Comments by "vk2ig" (@vk2ig) on "The END of Russian Aviation!? | Mentour NOW!" video.

Russian airlines will have a spares shortage until Russian industry can start making reverse-engineering parts.
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Even if AerCap (or other companies) get their aircraft back from Russia in good order and condition, this puts excess aircraft on the market, thus driving down leasing prices. That's unless AerCap sends off to long-term storage to wait until the return of the "good times" - in other words, it artificially creates a slight scarcity by limiting supply in order not to drive down prices.
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Every contract I've ever dealt with in delivering telecommunications infrastructure includes a "force majeure" clause as you describe it. It's up there with the IP clauses, etc, as part of a "standard template" for a contract nowadays.
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@hristohristov6118 Agree that the conflict - if it runs long enough - will likely restart the revival of the Russian aircraft manufacturing sector. It's not something which would start up overnight from its current state; but they do have a bit of a headstart - they can reverse-engineer any impounded Western aircraft or parts thereof and thumb their noses at international protests just like the USSR used to do. And a reverse-engineered aircraft still stays at the level of technology at which it was originally manufactured unless it is upgraded - how many of the USSR's top designers or their proteges are still around to design new or improved models? Russia has a good network of spies worldwide who can purloin industrial secrets, so they will have a steady flow of information coming in from the rest of the world - information which will allow them to build those items that they cannot buy legally due to sanctions. It's like winding the clock back to the days before Perestroika.
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@NicolaW72 We shouldn't make any Ilyushins about this?
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Hi Petter, Thanks for this video - very interesting. I'll repeat here a comment I've made below about the long term impact if this conflict and accompanying sanctions run long enough, and this the revival of the Russian aircraft manufacturing sector. It's not something which would start up overnight from its current state; but they do have a bit of a headstart - they can reverse-engineer any impounded Western aircraft or parts thereof and thumb their noses at international protests ... just like the USSR used to do. However; a reverse-engineered aircraft stays at the level of technology at which it was originally manufactured unless it is upgraded. Does Russia possess the same calibre of aircraft designers as the USSR did, or how many of the USSR's top designers of large aircraft (or their proteges) are still around to design new or improved models? Russia has a good network of spies worldwide who can purloin industrial secrets, so they will have a steady flow of information coming in from the rest of the world - information which will allow them to build those items that they cannot buy legally due to sanctions. I would be interested in hearing your thoughts on this.
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