA for now but that might change.
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@kosa9662 it would be a major blow for sure.
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@Tosse901 I think it could be as early as 6-10 years.
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@Tosse901 I think that's rather foolish and stagnant, the EU has expanded multiple times, right now it's mostly focused on Balkans but why should it end there? there is still the possability of the UK rejoining and then there is Ukraine which already has an economic treaty with us, I just don't see the status quo existing forever as being realistic or even desired.
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@Tosse901 they really aren't that big, the Visigrad group is almost completly collapsed, the western nations are much bigger and stronger than Hungary or Poland combined, their influence is rather mild, it's mostly a pissing contest between incompetent EU elites who try and pretend like Poland and Hungary are these big hostile forces in the EU while really it's the EU leaderships stupid policies and giants like Germany's selling out to Russian gas and standing in the way of having nuclear power that are major issues for the EU's energy market which is much more important than Poland's or Hungary's issues with immigration of LGBT groups demands.
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@Tosse901 I can't stress enough how little anyone is effected by Poland or Hungary and how much we actually are effected EU wide because of Germany and stupid policies by the EU, lets first solve the real issues like our energy needs, immigration from outside the EU, Belarus and russian aggresion rather than spend time worrying about Poland or Hungary, Germany breaks the same rules Poland and Hungary does but the EU does not care because it's not consistent for all members and that breeds disunity in the EU. now I don't think Polish law should be above EU law but we have to adress them to all member states, not just smaller states like Poland and Hungary, it just is not important to anyone.
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@ViceadmiralNelson1805 so was the USA before and during it becoming a federation, also this is not the 16th century anymore, we all speak english for the most part, can already love and work between EU member states, basicaly it's a national pride and proper law and order concern that's the main issue. But to be fair the USA has everything on easy mode so it's understanable that not everyone thinks it can happen, I would say it's already happened and is likely to spread to other regions as well, the middle-east, Africa, perhaps even asia or south america? Continentalism is the future in my opinion, the USA itself is a great example of this.
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@ladrok97 it's from both some European leaders and US generals that are concerned with a stronger EU being able to match the Economic and military force of the USA, NATO after all was created to contain soviet aggresion without an external threat and with the potential of a united European continent that would case doubts about the reason for maintaining the alliance, especially if the interests of the USA clash with the interest of the EU. an example could be the EU becoming engaged in North Africa or Central Africa in the case of humanitarian crisis and supporting/funding regime changes that aren't in US interest or making trade deals with Iran, China or Russia that aren't in US interest, this is already an issue in the current EU-US relations.
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@frankthetank5708 that's open for debate since they still have not figured out the details of the south american trade deal and others. they aren't very pro liberty or democracy of course they don't have that much power on actual policy but their main focus is less about supporting liberal values and more about supporting their political agenda and funds for projects, of course the people themselves don't seem to be that focused on it so fair enough but still they don't seem quite interested if there is a EU federation that they would suddenly become very liberal and open minded to new ideas, it's a real problem and that has to be solved for a real federation to be possible.
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@frankthetank5708 how does having less regulation cause more corruption? Should that not be the opposite? The UK tram system and unions are well known to be corrupt and withhold positions to people even if they need them filled and that's just one sector, the UK is filled with these "licence" style corruptions top down and bottom up.
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@frankthetank5708 that's nonsense, the UK could rejoin the EU if it wanted to, fairly easily, joining the EU is not even the main issue, the issue is just UK incompetent leadership focusing more on regulating, promoting migration and LGBT communities while ignoring crime, unemployment, energy needs, health care capacity and having sound capitalistic policies, the EU also fails in this to a degree but the UK has been the king in trying to destroy their own nation and making people want the UK to fail on the world stage.
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@frankthetank5708 that's not actually true, the membership process is not dependent on time, it's dependent on the situation, the value of the nation and the amount of democratic, values and economic development the nation in question has, Turkey was making strong headways into becoming part of the EU, there were a lot of voices within the EU, mostly eastern europe but also some western european nations that did not want Turkey in the EU but progress was made, that all stopped when Erdogan started issueing purges of the army, his parlement, the judges and imposing himself as being able to be relected forever, since then the membership progress has been on hold. as for north macedonia, Serbia or albania, the main issue stopping them is their low levels of economic development, high rate of corruption and the issues around Kosovo. the UK has non of these downsides, it already was a member not so long ago, it was one of it's founding member even, the UK has a strong economy, democratic values, nobody would oppose them joining the EU, if the UK today decided we want a new refurendum, they hold it somewhere in mid 2022, they vote majority yes on joining, then starts the joining process but since the UK already has all the major boxes ticked it would probably only take 1/2 years to be complete, perhaps sooner if all sides can agree on certain issues. Scotland could break off the UK and have an even shorter time in joining the EU since their issues are less severe compared to the UK as a whole, esspecialy with the northern ireland issue.
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@frankthetank5708 again, this is not true, the EU does regulate certain migrant flows in regards to schengen, it has Europol which is used to track cross member criminals, it has a massive influence in energy sector and even now has billions worth of covid recovery funds as well as medical help for most member states. the EU in many ways already is like a federation, it redistributes funds back and forth, funds projects around the EU and influences the market in a bit way, in other ways the EU is very weak compared to the member states, that's why it's a weird mix between federal and confederate system as well as complex intergovermental bodies in and between itself. there is a growing desire to federalize the EU, both out of a need for the challenges of the future as well as a means to get rid of a lot of deadlock and lack of process within the EU.
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@greas1233 the EU literally has policies to ensure millions of people come in, all aboard the UN migration pact, openly threatning member states who refuse migrants with fines up to 100.000 euro per migrant/refugee rejected. National governments for sure have done the most damage but to say the EU has not contributed to this mess would be false and btw all the people who let in millions, all love the EU and everyone who wants less migrants hate the EU.
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just ignore all the ways they promote it and harm nations that try and stop them but yes the majority of the problem comes from leftwing parties and their buddies in the center right parties @greas1233
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Russia can keep some land or they will lose more land in a future peace deal.
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Hahahaha it's our chad roman haha based
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if the USA just left tomorrow that would be a huge power vacuum and would probably lead to war with Russia that would want to expand into eastern Europe, the Europeans would probably rush to try and get their military production up to size but either it's not enough time to compete with Russia or it can barely hold off long enough for the rest of Europe to counter Russia, it would be a bloody war and people would hate the USA for not just abandoning them but doing so in a way that they could not prepare enough in time, perhaps you see limited nuclear strikes too. however if the USA wanted to leave NATO and Europe, it could do so very easily in a very responsable way, there could be agreements of a slow but steady withdrawal from Europe to other parts of the world/back to the USA and the need for the European nations/EU to fill the void, if given say 5 years or more they could probably have their militaries up to the same level as the USA military bases provide today, the only thing they would be lacking is the army experience of their soldiers, these nations have enough wealth and manpower to deal with Russia if properly prepared, they aren't weak or poor, stagnating to a degree perhaps but not weak. but the USA would be stupid to do this, NATO is a great benefit to US power projection, it ensures stable supply lines and logistic support as well as access to intelligence support for the whole region from the middle-east, to africa to central asia, giving that up without a fight would be bizzar from geo-political standpoint as well as a historical standpoint and would make the USA seem much weaker than it actually is.
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when have they ever given a shit about democracy? it's all about power, the USA has overthrown democratic states to instal dictatorships just because it was usefull for them or because of the cold war, im not saying the USA is evil or anything but it's not about spreading democracy, it's about power, democracy is just a really stable way of having power for the people and nations instead of say the king or dictator that would want to expand an empire. also I would not be suprised if in a future conflict with Russia, the EU could win (with US help) and start to intergrate Russia into the EU, it's very difficult to be sure but seeing the failing russian economy and the EU's lack of a powerfull army and nuclear weapons, it would be a very good deal for both to deal with China and the USA.
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Russia is a threat to Europe not the USA.
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I agree on the multicultral part but im just not seeing the EU fall apart, after 2016 most members aren't really pushing for leaving, the visigrad group has fallen apart to a large degree, most rising ''far right'' parties in Europe have made few gains and often major losses in the last few elections and the EU has ironically become less in favor of letting in refugees and openly support Poland against Belarus and Russia to a lesser degree. there are still major issues like Nordstream 2 and Germany doing stupid stuff like trying to take down their own nuclear power production but im seeing a weird sort of shift in european politics, more of a push towards federalization and higher resistance to eurosceptic movements, that's not to say they have no future at all but im just seeing a dip right now and I don't know if that's going to continue or if they are going to adapt to becoming more like how the republican party is in the USA, as in being a major block for a different kind of EU instead of outright trying to leave it all behind.
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@IceGuadian that's the most mindboggling thing, the greens should be all about having nuclear power, it's much cleaner than coal, gets us off russian gas, produces so much power for the amount of space it takes, it does have some dangers for sure but there really is no risk of a chernoble disaster, esspecialy not with the new gen 3 and potential gen 4 models, all the disasters that did happen was due to human error not the model itself. And yet the greens are most against nuclear energy, hell they say the AFD party is in "denial of climate change" but they are actually in favor of keeping nuclear power, while the greens open up coal plants because they shut down the nuclear power plants, it's beyond stupid, Germany is going in a very bad direction, meanwhile France produces 70+% of it's power from nuclear energy and has reached it's climate goals unlike Germany. I can't stand the green parties, I hope they collapse.
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@vincentthendean7713 maybe I will. 😘
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this seems like a troll account.
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yes, imagine a EU that becomes a federation, lets Russia become part of it as well as some of it's puppet states, then seeing China and the USA team up to a degree to then have proxy conflicts in the border regions and in Africa as well as the middle-east.
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naw that would be the USA, Russia and the UK.
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@awddsa2923 check Adam Something's take on the conflict, then check the Freedom Alternative Twitter, look up Good Times Bad Times channel to get an indication of how things are going for Russia.
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I get my information from Russian soldiers on the front lines making videos about how they don´t want to fight and outright refuse to fight in some engagements and calls for more ammo and supplies, where do you get your info from? @nathanhiggers4606
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@thesimpleanswer2264 that's fair enough, agreed.
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That's not how geo-politics works, btw China would support the leftwing because the leftwing is pro China. China already funds many leftwing organisations and woke policies because they are fully aware how they weaken the USA.
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