Comments by "PNH 6000" (@PNH-sf4jz) on "SIGNIFICANT BREACH! New FRONTLINE OPENS. Ukraine INITIATES KHERSON LIBERATION. Russia PULLS DEFENSE" video.
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Now that you mention it, it took Russia's best {at the time}, the Wagner PMC, more than seven months to take control of the single city of Bakhmut.
Russian forces withdrew, retreated or routed from Kyiv, Sumy, Kharkiv and Kherson last year. Kherson about which the Kremlin-gremlin had a big party and claimed that "Russia was in Kherson forever". A few weeks later the Russian forces had vacated Kherson and retreated to the left bank of the Dnipro River.
During the past twelve months the "2nd strongest military in the world" has made no significant advances or gains whatsoever against the Ukrainian forces. In fact the Russian forces have taken up defensive positions and are now gradually being squeezed out of their trenches and lines.
In that time, Putin's elite paratrooper squad, known as the VDV, had already been decimated before his mobilisation of 2,000,000 troops in September 2022. {see below} The revelation comes from Mikhail Zvinchuk, a former military press official and creator of the Rybar channel on Telegram, who revealed the news on Russian state TV. 1 Feb 2023
According to BBC News Russian and the Mediazona news website, 1,937 VDV deaths had been documented by the end of August 2023, accounting for 6% of the 31,665 Russian fatalities who had been identified by name (the true total was believed to be several times higher than that), and 8% of those who could identified by both name and service branch.
"A large number of victims among those mobilised, according to the president, will only rally Russian society and strengthen the current regime, and regardless of whether the result will be victory or defeat.’
"Valery Solovey, former professor at Moscow’s prestigious Institute of International Relations, said: ‘The intention [is] to mobilise not 300,000, 400,000, or 500,000 but, with luck, up to two million people, including 300,000 women after the New Year celebrations" {possibly after the "election" 2024}. author Brooke Davies Friday 25 Nov 2022
The situation for the Russian forces does not look good at all 🇺🇦 Victory for Ukraine, Absolute Victory 🇺🇦
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A Short Hypothetical Essay on Russia's Future Success or Defeat
The Russians may have massive underground or 'in the side of mountain' caches, like other countries, such as Iran are said to have, of military and air-force weapons they have accumulated over the previous recent years. It may be intended to bring this military hardware out at the "last minute" and spring a very unpleasant surprise. While I do not believe this is necessarily so, I believe that at least some attention must be given to the possibility, so that if the trap is sprung by the Russians, the Ukrainian military and their supporters will be adequately prepared.
I most certainly hope that the Russians are reduced now, to using older, almost antiquated weapons and transport, such as T55 and T54 tanks. However, I find it difficult to believe that Russia would have allowed their weapon stocks to be reduced to that level. That is particularly so, when the one area about which the Russians should be least concerned, in reality {not their imaginations}, is the defensive alliance of countries in NATO. Surely, simple logic would not have allowed them to rely, as a last resort, on their nuclear weapons. That should be especially so, given that if any of the Russian nuclear weapons were to be fired, Russian targets will receive a barrage by conventional weapons, that will annihilate the military targets at which they would be fired {as distinct from the civilian areas that the Russians attack with air and ground launched missiles and artillery rounds}. That conventional weapons barrage would occur before the US, the UK, France, Germany or any other country, apart from Russia, ever fired any nuclear weapons.
As I was thinking about the possibility of Russia ending up requesting NATO for assistance in their defence, another possibility occurred to me. Such a situation could occur if, about ten years ago, Russia decided that taking Ukraine was an all or nothing gambit. They realised that their oil and gas was only going to be a profitable market commodity for a limited number of years, given the push to "go green". So with an ever decreasing income, ageing manufacturing capacity and limited sea ports for distribution of their products, the acquisition of Ukraine, with its resources and the means of distributing products by sea, might have seemed to be a way of solving their dilemma. This situation would mean that they could attempt to take Ukraine and, if unsuccessful, could throw themselves on the mercy of what they refer to as the "west" which I prefer to call the "free world" {More inclusive}.
In the situation that I have outlined, the Russians could step, militarily, right up to the point of using nuclear weapons. They would know that there would be extremely limited chances of other countries striking their territory. They would also feel safe and assured that no nuclear weapons would be fired unless the Russians did so pre-emptively. At the point where they saw that their conventional weapons had been exhausted and their bluff, in terms of a nuclear weapons attack, had been "called", they would then have to concede defeat and rely on the "free world" for their protection {possibly from the Chinese}. The Russians would also know that the "free world" would not want to see the uncontrolled collapse of the Russian Federation. Those “free world” countries would then, in some ways, feel bound by their own concerns to support Russia. This could be accomplished by something akin to the "Marshall Plan" that was instituted, in Europe, following the second world war. In this way, the "free world" also has a positive outcome. However, during that time, Ukraine will have had to endure the agonies of war.
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