Comments by "PNH 6000" (@PNH-sf4jz) on "Russia Wants Alaska Returned to their Empire" video.
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As I understand the Ukrainian position, there is absolutely no chance of Ukraine entering into "negotiations" with Russia while Russian military forces and administrative personnel remain of Ukrainian internationally recognised territory and within the Ukrainian borders so defined.
Russia stated, right up to the day, that that there was no reason to invade Ukraine and that they would not do so. Yet that is exactly what they did. The Russian form of "diplomacy" is fired from the barrels of machine-guns, by tanks, artillery, fighter jets and from the bellies of Tu-95 heavy bombers.
Not just the countries to the East of Russia are threatened, but also the Baltic countries of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, as well as Poland, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. Hungary and Slovakia would possibly capitulate with the attack by the Russians on Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria.
It is not a matter of what Russia is ABLE to do, in terms of their goals, objectives and aspirations. It is really a question as to whether they, delusionally {in the strict sense of the word, to my way of thinking}, or in spite of Russia's total ignorance of their real and inadequate military capacity, believe that they can achieve their stated goals and objectives of re-instituting the former USSR, as a Union, such as currently exists between Belarus and Russia, or any other name.
And yes, the intended "revanchism" has been stated by Putin and others, directly and implicitly.
To accomplish those goals, Russia would have to attack other NATO Defensive Alliance member countries. First, Moldova, {not a Defensive Alliance member country}, then connecting with Transnistria (1), on the long {aprox 200 km} North-Eastern border between Ukraine and Moldova, where ~500 Russian {OGRF} military personnel (2) are said to be stationed. Then Russia would possibly attack Romania and Bulgaria, both NATO Defensive Alliance member countries, but difficult to support from the West because of the Carpathian Mountains and also the positions of the recalcitrant countries, Hungary and Slovakia to the North-West.
"Thursday, 18 January 2024. At a meeting held on 18 January, the Moldovan delegation to the Joint Control Commission (JCC) demanded an investigation into Russian military exercises held on 22 December near the administrative border between the right and left banks of the Dniester. The Joint Control Commission is a joint military command structure from Moldova, Transnistria and Russia that operates in the demilitarised zone on the border between Moldova and Ukraine."
Hungary and Slovakia may capitulate, or even support Russia from the North-West, if Russia attacks Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. This portion of the {possible} Russian plan would have to be completed by surprise, and with subterfuge and speed, which we know to be the predominant style for Russian attacks.
At this stage, with the Eastern portions of Ukraine illegally occupied and controlled by the Russians, Georgia effectively hobbled, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria secured, the only other country with a Black Sea coastline is Turkey. How much pressure would Russia have to impose to make Turkey compliant to Russia's wishes and intentions. At which time, the Azov and Black Seas become, effectively, a Russian Azov/Black Sea lake.
Having accomplished control of the Black Sea, Russia will have effectively covered the Southern flank of any possible attack against them as they proceed East, through Belarus and via the Suwalki Gap. Though, by this time, the NATO Defensive Alliance member countries will have been fully mobilised, under article 5, and free to cross Polish and Ukrainian borders {with the permission and approval of each country} against the Russians. No wonder Poland has strengthened their Northern and Eastern borders. Poland shares a border with Lithuania through which the Suwalki Gap passes.
{Article 5. The key section of the {NATO Defensive Alliance} treaty is Article 5. Its commitment clause defines the "casus foederis". It commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in the areas defined by Article 6, to be an armed attack against them all.}
Next would likely be an assault on the 100 km {~60 mile} Suwalki Gap between Belarus and Kaliningrad, where the Russians have conventional and, it is generally believed, nuclear weapons. Russia has apparently moved nuclear weapons into Belarus. With the Suwalki Gap secured, Russia will have successfully divided the Southern European countries from those in the North, and have carved a direct route from Russia, via Belarus, to the Baltic Sea.
Then the very small countries of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. In Russia's attempts to accomplish these goals and objectives, and irrespective of their success or failure, Russia can be the cause of hundreds of thousands {possibly millions} of deaths of civilians and military personnel and massive destruction. All of which we have seen in Ukraine, Chechnya, Georgia, Syria and other countries, but this will be on a very much larger scale, without any compunction or moral scruple of any sort on Russia's part. Russia's claim is, "The only rule of WAR is the outcome", which is a direct counter to, and repudiation of all the international agreements to which Russia is signatory.
The issue is not whether Russia can subjugate, subordinate and dominate other countries, but rather, the death and destruction that Russia will cause in attempting to achieve those goals and objectives. And all the death and destruction in Ukraine is intended to intimidate, not only Ukrainians, but also the populations in Western Europe, presumably, in an effort to "encourage" Europeans to sacrifice Ukraine to save themselves from a similar fate. However, such a sacrifice will be in vain and will not save Western Europeans, but rather, will just postpone the inevitable future attacks by Russia.
We have also seen that Russia seems oblivious to the difference between the combined resources of the 31 NATO Defensive Alliance countries and the 30 additional countries assisting and supporting Ukraine, and Russia's own resources and any other resources available to Russia from Iran, North Korea, possibly China and any other countries.
If you are not already familiar with the videos on Julia Davis' "Russian Media Monitor" YouTube website, it may be worth your while web-searching them. They are extracts from material presented to the Russian population through Russian TV broadcasts, with very clear and understandable English language subtitles. Some of the material could variously be described as horrifying, unbelievable, comical in its absurdity, confronting and numerous other descriptive words. Please do check them out.
Another website, that may be of interest, consists of interviews with 'ordinary' Russians in the street about their views on a wide range of topics, including the WAR, waged by Russia against Ukraine. Those videos can be seen on Daniil Orain's YouTube website, "1420".
References from Wikipedia:
1) "Lying between the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine, Transnistria is 200 kilometres in length, and in some places only two kilometres wide. This strip of land is officially called the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR), and has a population of around 500,000."
2) "The Operational Group of Russian Forces {OGRF} in Transnistria is a sizable overseas military task force of the Russian Armed Forces."
"The OGRF ostensibly remains in Transnistria to guard the ammunition depot at Cobasna. It also provides additional support to the Armed Forces of Transnistria. Today, around 350–400 troops with the operational force report directly to the JCC and can be assigned to it at any given time."
3) The {JCC} Joint Control Commission (Romanian: Comisia Unificată de Control, COC; Russian: Объединенная контрольная комиссия, (ОКК) is a tri-lateral peacekeeping force and joint military command structure from Moldova, Transnistria, and Russia that operates in a demilitarized zone on the border between the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine. The disputed territory between the two is controlled by the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (Transnistria, PMR)."
Other Sources:
Atlantic Council
Putin’s dreams of a new Russian Empire are unraveling in Ukraine By Mark Temnycky Ukraine Alert April 25, 2023"
"Putin revives Soviet-sized ambitions in Europe"
By Ned Temko Correspondent January 6, 2022 | London"
"Georgia at risk amid Putin’s push to restore USSR
EURACTIV Media network. By Roman Rukomeda 6 Sept 2022"
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