Comments by "Michael Nurse" (@michaelnurse9089) on "" video.

  1. Yes. We get it. But so do your competition. When your competition switch to LLM boosted seniors with a 30-50% reduction in billings to clients suddenly you will be under pressure. Can all those juniors' collective growth outrace the productivity growth from LLMs? If so, you continue as before. If not, its time to panic. Which way it will go is not clear at this stage, but LLMs have a lot of muscle.
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  2. New version allows for new opinion. I commented previously this is how it would play out. Some people just ignore the incoming future.
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  3. If you ask it a common task or language it is too easy for it.
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  4. Surveys show they are speeding up devs by 30%, o1 will be 40% and GPT4 will be 50%. This means 50% unemployment is not impossible. Or a drop in salaries.
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  5. As an AI guy and a programmer I don't think we are done with big advances in the short term. Once OpenAI or whomever get around to building a LLM specifically to work alongside senior programmers - large code bases, negotiation with users, testing and so on, then there will be another leap forward. The thing is is that these startups will be in stealth mode, they will have capital and a couple hundred programmers on staff and will be looking to really move the envelope. Don't make the mistake of taking the skill of ChatGpt1o and extrapolating forward. Look fundamentally at what AI does, pattern recognition learned from data, and you will see it can carve even bigger chunks out of programming. It will never completely eliminate programmers but a firm with 20 seniors and 40 juniors could be reduced to 10 seniors and 4 juniors, leaving 70% of the industry unemployed. This happened to Data Scientists which I was training towards, one day we needed a hundred data scientists to hand craft algorithms for data business like Netflix, a few months later we needed zero, because neural nets clean the data themselves and there is only one algorithm.
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