Comments by "PNH 6000" (@PNH-sf4jz) on ""NO OPTIONS LEFT": Putin ORDERS TO ABANDON BELGOROD. Z-Army ATTACKS TRANSNISTRIA. UNREST in Poland" video.
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Russia's revanchist ideas about re-establishing the USSR, or the same by any other name, clearly indicate that Putin and the Russian political, military and media establishment would attack NATO countries. It would be necessary to do so in order to achieve the stated goals and objectives of Putin and the Russian establishment.
Russia is highly unlikely to display maps of its future plans to invade any country in advance. With regard to Russia's invasion and WAR, waged against Ukraine, Russia even stated, right up to the day, that there was no reason to invade Ukraine {a second time, following the 2014 invasion} and that Russia would not do so. Yet that is exactly what Russia did, with less that 24 hours notice.
In the following treatise, I have referred to the Google "Map Of Europe."
The countries to the East of Russia are not the only ones at imminent risk of attack by Russian military forces, but also the Baltic countries of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, and Poland, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. Given the current political situation in Hungary and Slovakia, either or both of those countries could possibly capitulate following successful attacks, by the Russians, on Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria.
It is not a matter of what Russia is ABLE to do. It is really a question as to whether Russia, delusionally {in the strict sense of the word, to my way of thinking}, or in spite of Russia's apparent ignorance of their real and inadequate military capacity against that of the NATO Defensive Alliance {32 countries} and other supporting countries {about 30 at present}, believe that they can achieve their stated goals and objectives of re-instituting the former USSR, by that or any other name. And we know that the intended "revanchism" has been stated by Putin and others in Russia, directly and implicitly.
To accomplish Russia's goals and objectives, Russia would have to attack NATO Defensive Alliance member countries. First, Moldova, {not an Alliance member country}, then connecting with Transnistria (1), on the long {aprox 200 km} North-Eastern border between Ukraine and Moldova, where ~500 or more {OGRF} (2) Russian military personnel are said to be stationed. Then Romania and Bulgaria, both NATO Alliance member countries, but difficult to support from the West because of the Carpathian Mountains and, if they chose to support Russia, Hungary and Slovakia to the North-West.
This portion of the {possible} Russian plan would have to be completed by surprise and with guile, subterfuge and speed, which we know to be trade-marks of the Russian style of operation. At this stage, with the Eastern portions of Ukraine illegally occupied and controlled by the Russians; Georgia, on the Eastern side of the Black Sea, effectively hobbled; Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria secured; the only other country with a Black Sea coastline is Turkey. The question would then arise as to how much soft economic, or hard military pressure Russia would have to impose to make Turkey compliant to Russia's wishes and intentions. At which time, the Azov and Black Seas become, effectively, a Russian Azov/Black Sea lake.
"NATO Defensive Alliance, Article 5. The key section of the NATO Defensive Alliance Treaty is Article 5. Its commitment clause defines the "casus foederis". It commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in the areas defined by Article 6, to be an armed attack against them all."
The Russians, having accomplished their goal of control of the Black Sea, will have effectively covered the Southern flank of any possible attack against them as they proceed East via the Suwalki Gap, through Belarus. Though, by this time, the NATO Defensive Alliance member countries will have been fully mobilised, under NATO Article 5, as a result of Russian attacks on Romania and Bulgaria. Troops from NATO member countries would then be free to cross and operate within the Polish and Ukrainian borders {with the permission and approval of each country} against the Russians. It is not surprising that Poland has strengthened their defenses on their Northern and Eastern borders.
The Suwalki Gap traverses the Northern portion of the Polish border, which is also adjacent to the Lithuanian border. It may be considered and has been referred to as the "THE MOST DANGEROUS PLACE ON EARTH. In a showdown between Russia and NATO, the 'Suwałki Gap' would likely be the first point of contact. By Matthew Karnitschnig in Druskininkai, Lithuania".
The Russians would then be likely to mount an assault on the 100 km {~60 mile} Suwalki Gap, between Belarus and the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad. The Russians have conventional and, it is generally believed, nuclear weapons in Kaliningrad. Russia is also understood to have moved nuclear weapons into Belarus. With the Suwalki Gap secured, Russia will have successfully divided the Southern European countries from the Northern Baltic and Scandinavian countries. Russia will also have carved a direct route from Russia to the Baltic Sea.
Then the very small countries of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. In Russia's attempts to accomplish these goals and objectives, and irrespective of their success or failure, Russia could be the cause of hundreds of thousands {possibly millions} of deaths of civilians and military personnel and massive levels of destruction. All of which we have already seen, as a result of Russian military actions in Ukraine, Chechnya, Georgia, Syria and other countries. However, future outcomes of Russia's aggression could be on a very much larger scale, without any compunction or moral scruple of any sort on Russia's part.
Russia's claim is, "The only rule of WAR is the outcome", which is a direct counter to, and repudiation of all the international agreements to which Russia is signatory. But, we have already seen, on numerous occasions, that Russia has no regard for Agreements, Memoranda and Treaties when they do not match or coincide with Russia's immediate needs or wishes.
The issue is not whether Russia can subjugate, subordinate and dominate other countries, but instead, the death and destruction that Russia will cause in attempting to achieve those goals and objectives. All the death and destruction in Ukraine is intended to intimidate, not only Ukrainians, but also the populations in Western Europe. This is, presumably, in an effort to "encourage" or "persuade" Europeans to sacrifice Ukraine {and possibly other smaller countries} with the intention of saving themselves from a similar fate to that imposed by the Russians on Ukraine. However, such a sacrifice will not save Western Europeans, but rather, will just postpone the inevitable future attacks by Russia. Particularly as Russia gets stronger with each conquest.
We have also seen that Russia seems oblivious to the difference between the combined resources of the NATO Defensive Alliance of 32 countries, and the 30 additional countries assisting and supporting Ukraine, with respect to Russia's own resources as well as other resources available to Russia from Iran, North Korea, possibly China and any other countries that may support Russia.
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