Youtube comments of Peter (@peter65zzfdfh).

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  574. There's not really such a thing as 'exceeding grid capacity' on a national level. There has ALWAYS been times and locations where a specific area may end up exceeding its local capacity, usually at a peak time (when everyone is getting home from work/school usually), and there's been a lot of excessive building to avoid that. EVs are actually somewhat of an answer to the problem, as there's no reason they need to be charged at that peak time, there's no reason they need to have any negative impact to the grid at that time. If managed right they can actually reduce strain on the grid by charging from those intermittent renewables or when base load has surplus overnight, and have it available for use during peak events. Heat pumps use much much less power than resistive electric heaters, so the overall impact of them is likely a reduction in electricity usage for heating, even if some people are switching from gas. Peak heating demand just isn't at the same time as peak electricity demand. That's more often peak cooling demand (eg, people get home from work in the middle of summer and the house is all hot). So air conditioners are the biggest culprit for grid capacity demands, not so much during the day when solar is probably around, but on very overcast hot days or just after sunset. Most of trying to address capacity is really just dealing with an hour or two of that 'peak' demand, something that tends to rely on batteries / hydro etc to get through. If you snapped your fingers tomorrow and literally EVERYONE had an EV, then maybe they could be a problem. But in reality they are still a small % of the vehicle fleet and that's not likely to change dramatically for the better part of a decade unless you're in Norway.
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  593. A Rav 4 hybrid (no plugin in available here) vs a Kona EV are basically the same cost within $1k. I can't see why anyone would get the hybrid unless they had no ability to charge at home or regularly drove very long distances. The issue is batteries degrade based on cycles, so a larger battery will cycle less. Doubt it is actually 65x less battery in a hybrid, as that would mean it would wear out nearly 65x as fast if you were driving it optimally. Since the market seems to be cooling on EVs it no longer seems to be resource constrained, so that would have been a good argument a few years ago when the market was red hot during the pandemic, but then the supply chain seemed to be constrained by other electronics. Whether you get EV costs recouped depends on how much you pay for power, how far you drive, how much you pay for fuel, how long you keep the vehicle etc (and how much those cost into the future). If you aren't likely to get your costs recouped you probably drive very very little and there's a strong case for not buying a new car at all. Especially not a hybrid which has the most complex drive train and highest maintenance costs. There's an argument that they could make EVs with half the size of battery, and they would cost less than an ICE vehicle (many less parts, much less complex vehicles). And that would suit most people that don't actually go that far even in Australia or the US. But it seems like they first had to address the top end of the market because they were constrained just on the number of bodies they could build and so went for the highest profit margin which = big batteries.
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  686. I haven’t ever heard of this straw man argument against solar you’re debunking. The legitimate argument is where the rate paid for energy fed back into the grid is the same or higher than the cost, eg, if you’re putting in a kw at midday when solar is plentiful but taking it back at midnight you’ve not accounted for the line losses, or the more expensive generation costs when cheap solar isn’t available. Eg in Australia some houses are paid 2x for solar what electricity costs to buy back, encouraging them to not consume when there’s an oversupply of solar to the point the energy cost is actually negative at that point. Meanwhile they buy back that energy cheaper in peak periods when demand is high causing energy costs to spike and gas generation to have to turn on. I’m a major solar proponent, and it’s always positive if incentives are right. But this video misses the mark. Energy costs are regulated in much of the world and poorly designed incentives absolutely and unequivocally do increase costs for other people who can’t install solar. That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t install solar, it means older overly generous incentives need to be rolled back, and further incentives need to encourage self consumption instead of flooding the grid that can’t handle the excess. With regulated publicly owned utilities, for whom profit isn’t a prime concern they absolutely do cover costs by charging higher costs to those that cannot get solar in return for over-paying for solar. And yes you’re right that if they made net metering households pay what they cost they would disconnect and exacerbate the problem. Fortunately in Australia the issue is being dealt with in a way that isn’t reducing solar uptake feed in tariffs are around 8c while energy costs are around 32c. This makes solar a benefit for the grid, while still allowing installs to pay for themselves in a reasonable period. There is still periods and locations where wind and solar provide > 100% of the grid which means paying a feed in tariff is literally throwing money away for energy that you also have to pay someone to take, or start curtailing wind etc. And much of the grid has to be upgraded just to handle all the power flowing the opposite direction. Effectively using the grid as a free battery. You might be right if the US has very low penetration it’s not yet a big issue, but in Australia it is absolutely a major issue. I’d be very surprised if it’s not an issue in California.
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  1016. You need to experience a decent, modern, inverter unit. They throttle down and do not need to blow air that fast, also one of the reason for larger ducts is so that the air velocity can actually be lower, so there's less of a breeze than with a gas furnace. Gas furnaces need to be warmer to avoid what you get for free with a larger heat pump vent (or a split system). Also more oversized units (as Alec points out) will have a higher minimum flow rate, thus probably lead to more colder air, vs a right sized unit that doesn't need to push as much are at a minimum, but can fill it with more heat per unit volume at the more efficient setting. Gas here increased in price about 10x over the last 10 years. I saved a heap switching away from it. It's a white elephant here, a massive cost saving to go to heat pumps. Also the irony in you believing if there was a dire threat we'd be moving away while noting the unstoppable impact of companies and governments pushing the responsibility onto you so they don't have to take any? Yeah, that's why we've not made major moves. People whined about 'paid bags' at stores here for all of 2 months before 99% of people brought their own reusable bags they bought once for $1 then used for the next 5 years, and everyone else got on with it. I get it change feels hard, but it's honestly not. Hope you get better from your depression. Things are not as bad as you think, the solutions are easy and convenient, once people swore they'd never use computers, then never use mobile phones, then never use the internet, now those people are swearing off whatever else on that internet they swore they'd never use.
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  1383. This isn't actually true with modern AC units, they use less power per unit of heat/cool at lower utilization, as they have inverters and ramp down to lower settings that allow them to more efficiently exchange the heat. They also tend to have a 'minimum' they can run at based on the size of the unit. So a very small unit will 99.9% of the time actually use less power for the same result as a larger unit, assuming the outdoor exchanger is the same size (there are several breaks in indoor sizes where they share the same outdoor unit). Because they ramp down, and are more efficient, the air temperature exiting the ducts doesn't need to be much warmer than the indoor air at all. Yes, if you have a horrifically insulated home, you might feel it needs to be, but any bare minimum modern standard home, you do not want 140 degree air, you will have a boiling hot part of the room and a freezing part of the room when what you want is the whole room being warm. The 'resistive backup' if you watched the video is in case the entire system fails so that pipes don't freeze, not to be used on 99.8% of days. Here we don't get freezing pipes, we wouldn't need any backup. But if you're running a 'resistive backup' for only a couple of hours a year, a smaller system for most of the year will save you money as most of the time it will run in a more efficient zone. Also if you watched the video the ducts are inside, so any heat escaping them is entering the house anyway, more evenly than a furnace blasting it out the vent before shutting off a few seconds later or overheating the whole room.
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  1393.  @juaecheverria0  electric cars are actually much much simpler. There are many fewer parts and things that need maintenance to wear out. That’s why electric cars actually came first, they’re so simple. The advantage gas has isn’t simplicity, it’s energy density. There’s many *more* computers in a modern gas car than a modern electric car. They haven’t been computer-less mechanical beasts since at least the 80’s. There’s zero reason EV charging itself is more complex, it’s so much simpler they don’t even have staff to maintain where you recharge which is why it seems harder, they’re taking something that requires next to zero maintenance and trying to get away with actually zero maintenance. The number of people out there putting petrol in their diesel cars etc it’s a wonder they still haven’t made refilling gas cars idiot proof in over a hundred years. EVs are better for almost everyone, their biggest issue is price and adjacent a lack of second hand vehicles. It’s only the 2-5% who really test their range more than annually. There’s no ‘forceful push’ people don’t have to buy EVs most people don’t. But isn’t it great that every EV sold means cheaper gas for people that can’t yet afford to upgrade to an EV or are in the few % that genuinely are still better off with gas? Less demand = lower gas prices than they would otherwise be. Imagine how antiquated it looks to people charging at home from free solar once a week that other people have to actually go somewhere and waste 10+ minutes a week to pay a ridiculous amount for gas.
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  1423. Well you're in luck. Winters have not gotten warmer or cooler minimums. The coldest it gets is basically unchanged pretty much any year this century. There are MORE warm days, but the cold days are not that much warmer, and the warm days are usually not that much warmer. It's just the balance that has shifted. And there's no sign that balance is doing anything but accelerating to the warmer side. If that's the coldest day of the year, and the other resistive heat was there already, it's likely the energy savings from a smaller system every other day will more than offset the cost of running resistive heat for those few hours. If it was weeks and weeks of several hours a day, then you'd have more of a point. Resistive heaters will generally last decades and decades though. I know people with them that have been there for 50 years. They are very dumb, 100% efficient devices. If it was 4F outside I'm not sure I'd hate them as a backup option. If it was regularly 4F outside for weeks and you had six feet of snow I'd get a ground source heat pump instead. Smart thermostats kind of negate the 'time to heat up' problem for Alec. If he's running the heat 24x7 to keep pipes from freezing then it's not coming up from freezing after he's walked in the door, it's always somewhat pleasant and automatically heats up in advance of it being required. Even here where I don't need heat on when I'm out, if it's that cold I can turn on the heat remotely and so walk into a warm house / or set it to wake up to a warm house, which is much better than going into a cold house and having to warm it up quickly.
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  1473. The main reason batteries aren't recycled at the moment is that so few actually reach end of life that the scale required to recycle them cheaply hasn't been there. In another 10-20 years as EVs actually start reaching end of life the materials will be worth recovering. That lithium is easier to get out of a battery than to mine again. Any new car is energy intensive to make, the quantity of steel etc in any vehicle puts the battery to shame. Even with fossil fuels for generation, they still emit less, and further away from where people breath it. But in most countries with any significant share of EVs 'most' power hasn't been from fossil fuels for many years, and many are actually struggling to find a place to dump excess renewables. (Here power is literally free between 11am and 2pm from some retailers, as they are PAID by the market to use it to lower the voltage on the line being caused by all the excess solar.) And those fossil fuel plants are providing baseload overnight, used or not. EVs are only really a problem to put power in if you MUST charge them at peak times (eg early evening). And no one ever claimed they're carbon neutral, that's a straw man if ever I saw one. Even a train isn't carbon neutral and that has no emissions and is about as energy efficient per pax as possible in both construction and running costs. They're LESS carbon than an ICE car though, after just a few years, assuming you actually drive anywhere near average. If you just sit and look at it, then no. And if you drive very very little, not replacing your car at all is a better option than either.
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  1519. 1. To get the required span, you need a cantilevered or suspension design. This means if one section fails, all the cantilevered sections will fail. To avoid this, you need more pillars and thus may not be able to fit ships past it at all. It was also built in the 70s when ships were much smaller and tunneling technology wasn't as advanced / comparatively priced. 2. Tugs both cannot stop a ship of this size while it is underway, and it's extremely dangerous for them to try. They're for helping it steer when it's basically stopped. You can confirm that answer both with the visual evidence that even full astern the ships own propeller which has way more thrust wasn't able to stop itself. And this article from last year. Discussing refusal of another much smaller ship to navigate another bridge. " Exposing a tug to the side of vessel where the safe passing distance was diminishing would not only have an expectation of push at all costs but … very quickly escalate to both dire and fatal consequences if exercised in reality " https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-12-03/icebreaker-nuyina-hit-hobart-tasman-bridge-in-modelling/103158228 So basically, their options were, replace the bridge with a tunnel, move the port to the east of the bridge. Or simply stop accepting what is these days a medium sized container ship from their port. And so they got away with it for many decades, as do most ports, until they don't. And this isn't a problem with just this bridge, this is something like 99.9% of bridges over busy ports. There's probably less than 5 that have artificial islands around their piers big enough to stop (ground) a ship. There's been 35 such incidents since 1960 worldwide.
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