Comments by "" (@HUNDREDACREWOOD.) on "Trump Grand Jury: Witness May Have Committed Perjury" video.

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  28. A raft of new polls shows former President Trump is losing juice among core Republican voters — a rare but unmistakable drop in base support that would jeopardize his 2024 comeback bid. Why it matters: Trump famously boasted in 2016 that he "could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters." Over the past seven years, Trump's iron grip on the GOP base led many political observers to conclude he may have been right. Driving the news: A new USA Today/Suffolk poll found Trump's favorability among Republicans dropped from 75% in October to 64% in December — below the 70% threshold generally viewed as a Mendoza line for support within a candidate's own party. A Quinnipiac poll out Wednesday puts Trump's favorability among GOP voters right at 70% — his lowest mark in the survey since March 2016. And a new Wall Street Journal poll has him at 74% — above the Mendoza line, but a 11% decline since March. Equally troubling for the former president: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is dominating him in a hypothetical head-to-head primary, leading by 23 points (56%–33%) in the Suffolk poll and 14 points (52%–38%) in the WSJ poll. The big picture: The conventional wisdom that Trump is the favorite to be the GOP nominee is no longer borne out by the polling data. It's a stunning fall from the heights of the Trump presidency, when his approval rating among Republicans peaked at 95% and remained above 90% for much of 2020. Even in the aftermath of the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, Trump's support from Republicans in most polls hovered above 70%. Between the lines: There's an understandable reluctance to downplay Trump's political prospects, given how often he's pulverized the conventional wisdom. But his candidates' abysmal record in the midterms and his own weak showing against Biden in public polls make him damaged goods.
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  29.  @nefspeaks1983  A raft of new polls shows former President Trump is losing juice among core Republican voters — a rare but unmistakable drop in base support that would jeopardize his 2024 comeback bid. Why it matters: Trump famously boasted in 2016 that he "could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters." Over the past seven years, Trump's iron grip on the GOP base led many political observers to conclude he may have been right. Driving the news: A new USA Today/Suffolk poll found Trump's favorability among Republicans dropped from 75% in October to 64% in December — below the 70% threshold generally viewed as a Mendoza line for support within a candidate's own party. A Quinnipiac poll out Wednesday puts Trump's favorability among GOP voters right at 70% — his lowest mark in the survey since March 2016. And a new Wall Street Journal poll has him at 74% — above the Mendoza line, but a 11% decline since March. Equally troubling for the former president: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is dominating him in a hypothetical head-to-head primary, leading by 23 points (56%–33%) in the Suffolk poll and 14 points (52%–38%) in the WSJ poll. The big picture: The conventional wisdom that Trump is the favorite to be the GOP nominee is no longer borne out by the polling data. It's a stunning fall from the heights of the Trump presidency, when his approval rating among Republicans peaked at 95% and remained above 90% for much of 2020. Even in the aftermath of the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, Trump's support from Republicans in most polls hovered above 70%. Between the lines: There's an understandable reluctance to downplay Trump's political prospects, given how often he's pulverized the conventional wisdom. But his candidates' abysmal record in the midterms and his own weak showing against Biden in public polls make him damaged goods.
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