Comments by "PNH 6000" (@PNH-sf4jz) on "Russia's Fall Offensive Has Failed Disastrously" video.

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  4.  @moffig1  Rapid End to WAR & Attrition of Military Resources. Many people are saying, "There has been too little progress" and "We could have ended this WAR last year, if Ukraine had been given all they needed". What people seem to forget, or simply do not know, is what is demonstrated in just a few categories of hardware and equipment, as can be seen on the "ORYX equipment losses in Ukraine" website: This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Russia: Total recorded hardware and Tank losses 24 Feb 2022 to 20 Oct 2023 Total - 12656, of which: destroyed: 8760, damaged: 524, abandoned: 477, captured: 2895 Tanks - 2404, of which destroyed: 1571, damaged: 137, abandoned: 146, captured: 550 Ukraine: Total recorded hardware and Tank losses 24 Feb 2022 to 20 Oct 2023 Total - 4604, of which: destroyed: 3125, damaged: 349, abandoned: 172, captured: 960 Tanks - 668, of which destroyed: 439, damaged: 54, abandoned: 33, captured: 142 #** February 2022 Russia had nearly 3 times as many tanks as Ukraine had prior to Feb 2022. -- Russia 3,400 tanks -- Ukraine 1,400 tanks {60% advantage to Russians} July 2023 Today, Ukraine's tank inventory is believed to be considerably better equipped and have greater capacity and firepower than the Russians and they now have more, outnumbering the Russians by ~50%. -- Russia 990 tanks -- Ukraine 1,500 tanks {50% advantage to Ukrainians} #+++ #** February 2022 Russia had 14% more heavy guns and artillery in Feb 2022 -- Russia 2,200 Artillery/Heavy guns -- Ukraine 1,900 Artillery/Heavy guns {14% advantage to Russians} July 2023 Today, the Artillery and heavy guns inventories are: -- Russia 773 Artillery/Heavy guns -- Ukraine 1,100 Artillery/Heavy guns {42% advantage to Ukrainians} #+++ #** February 2022 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems {MLRS} -- Russia 1,100 MLRS -- Ukraine 840 MLRS {25% advantage to Russians} July 2023 Today, the numbers of MLRS are: -- Russia 354 MLRS -- Ukraine 427 MLRS {20% advantage to Ukrainians} #+++ Had an all out WAR been fought in the early months of 2022, Russia would have had an advantage of nearly 3:1 against Ukraine in terms of military hardware. That may well have been greater because of Russian levels of preparedness, training of military personnel on the various platforms, and the elements of logistics and supply. Today, Russia's inventory of military hardware is believed to actually be less than that of Ukraine in all the categories above. Ukraine has depleted Russia of much of its hardware, probably most of the best of the Russian troops and massive amounts of ammunition and also a lot of the infrastructure; railways, roads and bridges that Russia relies on for movement of troops, hardware and ammunition. That depletion of Russian military assets continues. By this gradual process of attrition of the hardware, equipment, ammunition and {unfortunately, from a humanitarian perspective} Russian military personnel, I believe that many lives, particularly of Ukrainian civilians and military personnel, have been saved.
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  5. Some figures regarding the relative strengths of Ukraine and Russia. 44 million total population of Ukraine 67% of population are 15-64 years of age = 29.48 million men and women 46.3% M/F 53.7% = 13.65 million men 144 million total population of Russia. 67% of population are 15-64 years of age = 96.48 million men and women 46.5% M/F 53.5% = 44.8 million men Another way of calculating Ukrainian fighting men available is based on remaining population in Ukraine (the statistics being somewhat variable by virtue of movements to and from regions and other countries) Ukraine population as at 8 Mar 2023 = 36.3 million after subtracting refugees to other countries 67% of population are 15-64 years of age = 24.32 {possibly higher %age} 46.3% M/F 53.7% = 11.19 {will be higher %age} Adjustment for refugees to men remaining = 13.56 million men {44/36.3} A reasonable estimate of able bodied Ukrainians to able bodied Russians would be approximately 15 million Ukrainians to 45 million Russians. While the same figures are not likely to be maintained across all front lines and in all scenarios, the relative losses in the Bakhmut front are reported to be 7 Russian military personnel KIA to each Ukrainian member KIA. Even if the ratios balance out between 7:1 and 3:1, the total losses are going to be 45 million Russians to 15 million Ukrainians. Let's hope that the Russians decide that enough is enough, long before those figures are reached. 🇺🇦 Victory for Ukraine, Absolute Victory 🇺🇦
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