Comments by "PNH 6000" (@PNH-sf4jz) on "Russia is Completely Unprotected in Ukraine Right Now" video.
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Agreed.
Threat to oil and gas supplies,
threat of use of missiles fitted with nuclear war-heads,
threats to Finland and Sweden regarding their accession to NATO,
threats against Lithuania regarding their imposition of EU sanctions on goods to Kaliningrad,
threats against some identified and other unspecified "unfriendly countries".
These threats sound very much like the type of behaviour in which school bullies indulge. Those same bullies likewise, when they fear the odds are against them attempt to hide behind the protection of adults, often by lying about their own behaviour, and maliciously accusing the victims of their attacks, as though the victims were the perpetrators.
Big, bad, bold, tough Russia, wanting to hide behind the petti-coats of Ukraine for their protection. Absolutely pathetic.
And to achieve their goal, they have no qualms about the murder and destruction that they cause.
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I believe that you have incorrect or unreliable sources for your information, Christian Marrero.
According to the Turkish Anadolu Agency website, the following figures, from Ukrainian sources were reported on the 23 June 2022, by Ali Cura and Ali Murat Alhas. It is interesting to note that the conflict is not referred to a "special military operation", as preferred by Russian connections, but as a WAR.
Quote:
----- "KYIV, Ukraine/ANKARA
The Ukrainian General Staff on Thursday said the Russian army has suffered casualties in the direction of the Bakhmut city of Ukraine's eastern Donetsk region as the war marks its 120th day.
The Ukrainian body said in a statement that the Russian side lost a total of 34,430 troops, along with 1,504 battle tanks, 3,632 armored vehicles, 756 artillery systems, 240 multiple-launch rocket systems, 99 air defense systems, and 2,548 private vehicles and tankers.
The statement also said Ukraine's army took down 216 warplanes, 183 helicopters, and 620 unmanned drones, and struck 14 vessels and towing systems.
According to the statement, the Russian army has advanced towards the eastern city of Severodonetsk in the Luhansk region while facing casualties around Bakhmut.
Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoygu announced earlier on March 25 that the count of soldiers lost was 1,351.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Rezkinov confirmed on his Twitter account that the US-made HIMARS multiple rocket launcher systems arrived in Ukraine.
"Thank you to my American colleague and friend (US Secretary of Defense) Lloyd J. Austin III for these powerful tools!" he said. "Summer will be hot for Russian occupiers. And the last one for some of them."
Experts argue that the HIMARS system, capable of performing precision strikes on mid-range, might cause serious attrition for the Russian army and slow down its offensive.
More than 4,600 civilians have been killed in Ukraine since the war began on Feb. 24.
Around 15 million people have been forced to flee their homes, with more than 8 million moving to neighboring countries, according to UN data.βββββββ" {End Quote.}
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βΒ @mrdisco99Β
Your response,
"that's not worth much as long as Turkey still controls the way out of the Black Sea.",
implies that there may be some restriction placed by Turkey to access and egress from the Black Sea, of Russian ships. This is not likely as I understand the situation.
With loading of oil in the Azov or Black Sea ports, that Russia already has, even without Ukranian ports, and no reason to expect limitations by Turkey, itself a consumer of Russian oil and gas, on the transport by sea, of Russian oil and even gas in LPG form, it would seem superfluous and equally, if not more dangerous, to take the Iranian route.
I cannot see the advantage, to the Russians, of an overland pipeline to and through the Caspian Sea, then overland through Iran, to Iranian ports on the Persian Gulf or the Arabian Sea.
There is also a huge disparity between the cost of any drones that Russia may purchase and any advantage that Russia may otherwise gain as a result of such an agreement with Iran.
Which then brings us back to the Azov and Black Seas.
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Β @mrdisco99Β
You hit the nail on the head when you said that "Turkey has already interfered with shipments of stolen grain." That was, presumably, because the grain was stolen. That is just an indicator of Russian ethics on the international arena.
As I said before, there is no reason to believe that Turkey would prevent access and egress to the Black Sea, further corroborated by your own statement that ".... previous agreements would prevent Turkey from interfering with legit oil shipments, .... ". I've replaced the word "prevent", with the words "..... make it difficult for.... "
So why would Russia be making arrangements with Iran? Particularly when, as you allude to in your comment, ".... if they can get a lasting partnership {with Iran} and the infrastructure." Lasting, possibly, being the operative word.
Your arguments regarding the tenuous connection between the purchase of UAV's from Iran and some questionable arrangements for transport and transit rights for Russian oil and gas through Iran, rest on too many suppositions, and appear to me to offer too few benefits, and fragile ones at that, to Russia.
Having cleared land and set sail from an Iranian port, there is also the issue of safety at sea, in the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea:
https://safety4sea.com/security-warning-for-the-red-sea-persian-gulf-and-western-indian-ocean-region/
----- {"On 1 September 2021 the US Maritime Administration (MARAD) issued a revised advisory to US flagged commercial vessels operating in the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Red Sea, and Western Indian Ocean.
----- "The advisory warns that regional conflict, heightened military activity, and increased political tensions continue to pose threats to merchant vessels operating in these geographical areas.
----- "It further states that threats may come from a number of different sources including, but not limited to, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), limpet mines, explosive boats, and pirates. With little or no warning, vessels operating in these areas may also encounter navigation or communication disruptions, such as GPS interference, AIS spoofing, and bridge-to-bridge communications spoofing."}
https://www.gard.no/web/updates/content/30998194/maritime-security-recommendations-for-operations-in-the-persian-gulf
----- {"On 5 January 2021, the Round Table of Industry Associations and OCIMF jointly published a set of recommended risk mitigating measures for vessels operating in the Persian (Arabian) Gulf, Gulf of Oman, Gulf of Aden and Red Sea. This was done in response to the 31 December 2020 incident, where a Liberian-flagged tanker identified the presence of a suspicious object, later reported to be a limpet mine, attached to its hull whilst conducting STS operations off Iraq. There is apparently no indication where or when the device was attached to the vesselβs hull or who did this. It is also understood that officials from Iraq safely removed the device."}
I think that ships carrying oil for Russia would not be immune to such operations.
Which again brings us back to the question of control of the Azov Sea and most of the Black Sea.
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It is amazing that Big, Bad, Bold, Tough Russia and Big, Bad, Bold, Tough Poo-tin and their Moscow menagerie, has to hide behind the petti-coats and hang on to the apron strings of their little sister, Ukraine, for protection as a "buffer zone". How Pathetic.
Despite having a huge land mass and being blessed with great natural resources, Russia, just like the spoilt bratt or the school bully, has to try to take what belongs to someone else. Then when they are found out, they hide behind others and attempt to blame the victim. This is what most of the false information and obfuscation {just learned that word a while ago and it is so apt} that the pro-Poo-tin and pro-Russian trolls are trying to spread on Russia's behalf, against Ukraine.
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