Comments by "People Liberator" (@lvjinbin28) on "Beijing, Manila trade blame over collisions in South China Sea" video.
-
1
-
Taiwan still claims the 11-dash line today, because ROC claimed the 11-dash line in 1945. At that time, the West and the Soviet Union supported the Chinese claim, and the US navy even gave 4 warships to the Chinese in 1946. The PRC inherited the 11-dash line after kicked off ROC to Taiwan in 1949. PRC gave Bach Long Vi Island to North Vietnam in 1957, so CCP only claimed the 9-dash line since then. anyway, Should you blame the United States for not giving the South China Sea to the American Philippines? When the Chinese claimed the 11-dash line, all countries in Southeast Asia were Western colonies so they didn't oppose, Isn't it too late now?
China is a signatory to UNCLOS, but the United States is not, The 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration Arbitral is not a court under the United Nations. The United Nations supports the South China Sea Code of Conduct. Your media can keep telling you what you want to hear, but the point is that you can’t convince the Chinese people, so what’s the use of this kind of propaganda? So it's useless if the United Nations and China does not recognize it, If you want such false sense of legitimacy, China can use money and form a court with Russia and Cambodia.
As for why the West and the Soviet Union supported ROC in 1945, it was actually because the Chinese contributed the most and sacrificed the most in Asia World War II, suffering tens of millions of deathes and casualties and also killing more Japanese than all Southeast Asian countries combined. If more Japanese died at the hands of the Philippine army rather than Chinese Kuomingtang or CCP, then the United States and Soviet will naturally reward the Philippines more, This is the international reality written by war and strength.Therefore, the United States supported the Chinese in regaining Manchuria, Taiwan, the South China Sea, Roosevelt even let the Kuomintang control Ryukyu and put garrison Japan, but Chiang Kai-shek refused due to civil war.
Today, Greece controls 99% of the islands in the Aegean Sea, but not all of the Aegean Sea, only the territorial waters and EEZ around the islands. Does it sound very similar to Chinese claim? Turkey can only controls 1% in the Aegean Sea, The Turkish navy violates Greek territorial waters almost as soon as they leaves port. Why is it so unfair? Because Greece stood in the winner's side of the First Balkan War, World War I, and World War II, Greece was lucky enough to gradually seize Turkey's sphere of influence after each war.
60% of China's energy and trade pass through the South China Sea. Will the United States let China and Russia control the Caribbean Sea? Therefore, the islands in the South China Sea legally belong to China's territory. In terms of geopolitical and strategic security, China will not hesitate to go to war with the United States for controling its own lifeline. In 2016, two U.S. aircraft carriers faced off against China's elite naval vessels, like World War 3 was imminent. But when Chinese official media released the coordinates of the U.S. aircraft carrier, the U.S. aircraft carrier run away from the confrontation and left to philippine sea. USA's such cowardice greatly disappointed the pro-American proxies around the South China Sea, especially the Philippines, Vietnam and Singapore.
Therefore, Duterte suddenly turned pro-China and even anti-American. He believed that if the United States was afraid to attack PLA and ran away, then United States should not push the Philippines to die in vain against China, because it's so clearly the Philippines alone would not be able to defeat China, Because PLA navy is the second largest in the world and has more ships than the United States, Today's PLA navy is even much bigger than it was in 2016. maybe the United States should attack PLA first, and the Philippines could follow behind. or Duterte is unwilling to be cannon fodder for the United States, Duterte seems smarter than Zelensky.
Regarding the sudden geopolitical change of the Philippines, China no longer maintains a tough attitude, because China still needs more ASEAN countries to be pro-China. Therefore, in order to win over the Philippines and prevent the United States from getting involved in the South China Sea, China stopped the militarization of Huangyan Island and allowed Filipino fishermen to enter Chinese waters, supports exports and infrastructure construction to the Philippines, and even gives Duterte weapons to fight the rebels. However, as Marcos came to power, he welcomed more US military bases near Taiwan and joined the anti-China military encirclement, new Bamboo Curtain. Marcos becomes a pro-American invader. clearly China's concession to the invader, but the enemy is not grateful, so Why should China compromise more? Taiwan, which is pro-American, has not given up on the 11-dash line to this day, why powerful Bejing should?
Indonesian Jokowi Government is also smarter, he rejected the US military base and China doesn't touch Natuna, and even gave Indonesia a high-speed rail at a low price, Even the Vietcong is more cautious but stay neutral. For example, when South Vietnam joined the anti-communist Bamboo Curtain and the Southeast Asia Treaty Organization(SEATO), Mao continued to provide food and military aid to the Vietcong for 29 years to attack South Vietnam until French American troops withdrew. When Vietnam was unified, the Vietcong inherited the Xisha and Nansha claimed by South Vietnam, and even occupied Cambodia and Laos, after Vietcong expelled the Chinese minority, the boat people and joined the anti-China military alliance of the Soviet Union 1978, and Deng Xiaoping attacked Le Duan in 1979 until Vietnam retreat from Laos Cambodia 1991, The three Indochina wars taught the Vietnamese that they could not contain China on behalf of the United States and the Soviet Union. Neutrality was the only option to maintain security, prosperity and independence. The United States and the Soviet Union were simply unable to militarily deter the poor and backward CCP in the past(proxy war in Korea Vietnam Afghanistan), Can USA deter CCP today?
If the United States wants to rewrite the order of World War II, US navy needs to defeat China and then formulate a new international order as the winner in Cold War 2.0 even World War III, China will also regard the Philippines as Asia's Cuba, another Vietnam, and a new Ukraine.
1