Comments by "PNH 6000" (@PNH-sf4jz) on "Russia and France are Already at War With Each Other" video.

  1. * Russia's revanchist ideas about re-establishing the former USSR, or the same by any other name, clearly indicate that Putin and the Russian political, military and media establishment would attack member countries of the NATO Defensive Alliance in order to achieve the clearly stated goals and objectives of Putin and the Russian establishment. Considering that Putin and the rest of the Russian establishment believe that any area of land or country where Russia previously held control is Russian territory by inference, many of those countries are at risk. Russia is highly unlikely to display maps of its future plans to invade any country in advance. With regard to Russia's invasion and WAR, waged against Ukraine, Russia even stated, right up to the day, that there was no reason to invade Ukraine {a second time, following the 2014 invasion} and that Russia would not do so. Yet that is exactly what Russia did, with less that 24 hours notice. In the following essay, I have referred to the Google "Map Of Europe." The countries to the East of Russia are not the only ones at imminent risk of attack by Russian military forces, but also the Baltic countries of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, and also Poland, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. All of these, Russia considers Russian territory; that is "illegally occupied". Hence the reason that Russia claims they will not attack any other European country. "They are all Russia". Given the current political situation in Hungary and Slovakia, either or both of those countries could possibly capitulate following successful attacks, by the Russians, on Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. It is not a matter of what Russia is actually ABLE to do. It is really a question as to whether Russia, delusionally {in the strict sense of the word, to my way of thinking}, or in spite of Russia's apparent ignorance of their real and inadequate military capacity against that of the NATO Defensive Alliance {32 countries} and other supporting countries {~30 at present}, believe that they can achieve their stated goals and objectives of re-instituting the former USSR, by that or any other name. And we know that the intended "revanchism" has been recently and regularly stated by Putin and others in Russia, directly and implicitly. To accomplish Russia's goals and objectives, Russia would have to attack NATO Defensive Alliance member countries. First, Moldova, {not an Alliance member country}, then connecting with Transnistria (1), on the long {aprox 200 km} North-Eastern border between Ukraine and Moldova, where ~500 or more {OGRF} (2) Russian military personnel are said to be stationed. Then Romania and Bulgaria, both NATO Alliance member countries, but difficult to support from the West because of the Carpathian Mountains and, if they chose to support Russia, Hungary and Slovakia to the North-West. This portion of the {possible} Russian plan would have to be completed by surprise and with guile, subterfuge and speed, which we know to be trade-marks of the Russian style of operation. At this stage, with the Eastern portions of Ukraine illegally occupied and controlled by the Russians; Georgia, on the Eastern side of the Black Sea, effectively hobbled; Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria secured; the only other country with a Black Sea coastline is Turkey. The question would then arise as to how much soft economic, or hard military pressure would have to imposed by Russia to make Turkey compliant to Russia's wishes and intentions. At which time, the Azov and Black Seas become, effectively, a Russian Azov/Black Sea lake. "NATO Defensive Alliance, Article 5. The key section of the NATO Defensive Alliance Treaty is Article 5. Its commitment clause defines the "casus foederis". It commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in the areas defined by Article 6, to be an armed attack against them all." The Russians, having accomplished their goal of control of the Black Sea, will have effectively covered the Southern flank of any possible attack against them as they proceed East via the 100 km {~60 mile} Suwalki Gap, via Belarus. Though, by this time, the NATO Defensive Alliance member countries will have been fully mobilised, under NATO Article 5, as a result of Russian attacks on Romania and Bulgaria. Troops from NATO member countries would then be free to cross and operate against the Russians within the Polish and Ukrainian borders {with the permission and approval of each country}. It is not surprising that Poland has considerably strengthened their defenses on their Northern and Eastern borders. The Suwalki Gap traverses the Northern portion of the Polish border, adjacent to the Lithuanian border. It may be considered and has been referred to as the "THE MOST DANGEROUS PLACE ON EARTH. In a showdown between Russia and NATO, the 'Suwałki Gap' would likely be the first point of contact. By Matthew Karnitschnig in Druskininkai, Lithuania". The Russians would then be likely to mount an assault on the 100 km {~60 mile} long Suwalki Gap, between Belarus and the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad. The Russians have conventional and, it is generally believed, nuclear weapons in Kaliningrad. Russia is also understood to have moved nuclear weapons into Belarus. With the Suwalki Gap secured, Russia will have successfully divided the Southern European countries from the Northern Baltic and Scandinavian countries. Russia will also have carved a direct route from Russia to the Baltic Sea. Then the very small countries of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. In Russia's attempts to accomplish these goals and objectives, and irrespective of their possible success or failure, Russia could be the cause of hundreds of thousands {possibly millions} of deaths of civilians and military personnel and massive levels of destruction. All of which we have already seen, as a result of Russian military actions in Ukraine, Chechnya, Georgia, Syria and other countries. However, future outcomes of Russia's aggression could be on a very much larger scale, without any compunction or moral scruple, of any sort, on Russia's part. Russia's claim is, "The only rule of WAR is the outcome", which is a direct counter to, and repudiation of all the international agreements to which Russia is signatory. But, we have already seen, on numerous occasions, that Russia has no regard for Agreements, Memoranda and Treaties when they do not match or coincide with Russia's immediate needs, interests or wishes. The issue is not whether Russia can subjugate, subordinate and dominate other countries, but instead, the death and destruction that Russia will cause in attempting to achieve those goals and objectives. All the death and destruction in Ukraine is intended to intimidate, not only Ukrainians, but also the populations in Western Europe. This is, presumably, in an effort to "encourage" or "persuade" Europeans to sacrifice Ukraine {and possibly other smaller countries} with the intention of saving themselves from a similar fate to that imposed by the Russians on Ukraine. However, such a sacrifice will not save Western Europeans, but rather, will just postpone the inevitable future attacks by Russia. Particularly as Russia gets stronger and more confident with each conquest. We have also seen that Russia seems oblivious to the difference between the combined resources of the NATO Defensive Alliance of 32 countries and the ~30 additional countries assisting and supporting Ukraine, with respect to Russia's own resources as well as other resources available to Russia from Iran, North Korea, possibly China and any other countries that may support Russia. ============================ Anyone not already familiar with the videos on Julia Davis' "Russian Media Monitor" YouTube website, I recommend web-searching and viewing them. They are extracts from material presented to the Russian population through Russian TV broadcasts, with very clear and, I believe, accurate English language subtitles. Some of the material could variously be described as horrifying, unbelievable, comical in its absurdity, confronting and numerous other descriptive words. A recent video is entitled: "Vladimir Solovyov wants to nuke Western cities". Duration: 4:24 min. Please do check them out. Another website, that may be of interest, consists of interviews with 'ordinary' Russians in the street about their views on a wide range of topics. Those videos can be seen on Daniil Orain's YouTube website, "1420". References from Wikipedia: 1) "Lying between the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine, Transnistria is 200 kilometres in length, and in some places only two kilometres wide. This strip of land is officially called the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR), and has a population of around 500,000." 2) "The Operational Group of Russian Forces {OGRF} in Transnistria is a sizable overseas military task force of the Russian Armed Forces." The OGRF ostensibly remains in Transnistria to guard the ammunition depot at Cobasna. It also provides additional support to the Armed Forces of Transnistria. Today, around 350–400 {Russian} troops with the operational force report directly to the JCC and can be assigned to it at any given time." 3) The JCC. "Following the Transnistria War, the Joint Control Commission {JCC} was established on the initiative of Moldovan and Russian presidents Mircea Snegur and Boris Yeltsin by the signing of a cease-fire agreement on July 21, 1992. It consists of soldiers and officers from Moldovan, Transnistian and Russian military."
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