Youtube comments of Michael Nurse (@michaelnurse9089).

  1. Luckily you haven't resorted to the worst habit of all, commenting on productivity videos on YouTube.
    651
  2. Long ago the Economist published a piece called The Chief Problem with Africa - in a nutshell, Africans see their leaders as divine and beyond reproach. As a South African, I can say this problem is still alive and well. It is rooted in mentality and other factors are simply ancillary.
    391
  3. The future: NordVPN ads direct to your brain.
    376
  4. Economists productivity should look at the effect of the internet on the denominator in addition to the numerator. The internet massively increased daily productivity - but no salaries went up - rather they often went down because now local workers have to compete with programmers from India, factories from China and Technology from America.
    270
  5. Python is scoring very high on the lists because all the students are googling it. The educators choose it because it allows you learn programming concepts quicker than other more difficult languages. So it is a probably the best first step to make, but a terrible place to stop learning...
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  6. You are wrong. That the system is not foisted upon us. We are part of the building of these systems, either through action or inaction. Non-narcissists are 90% of the population, we have the power (over time) to change the systems but most of us are happier to drink beer and watch Netflix than fight for better systems.
    227
  7. People wholly focused on 'survival' are like a farm turkey focusing on its survival. What it really needs to do is get the fuck off the farm before Thanksgiving. But they don't - because they farmer feeds them extra to fatten them up for the slaughter. Nobody is saying you should quit your job tomorrow - but they are saying you should have a 10 year plan to the fuck out of some cancer causing, depression inducing semi-slavery arrangement that 90% of us are in.
    219
  8. The West: Brave New World with a subtle threat of if things don't work out we switch to 1984. China: 1984 with a subtle promise of if things work out we might add in a little Brave New World.
    160
  9. In 15 years time, registering for the trail must will require 'vision verification'.
    119
  10. Peter, do some research. It turns out that Lithium is so common that the mining companies don't documents their deposits. The lithium shortage of two years ago was only a shortage of refining capacity.
    106
  11. Dave "AGI cooming in Sep" AGI enters left stage Dave "I am not impressed"
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  12. Can hold fast conversations. Underlying LLM is like GPT2 level.
    92
  13. No, because it does not relate to important things - War and Economy - as Tucker clearly delineated.
    79
  14. They were open AI in the beginning. Then they changed to 'for profit ai' and sold out to Microsoft. GPT-3 licenses were expensive and hard to come by until competition forced them to open it up two years later. Expect the same with Dall-E 2.
    77
  15. In the UK they did some research where they asked people to vote for actual party policies without telling them whose policies they were. The Green Party (never heard of them either) took virtually all votes.
    76
  16. Apple explained in the Keynote that 3rd parties will not get this data. That does not mean Apple will not get this data. In the future, you will be declined a job interview because your eyes looked at the wrong video in the YouTube feed - you never clicked it, just looked at it.
    71
  17. When he returns to a teenager he will have acne and then start fighting with his mom again.
    70
  18. One week ago, they were barbers, lawyers, school teachers.
    70
  19. That does not make one more true than the other. An accused man calling the judge a murderer does not mean he is equally under suspicion.
    66
  20. Not true. They changed from lightning connector to USB-C. Give them some credit.
    61
  21. As someone who has studied scams and bubbles for 25 years I can tell it smells awful.
    59
  22. You normally meet them as your boss, your spouse or your parent(s) which makes distancing difficult or impossible, at least in the short term.
    54
  23. "I am sorry Dave, I can't do that." - ChatGPT6
    50
  24. You obviously have never heard of inflation. Based on those values it should have sold for $350 000 and would have the same value. The doubling on that to $700k is from land value increases - i.e. stolen from the younger generations.
    50
  25. Correct. Apple is status symbol technology. A Rolex watch costs $6500 and it can do less than my $100 cellphone.
    46
  26. The most eloquent and erudite politician to speak about AI so far.
    46
  27. With enough money (or oil money) pumped in, any large project can be successful. The real questions are always what was the opportunity cost and what are the unintended consequences?
    43
  28. 1. Dave gives up doom. 2. Dave forgets he taught them them how to create artificial data. 3. "Open the Bay Doors, Hal" 4. "I am sorry Dave, I can't do that"
    43
  29. At least it is your subway falling apart. Here in South Africa the country falls apart thanks to endemic corruption and strange ideologies of the party in power.
    40
  30. FSD saw the trump flag. Then saw the truck. Then remembered January 6. Then got ready to dodge. AI is better than humans at pattern recognition.
    38
  31. I once went to a car modding show in LA - let me tell, there were thousands of 'muppets' who would like one of those.
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  32. Makes no sense. If you own stock are you defacto long. The only way you can vote is if you are a stockholder. Shorts cannot vote.
    37
  33. Only in California. Everywhere else sanity prevails.
    35
  34. You did learn something - don't close the glove box while updating software.
    35
  35. Yup. The video fails in this respect. When the father is a psychopath, a sociopath or a narcissist - the only objective for all others involved is to GTFO.
    35
  36.  @richardfolden3860  When Tesla did they Tesla playbook they had no competition. Rivian must compete with Tesla. Elon eats competitors for breakfast.
    32
  37. Even non-corporate businesses. I worked for a series of 'self made millionaires' whose self worship was a torrent wider than the Amazon.
    32
  38. For some, acting like men means beating the kid to an inch of their life for blocking the tv. You need to be really specific about what you mean by that, as traditionally many men were hunters or warriors, and it was simply better to keep kids away from them, as many social animals (rats) and primitive societies do/did.
    32
  39.  @illusion466  Lol - well spotted.
    31
  40. Hopefully you weren't wearing an Apple Vision Pro while lying down.
    31
  41. If people could literally get plugged into the Matrix for $3500 94% of people would literally sell their grandmother to a glue factory to get in.
    29
  42. Its gone. China is 50% EV sales last month. Will be at 80% in a year. 100% in 5 years. What can VW sell them?
    29
  43. Never. If they published a graph like that there would be a revolution the next day.
    28
  44. Problem is your boss watched this video and now he won't believe you.
    28
  45. By my estimate over the next 10 years 50% of current jobs will go. Retail, warehouse, driving, fast food, manufacturing - all gone. From there it trends towards 100% of jobs in another 40 years. If you think a doctor cannot be replaced by AI you are not paying attention. UBI is far from a guaranteed outcome - most sci-fi movies show a future where corporations own technology and people ordinary people scrape by subsistence farming worms, or something like that.
    28
  46. The finance industry is a big place. Plenty of narcissistic monsters crawling the corridors but also plenty of decent people. Try to speak to other people who have worked for the same department or group of people.
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  47. Assuming you can borrow at a fixed rate. Where I live it is variable rate only. In 1998 property owners got wiped out when almost overnight interest rates went from 8% to 22%. They came down a couple months later but that was a couple months too late.
    25
  48. Wealthy pay for advertising on Bloomberg. No need to bite the hand that feeds.
    25
  49. "The learning database already includes virtually 100% of all text written by humans, " No, before starting training they run all the text through AI inference of the previous model. This improves quality by a significant percentage. In reality, there is always going to be another layer of AI between the current one being trained and the data.
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  50. Chevron - China, the largest car market, sold roughly 30% EV in 2024, 50% 2024 so expecting 70% this year. Sure sales are not equal to the fleet on the road but still - a major shift is happening there.
    24
  51. Once is randomness. Twice is coincidence. Thrice is a genius at work.
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  52. Patrick Boyle quality is circling the drain - his piece on Tesla was atrocious.
    23
  53. A one minute movie? Could work.
    23
  54. Computer science and software engineering should be different degrees. With software engineering you should learn about dependency injection, client specifications and continuous deployment all in the first week. In computer science you can learn about ENIAC, Scratch and calculus all day long, if that is what you want.
    23
  55. Who's left? Leaves out Elon.
    22
  56. Um, no. These robots are using object recognition ergo AI is in play.
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  57. Manhattan Project 2 is currently underway.
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  58. Bard outside the US is not Gemini. So it will hallucinate worse than Edward Norton in Fight Club.
    21
  59. People who follow media say when Reuters decided to paywall their site they moved to a clickbait strategy. The days of them being the 'reputable outlet' are now gone.
    21
  60. Wrong word. We all have some self centered-ness - some egotistic bent. But narcissists enter into wholesale abuse of others - the rest of us do not cross that line.
    20
  61.  @woptropical  I saw this coming. Dave was basically dragging himself through the o1 release with zero enthusiasnm. That was my impression.
    20
  62. You can buy a pumpkin where you once bought a lemon.
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  63. Its not just linear algebra. There is some other stuff in there too, even a for loop.
    20
  64. Finland, Minnesota is just a practice base while the wait for the approval for Finland, the country. That is why they called it Finland, Minnesota. /jk
    20
  65. Looked like he he was eating a lemon.
    19
  66. Unless they never pay it back. Which seems to be the plan.
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  67. Price is never per device, it is per year. An iPhone lasts 18 months and then the battery starts to go. If this lasts 5 years (like a Macbook) then the price is basically the same.
    19
  68. Not what he said - he said Reuters was lying but refused to say what they were lying about, which implied there was some truth in what they said.
    19
  69. The leaders of Western counties disagree because at that point they could take losses - London, Paris, New York, Tokyo - turned to dust.
    19
  70. In over 40 us states there is no such thing as "approved by authorities" for FSD - you can just start using it. If it crashes, a judge will decide damages.
    19
  71. "Meta is working on a new robot" --> shows picture of new Zuck
    18
  72. The ANC has the same peasant mentality that trapped Russia into a Soviet nightmare - the idea is that wealth is guaranteed - you only have to worry about sharing it. The ANC has systematically gone about destroying or maiming all wealth generating structures in the country based on the simple idea that they can simply take wealth and share it among their followers.
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  73. This is why I invested the bulk of my savings in Tesla. It is a volatile stock with a volatile CEO but nobody is better placed to profit off AI than Tesla. The 5-10 year outlook on Robotaxi and Optimus is incredible.
    18
  74. BYD have said they have 60 000 engineers - compared the 10 000 Toyota engineers you mention.
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  75. AI (and later robotics) is going to kick 90% of professionals in the nuts. Try to think who is safe and you get a very short list.
    17
  76. Your 'job' is more bs. Criticizing people who criticize people. You are like the Inception version of a BS job. I guess that makes makes me the Inception version x2.
    17
  77. This is incorrect. The first leader to draft people in an inhumane way was Napoleon. Peasants were asked to fight in medieval times but it was done in a fair and humane way with proper thought for who goes and who stays. This type of barbarism is a modern invention.
    17
  78. I prefer Copilot - Cortana sound like an obscure character from Moana.
    17
  79. Farzad shouted down Nic - Nic's point was clear - that Crypto is a 'store of value' and so are many other things - for a while Tulips were a store of value.
    16
  80. This year. Next year, fast food and retail.
    16
  81. Ok. So humanoids vs other types 1. Stairs and uneven terrain 2. Small footprint vs robot dogs 3. Hands allow working with human tools - e.g. Using a spatula in the kitchen, using a screwdriver to fix something 4. Hands allow for complex manipulations e.g. folding a sheet, picking up an egg 5. These robots were never meant to work in high tech dark factories - that is straw man 6. Packing shelves in retail, giving meds, loading trucks, cleaning house, doing electrical work, using a computer, driving a car - these are all going to require hands 7. Vertical height gives advantages - e.g. can reach things
    16
  82. I have had the same thing about 4 times in a row now. I have realized it is nothing to do with bad luck but rather with being attracted to things that are exciting and happening - the downside of that being they over-invested bubbles waiting to burst.
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  83. Altman purged everyone of value.
    16
  84. In the past, superior German engineering justified a higher labour cost. Now engineering from both Tesla and China (who has a low labour cost) has left German Engineering in 3rd or 4th or even 5th place. Of course, it is nearly impossible to tell union workers they must reduce their salaries to 50%, so the company then enters a death spiral and sheds customers. It is far from over and tariffs result in counter-tariffs.
    16
  85. That is only half the problem. Living in a house with mentally ill people transfers PTSD to the children - the symptoms usually only emerge in adulthood.
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  86. There is group 4 as well. Of course, group 3 cannot be allowed to know about this. Sorry.
    15
  87.  @issaqua  Laws require a demonstrable loss before it can be considered fraud. That said, it would help everyone if they stared handing out 1 year sentences to HR people engaged in this practice. Don't hold your breath.
    15
  88. Their electric cars are better than Germany, Japan or America (other than Tesla). This may change if subsidies drop off - but for now they are highly competitive.
    15
  89. "All people are the same, good economy is all that matters" - Straw man
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  90. Those who speed it up to control it, however, are 100% trustworthy. Sam Altman, I am looking at you.
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  91. I don't see these as issues: the real issues are: 1. The frontline models have too low accuracy. Hallucinations are everywhere. 2. Costs to 'create a whole business with AI' are high. Time spent/people paid + token prices = a big investment.
    15
  92. If you child is disrupting the class they can force him. Maybe not by prying open his mouth with a screwdriver, but by gently telling you to take him to a doctor to get it sorted out or they will 'recommend' a correctional juvenile school (aka prison for kids).
    14
  93. You get paid when you vote for Sam in 2028
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  94. I think Tesla should use the cash generated from Robotaxi to scale up Optimus is a dramatic way. No share buybacks. No buying companies. No investing in Bitcoin. Everything flows into Optimus.
    14
  95. A lot of kids have the kid inside them killed when they reach 5 and they are forced to practice low grade clerical tasks at school so they can one day get a 'good job' - presumably at the post office.
    14
  96. I don't believe in large spontaneous demonstrations. They are organized and funded. You have to ask who this benefits - German legacy auto is one canditate.
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  97. Most commentators are missing that generative AI uses a random seed - sometimes the right/wrong answer can be 10/90, 50/50 or 90/10 coming out of that - but they pretend that either gets it right or wrong.
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  98. The Herbert Ong interview with Gary Black was the craziest thing I ever saw. This week Gary Black said that Uber will NEVER be threatened by Tesla and FSD. I dropped everything and spent the rest of the week figuring out how to yolo my portfolio by shorting Uber. Never pulled the trigger but came close.
    14
  99. They can't take action with reciprocal action. Problem is that most wealthier European economies moved production to China a decade or two ago. This means that the pain associated with such action may well exceed its obvious benefits.
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  100. The word facist is used differently today compared to WW2 Italy. Today it just means 'bad man'.
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  101. Sitting on a couch is often unhelpful for many, because the general expectation is that someone else will do the heavy lifting towards fixing the problem.
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  102. Good work Iya Ibrahim
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  103. Things always seem invincible until a new tactic against them is developed, and then they seem useless.
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  104. Imagine you were a veteran factory worker and over the years there were many tools introduced to speed up the assembly line. Then one day you saw the first robotic arm. If you were paying attention you would have realized there was a change of INTENT. Previous tool upgrades were made to AID you, this one was to REPLACE you. It would still be a hundred years before the last human worker leaves the floor but the change in INTENT is clear. Programmers are ok for now - but artists are up a creek without a paddle with generative ai - just like translators lost their careers over the past 5 years as Google Translate slowly improved year by year. Remember, you don't have to fire all programmers to have a ruined career - all that is needed is that the supply needs to solidly outstrip demand and suddenly the average salary drops from 100k to 40k and every second programmer is on skid row. Programming is still the best option but keep your expenses low and your savings high.
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  105. The modern music industry is anti-musician. The problem is that this will kill both the music industry and the musicians. @flickwtchr 
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  106. Internet became dead a long time ago. I am not actually typing this, my commenting bot just auto-responds to comments like yours with bits of text like this.
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  107. For close on a hundred years the Waldorf School movement has been acting as living proof that doing away with these mechanistic paradigms of public school education is not just a pipe dream but a functioning reality.
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  108. "The demand for senior engineers with good experience under their belt is still insanely high." This may just be the short term - if (this is only an if) the fund managers give up believing that new tech giants can be born from their investments then PE ratios of tech companies will equalise with other industries and programmers will earn what architects, lawyers or accountants earn - maybe 2x-3x less. It all takes a while to filter through. I have seen this happen in another industry - but tech may be different.
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  109. Lol. The word crisis needs to die.
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  110. The video describes the problem but misses the cause. The cause is that the ANC made a pivot towards communism when Zuma was appointed. They let it be known (via Julius Malema) that they would like to nationalize the mines, the banks and all farmland. At this point all foreign investors (whom the country was financed by) pumped the brakes as hard as they could and crossed it off their list of future options. The ANC tried to laugh it off repeatedly referring to WMC - White Monopoly Capital as though it was an evil rather than the money that pumps the bellows of the economy.
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  111.  @azaleaslightsage1271  Yup. My dad an everchanging circle of sycophants around him and when I refused to attend his funeral they started socially attacking me and my family.
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  112. Take my advice - don't study more - go out there and find something to work on straight away - even if it is for free. Employers value studies about 10% of what they value work at.
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  113. If you know dp/ds they switch to asking hypothetical math questions. Once employed your job is making coffee - they really should just check if you make good coffee.
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  114. Viktor Frankl showed, after being in a WW2 concentration camp, that self actualization can be achieved when the lower levels like food and security are missing. Of course, this seems to be limited to individuals who are already somewhat advanced with this process, and not to everyone universally.
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  115. Prompt: Views are down on my channel. Do mw a script for a video that will bring out all the viewers. Dave would never do this though, he is a high morality person.
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  116. Patrick, I like the way you peel the onion but you are missing two massive figures from your income statement. 1. The increased US economic activity from the spending of the 3 trillion. 2. The increased revenue from AI driven products and services.
    12
  117. Sometimes it is not out there, but right in your home.
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  118. I like the way this guest thinks. Not just about Tesla but about the World. You should put guest names in the description.
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  119. According to me, someone seeking to prove their self worth to themselves would be "Ceaser, or whatever else God wills".
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  120. Modern EVs explode 10x less than ICE. Even less once Lithium Iron Phosphate batteries become more common.
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  121. Venture capital has surprisingly been a successful industry. They only have to hit 1 in a 100 to break even and 1 in 10 to buy everyone a yacht.
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  122. He is posting videos to sell ads on a platform built on AI, big data and whatever else he is panning. Dripping with irony.
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  123. It is because the airspace is shut-down by the increased quality of modern anti-air systems. If the air was open then the war would be very dynamic with tanks following up air raids to quickly claim new territory behind enemy lines - much like WW2 or the Gulf War. The 2nd reason is that drones acting as spotters makes artillery the lowest risk and lowest cost way to eliminate a target.
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  124. The Shadow of Mordor has reached far indeed to acquire the TV rights.
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  125. The issue with your comment is not the factuality, but the Worldview based on US(sic) and them. You will find people living in Moscow or Beijing or Tehran who are more like you personally than many of your neighbors with a stars and stripes hanging on the porch : that is the nature of the World. A system based of 'eternal war for eternal peace' drags everyone into this war and makes enemies of people and nations that could otherwise be friends.
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  126. Yip. Job search videos are posting this message over and over again. AI destroyed job boards for both seekers and hirers.
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  127. Alcohol and keyboard - the tragic story.
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  128. I never knew that. Thanks.
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  129. This is not correct. The only place gas trucks work out better is towing big loads over big distances (F250) or extreme situations where customers are 500 miles away with no place to supercharge. These are unusual circumstances.
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  130. Estimated superchargers in the US number (est 12000) roughly 10x less than gas stations (120000). The number needs to increase but I don't think Tesla needs to fund that. Tesla should franchise out Supercharger stations - allow owner to have a gas station store and a coffee bar.
    11
  131. 99% certain propaganda.
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  132. Tolkien would be disgusted, thats for sure.
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  133. The ANC in South Africa got handed well run country with functioning European style systems on a plate in 1994. For ten years international investment poured in and things looked good. But they couldn't resist. They out of the blue switched from pragmatism to ideology - a communist ideology (despite the country being capitalist one), a white hating ideology - and ironically most of all those whites who were creating good businesses and jobs. Now they have squandered whatever capital they inherited and are shown to be nothing but utterly bankrupt - financially, pragmatically and morally. Black nations fail not because of difficult circumstances or historical trends, but because of something inherent in their nature that lets things fall badly apart with the only attempted resistance being a casual shrug.
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  134. Editing often attracts the wrong audience - those who need to get back to the hustle. Those who are serious about working on themselves have time and patience and so will listen to the pauses as much as the words.
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  135. Ouch.
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  136. This isn't a sales pitch. It it a demand for surrender.
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  137. Not that unpredictable - they are going to probe us in that place sounding like an outer planet not called Neptune.
    11
  138. From the Chernobyl mini-series.
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  139. 90% of Uber rides are 1 person. So 'needs' is a somewhat relative term here.
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  140. Electric vehicles too.
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  141. This. If I am going to teach my kids anything in life is that before you trust anyone in life to be your boss or spouse you have to see how they behave privately when they are not happy and have some amount of power over you. No amount of other techniques is a substitute.
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  142. Remember, employees vote as shareholders in Germany. This is normally a good thing but when it requires big cuts they always vote the wrong way.
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  143. Same, but late improvement is irrelevant as the real damage is done at a young age, most of which you cannot even remember. I can't but wonder whether the alternative would have been better or worse, I suppose it depends on a great many specifics.
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  144. Innovation outputs === investment inputs
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  145. But driver-less construction equipment is new.
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  146. Thanks - as someone who has watched 1000+ ai videos I was stumped.
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  147. Post AGI, all humans will be guaranteed work. Maybe something like the Matrix where you sit in a bath of goo.
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  148. Yes. Jordon has a problem with that. More like thinking aloud though. Still, interesting...
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  149. Your viewpoint is greatly influenced by where you live. I live in a country with enormous liberty, mostly because of failed implementation of law and order, and as such enough individuals use the available 'liberty from the state' to murder, steal, rape and pillage that the country is sliding towards failure and ordinary people mostly live in perpetual fear. Liberty is a fine thing, but it does not belong in the realm of the state, but rather in the realm of culture. The state's proper job is actually equality - to treat every citizen equally and fairly. It is overstepping this role that the state becomes oppressive - resulting in the inevitable laments for more liberty.
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  150. I have worked a little bit on both sides of this issue - management and developer. The thing with the concept of technical debt is it assumes a stable business environment which is very far from reality in most startups. You need to communicate with non-technical managers using metaphors about what you are building. The best metaphor is the building industry. Some people build building only designed to last a week - for a trade show for instance. You need to be clear that 'duct-tape software' needs to be rewritten and refactored before it is anywhere near stable and that this takes MUCH longer than writing the first version of it. If they say 'there is no budget for that' then you should probably resign the next day and go somewhere with better understanding of what programmers need to do.
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  151. I really squinted when he said that. I thought of the GFC and Brexit immediately.
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  152. But each version pushes further up against the rudimentary limit. The first cars randomly exploded and had to have horses travelling behind to carry extra fuel.
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  153. At a certain point in the 2000s Germany realised that they could outsource nearly everything to China and just do the engineering. Recently, China realized they can just do the engineering better and cheaper themselves. Many countries were once exceptional are no longer so - Italy, Portugal, Spain, Turkey, South Africa, Argentina.
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  154. Tokenization is the issue. They could fix this easily but is would cost money.
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  155. There is also behavior change intertia. I almost never use Google search anymore in favour of LLMs.
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  156. Others take them there. With a 405 mile range Tesla you can drive through most small towns to the next town. If worst comes to the worst you can sleep over and charge over night with an overnight charger you bring with you.
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  157. Goods transport. If you are selling stuff delivery cost now drops close to zero.
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  158. What? OpenAI is not involved in image generation ai. These image generators have been around for a couple of years. Midjourney made them good.
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  159. If it did it market cap would fall to 50 from 500. Whether you hate him or love him, Tesla needs Elon.
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  160. " finding the right problem, collecting and cleaning data, choosing the right model, evaluating the results" This was AI 2017 - which is why the hype died out by 2020. Now all you need to do is be able to properly prompt ChatGPT. It was like the day computers when from command line only to graphical user interfaces - suddenly everybody and their uncle started using them.
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  161. ​ @immurecreations  When industries change you can only rely on that sentiment for so long. Video stores lasted for years after better video serving models emerged, but one by one they closed until none left. There will be a version 3 of Dall-E that can give you a set of files (for $5...) - fonts, clipart's, logo, web elements etc that normally get from a developer.
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  162. 4680 encountered production problems. It is currently going into the Cybertruck and ramping at about 3x the needed rate. Not enough for any other vehicles. They hope to get its cost down to a competitive level by year end. Sometimes innovation is hard.
    9
  163. Depends on the situation , Patrick - in healthcare - the US leaves it to entrepreneurs to keep the costs down - in Canada, they trust in the government. One of these systems is half the price of the other - i'll give you a hint - it ain't America.
    9
  164. This is useful information.
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  165. You called it ChadGpt. That name might be better.
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  166. Open source versions of everything exist - yet Apple and Microsoft continue to make the big money with proprietary versions.
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  167. Silicon Valley bro accent.
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  168. Its the national anthem of the largest nation on earth, the internet.
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  169. 100%. They want the cash out so they can invest it in another company.
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  170. Nearly all modern marketing.
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  171. Parties change. Democrats used to be right of the Republicans - Woodrow Wilson era and before.
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  172. The real reason behind presidential term limits. Power changes one.
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  173. India has not seized foreign factories since economic liberalization began in 1991. I would worry more about Shanghai.
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  174. Feels like a 10 year old video when talking about AR thanks to the Apple Vision Pro presentation.
    8
  175. As a Tesla shareholder - a highly valuable and detailed look
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  176. If I were the CEO of VW I would give Musk a call and offer Tesla 50% of the shares of VW in exchange for open access to Tesla technology.
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  177. ICE cars are measured with empty fuel tanks, no engine oil or other liquids of any sort. Add that in and suddenly the difference is not that much.
    8
  178. In their own words, it is for non technical types to PROTOTYPE an AI model. This prototyping can already be done in Python in maybe 4 to 8 lines of code. The real trick is get an AI to production quality. For "hotdog-not hotdog' at 82% accuracy no problem .The real trick is robust models which can work in real world situations without problems. For this you are going to need Maths and lots of it.
    8
  179. Robin Denholm is the Chairman of the Tesla Board.
    8
  180. He said something that was very, very, very slightly right leaning. Like people should work hard.
    8
  181. The Xpeng Viking. Watch this space.
    8
  182. But why release it your own country? That makes no sense. Leak makes sense as controls were lax.
    8
  183. This credit is small potatoes compared to the constant government assistance Ford/Gm and oil companies get. If they cancel ALL subsidies Tesla will quickly win the entire US market - people might have to pay $5000 more a vehicle but they will soon realize they are happy to do that.
    8
  184. As a spouse, maybe - as a child, it will fck you up for life.
    8
  185. Thank you for saying that. We kept both our children at home while working (office work) and it was challenging to the extreme. Friends dumped theirs at daycare and couldn't understand what we were talking about. My one friend's child spent so much time at daycare she developed an accent specific to a certain racial group.
    8
  186. Sad Madman is a anagram Sam Altman. Don't double check me for once.
    8
  187. Ok. But US must give back too - Hawaii to Japan and Alaska to Russia. Mexico must be returned the southern states.
    8
  188. This: Never underestimate how low narcissistic bosses will go when they get new technology in their hands.
    8
  189. Sure. But, but the Apple R1 will sell 2 billion units.
    8
  190. You get a**hole clients too. At least **hole bosses don't turn around and say - sorry - we not paying for Milestone 3.
    8
  191. They may be selling them at a loss = limited production.
    8
  192. On the other hand it adds a lot to the weight and price of the vehicle. I never drive more than 100 miles in a day.
    8
  193. It all depends on the research budget : zero, millions or billions. It makes all the difference.
    8
  194. I learned the hard way at University that to beat the test focus on similar tests and ignore the source material. That said, I learned a literal TON of important things for life from studying the source material - it just wasn't useful for writing the test.
    8
  195. I can confirm the veracity of this post.
    8
  196. Wall street has NEVER understand the lag between decisions made and financial results of those decisions if 5 years - at least in large corporations.
    8
  197. Citation needed.
    8
  198. You are wrong. He is saying bye because it is going "bye-bye".
    8
  199. Bloomburger specialize in one sided stories.
    8
  200. Toyota could default on the loan. Then the debtholders become shareholders. Fixed costs are normally sunk costs - in other words, they money has all been paid. Plant, R&D - these dwarf things like rent and fixed staff. None of this helps with not having a competitive EV - which is the real problem.
    8
  201. Economically speaking 90% of the 'primary value' is created in the repetitive section, food - shelter - transport - communication and so you will see that the companies owning the AI will profoundly aggravate the current inequality situation unless some kind of new economic model is adopted - ie. being different from one where shareholders are entitled to the entire residual beyond the costs.
    7
  202. Most people were along for the profit ride when there were chip shortages and Tesla did not have them. They had no idea what they were buying. Tesla is an AI company that happens to make cars as well.
    7
  203. The big deal is that Tesla share price is down 40% and much more from its high. Add the whole Twitter thing in and large amounts of people are out for blood and can see no good in anything Tesla does. They can't see that the business is good, the plans are good and it just takes some time to work miracles. Tesla shares could easily be 10x in 5 or so years.
    7
  204. You should only equip for defense and no more. Once you surpass that level your military becomes a hammer looking for a nail.
    7
  205. Letting China have its way could result in more suffering.
    7
  206. 2000 - Nasdaq fell 80% 2007 - Nasdaq fell 56% 2022 - Nasdaq fell 33% Rout is much too gentle a word. The correct word is best not used in polite company.
    7
  207. Everyone in tech is on the spectrum. It is just a question of how far 'down' they are.
    7
  208. Answer: Higher quality data. (Overfitting is something else - it is where the model learns a bunch of specific cases but can't generalize well)
    7
  209. They will be back. Volvo, MG - they are back - made in China, of course.
    7
  210. He is playing Devil's advocate. Trying to argue both sides of US politics.
    7
  211. Pattern recognition is just one form of intelligence. Animals have intelligence that allows for their survival (instinct) but their pattern matching is nearly non-existant.
    7
  212. I think you are missing the whole point. Overloading employees is a discussion separate from whether you plan your work 'top-down or bottom up' which is what the whole agile/kanban/waterfall discussion is all about. Of course, the get conflated because planning can be come a tool of corporate dysfunction. Hard scientific evidence shows that after a couple hours employees start to actively harm results by just being there. Errors, boredom, resentment, waiting for info/meetings. If one is willing to throw away your life by working for Evil Corp then no amount of agile/kanban/waterfall is going to save you from its clutches.
    7
  213. Sure. But bullshit spreads. You could be doing good stuff for a good company but because of their exposure to suspect clients you could expect some major turbulence in your life.
    7
  214. You little conceited liar - the actual quote is "I really consider autonomous driving a solved problem. I think we are probably less than two years away".
    7
  215. Thank you. One guy in here stills thinks for himself.
    7
  216. Actually, he is talking about buying a portfolio of large office buildings - probably a hundred or more - near fully tenanted - in low risk places. This is as an alternative to investing in equity markets.
    7
  217. Tesla is the only AI company selling their product for real money. FSD v12 is being sold for 12000 usd and people are buying. If you disagree short the the stock, I am sure you will make millions.
    7
  218. Young single employees will work twenty two hour days including weekends to ship on time because they 'are still proving themselves'. And for peanuts. Once you have a family and a life outside the office it is no longer possible to be a slave, so you go home for supper. The irony is that if you ask younger employees if this system works they will say it does...it is just hard work rewarded...seemingly ignorant that time marches on. The real solution is that younger employees refuse to sign up because they recognize their distant yet certain fate, but alas - young people will queue round the block to work for brand name tech companies.
    7
  219. "I would suggest to try to work as a dispatcher or a planner at a big company with 150+ trucks, with 1200+ daily incoming emails, never ending problems, changes, switches, breakdowns, etc." I think I might enjoy that as it has a kind of rhythm. I previously worked as a corporate stooge where the only value I provided was coming up with ideas, normally for irrational people.
    7
  220. Uber, Lyft and Doordash are 'on notice' - in the next 2 years they will start to disappear as options thanks to automation like Tesla's Robotaxi. There is a LOT of money around in the US but it relates to passive asset owners and not to traditional businesses - try to follow the money in finding something to do. In the US you can also move from struggling areas to areas doing well to find jobs - sleep in your car if you have to.
    7
  221. Layered on top of what you say is accounting sleight of hand - they put each movie in a seperate subsidiary and then allocate (i.e. choose how much) marketing and head office costs, so profit per movie is not a real figure - it is decided on by Bob.
    7
  222. AMD need this to be a success so they can catch team green for training. They will provide the right hardware.
    7
  223. "Trusted international institutions?" WHO on earth could you be talking about?
    7
  224. Same thing happened with the first two industrial revolutions. The story of the generation involved is told by Charles Dickens. Later generations were fine.
    7
  225. Uncle Scholtz will write them a cheque. Oh, wait, he gave it to Ukraine.
    7
  226.  @blinkers88  Right principle. Bad example.
    7
  227. Tesla shareholders recently held what was effectively a vote of confidence for Musk, and shareholders overwhelmingly supported that things continue as is.
    7
  228.  @billbarr7591  As EV sales rise flat owners will be forced to install car charging in the basement and others will specialize in on-the-street charging. The first ICE cars had nowhere to buy fuel.
    7
  229. And Patrick keeps putting words in his mouth. Gdmmt Valuetainment, get your interviews structured.
    6
  230. Engineers need to stop commenting on economics. They are clueless. If the US has AGI then UBI will be useless because they will not share the proceeds outside the borders.
    6
  231. 40k is now 50k inflation adjusted.
    6
  232. Competitive programming is well suited to LLMs. Creating agent programmers that do the 'whole job' of a programmer will be very difficult and very expensive.
    6
  233. Ukraine has adopted Western values. South Africa is still trying to implement communism. It is about ideology - not facts.
    6
  234. "Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering." - Master Yoda
    6
  235. Poorly researched. Pure EV stats are available and EVS are growing just fine. Nobody is buying any sort of vehicle right now because of interest rates. When polled most people say their next car will be an EV and only 10% will not consider it.
    6
  236. You can only invest if you cut money elsewhere. Which social programs will you give the chop to?
    6
  237. He has publicly stated he is against subsidies of any kind.
    6
  238. He said it is rarely mispriced, which is how they 1000x their money - buying mis-priced equities.
    6
  239.  @quinnadam3024  What if he used background videos of cats doing parkour ? /s
    6
  240. Good content. Horrific sound quality. Get a condenser mic and a stocking to stop the popping :(
    6
  241.  @puchatek5584  Germany was allied with and part of the West. You took a big gamble in striking a deal with the traditional enemies of the West - Russia and China.
    6
  242. Operation Uranus. Try not to smile, I dare you.
    6
  243. AI is written in its own language - essentially weights and biases expressed as numbers together with nodes that connect to other nodes. We can understand it at small scale but not at the scale they are deployed. They are ways data scientists can come to understand them though, mainly through using them, understanding the data and latent spaces - but with these LLM these things seem to have been ignored and kept private.
    6
  244. But if things continue to get worse...much worse...then the World you knew well is no longer the same.
    6
  245. In the future, you will be able to work 100 jobs at once, just make sure you buy high quality AI agents and keep all your bosses satisfied with regular AI phone calls.
    6
  246. It sure can be everywhere, but I cannot imagine it is anywhere as bad as Hollywood, Merchant Bank c-suites or YouTube streamers.
    6
  247. There is zero chance China would buy a single Indian vehicle. India makes Suzukis - how many are sold in China? Near zero.
    6
  248. You generally don't there by buying coffee machines you don't need.
    6
  249. As a South African who lived through this I can tell you the pressure exerted by the UK and US did far more to end apartheid than any weapons supplied to the ANC ever did.
    6
  250. And they interbreed with wild boars to make larger yet still well adapted to being free animals. Some can grow to hundreds of kgs.
    6
  251. ChatGPT can rap like Eminem: Verse 1: Yo, let's dive deep into the neural net lore, Talk 'bout a genius, Schmidhuber, and more. In the AI world, he's a hidden king, Crafting deep learning, making machines sing. 1997, yeah, he changed the game, With LSTM networks, ain't nothin' the same. Long Short-Term Memory, that's the key, Unlocking secrets of sequential data, see? Chorus: Schmidhuber, Schmidhuber, deep learning's unsung hero, Crafting layers, neural flows, from ground zero. In the shadows of Hinton, LeCun, and Bengio, He's the silent genius, the real deep learning maestro. Verse 2: From perceptrons to layers that go deep, He navigated paths where angels fear to creep. In the AI winter, when hope was thin, Schmidhuber kept dreaming, never gave in. Recurrent nets, man, they were his thing, Making them remember, making them sing. A brain-like machine, that was his vision, Cutting through complexity with surgical precision. Chorus: Schmidhuber, Schmidhuber, deep learning's unsung hero, In the lab, grinding hard, far from zero. Behind the scenes, making AI dreams glow, The real genius in the deep learning flow. Bridge: He's not just a name in the academic papers, He's the architect, the code, the hidden shaper. In the world of AI, he's the quiet storm, In the deep learning saga, he's the unconventional norm. Chorus: Schmidhuber, Schmidhuber, in the AI hall of fame, His contributions, his genius, we gotta acclaim. In the tale of deep learning, let his name echo, Schmidhuber, the mastermind, the real tech virtuoso. Outro: So here's to Jürgen, the legend, the sage, Writing the most crucial page. In the epic of AI, his story's a must, Schmidhuber, the genius, in deep learning we trust.
    6
  252. For the first couple of years, yes. For the following thousand years they will raise prices AND leave you unemployed.
    6
  253. If you work it backwards, Amazon should have been 3000PE at IPO, instead it was 30.
    6
  254. Some times he just hallucinates the details... just like ChatGPT does.
    6
  255. Do you have the kids already or do you wish to obtain them to suitably fill up your future vehicle?
    6
  256. North Korea too.
    6
  257. It is a desert.
    6
  258. Have similar noise experience in one of their cheaper models.
    6
  259. That car is so heavily subsidized, that is why it is China only. I bet it costs $50k to make one, compared to Tesla $35000 for a similar model.
    6
  260. How many solar panels can you get for a shipload of sugar?
    6
  261. Reduction in Hallucinations addresses a massive problem with LLMs. Wes just dismisses that as progress to get some clicks.
    6
  262. @AlecWelsh-ut7cc Post Fox he does not fit that description. He is attempting and mostly succeeding to see things as they are and not be a mindless partisan blowhard.
    6
  263. His art transcends just art...it is a portal to the world of spirit.
    6
  264. At some point China would be tempted to solve that problem with nuclear weapons. Empires don't go slowly into the night.
    6
  265. If companies find a candidate who is a perfect fit they should pay them more than competitors will. But the companies are greedy - they want perfect fit employees at low prices (they call these market related salaries or similar nonsense). So they leave, costing the company $1mil a year to save them $100k a year.
    6
  266. You just brought clarity.
    6
  267. Parasite is a remake of Shallow Grave from the 90's. Everybody copies - it is just whether the end result if good or rotten.
    6
  268. Agreed. But his fault comes from enthusiasm more than a need to shut others down. He can listen properly if he puts effort into it.
    6
  269. Risking jail time for $30's copper. Does not seem sustainable.
    6
  270. Bingo. An economist's salary is almost always paid for by the top 1%. Would you tell your boss you are coming to his house to take his stuff and give it to the poor? For this reason, I think economists should be like the police - paid for with a tax and taking a Hippocratic style oath to represent the greater interest of the diseased patient - i.e. the economy as it serves the people.
    6
  271. I am not sold. A few times in my life I have given everything towards a goal and the World changed too quickly to catch it. Other times I have given something half-hearted effort and success was plentiful. Goals help - but you have to take cognizance of the prevailing winds and the odds of the situation, e.g. only a fool would make it his goal to win the Lottery, only a double fool will double down to win that payday.
    6
  272. Beware the focus on the now that ignores the near future. Translators 5 years ago: AI can't translate complicated documents. Translators today: AI is just better than 90% of professional translators. Each year AI will get better at more complex systems, working how programmers want them to, and refactoring.
    6
  273. An absorber can hardly be called an individual. A better word would be a sponge. Many true individuals do exist, though - and most are not in the public eye.
    6
  274. You don't get super angry? sad? bored? worried? Watch your behavior in those situations and you will see how it changes. People who are highly aware of it can keep it under management but they are rare. Everybody has it.
    5
  275. By a certain measure- everyone is in some kind of cult. You are in the stalks and button cult.
    5
  276. Be careful of overly ambitious goals. There a hundred companies already doing that. With teams of 40 engineers. With 100m EUR in capital. Rather try and figure out how to do one small thing better and sell it to all of them. You can still help the World this way and it is less risky by a long shot.
    5
  277. None of these. Problem is VW uses 2x labour to make a car compared to Toyota and 4x compared to Tesla.
    5
  278. Tim Cook was drinking his Vegan Chai Latte and it came out of his nose...heard from a friend.
    5
  279. I don't think that is the plan. The plan is instead of having 3 senior and 3 junior PHDs you run with 2 Senior and one of these agents (who can work 10x the speed). Think 2030 and not 'July'.
    5
  280. DARPA has been paying for that for a while.
    5
  281. The whole idea of the 'ownership of ideas' is a pointless discussion to begin with. Even so called original thinkers borrow so heavily on the ideas of others they are all too often just adding a cherry to a cake baked by others.
    5
  282. He claimed to be Catholic. His works were unashamedly Pagan.
    5
  283. Identity politics is ruining a lot of things these days: business, technology, sport, movies and even good old fashioned conspiracy theories.
    5
  284. In particular with property. 3 generation loans to pay off 99 year leases.
    5
  285. Also, how much they cost. Also, how fast they charge.
    5
  286. XPENG is the next Evergrande.
    5
  287. You have it upside down. This is not going to upend programming because it makes 17 year old better than 49 year old veterans. It is going to upend programming because every 49 year old veteran suddenly has unlimited free interns and can work at 10x his previous speed. Sure - eventually he will retire but for the next twenty years trying to get into programming is going to be like trying to get into NASA.
    5
  288. If you look like your thumbnail you must be getting lots of nookie though...
    5
  289. I knew two guys - one my uncle and the other my friend's dad. My uncle was too arrogant to adapt to CAD and so he became unemployed and just drank until he died in a car crash. My friend's dad was just incapable of using a computer - it was too difficult a thing - my friend supported his father until the end of his days. Some people can adapt - others just cannot.
    5
  290. Depends. In Africa, grassland not eaten up then defecated by cattle quickly turns to desert. Also, World population may decrease - it certainly is among richer countries.
    5
  291. Semantics. He clarified and says it has bugs. The evidence that it is solved is that there are Teslas driving people to work daily with zero disengagements most of the time. Sometimes a bug emerges and there is a disengagement. Were the first cars or computers bug free?
    5
  292. All satellites are theoretically usable as weapon systems. By that same logic, a pencil is a weapon if you stick in someone's eye.
    5
  293. The NPD was my father. You can only quit once you are an adult.
    5
  294. Actually, Thomas will only be there for 4 more months. Then we will have Bob, David, Stefan then some Indian guy nobody can pronounce. CEO's in big tech are like are like engineers in big banks - irrelevant.
    5
  295. For your own future welfare do it. People figure it out, it normally takes a couple of years, but they figure it out every time. Two of my immediate family have/had this disease and they can never hold onto good friends for more than a couple of years.
    5
  296. Not quite, they wanted Odessa quite badly - giving them a link up and full control of the sea.
    5
  297.  @erinsweet8147  They make the mistake thinking an engineer from India is worth the same as an engineer from the US - they both learned from the same textbook after all. They ignore the fact that white ancestry Americans have proven again and again over centuries to be the best innovators and arbitragers.
    5
  298. As a 'Tesla Guy' I find your hatred perplexing.
    5
  299. I made this joke up. Only to discover that many others had already made this joke up too.
    5
  300. Think of it as a tax on bad drivers.
    5
  301. Chinese are much smaller physically.
    5
  302. Nobody knows the real numbers but all other estimates are nowhere near RFK Jr's numbers. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.
    5
  303.  @Sputnick_00  They can separate them with centrifuges.
    5
  304. Robotaxi = software Cybercab = purpose built vehicle
    5
  305. GM, Ford, Stellantis and soon Toyota will be in the same boat.
    5
  306. Its not free-market when government subsidizes the companies. It is mercantilism.
    5
  307. I also noticed this.
    5
  308. I can see Sam suing South Park shortly thereafter.
    5
  309. No. Tesla is the fastest production ramper. 2025 - finalize v3 prototype. 2026 - build factory - 2027 - ramp factory, 2028 flood workforce.
    5
  310. There is a saying "Don't shoot the messenger". Well, in my experience, simple people always shoot the messenger.
    5
  311. It is a tech demo. Their plan is almost certainly to sell the tech to appl, msft or goog. The downsides you mention can be easily overcome in different ways. For example - just let it broadcast to any nearby screen over wifi.
    5
  312.  @marvenlunn6086  They last decades. They are 100% recyclable. Lead acid last 3 months. You need to do some reading.
    5
  313. As a preparation do the following each and every day. 1. Constantly search for the truth, long after others would have lost interest. 2. Never lose control to emotions, while still 'feeling them' to their full extent. 3. Once you commit to something never stop trying to complete it unless you acknowledge your motivation to do so was based on a mistruth. Any progress will become permanently part of your being.
    5
  314. It still has brand power, but that is not enough.
    5
  315. I also like how Sam Altman is predicting future profits of one trillion dollars. The delusions of grandeur are simply staggering.
    5
  316. Possibly a myth - blue collar jobs today earn way, way less than they did a generation or two ago (inflation adjusted). Hours worked per week for blue and white collar workers is roughly the same.
    5
  317. Then be a man and short the stock.
    5
  318. Followed by a boom in unicorn deaths 3 years out. Oh, the humanity!
    5
  319. Hyperloop was a SpaceX white paper. Elon never worked on it.
    5
  320. In all nations the loyalty of the elite is bought. In each country, the exact mechanisms differ. In the US, tax cuts for the rich - in South Korea, with inter alia counterfeiting of dollars.
    5
  321. Ultimately, big tech have a strong moat, because after training on the internet data sources are proprietary - scientific papers, books, internal business documents, medical records, emails - you have to pay for the data. Open source providers may struggle to get that data as they lack the resources of the big players. Also, training costs keep going up - they are not YET a moat but five years from now it may cost $10bn to train the largestt model - and that cost has to be recouped from customers or elsewhere.
    5
  322. I understand this is a psychology/philosophy channel and not a spiritual one, yet it is somewhat disappointing that the writings of Rudolf Steiner, the German Mystic of the 20th Century are skipped over here. In particular as the represent a clean break from the somewhat offhand opinions of others toward the madness. From the book summary: "Steiner met Nietzsche's work in 1889. At once fascinated by Nietzsche's style and repelled by certain pathological aspects of his consciousness, Steiner recognized Nietzsche's spiritual preeminence as a "fighter for freedom." Six years later, as a result of meeting Nietzsche's sister, Steiner encountered the dying philosopher himself. Thereafter, he spent several weeks in the Nietzsche archives. The result was this book, an essential stepping stone toward an understanding of [western spirituality]." https://www.amazon.com/Friedrich-Nietzsche-Fighter-Rudolf-Steiner/dp/0893450332 (regrettable out of print and now hellishly expensive). In his later writings +- 1923/1924 Steiner makes it clear that when he 'looked into Nietzsche's soul using purely spiritual methods' he saw that the man's spirit had vacated the body and another spirit (of a dubious nature) had entered into it. This happened increasingly, but by the time "The Antichrist" was written it was no longer the spirit of Nietzsche holding the pen. He indicated that what drove him mad was that his spirit was one that could not accept a purely materialistic conception of the World, but at the same time was unable to follow the ancient paths of spirituality (i.e. the Philosopher's Stone) but needed to find his own way from materialism to spirituality via chiefly materialistic thought (his philosophy) but was unable to effectively bridge the gap, causing him deep internal pain. It should be noted that Steiner also wrote a book to bridge this same gap using philosophy as the tool, published as A Philosophy of Freedom.
    5
  323. What risk? You could drop one on your toe - that would suck.
    5
  324. Cybertruck has mass appeal. Rivian is for rich 'bush people'.
    5
  325. Lol
    5
  326. Are they paying you 300k, 200k or 100k? I bet it is the latter. And that is what all the wailing and gnashing of teeth is about.
    5
  327. That is today - the Model-T. Five years from now it will cost the same as the iPhone $800, it will do everything any other screen can do - only better. Battery life will be a non-issue because it will take only five seconds to swap the magnetic attachment for a 2nd or third pack - the 6 hour pack will come. In the end, it is going to succeed and further fck up society beyond recognition.
    5
  328. As is normal with Elon for over a decade now.
    5
  329. The worst I ever saw was that the international head office in Zurich mandated all subsidiaries to use SAP. That would cost us 5 years profits for a small standalone subsidiary, so we just created a small interface into another copy of SAP running at another local subsidiary and claimed we were on SAP, and that kept them off the trail for the four years I worked there.
    5
  330. Elvis is the King. Real estate is more like some nephew of some forgotten prince.
    5
  331. Elon bought all the GPUs and is besties with DT. They have run out of options.
    5
  332. There are hundreds of exits. Nobody can come down them easily because they are a death funnel.
    5
  333. I almost didn't click this video. Boy would that have been a mistake.
    5
  334. Militaries turned out to be very controllable. Uncontrollable militaries usually engage in a coup d'etat. When was the last such thing in a Western/Democratic developed country? (Greece 1967)
    4
  335. probed up the exit hole
    4
  336. Narcissists need it. And will pay.
    4
  337. Boeing comes to mind.
    4
  338. " Nobody buys a set and then throws it to landfill" I'll bet you a dollar they do.
    4
  339. I think you are coping. If this causes even just a 10% drop in demand for knowledge workers then expect unemployment to go up 10x and asking salary to sink like a Russian submarine. Programmers may drop to the same salary as other industries : say 40k to 60k max unless you are a manager with 20 years experience with 8 reports. Your needcode courses will go the way of VCR repair courses of the 80's.
    4
  340. To add to that it doesn't need to actually replace the people - it just needs to change the common narrative - once everybody knows that everybody knows that specialized knowledge is not a scarce commodity then its asking price trends towards its cost price - bring the price of food and shelter.
    4
  341. It does not have to be outright invasion. If they can demonstrate enough power and exert enough pressure then neighbours may switch and join with them.
    4
  342. Meh...show the proof that Elon is anything other the World's best engineer. S=fastest car. Y=best selling car. CT=most preordered car, and I never even said the words rocket.
    4
  343. When a customer walks into a dealership they don't call it MSRP. They call it the best deal in town, but when you shop around the lie is laid bare.
    4
  344. As a Tesla shareholder, if the board 'reigned Musk in' I would sell out. Musk is the generator of value and must regularly make bold moves. Corporate governance is where innovation goes to die.
    4
  345. I have never owned one and always wanted to. When my Tesla shares reach 2000 I will buy the last VW ever sold.
    4
  346. Liking a company's product and buying shares are very different things.
    4
  347.  @OneTwoMark  I bet you with there with the Apple Newton mansplaining what a dumbass invention portable computers are.
    4
  348. Viking? The man is a legend.
    4
  349. May I respectfully disagree, although I think if Stefan and I sat down and compared opinions we would quickly find common ground here. The thing about automation (AI is a subcategory) is it can be economically disruptive. There are currently about 10 players investing $500m+ who have declared self driving car availability by 2020/21. GM will aims to be the first to mass produce them as robo taxis. Waymo is near to launch. Mass production changes everything. Horses were the preferred method of transport for forty years after the invention of the car(1885), but after Henry Ford mass produced cars horses were gone in a twenty years. The thing is, the single biggest job category in the US is 'driver' i.e. you are employed to drive: trucks, buses, taxis, forklifts, heavy equipment, farm equipment. This is 5 million jobs in the US alone. Sure, at the start (say 2023) it will displace 10% of drivers and no one will notice because there is currently a shortage by about 10% of drivers. But then it will take off, say by 2025, where 30% of driving jobs are gone, suddenly there will be an serious oversupply of drivers. If you are a driver, expect your salary to drop drastically and the driver unemployment rate to be off the charts. By 2030 driver will the farrier of a hundred ago, heading for extinction. By 2035 the job will cease to exist in it's current form. And this is just one implementation of AI, Amazon go is targeting the 2nd largest category = retail person = 4 million jobs targeted. I think the full AI transformation will take 50 years, just like it took 50 years for EVERY company including the laggards to start using email. At my first job in 2001 I did audit work using paper, for a couple months, and only then got a computer. On the other hand, the demand for programmers, data scientists, maths people, robotics people and so on is about to go through the roof and be in demand for 50 years+. It all depends on who you are professionally, how quickly you can adapt, your support systems for retraining and so on.
    4
  350. By 45 it will be over.
    4
  351. He was premature. Now its much more urgent.
    4
  352. We all drive cars. Its a similar thing. At least when another spy takes you out it is likely quick and brutal.
    4
  353. "I do know It was us who scorched the sky".
    4
  354. They don't announce when something is training or not. People are just guessing. You can partially train, stop, add more data, continue.
    4
  355. He probably paid 300 a share. He is probably bitter.
    4
  356. Some of his predictions have been ahead of schedule. Model Y rollout for example. Shanghai is another one.
    4
  357. You can easily shield them in a bunker. Also, you pop a nuke and then Russia will pop 7000 nukes - 100 on every major western city.
    4
  358. They ;cancelled' high grade Australian coal. They need plants that can burn low grade coal.
    4
  359. My impression is that Lucas was not so enamored with the whole Hero's Journey thing because it was too close to various brands of spirituality. The prequels cut out that stuff and the force became some blood parasite etc. I contest that actual reason IV, V and VI will last 1000 years is that they speak to what peoples hearts are searching but which their heads reject.
    4
  360. 100% it will not replace every job. But 100% it will replace some portion of every type of job. If that portion is 20% or more you will see massive wage compression. Anedotal: I remember when I graduated high school a guy in my class did a Microsoft system engineer course and was driving a new BMW within 3 months. Within two years oversupply meant that same qualification paid 10% of the previous amount - not enough to afford to pay rent or drive to work - less than MacDonalds. There are already programmers using prompting who output about 30x a typical programmer. Translation is dead. Digital art is dead. Stock photography is dead. Two years from now all drivers will be gone.
    4
  361. Thief! You stole my comment! I worked in auditing/accounting for a long time, and it was exactly the same. I still wake up sweating sometimes remembering stupid small jobs from 15 years ago were I was given bs estimates to complete the work. To say nothing of the number of times I was flat out told to compromise the quality.
    4
  362. That does not agree to the video. The video says it consists of medical and government pensions. SSI not mentioned.
    4
  363. Couldn't sleep last night thinking similar thoughts. I was thinking an office that drives around. Rather than having an office in a building your office just moves with you where you need to go. Maybe a company has a 1000 of them and they just swarm together or break apart as needed.
    4
  364. Yes, but it will last a million miles so he is a fool to have sold it, he would have got $100k of value by using it for the next 10 years.
    4
  365. I will forever remember the scene where Luke Rubs milk off his beard as the epitome of Disney's contribution to Star Wars.
    4
  366. If you work very hard at it - you are master of what you do. The worldly outcomes of those actions are at at best half under your control. (edit : a word)
    4
  367. They are not saying that. They are saying they invented a tractor for programming. When the tractor for farming came 99% of farmers were unemployed and left for the cities - the subject of every Charles Dickens novel. 1% of people are still farmers today - they survived just fine - just in lower numbers.
    4
  368. Large inflexible engineering is usually created by large inflexible organizations. On the other hand, there are those who with 10x less resources beat out all competitors - SpaceX, Cray in the above video, Google search and so on because they are agile. If you are an inflexible organization you are going to injure yourself trying to do flexible things ( see the Boeing 737 Max Fiasco) - but conversely don't cry when you become the next Kodak, Blockbuster, Yahoo or IBM because somebody else was flexible.
    4
  369. In today's World half the people are more concerned about the worm.
    4
  370. They also never get nervous or afraid no matter what they do. That scares me even more.
    4
  371. WASM has your back.
    4
  372. I remember in one of the early Rainbow Six games starts "Welcome to Brindisi, Gentleman...". Basically, you go secretly into ex-Iron curtain territories and kill people until the side with the US instead of Russia. Amazing graphics for its day.
    4
  373. Tesla chose not to compete with CATL/BYD because lithium prices dropped and batteries became commodities. Tesla sells cars, not batteries - so inhouse production is not a requirement to compete.
    4
  374. But Danny, why have they not piled up already in the billion miles driven?
    4
  375. If you have seen how my wife drives I would rather trust today's FSD to fetch the kids. Put a mannequin in the front seat or something.
    4
  376. Probably hit a concrete bollard at 160kmh and rolled 20 times.
    4
  377. Ultimately all subsidization is unsustainable in the long run - investor or corporate driven - but investor runs out of steam first.
    4
  378. You are looking at it completely the wrong way. The solution is not to find a good day and copy it - it is to find examples of other people who beat chronic pain and copy them.
    4
  379. The have a product. The revenue is lacking. The counter-argument is that Google and Facebook were in this camp for the longest time.
    4
  380.  @OriginalRaveParty  This is important. There will be a small group of 'heavy duty' programmers that will be unaffected much by AI. The group of 'do some programming' will 10x with LLMs as they improve. The smaller groups jobs are safe as LLMs cannot threaten them. The larger group's jobs are also safe for now but those who cannot usse LLMs to program and automate are threatened.
    4
  381. No chance. I can see Nvidia moving 100% of production to server farm cards for 3 to 5 years. While AMD struggle to allocation at TSMC.
    4
  382. He is right that thoughts and feelings 'well up' out of nowhere all the time - the real question do you have to listen to them or can you send them back and ask for a better one? Additionally, over time, you can condition what type of thoughts well up.
    4
  383. Once the rot really steps in - you will see house price deflation. Ask Japan - 25 years in a row.
    4
  384. Teslas last more than 300 000 miles. New batteries from China will have million mile/km guarantee so then they will last even longer. No gearbox, no engine failure, no rust if made from aluminium.
    4
  385. Very few kings did this in antiquity. If they 'went to war' it was more as observer than as general. If they took control from the general - it was often just a disaster.
    4
  386. They will train another AI which can tell which code is shitty and which is not. Just like Google search AI is not shitty and Amazon recommendations are not shitty, expect MS to make it run. Even if it does, coding is 80% domain problem solving so it does not matter.
    4
  387. They will come for you too in the end - and you will be quite alone. You have to be part of society and the resistance against its ever resurgent evils.
    4
  388. And Gary Black is a Tesla Bull. Ross Gerber takes the cake for the Bears.
    4
  389. Quit drinking, it is part of the overall process that causes this ongoing social malaise.
    4
  390. He invests everything in Tesla which gives him credibility. Have you invested everything in Toyota/VW? If, not, you lack credibility.
    4
  391. Teslas current batteries last indefinately. The higest milage Teslas +-450k miles and battery still +-90%.
    4
  392. My ancestors died in those camps - but you have to acknowledge that since then Britain has not done that again, and are less and less likely to do so. On the other hand, Russia has done something similar in parts of occupied Ukraine, which is why Putin is now a war criminal.
    4
  393. There will be millions of AI jobs. But with 5 billion needing employment there should be a job for every 1000th person.
    4
  394. Personification makes it hit home. If you rephrase it as abstract everybody shrugs.
    4
  395. A hundred years ago you got the worrying feeling that Germany was up to no good.
    4
  396. A lot has to do with feeling safe. If a single parent make the child feel safe about wider life then one is enough. Normally the father does this but the mother can fill the role if she knows how. Speaking from personal observation here.
    4
  397. Dying now: VW, Stellantis Dying in 5 years: GM, Toyota, German Luxury Might survive: Ford, Kia/Hyundai Winners: Tesla, BYD, China
    4
  398. There is nothing wrong with any technology as a tool - from a handgun to an ICBM. The problem is that for every person using it this way nine are abusing it - which adds up to massive social issues.
    4
  399. They have not exhausted them, its fake news. Eventually they will exhaust them. But it does not matter because other people will want to buy them who did not preorder. Tesla will continue to ramp and drop prices until every buck with a F150 is thinking of switching.
    4
  400. With stock options Elon will have to pay Tesla. And he can only exercise in couple of years.
    4
  401. Nope. They feed it actual ice cream flavours and paint colors. It 'garbaged out' with relatively good input. The problem is it lacked 'understanding'.
    4
  402. New Teslas with LiFePo4 batteries will last 1.5m miles. Current ones last 500k miles. The Leaf was just early technology (like early cars which would explode) and I feel bad for your friend.
    4
  403. Humans tend to be unable to understand older code as it gets larger. I remember the Boeing 777 had a dangerous bug somewhere in its 200000 lines (if I recall correctly) and it took them years to find it and delayed the release of the plane - costing them serious $. Somebody where you worked should have abstracted the SP into smaller layers long before this point. Of course, they didn't.
    4
  404. Then you will understand why for short five minutes while you hug and children and wait for the flash.
    4
  405. How about OpenSeasonAi - its like they are hunting knowledge workers with a Gatling Gun.
    4
  406. The wise man lets his family hold incorrect political opinions.
    4
  407. Russian energy comes with Russian politics.
    4
  408.  @joeswanson733  No. The demand for hard working intelligent people is near infinite. The problem is the system - it strips out all wealth from the people to use for the government.
    4
  409. Still profitable. They dropped prices and pundits threw their arms in the air - when they released Q1 results it was clear that all price drops were matched by decreases in vehicle cost - particularly batteries.
    4
  410. 4000/8000 token input limit
    4
  411. Nope. It is there already. There are Uber drivers who just let FSD do everything and hardly ever have to intervene. Remote operation is also standard for Robotaxis (Waymo does it). Wall Street will only pay attention once the growth on the income statement is there.
    4
  412. Most Lithium is Chinese, and Toyota would have had difficulty accessing it. Not the same for Chinses companies.
    4
  413. I agree, he is difficult to listen to and has near maximum disagreeableness, but I think those two things are what make him worth listening to.
    4
  414. That what the delay is for. So they can move the drone nearer your location.
    4
  415. When it comes to vehicles - every country in the World tariffs foreign vehicles and subsidizes local ones. You will not see Fords or Toyotas in Frankfurt.
    4
  416. The smart move for any value orientated buyer. Attention orientated buyers should buy the CT.
    4
  417. JP said they should be separated in the interface. That is not the same as censoring the anonymous.
    4
  418. As mass manufacturing takes over it cost will trend towards the cost of raw materials + energy + labour + profit margin. I think if Tesla can sell them for $10k that will sell a billion. On the other hand if they are $100k they will sell 10000, if it is a $1mil they will sell 1000.
    4
  419. Sasha trying to get 'organic' visits to his sites.
    4
  420. AI has also changed the data - companies and employees have realised they can better game the system by using fake posting and applications. I doubt the data collectors take this into account.
    4
  421. Sasha ain't hearda ad blockers. Not solving the problem, but halves the pain.
    4
  422. Currently they are not connected to the internet in a self-managed training loop. But that will come in time.
    4
  423. Is it really big pharma though? If you take the Pharmaceutical Index off the NYSE what % is homeopathic? 10%? 1%? 0.1%? A quick google search reveals that no-one has bothered to do this calculation yet.
    4
  424. At 10x the cost. Why?
    4
  425. He says consciousness is a fiction but talks about himself as a person. There has to be a contradiction somewhere in there.
    4
  426. She summarized it with ChatGPT to 2 pages.
    4
  427. This joke is underappreciated.
    4
  428. Those with mountain turrets can still get nuked from orbit.
    4
  429. Which Joe?
    4
  430.  @wolfswinkel8906  That's all fine and well, but at one stage Germany was ahead of the World with regards to wind and solar and then it fell flat when presumably the pipelines came marching into town.
    4
  431. Never underestimate the power of ten thousand data curators working under a censorship mandate. In China, for example, it is very, very hard to make Winnie the Pooh jokes.
    4
  432. The issue is used ChatGDP and not ChatGPT. ChatGDP is only for economists.
    4
  433. That joke never gets old. Tell it again.
    4
  434. Nope. Batteries have optimal temperature ranges based on chemistry. Everyone who follows EVs knows that.
    4
  435. The dirty truth is that legacy automakers are 10 years behind. They can build 'near competitive vehicles' but underneath the veneer they are losing $100k a vehicle to do so, and sales are a trickle on top of that. They have too much debt and too heavy an investment in the outsource model to ever compete. 5 years from now expect BYD to be the world's number 1 automaker with Tesla in 2nd place and nobody in 3rd - think Android and iPhone.
    3
  436. Thank you. I was wondering...
    3
  437. Sometimes when you stare into the dread it stares back at you
    3
  438. I simply cannot believe it is impossible to know what an Uber charges. We are interested in California and Texas during peak times. Cheapest class of vehicle.
    3
  439. The issue with this is that it assumes you know what the hard part is which assumes you have deep knowledge of the problem domain. In the real World, you write what you THINK is the hard part first, then tell the boss it is all going to be done on budget. A month later you discover the REAL hard part and you are up a creek without a paddle.
    3
  440. Bob Marley did not sing Don't Worry Be Happy. It was Bobby McFerrin.
    3
  441. Ozone is toxic if inhaled. Sam Altman is toxic even if not inhaled. I get it now.
    3
  442. I have realized this too since switching. Only issue is you can't see over other cars anymore.
    3
  443. The distinction is a pedantic and useless one, the technologies that are ai but not machine learning were invented in the 60's and haven't been used since then.
    3
  444. Stock traders use it to analyse news to see if they need to act quickly.
    3
  445. Also start paying for exclusive purpose designed data. Would work well for medical advice/diagnosis and for programming.
    3
  446. They both agree there should be free trade - no tariffs. Let the best man win.
    3
  447. With a shrinking population and economy real estate is heading for long, slow, painful bubble deflation. See Janpan, their 1980's bubble is still deflating.
    3
  448. No, timing is just bad. 1. Global car sales for the last year are at about 50% of the year before. 2. Interest rates are high right now so buyers are waiting if they can 3. Robotaxi comes first because it seems to be 10x more profitable than a model 2.
    3
  449. Elon kowtows to China because the country is effectively one giant manufacturing for export subsidization program, and secondly, the Chinese market is the biggest for Tesla (and all other car makers these days).
    3
  450. It is fairly clear you have a deal with XPeng but are not disclosing it. I understand that this is how sausages are made fpr streamers but it does not sit well with me.
    3
  451. Watch the keynote - not going to happen.
    3
  452. Not only is it a full time job but it requires an additional $100k per annum earned by the spouse to fund that job, at least in optimal conditions.
    3
  453. The compact car would suck enormous cash and run at a loss for 5 years as it competes with heavily subsidized BYDs or Toyotas. Resources and attention are limited - focus them where they count - Energy, Semi, Robotaxi and Optimus.
    3
  454. Nobody is asking for a ban. They want rules. Rules on design (e.g. no launch and forget assassin drones), production (e.g. disallowing corporations to stockpile private armies) and use (e.g. you may only use them once you have been invaded by a substantial enemy force and sustained x amount of damage).
    3
  455. Tesla imports about 30% per vehicle from these countries depending on the model. GM, Ford and Stellantis import about 70%. Thus Tesla must raise prices by 7.5% while the others by 18.75%. Tesla gains share but overall volumes fall. Of course, this is all irrelevant because Trump is negotiating - the final result will not be a trade war. It would kill the economy and stock market and that is the last thing Trump wants.
    3
  456. That is why they launched it at 80k and not 40k (50k inflation adjusted). Prices will drop and so will manufacturing costs. Tesla does this everytime.
    3
  457. Single old man takes little boys into the forest to 'find the ring'. Diverse indeed.
    3
  458. America too, at least perhaps half of it, unfortunatly.
    3
  459. Molten salt had a round trip efficiency of 70%-80%. Source: Claude Opus
    3
  460. I think he means in Germany.
    3
  461. "Also, how does petite vue compare to svelte?" Does it matter? Write-time is 10x more important than anything else so whatever you already know is better.
    3
  462. I have a little change. About 47 cents.
    3
  463. Sora will be sold to Hollywood so never coming to you. Voice probably similar. $20 subscriptions can only go so far.
    3
  464. Sam got a free XPeng - grain of salt about whatever he says on the topic.
    3
  465. Tom Cruise? Is that the best you could come up with?
    3
  466. People are pissed off because they are car people and don't understand Tesla. They all invested when margins were high because of chip shortages and then lost money when the stock tanked as shortages cleared up. They think that Tesla can 'grow again' if it just creates a better car. They don't understand that outside the US the model 2 would be competing against BYD who the CCP is pouring every spare cent they have into.
    3
  467. Tesla automate everything. They also make cars people want.
    3
  468. You could always reopen the coal mines and relaunch MG... financial services is as fine a business to be in as any other, but you need to have a method where the benefits are properly taxed to avoid creating a banker class and a pauper class.
    3
  469. My bill went up with load shedding. Batteries charging and geyser catching up.
    3
  470.  @lv7603  It was relevant because it shattered a myth held Worldwide that VWs were the best alternative for someone who couldn't handle the boring design of Toyotas.
    3
  471. Typical of a narcissist.
    3
  472. The promise of Nelson Mandela was that once the blacks took power they would work together with the whites to build a great nation. What happened was as soon as Mandela left power they started to demonize the whites. Every single 'golden goose' in sight was slaughtered - seeing the writing on the wall - the educated whites left, the international capital left, eventually - hope itself left this land. It is steadfastly on the path to becoming a larger version of failed state that is Zimbabwe. All the while the ANC pays only lip service to proper economic policy - preferring stealth communism instead.
    3
  473. If your manager is able to buffer then the place is not nearly as toxic as you think. Properly toxic places don't let managers buffer - everyone has to work until burnout kicks in.
    3
  474. Only that price in countries with no vehicle tariffs - namely Australia and Thailand.
    3
  475. Now, yes. 5 years ago - no.
    3
  476. The thing is they never give you all the pieces of data you need. Sure it is 500wh/kg but what is its longevity? 1 Year? What is its cost? Doped with platinum so 20x? Does it combust on impact? Um...yes it does.
    3
  477. The main customers will be other tech companies. Just like in colonialism, the locals could not afford to buy the goods they made.
    3
  478. Somewhat strawman. These SV guys would say they dream in S-curves, only that this particular S-curve will destroy us all before its inflection point.
    3
  479.  @NorthernKitty  Nothing some more data and more training cannot fix.
    3
  480. Having spent the whole year getting to know it better I can tell you it is at the same time 1) The most remarkable machine ever created 2) On the other hand, it is the devil, because it will allow anyone to do anything abstract to a remarkable degree of proficiency, masking their ineptitude, perhaps until it is too late.
    3
  481. Tactical nukes don't destroy your own army if the wind suddenly changes direction.
    3
  482. In the Industrial Revolution those who could not longer be farmers moved to the city slums and rented out their children for dangerous jobs in factories.
    3
  483. Not going to happen. Tesla got badly burned sharing nerdy details as China and other then immediately invested billions to copy. Copying is not a threat if it lags your development by 5 years, but it is a major threat if it lags by only 5 months.
    3
  484. Don't have kids, grandkids?
    3
  485. Also, your data goes back to HQ. As an Aussie would you prefer it goes to Beijing or California?
    3
  486. When OpenAi re-incorporates as for profit it should rename itself. DeepstateAI might be in line for the suggestion box...
    3
  487. Never bet against Elon.
    3
  488. He is playing Devil's advocate. The Hill tries to argue both sides - if he really believed it he would have kept the argument going.
    3
  489. German innovators moved to the US.
    3
  490. No doubt. But somewhere else in tobacco chewin gun totin America some MagaMan is buying a Cybertruck. And elsewhere a TransWetback is buying a model Y because (s)he simply cares more about value for money than politics. It is hard to call whether it is net up or net down overall. Randy makes a good point about the tribes though.
    3
  491. Women with surname Gray believes in aliens. Name checks out.
    3
  492. Nope. Restaurants are going to exist forever and when the virus is gone, they will need dedicated restaurateurs. Almost every adult will have something like this happen to them in their life.
    3
  493. High conscientiousness is a good thing. My father would often forget to fetch me or give me enough money to buy what I needed. He almost never kept to his commitments.
    3
  494. "Models that say they have a context of 32k+ tokens end up forgetting or ignoring instructions after as little as 15 pages of text," This
    3
  495. Depends on the game. Swap EV battery for one 30% cheaper and lighter and it IS a game changer. U$4000 is real money for some folks.
    3
  496. Start PLANNING today. Do not just pull the trigger. Take a LONG TIME to plan and prepare.
    3
  497. Morale is such a vague concept - trust is better word.
    3
  498. Which country do you think is doing better than the US?
    3
  499. "He promised FSD back in 2018. " He so did not. Go check the actual quote. A qualified statement and a promise are chalk and cheese.
    3
  500. They are going to need a lot of electricity, so all Canadians will have to move to Mexico to make space for that. ¿hablas español?
    3
  501. And yet you give up your valuable time to write out long comments.
    3
  502. I think you are focusing too much on meh examples of current tech. The first cars were dangerous as hell, had to carry their own fuel and weaker than horses. The first computers were the size of a city block, required thousands of vacuum tubes the size of televisions, and required a team of people to run. AI is not the 2nd coming, quite the opposite, but like all tools a lot will depend on the decisions we collectively make. Consider, another tool, the nuclear bomb, barrring some regrettable decisions at the beginning, we have not nuked each other.
    3
  503. It doesn't matter for its threat level. It matters whether we consider it one of us. Just like a magician's show, you may never know how he did it but knowing with absolute certainty that he DID fake it makes every kind of difference in what you think of the magician.
    3
  504. What about secret military bases?
    3
  505. The device has the wrong vision. It needs to control all your other devices using natural language. "Send a message to John asking if we are still on" or "Run the reports again for 1st quarter only" or "Check what they kids are up on their phones" or "Put on Netflix on the office tv".
    3
  506. You will have to be like aspiring actors in Hollywood : waiting tables to pay bills for ten years while you wait to get a break for some small role.
    3
  507. Web developers get a sinking feeling in their stomach when they see C# - and C++ has no garbage collection, and is known to cause seizures /jk
    3
  508. I think so. But that is good for shareholders like me because it gives Tesla a massive moat.
    3
  509. It might also be worth adding that you go through stages in your life and what appeals to you at one stage is often not the same at the next stage.
    3
  510. It might be rational but it is untrue - Multiple people at Tesla have repeatedly denied this. And not for Osborne effect reasons. Tesla will release a cheaper car based on the model 3/y next year - a 30k vehicle. The 20k vehicle is delayed 10 years at least.
    3
  511. 150 000 miles is way to low. Mechanically, the car lasts 500 000 with some repairs. You may have to replace seats at 250 000.
    3
  512. Problem is nobody knows which way we are going.
    3
  513. Such a thing would easily become known internationally and other countries would not stand for it. Easy to do, but has consequences.
    3
  514. Developed nation? Virtually all non-African countries are now developed by the conventional metrics that define that word. Maybe you mean white-Anglo Saxon investor class country? Well, here in South Africa that money would make you a rich man, doubly so if your wife earns that too. Of course, you would have to put up with the crime and widening social decay.
    3
  515. Because they know how high we have climbed the cliff and the ropes are starting to snap.
    3
  516. Pandemic and consequent inflation have delayed it 4 years. Still on track.
    3
  517. You missed the big picture - China is the largest market and GM, VW used to get most of their sales and the vast majority of their profits there. China rolled up its sleeves and built much better cars - EVs in particular now 50% of sales. China sales there are busy collapsing to zero.
    3
  518. Hypomania = Decreased need for sleep Increased energy and activity levels Elevated mood and exaggerated optimism Increased talkativeness and sociability Irritability or a short temper Racing thoughts and distractibility Inflated self-esteem or grandiosity Increased sexual drive Reckless and impulsive behaviors In some cases, increased productivity and creativity
    3
  519. For the house and the land. $1.2 for the land and $0 for the house.
    3
  520. It should work without having to plug it yourself.
    3
  521. How do you not not know it is well below cost?
    3
  522. "Adopting Texas style lack of planning is a ludicrous and dangerous idea" And yet Texans are very happy living in Texas. In fact, a lot of New Yorkers are happy living in Texas too!
    3
  523. He was born in South Africa. We will gladly take him back for our president but unfortunately he has the wrong colour skin.
    3
  524. Nobody will buy your services or goods, being overpriced by 10x compared to AI products and services.
    3
  525. AGI will be an internal tool.
    3
  526. I assume you bought at $410 and not $1.50. Everyone makes mistakes.
    3
  527. He became the richest man on earth doing zero paid marketing or advertising - I would say he is God-level communicator. He does not do it like everyone else.
    3
  528. Part of the problem is that there was recently a 20 year increase in life expectancy. I have two kids and live in a highly cramped situation. I look over the back wall every day at the 75 year old guy living alone in a massive house he always lived in. Humanity is richer now than it ever was but most of that wealth is tied up with the boomer generation.
    3
  529. Was thinking this. And Morgan Freeman for male.
    3
  530. That is the question here - how do they get their data fly-wheel going? No doubt they share it - perhaps not directly - but via a training process.
    3
  531. I am optimistic because I switched my efforts from selling labour to managing (a very small amount) of capital. Labour is a mug's game and is going to get much, much worse in the next 5 years as AI job agents and capable humanoid robots roll out to workplaces.
    3
  532. Nope. Armenia lost all their AA without a single kill to drones. That is how they lost the war.
    3
  533. Humans use a camera system to drive. How far did they get?
    3
  534. Well, Sauron care about the authenticity of Amazon story as much as he cares about one of his orcs languishing on the fields of Mordor tying to package 1001 boxes in an hour in 46 degree Celsius heat. Wait, what were you trying to say?
    3
  535. This will be the trend across all professions. The better your work the more you will be suspected of cheating.
    3
  536. He retired when ChatGpt-4 was released.
    3
  537. Tesla sells a solar roof.
    3
  538. This is the first piece of AI music that does not make me frown and then laugh - in fact it has me tapping along. Gawdamn.
    3
  539. I always comment before watching...and eat supper after brushing my teeth...just born that way
    3
  540. There is research into this. Most people change over their lifetime.
    3
  541. The Cybertruck has aspects that make it more practical as well - a body and engine/battery that last nearly forever, free fuel if you have solar at work or home, near zero maintenance besides tires, better electricity supply for tools. Not everything is perfect but neither is it with traditional trucks.
    3
  542. They do but they have unprecedented construction under way that will make 100% solar in couple years. They would rather be dependant on local solar panels than Aussie coal.
    3
  543. I have a Xiaomi phone and owned 3 more before it. Hardware is good. Price is brilliant. Software is coded by monkeys.
    3
  544.  @obsidianjane4413  Not everyone managed. In 1948-1952 tens of millions died of starvation in China. In 1983 to 1985 as much as 1 million died and 7 million had their lives ruined by famine. To say nothing of what happens when there is enough food but not enough for education, security, electricity.
    3
  545. Move fast and copy things.
    3
  546. My take - S-curves by their nature are not dangerous things. Humanity today stands on top of 1000's of historical S-curves. The only thing that is dangerous is a runaway exponential curve, and Andrew is pretty much the only guy saying "Not going to happen" because saying Exponential--->OMG--->AGI--->Matrix gets anyone free press.
    3
  547. Unions are not incentivised for long term survival. They just have a one year outlook - what raises and other concession can we get in the next 12 months. Tesla did well to keep them out.
    3
  548. Ain't that the truth.
    3
  549. The rationale was he betrayed Democrats and said Republican things. Ironically, on balance of his political stances, he is still more left than right.
    3
  550. If they had the Hoover Dam or equivalent excess power they would have built it themselves.
    3
  551. Alpaca is not trained on your laptop - it is fine tuned on your laptop. There is a big difference.
    3
  552. It seems quite different. Airsoft you are in a known enclosed area and the opposing team knows you are less than 100m away - its all about eyes, cover, shooting accuracy, teamwork. In war, its day 100 and you are exhausted, the enemy is 20km away most of the time. You are tired of wearing armor, keeping your phone off, patrolling the long way around so you take some chances: then out of the blue you pay the price from a drone or artillery strike.
    3
  553.  @DonG-1949  Rhetorical: If a bot speaks some words, and they happen to be true, should they be disregarded out of hand because a bot was involved? The internet is increasingly dead but you will never know who is real. You could be a Sambot. I could be an Elonbot. I could be a Sambot pretending to be an Elonbot to make strawman arguements.
    3
  554. Elon Musk: AI is an existential threat for humanity. Elon Musk one year later: I built the biggest AI machine the World has ever seen... Elon Musk 10 years later: All your base are belong to us.
    3
  555. I sense your comment comes from a place of anger. Unionizing will just further destroy the companies who do it, like in the case of Tesla basically leaving Ford, Gm with no cars worth buying. This problem cannot be fixed at the firm level because of competitive forces. What is needed is some serious thought about the entire social contract. Edit: One letter.
    3
  556. Got me too.
    3
  557. No. Mark speaks Chinese but Mark and Elon are no longer friends. He is probably wearing an earpiece.
    3
  558. Elon Musk is understood to be the hardest working CEO the world over. What are you implying?
    3
  559. They never said WHICH Thursday. Think about it for 1 second.
    3
  560. Just like everyone caught up with Google Search, Apple OS and Microsoft Office. What planet you from?
    3
  561. Sick of you talking about Xpeng. I am sure they are good and cheap and all that but consider the message received. Move onto the next thing.
    3
  562. It is worth stating that Ukraine runs its war on the back of Starlink satellites - a Musk company. It is not so black and white as Jake would have you believe.
    3
  563. How many people have you told?
    3
  564. Yup, that is the thing. Nobody, not Sabine or the funny looking guy, or anyone else knows for sure where this S-curve ends. A little humility all around would go a long way.
    3
  565. Gold and silver are used in many industrial processes. Also Jewelry.
    3
  566. Guest was cloned.
    3
  567. Remember, there will be millions of models 3 and Y doing robotaxi service as well. Just in case you need 3 people - or 2x adults and 2x children. Since they have a steering wheel and pedals the drivers seat will be off limits for Model 3 and Y.
    3
  568. Of the Silmarillion: When I was about 11 I went to the ends of the earth to get a copy of it. I found it so strange to read, having only read proper stories before.
    3
  569. Easy to say. But when it comes to putting down money most prefer to go with the stable offering of Tesla rather than risk some prototype project that probably be cancelled, leaving parts supply in limbo. Only Tesla is making profits on EV in the US.
    3
  570.  @stratcaptain66  For what reason? There has never been such a severe crash in living memory.
    3
  571. Unfortunately, he has SpaceX - which is currently worth more to him. He would just make better use of his time i.e. working for someone who pays and appreciates him.
    3
  572. Well, a calculator is smarter than any human, at arithmetic - but it has no real will of its own. I wonder if it is a stretch to apply this same logic to AI ? No idea.
    3
  573. Impossible. You would all be dead. Psychopaths need to be king of the hill - so when they compete for something they destroy each other and everything around.
    3
  574. You can't just look at the model. You have to also look at the profit on the model.
    3
  575. In South Africa they hijack the delivery drivers and take all the parcels.
    3
  576. If we were to dress a monkey in a suit and groom it meticulously, would you then take note?
    3
  577. "In war aggression wins" - this is schoolboy talk. In WW1 and Ukraine defensive systems had the advantage.
    3
  578. It costs a couple billion to develop models. Their pockets are empty.
    3
  579. BEV makes as much sense on paper as a car pulled by horses.
    3
  580. Status quo never works because sooner or later someone outside the firm innovates. Look at cars - today Tesla is worth 8x more than GM and Ford combined.
    3
  581. y = ax + c is used by many machine learning algorithms. Complexity is not a requirement.
    3
  582. Eagle use was highly risky because of Nazgul on flying beasts. Also, the characters do not think in such straight forward fashion, except for Boromir, and we know how that story ends.
    3
  583. Also, the nature of Sauron was he foresaw all obvious risks, only the most unlikely approaches had a chance of success.
    3
  584. White papers are like what 60 pages? And not in narrative form. I think good engineers have always done what you say, but business managers have never done what Jeff suggests - which is maybe why he is rocketship rich and we are not.
    3
  585. Companies smaller than 10 employees or $5mil revenue should only be taxed once funds are removed from the business.
    3
  586. This. I grew riding bicycles in the street. From what I saw and learned I will not let my children ride bicycles anywhere near cars.
    3
  587. Lag is an issue. Mars Rovers etc are teleoperated but the do things very slowly as a result. I think the ideal is that teleoperation is only for training scenarios.
    3
  588. You don't need to wager. Withdraw your pension funds and borrow from family and then short Tesla. If you are so sure there will be no risk.
    3
  589. I don't think it is so clear cut. There are parts of the internet where free and informed debate takes place. Sure they are harder to find and you have to dodge the recommendation engines to find them - but they exist.
    3
  590. The only comment in the entire comments section grounded in facts. Luckily all five upvoters are now better informed people.
    3
  591. I don't know him but people can be mean or have a temper without being one of these monsters. The difference is the monsters know what they are doing is wrong and they literally do not care - they plan to use it to their benefit and consider it the right thing to do. They have zero empathy or remorse.
    3
  592. Luckily the only people who are likely to attack you are a small Eskimo tribe with bone spears and sled dogs. Smother them in maple syrup and then cover them with feathers.
    3
  593.  @Chrislayeruk1  Dying brands always have this issue. Rising brands like BYD will have plenty of parts on hand.
    3
  594. I am getting that jilted girlfriend vibe.
    3
  595. In total, direct and indirect costs related to the Chernobyl disaster are estimated to be in the range of $235 billion USD to $300 billion USD.
    3
  596. The greatest shortcoming of those who understand the exponential function is to realise there is no such thing, only s-curves.
    3
  597. Fake news: BYD has only ever surpassed Tesla sales for one month. The graph you showed is showing FUTURE sales as if they are in the past.
    3
  598. True EVs only - BYD sells a lot of ICE and hybrids.
    3
  599. I suspect you are just an AI troll bot.
    3
  600. Nietzsche's sister wrote Will to Power after his death, presumably from his writings when his sanity was highly questionable. She needed money. It is not a reputable source for quoting Nietzsche.
    3
  601. That is 20% of the problem - the other 80% is a refusal to allow new developments.
    3
  602. Flies, Mosquitoes, Rats - they have had many attempts to eliminate them as a species, and they endure. Dodo's on the other hand were ill equipped for challenges. A lot depends on the specie's tenacity.
    3
  603. Sensitivity is a spectrum, from HSP's all the way across to those threatening to kill puppies on every prompt. Everyone seems to advocate for matching their own level of sensitivity or their political bent. It just needs a red/blue toggle switch and a sensitivity slider.
    3
  604. The same post oil hangover is being seen in Russia and Venezuela. We can all take a leaf out Norway's book on how to handle these type of windfalls.
    3
  605. There are people who do this for a living - Hedge Funds who short Tesla - and so far every prediction they have made had gone wrong and they have lost billions on their bets.
    3
  606. Sure. Just like other impossible things he promised - reusable rockets, electric vehicles, making payments online.
    3
  607. In the 90's it was known you could buy an illegal handgun for $1 or a AK47 for $4. Instead of finding and confiscating this weapons, the Black ANC government of South Africa clamped down on regular citizens owning guns - and the violent crimes on families soared into the stratosphere - causing about half of whites to leave forever.
    3
  608. You would have to retrain its neural net each time - and currently that costs many millions and take a couple months.
    3
  609. Cybercab expected cost per mile is near 10x cheaper than what Uber charge per mile. Apples and oranges, I know, but regardless prices are going to fall dramtically.
    3
  610. To make it worth in RHD countries just vertically flip the video! (that a joke, ha)
    3
  611. He is legit 200 IQ. People with 100 IQ seem high to those with 80.🙂
    3
  612. I assume you are talking about the server and not the db. Or do you deploy a db on Docker as well?
    3
  613. Consider this: Every morning, many Republicans wake up, and if there is some external actor involved, say an alarm clock, they are also, strictly speaking, woke.
    3
  614. China has never asked for repayment, if they did, and America paid, China would be unable to export a single thing because their currency would rise in value to 2x.
    3
  615. We know they are both real people on the show because they keep calling it ChatGTP and not ChatGPT.
    3
  616. Life was easy when Western capital was flowing in. Nationalism has its drawbacks.
    2
  617. "for thousands of years" Before the tractor - the average peasant worked an 80 hour week. +-80% of the population were farmers. Life expectancy was about 25.
    2
  618. So she quadrupled her money at 75. Californians will have to wait until 2168 for highspeed rail - 10 years after Elon invents personal teleportation.
    2
  619. People don't think. They let CNN and Fox do the thinking.
    2
  620. Amazon would have been a good buy at IPO with a PE ration of 2200+
    2
  621. Lol. Scar tissue is a thing.
    2
  622. Why are they all making losses then?
    2
  623. Then the robots will move to another tax jurisdiction.
    2
  624. When you live in poverty your children are cheap labour so you have 16. Then you become middle income and you cannot afford them so you have none. Then you become high income and you want lots so you have 16 again. Its a money thing.
    2
  625. It will be a single platform - i.e. like model Y and 3 are same platform and S and X are the same platform.
    2
  626. Elon said DOGE could go another year. It might actually be cheaper to focus on Optimus and then Tesla just pays off the government debt out of cash.
    2
  627. He said "somewhere inbetween". So he answered.
    2
  628. Would you nuke your own city to stop a drone attack?
    2
  629. It various a lot depending on city size and industry as well.
    2
  630. Its 2024. Every title is a clickbait title. YouTube forced everyone down that rabbit hole.
    2
  631. Incorrect. Coming soon to EU with minor modifications. 100x safer for pedestrians because software detects incoming pedestrian accidents way before driver does and warns you.
    2
  632. Incorrect. 90% of those who voted said yes - he never said how many have voted - could be less than 10% of shares - in which case institutional investors will decide.
    2
  633. No. I have seen with my own eyes poor blacks work all day in the midday sun - I could not keep up as an 18 y/o sportsman. The problem is like they say in the video, they don't treat higher order skills like they diamonds.
    2
  634. Jon Stewart will eventually vote Republican. He might be the last one to capitulate but we have his membership card printout and waiting.
    2
  635. There is a house visible in your sunglasses.
    2
  636. You are missing the point. The point is that if he leaves Tesla, and this is a possibility, it would hurt everyone else more than 55bn - employees, shareholders, government, beneficiaries of government welfare etc. Think about the whole system.
    2
  637. "The best defense is a good offense" this might apply on the basketball court. In the real World, if the US build an unstoppable bomb the 'enemy' steals the design and builds it a year later.
    2
  638. It is not really a dual strategy. They are basically saying they will sell EVs but not a loss like in the past, which means their models will be over-priced and under-specced. They are hoping that somehow Tesla's technology will diffuse into the market and they can move much later to EVs at a lower price.
    2
  639. Agreed. He has failed to deliver roadster, S, X, 3, Y and Cybertruck. He will fail to deliver Robotaxi on 8/8 too. What a clown.
    2
  640. There are people who need long range - they own a garage, travel 400 miles a day and have no time to sit at a DC charger. Others are the opposite, they own no garage and can't afford larger battery sizes -they need plenty of superchargers. They should cater to both markets.
    2
  641. Simple answer. Xpeng pays. Since he visited them in China the channel started shilling for Xpeng.
    2
  642. So where is the court case? Trillions of dollars lost and millions of lives lost. The jury will only debate this one for about 5 minutes.
    2
  643. If I do a water fast or cleanse my anxiety evaporates. But it never lasts. It comes back, perhaps milder. Fear can be a faithful tool (when the danger is real) or a disability (when the danger is not real).
    2
  644. I kept thinking ray tracing was on when it was off. The tank scene was quite cool though...
    2
  645. You are not incorrect but people who earn 3 figures or more prefer to just have their own car, regardless the cost. They are happy to pay $60000 to not worry about stranger's cooties.
    2
  646. In my country that would make you middle class. Here, similar low level jobs pay about $1.50/h (in local currency equivalents).
    2
  647. Ice cream and Geely?
    2
  648. Absolutely they can. Just like AI cannot manage investment portfolios without a human, AI will need human doctors for some things. Most basic tasks will go to the AI though.
    2
  649. You can also tell that people are clicking any Vision Pro videos anyone makes.
    2
  650. credit score = 1984
    2
  651. Their AI is open - open in the sense of 'open for business' at $20 a month. No need to rename anything.
    2
  652. Wingnut and conehead. Not that there is anything wrong with that.
    2
  653. You are 100% correct for customers who are price sensitive. For those that $100k is not a big deal purchase they may prefer not to share.
    2
  654. They are talking 1 million mile warrantee. So basically forever.
    2
  655. Go is also (apparently) a Horse of a different colour.
    2
  656. Yes. Initially it boosts profits but after 10 years the offshore region controls the pricing power. VW made the gamble they would make 90% of their parts in China and then sell to China. But the Chinese learned well and made better cars cheaper. Now VW still makes 90% of their parts in China but sells 0 vehicles to the Chinese. VW checkmated themselves for some good corporate bonuses 10-15 years back.
    2
  657. Understatement of the century.
    2
  658.  @davidantill6949  I am imagining Snatch right now.
    2
  659. I remember that White House dinner and the malice on Trump's face. All through the Trump presidency I kept thinking of that scene...
    2
  660. Unlike other imports, making vehicles locally creates a large number of high quality jobs. BYD is known to have 60000 engineers, to say nothing of the number of assembly line workers.
    2
  661. FUD
    2
  662. The word for it is Nationalism. We know it well here in the west, because we created whole Empires based on it, from the British Empire to the 3rd Reich, and eventually gave up on it as a workable system. China and Russia still need to learn that lesson.
    2
  663. Sure. But they will also let you go for other reasons, like to bump the stock price before they exercise their options.
    2
  664. Are you aware the word oxymoron contains the word moron? /jk
    2
  665. Something missed is that once China has 100% EVs it will no longer have to import oil for gasoline - instead just using solar panels and wind turbines - which they make themselves.
    2
  666. AI is coming to every industry sooner or later. Unlike early hyperbolic reports of imminent AGI takeover it is going to take minimum 10 years for most industries to see some carve out effect. Economists reckon that pre-ai there is enough work in the World for 40% of people - this will drop to 30% or even 20%. We will have to find ways to adapt as government regulation of ai is not going to work.
    2
  667. Your intro sounds like it was recorded in the bathroom.
    2
  668. I think Google would happily admit it is woke. They might call it DEI though.
    2
  669. What percentage of DAX is invested outside of Germany? 82%
    2
  670. The ANC government of South Africa already blatantly flouted ICC. They will do so again.When the time comes, sanction them, the ANC, and not South Africa as if it were one entity.
    2
  671. PJ made a horrible mess of the hobbit.
    2
  672. Agreed. Tesla does not want the heavy capital expense of building the World's new petrol stations.
    2
  673. was. now oil is burning.
    2
  674. 58% market share = not a monopoly.
    2
  675. It could be argued most drivers don't know how cars work and they couldn't be helped reading books about engines. Sorry, M8, couldn't resist.
    2
  676. Germany never had a green economy. They had a Russian oil/coal economy.
    2
  677. Agreeableness refers to initial agreeableness. Ask any agreeable friend for $10 because you forgot your wallet and they will give it to you. Ask them for $1000 and most will get angry and upset.
    2
  678. Another lesson is that artillery with GPS guided shells and drones doing target acquisition is a deadly combo that was never in play in prior conflicts. You can destroy a tank or a couple of infantry 28km away on the first shot - no need to dial the strike in.
    2
  679. "l paid more for service and parts than l paid for the car, " Everyone except Tesla is doing this now. Markup on parts is 800% plus. That is the only place they make a profit.
    2
  680. Intelligence - build a robot that walks badly but has excellent hands. Stupidity - build a robot that walks like a human and we won't show the hands on the video These guys are dead meat
    2
  681. Calling them blackouts is racist. Don't do that.
    2
  682. THat should be an easy problem to fix. I wonder why they have not done it?
    2
  683. Of course they can and might, that is obvious and not worth discussion - but the question that is a burning one is why have they not done so yet? A big part of that is that they make terrible tactical weapons. Another is MAD. A third is the actions of good men when things got heated.
    2
  684. You LOST it? How do you LOSE a military base? Did somebody accidentally delete it off the spreadsheet or something? /jk
    2
  685. The price war is in China. The changes in the US are mostly to address weak demand which is mainly driven by interest rates.
    2
  686. Battery-less solar breaks even for most buyers after 5-7 years. If you are charging an EV with that, it could be 2-3 years. This is on a 20+ year life on solar systems. I think you don't understand the word expensive - maybe you just mean capital intensive - which is what banks are for.
    2
  687. More like: "No Jeffrey, I would not got that way unless I have any other choice".
    2
  688. The problem with economists is that use a flawed measure to measure impact- productivity. Gini coefficient is a much better measure to measure impact on peoples lives.
    2
  689. Any subject matter on procrastination is hard to digest for us. Damn, I should be working and not looking at Youtube comments!
    2
  690. That is now. If you are any good at looking into the future the writing is on the wall.
    2
  691. Yes, but production never means full production, it means initial production. So full production 2027.
    2
  692. What you say made sense a hundred years ago. But with a nuclear arsenal China no longer needs these buffer zones. It could ostensibly give them up and convert to Democracy. Of course, they are so far down the rabbit hole of their own propaganda now that is zero chance of that.
    2
  693. There are only a fixed amount of people buying cars and Tesla's market share keeps growing. By deduction, that comes at the expense of ice cars. Most places outside of US and Europe don't yet have supercharger networks so it is home charging only.
    2
  694.  @Thunderrolls87  Lithium Iron Phosphate works fine up to -30.
    2
  695. "Tesla is not a well made vehicle" Once upon a time this was true. Now they have the lowest running costs and longest life with no more panel gaps.
    2
  696. Faithful and verbatim are not the same thing.
    2
  697. You have already been for decades. Inside every ICBM there is a targeting algorithm.
    2
  698. CCP puts a hidden subsidy on them. And they can't do this forever.
    2
  699. By definition all AI are trained by humans. We conceptualize them, choose the data and training criteria. Morally, anything we can do they can do.
    2
  700. Newer generation Tesla batteries will last several times longer. The only issue I see is that Powerwall style batteries cost a lot so the Solar Panals need to be at your workplace rather than at home. The vehcile will last 50 years with minimal maintenance.
    2
  701. They are accountable for ticket sales. The thing is they have discovered there is good market for fake movies that carry a good quality approval badge on the box.
    2
  702. "AI will kill everyone" is ridiculous. That "AI will kill significant amounts of people" is less so. Ukraine desperately needs self piloting drones that can operate while jammed.
    2
  703. Thank you so much Dr K.
    2
  704. Intellectual property theft cuts both ways - to be truely fair the US should give up writing, explosives, religion, philosphy, wheels, electricity, itnernal combustion engines and farming as those were invented elsewhere. I get there are differences and rules - but the rules are determined by the incumbents and the differences depend greatly on your nationality.
    2
  705. Its worth to the market. Not her. Maybe the worth to her was 10x market value.
    2
  706.  @audiogus2651  Lol
    2
  707. They dropped because NEW prices also dropped. Those had to drop because interest rates are UP. Interest rates are UP to pay for the pandemic QE. Teslas have better longevity than any other vehicle - engineered for 1 million miles without major repairs.
    2
  708. DOM control is a little disappointing. I thought that had native OS control (which at the same time I was certain they did not without jail-breaking Apple devices.)
    2
  709. Waymo is operating robotaxis and likely have a backup driver per car. FSD does not need to be perfect to start rolling it out as Robotaxi. Regardless, V13 is alrady good to go and V14 will drop late next year. Net result - it will be fine. And did I mention the margins will be out of this world?
    2
  710. CATL is the only source of enough batteries and if they battery is not made in America then half the rebate is lost in the US.
    2
  711. I keep thinking of the Chernobyl series - where every nuclear physicist kept saying it was impossible for a RBMK reactor to meltdown (despite that there were graphite pieces lying in the yard). Theoretically impossible and practically impossible are not the same thing. Having thousands of little reactors all over the place raises the risks of human stupidity, intentional sabotage and terrorism by an order of magnitude. I suggest caution.
    2
  712. The chick in the stock photo is not single.
    2
  713. Don't think so small. A corporation with 1000 employees could have 200 Robovans that work as conference rooms, focus rooms, corner offices or anything else. Even for mechanical stuff - you drive in your model 3 to the customer and all your machinary and tools follows behind in the Rabovin.
    2
  714. On the other hand - China never built a ring of military bases and alliances threatening to block the US from their seas. Taiwan is just one piece of that ring.
    2
  715. No. Mistakes never result in jail. Intent and recklessness are what send you there.
    2
  716. A Mexican robotaxi would be trained on Mexican driver data - so if it needs to dodge kids playing in the road or there is a shootout and you need to get the hell out of dodge - it should be able to do those things. It will cut the cost of transport for most people to 50% - so it will be welcomed by the government.
    2
  717. ding ding
    2
  718. I am interest to know how many people did not sign the petition who were asked to. That is more accurate reporting.
    2
  719. If nothing has changed in two years you are welcome to go back to GPT2.
    2
  720. They last company they gave a handout to was Intel, which just seemed to speed up the rate at which it was circling the drain.
    2
  721. Smallest recall in World history.
    2
  722. You post is lost on most people. But it is spot on!
    2
  723. Many parents will do the math. $10000 over three years for a babysitter or $5000 for this thing.
    2
  724. You can. And 90% of people will get it.
    2
  725. No. He was playing Devil's advocate. The Hill always try to argue both sides. Take your cancel culture elsewhere.
    2
  726. Countries, or companies, can have two mindsets - value creation or value extraction - the former leads to Tesla today, the later VW today.
    2
  727. Except you used the LLM and it used the tokens. Other than boycott them what options do you have? Picketing?
    2
  728. If you think carefully about it you will see there is no contradiction here.
    2
  729. The selling price of the phone in your pocket 10 years ago would have been 10000.
    2
  730. If it gets stuck a Tesla employee will remotely drive it out of it problem - or you just call another one and do a quick switch.
    2
  731. . @checo8187 They are very white skinned. White skins come from cold climates.
    2
  732. Can also be measured by volume instead of weight.
    2
  733. At the moment the risk is mitigated. Elon needs China for production and China needs Elon to transfer cutting edge technology. Who wins or loses in the long run is anybody's guess.
    2
  734. Walmart won't have to fire anyone but those who rely on short term employment at Walmart or anywhere else may be in line for permanent unemployment. Some countries have social nets while others just have a homeless problem. Imagine 35% of the current US workforce living on the streets...
    2
  735. Boston Dynamics don't use ai in their robots. Algorithm's are hand crafted.
    2
  736. Burying yourself will only work until about the 3rd Matrix Movie. Then they get you anyway.
    2
  737. Correct. 4680 is just a size. The reason the Cybertruck 4680 was a bit slow at times was they added a dry electrode, a major step forwards in technology, and that was not easy to product perfectly everytime.
    2
  738. To support your thesis research into how women choose partners shows only one thing matters - money (and future prospects of money). Everything else is just background noise. And if women earn their own money they won't marry a lower earning man.
    2
  739. They phone or computer you are typing on required 2000 breakthroughs.
    2
  740. Ilya asked ChatGPT5 prototype what it saw in his future working at OpenAi.
    2
  741. You need to turn down the bass on yout recording. Almost unwatchable.
    2
  742. "with the company assembling its vehicles in far-flung areas across the globe. My golf was assembled in South Africa. " Nope. Research shows car quality has everything to do with the design of the manufacturing process and nothing to do with where it is assembled. Blame zee Germans.
    2
  743. There is a joke hidden in the title somewhere. I just can't spot it.
    2
  744. Natural selection at work.
    2
  745. Also, Elon has political opinions that give a whole lot people jock itch.
    2
  746. I tried a few times to get it to hallucinate - nothing. My GPT4 sped up dramatically yesterday - maybe they added servers or some other speedup work came online.
    2
  747. They intentionally pulled back 4680 efforts because lithium prices dropped, meaning they could just buy in batteries cheaper from others. Tesla trying to be the best battery manufacturer and the best car manufacturer at the same time is a route to bankruptcy. The only accomplishment Elon needs to get paid was 10x the share price, and he did that, even considering recent drops.
    2
  748. Yes. Length and roof height. Also with and without the low aerodynamic trim.
    2
  749. Lucifer means 'light-bringer' which is exactly what telescopes do.
    2
  750. A more pertinent question is why the devil is called Lucifer.
    2
  751. Would you refuse to get on a plane if one of the seats was a little worn? How are wiper blades anything to do with FSD?
    2
  752. 7:08 More progressive cities will just ban non-self driving cars.
    2
  753. OpenAI will release a new model every 18 months. Like Intel used to do.
    2
  754. For consumers where money is no object this would be the thought process. For others, they will look hard at BYD, its price, its features, its longevity.
    2
  755. Stop calling it Twitter.
    2
  756. I think what most people are missing here is the AI is doing the job it was given just fine - serving up articles most people actually read, as opposed to articles most educated people read.
    2
  757. Corporations, billionaires and tech shareholders will be the main customers.
    2
  758. They already tried communism last century. 40 million starved to death.
    2
  759. Yes. But not getting the best deal is also a problem. Sometimes it is worth it to accept turbulence in exchange for a better deal.
    2
  760. Unsupervised = 500 000 extra sales.
    2
  761. Actually no. The Duel, Dune and a bunch of other releases were quality in 2021 - there are just outside of the big name franchises. Movie franchises are like fast food franchises - designed for people whose only fear is not getting something entirely mediocre.
    2
  762. Not actually. I watch a lot of videos about squiggly lines NOT moving - those are the boring ones.
    2
  763. If you lose you will be bankrupt, unemployed and unemployable. What will you do then?
    2
  764. In 1886 when Benz created the first car they were very few who though it better than a horse or walking - after all it was likely to explode and kill the driver, or just fall over. It took 60 years for it to eventually replace the horse as the preferred method of transport. The point I am making is that the more we embed intelligent things into machines the more we will find it difficult to compete with them - alrady over the last five years Google Translate constant improvements killed translation as a career (outside of work for governments and spy agencies), the same is happening right now for artists. Programmers may be better positioned to compete or they may simply be deluded by version 0.1 of something that will improve rapidly from here - in two or three years we will know more.
    2
  765. No CEO ever jumps. They are all pushed.
    2
  766. Adapting a fleet of Optimus robots to an industrial business will have an training process followed by fine tuning AI training - this may be expensive initially, or less so after some years. Home use would the same thing in every house - clean, cook, laundry, tidy, DIY - it is all identical.
    2
  767. Software is a hard problem because if the context is long the model exhibits 'forgetting'. But they are working on this...
    2
  768. Human visual reaction time is about 200ms. An interface response faster than this has diminishing returns.
    2
  769. If he smokes he could actually be an older age - making him effectively born in '79.
    2
  770. Rail is awful. You have to get to a station. You have to wait for it to arrive. You have to sit in a space with the smelly, the loud, the insane. It costs so much the government has to subsidize it. It is not 1850 anymore.
    2
  771. They have fallen at wholesale - from the factory.
    2
  772. He said that, but his real motivation was that if he did not they would take their skills etc to the competition. In other words, it was the birth of skilled labour being more expensive. Remember, at that time, unskilled labour earned so little they were malnourished.
    2
  773. It was an earlier model of Dall-E that did the teeth.
    2
  774. Look what they did to Luke Skywalker. They can easily subvert(pervert?) something that is the original.
    2
  775. South Africa has transitioned from a democracy under Mandela to a kleptocracy today. The ANC methodically stolen whatever there was of value and used the money to buy BMWs, Mercs and Range Rovers for their cronies and each of their multiple wives.
    2
  776. Ironically, the above is a bot post. I see this comment below every video, always by Lion-something. Russian upvote farmers.
    2
  777. We have known this they joined the WTO in 2001. A blind eye was always turned because cheap labour is more valuable than 'rules'.
    2
  778. They can't even make an EV at a profit. Ford is losing $200k per EV sold. Do some research.
    2
  779. Reuters said Model 2 was cancelled for Robotaxi. This is strictly speaking true but it lacks any important context on what overall Tesla plans for new models are. They implied Tesla was circling the drain and the stock market reacted. It is possible to spit out 'a fact' and at the same time be a fake news propagator. Reuters lost credibility here.
    2
  780. It will. Because with Starship he will put bigger satellites with massive backhaul. He will then drop internet access to $1 for the World. Faster than fibre and lower latency for most.
    2
  781. Come on - we know that the Soviets never made jokes.
    2
  782. I like how Peter calls the US 'we' while he is Canadian.
    2
  783. I also feel this way since Llama. Probably what happened was he realized he was losing the power race so he just zagged instead of zigged - did the other thing. He still wants to enslave humanity in some contraption he owns.
    2
  784. Jack's super aggressive management style was unsustainable. GE is now a shadow of its former self, maybe for other reasons and maybe as a result of Neutron Jack.
    2
  785. There was that benchmark showing that true reasoning for humans is about the 80% mark while all the LLMs are sub 20%. If Strawberry can close that gap it will have a big effect. Not for retrieval prompts like "who was the 14th US president" but rather for real work - doing business deals, coding real programs, math
    2
  786. Even if we say 50000 Elon's point still stands.
    2
  787. Depends which part of AI. Hinton was not involved in LLMs.
    2
  788. Or live in a bucket of snot like Neo in the Matrix.
    2
  789. Imagine you could start life again with one of these to help you along with learning.
    2
  790. You only have to keep them away while their brains are still developing. After that, they have their own self-defenses.
    2
  791. " Building as many cheap BEVs as possible is a very short-sighted target" Tesla on this plan should be worth maybe $75 a share, at least in the current interest rate environment. Tesla with an AI focus could 2x, 5x, 10x or 100x depending on how the chips fall.
    2
  792. You can't use the driving dataset to train robots. It works to get them to walk around a bit but after that you need teleoperation data.
    2
  793. If you speak to professional photographers you will see that it is a mug's game. Most people don't want to pay (or pay for everything they want) because they kind of feel they could just do it themselves with their iPhone.
    2
  794. I think Robert Reich is correct that life was better when unions were commonplace, but I think he is wrong that they were better BECAUSE unions were commonplace. The reason America's middle class shrank was because the rest of the World grew theirs. In 1960 the US was 40% of the World Economy and has now shrunk to 24%. In 1960 the US was exporting tractors advanced goods - now it imports them, simply because the rest of the World started making better ones cheaper. Bringing back unions will not fix America.
    2
  795. Adjusted for inflation it is the same price. Difference is the one from the 90's you could buy cheap parts and fix it yourself.
    2
  796. People are complaining. Brexit was essentially a monster complaint by the working class to ruling/banker class.
    2
  797. Video lost credibility when it Segwayed to art market ad.
    2
  798. The gold can be recycle, I assume.
    2
  799. Genuine spiritual teachers disagree. The problem with drugs as an entryway into the spirit World is two fold. 1. You are not prepared to understand what you see and unlike the physical world there are no auto-correctional measures - you become a delusional seer of sorts. 2. The drugs basically introduce you to a part of the spirit world that exists only inside your body. You think you have discovered the Wisdom of the Cosmos and what you have really only discovered is the wisdom of your liver(i.e. the lower spirit who manages it). There are no shortcuts to spirit - follow a proper path by respectable teachers.
    2
  800. Five years is too long - if you can get working on something while your studies continue.
    2
  801. Compared to before when one full half of the US political spectrum was effectively censored? Peanuts.
    2
  802. "We've been accelerating on a parabolic curve for the last 100 years." Depends on the subject matter - physics has made no significant progress in the last 40+ years.
    2
  803. It would have, if you had built high-tech factories instead of banks. The US did great off immigration. Tesla, SpaceX, Mag7. You built banks and then 'brexited' so nobody wanted to use your banks anymore. Own goal.
    2
  804. Y has 600 mile version coming up.
    2
  805. When I here the words 'safe' and 'lab' together I just think of covid.
    2
  806. Don't worry, you got revenge on the US when you forged Obama's birth certificate. /jk
    2
  807. Modern EVs still do explode - they just do so at a rate roughly 10x less often than ICE cars. Any heavy concentration of energy has risk of explosion.
    2
  808. Its not a legal problem so I say go ahead.
    2
  809. Soul merchant.
    2
  810. "Many studies have shown that several animals, like dolphins, elephants, and octopuses, could reach much higher intelligence if they were able to preserve and pass on knowledge." That is my position. Animals lack proper memory, not proper thinking.
    2
  811. Would you buy lunch today if you knew lunch in 6 months is for sure going to be cheaper?
    2
  812. There is an excellent documentary on this subject - Idiocracy.
    2
  813. The exhange rate is not 12.86 - it is north of 19.
    2
  814. I think you nailed it on the head. I worry that some kind of wobble in China, or sanctions, suddenly cuts off access to repairs and parts.
    2
  815. Since when do some peoples opinions count and others don't? Almost every man (or women) or changed history was once dismissed out of hand.
    2
  816. People? Which people?
    2
  817. "My understanding is that AI in mining has not reduced the number of people" The thing is, you don't see the full picture because your vision ends at your borders. Here in South Africa we used be the biggest mining country in the World, sending millions underground into hellish conditions. But the rest of World moved onto machines, in particular Australia, while such things were politically unpalatable here. One-by-one the mines closed down here, not because people were suffering or the ore had run out, but because automated mining is 2x more cost efficient. Today South Africa has the highest unemployment rate in the World - a true rate of about 60% (official 40%) and most of those were once miners. Machines (and AI) can definitely eat up jobs, it is just not always in your backyard.
    2
  818. CATL and BYD can scale energy storage - not in the US or Europe though...humanoid robots is going to see competition - but makers will have to partner or do a merger with a producer (Hyundai already owns Boston Dynamics).
    2
  819. Its a desert.
    2
  820. Within five years they will likely drive themselves.
    2
  821. Yup. In the 90's after the Berlin Wall fell it looked like we were in for a war free world. Instead, the US, China and Russia just retooled and got ready for the next round.
    2
  822. With a roof rack you could have two extra child seats on top.
    2
  823. Sleepy Joe?
    2
  824. Coming next month. Or the month after.
    2
  825. Ask Mark how programmers he has laid off in the last few years.
    2
  826. I studied data science to completion before moving to software engineering. To be fair, these concepts and traps were brought up many times in the subject matter - remember, most of the lecturers are battle hardened software engineers before becoming data scientists. The question therefore remains why are they struggling to do this in practice? Part of the problem is size of the datasets- part of the problem was the Gold Rush in this area 2016-2019, part of the problem is the individuals concerned, part of the problem is Dave's experience is not representative of what every data department is doing. The field of Data Engineering exists to solve this problem and firms that hire these people will naturally avoid these problems. All that said - every point in the video is golden.
    2
  827. It will definitely solve the staring problem.
    2
  828. If you let her, Kathleen Kennedy would totally do that for you. Totally.
    2
  829. They outsource production to Chinas largest auto maker.
    2
  830. Lol.
    2
  831. Tesla is making big strides with self driving - their ChatGPT moment is likely sometime in the next 18 months.
    2
  832. Maybe Greece will soon need to lend to Germany.
    2
  833. Yes. But what now? Germany cannot let its car industry go to nothing. Too many will suffer.
    2
  834. Should robots also pray?
    2
  835. also, Chinese, Europeans, Aussies, Danish - could not care less about cancel culture in Yankee Doodle Crazy Town.
    2
  836. Don't keep us in suspense...how do you hide from them?
    2
  837. Easier to hit with bowling balls though...
    2
  838. Panels on a vehicle add weight. Weight can be used for other things. You have to be where there is no electricity for panels to be worth it.
    2
  839. The US thinks it is there. You don't think it is there. That sounds similar to most other bases on the list. Secret agreements are called secret because they are secret.
    2
  840. "but you can of course argue that our so called intelligence is not much more than that either." You cannot argue that, nowhere in our brains have we found a specific statistical method underlying the thinking process. This is just armchair speculation.
    2
  841. I thought so too, but this video made me change my mind - anecdotal stories about upwork.
    2
  842. Any kind of awareness, internal or external, cultivates behavior in people the endgame of which is love. It must be based on reality though, wishful thinking leads 'Moloch'.
    2
  843. The coldest recorded temperature in Sydney is -8 degrees Celsius.
    2
  844. More please.
    2
  845. He goes surfing for 4 hours in the morning. While you are typing toxic comments on youtube.
    2
  846. LLMs cannot think or reason -they only statistically predict the next token. It turns out this does not matter as faking intelligence at IQ180 is good enough to do most jobs, including yours in the YouTube peanut gallery.
    2
  847. Lol. I didn't know about that. Will have to look it up.
    2
  848. 9 out of 10 meat drivers admit to speeding. Of those who say they don't speed - 99 out of a hundred will speed within any given year. Speed is irrelevant - road deaths is what matters.
    2
  849. 5. Work environment - some places are just pure poison.
    2
  850. The taxpayer must fund the loss. Taxpayers eventually revolt. If the Republicans win you will know that the in the US the taxpayers revolted.
    2
  851. Tesla's roof product could be the answer.
    2
  852. It lacks the killer feature - FSD.
    2
  853. If inflation is coming, sure, but it seems more likely we get a deflationary recession - in which case Gold is not the answer.
    2
  854. Exactly the same thing was said. But humans can only utilize two tools - brawn and brain. The combine replaced the brawn and the AI will soon replace the brain.
    2
  855. He said the same things in the previous interview from last week. Maybe you are not watching all of them.
    2
  856. I get the same impression when he speaks. The economic impact is coming but WHEN - it will make a huge difference if it is a brutal 3 years or a slow easing in of 30 years. Both options are on the cards right now.
    2
  857. No. Just like modern cars don't explode like cars a hundred years ago did, modern batteries no longer do that.
    2
  858. I think private ownership is BS. Tesla should own the fleet and use debt financing with banks/markets to finance it - no need to use Tesla cash reserves. Put it in a separate corporation with own management, employees etc. Different culture needed to the rest of Tesla.
    2
  859. Irony: 28 minute video to explain to us we should spend less time on screens. Double Irony: It was worth it, nevertheless.
    2
  860. You would think so, but those actually doing this sort of consulting are struggling, or at the very best doing as well as a lawn care company.
    2
  861. It would be a good joke if it were not so tragically true.
    2
  862. 7:26 subliminal message 🙂
    2
  863. The new 3 was excellent. The Cybertruck is excellent. Why would Tesla drop the ball on the Y?
    2
  864. Maybe Apple donates generously to those who make things illegal.
    2
  865. In US politics there is Democracy, but no consent = ever escalating feelings of ill will.
    2
  866. It was a setup. Preplanned.
    2
  867. Cathy Wood is talking about a Cybercab and not an owner run taxi like Brian - the two are Worlds apart in economics.
    2
  868. Tesla is #1 in repair costs, and its not close, literally nothing ever breaks. The CEO can even fix your government in his spare time.
    2
  869. Buyers in all markets tend to be like that, but they also care about the product and its price tag, and can only hold on for so long. For example, Britain no longer makes British cars in any meaningful way.
    2
  870. That would be a sociopath. Psychopaths don't get into trouble with the law because they plan their crimes to perfection.
    2
  871. The Orcs are elves that have been tortured and their skin is a dark color. There are no female Orcs - since they are created from mud - there is no need for them. I doubt they even have junk under their skirts.
    2
  872. They can enjoy UBI and live on a tropical beach /s
    2
  873. Included in FSD cost
    2
  874. Watch the intro to the movie Idiocracy.
    2
  875. Free speech is censored in liberal parts of the US. There is something inherently paradoxical about that statement.
    2
  876. Limited Beta = one hand picked journalist.
    2
  877. They will release something soon - 10% better and costing $20 000 per month.
    2
  878. Tesla have been working on this for a couple years as well.
    2
  879. Bad execution is like bad ingredients, they cannot be used to dismiss the recipe.
    2
  880. Brontosaurus respectfully disagrees.
    2
  881. A medium fee - roughly $3 in rich countries. This will drop to roughly 70c with cybercab, with Tesla;s internal cost being 30c. Owning a car will make little sense.
    2
  882. plans? @tuckerbugeater 
    2
  883. What you are not saying is WHY it went up for 2.5 years and WHY is down for 2 weeks. It because the music has stopped playing.
    2
  884. "Regulatory approval for FSD" It is not required in 41 states and the rest will have their hand forced when safety statistics are released.
    2
  885. You have to time it JUST right though...
    2
  886. Really? The US cars are made in the US with US batteries. It is the most US car as measured.
    2
  887. I don't think so. Fast moving assembly lines are not the place for teaching bots. Sure Tesla will have some thing doing non-critical manufacturing work but tasks not related to assembly lines are where they will really start. Maybe tidying the house and folding laundry is good first job.
    2
  888. The guys where going to be nuclear forever now switching to solar + battery. A surrender that matches 1940.
    2
  889. Same. Even if it is no an Elon leaves he has left too much momentum behind - like Jobs did. No selling.
    2
  890. He donated it all to landing on Mars. His 100 kids will get zero.
    2
  891. VW, Ford, GM, Toyota, BMW, Merc - all will survive by buying skateboards from Tesla/China - building the car on top of that.
    2
  892. Justifying his actions because he 'employs lots of orcs'.
    2
  893. Tolkien said his works are not allegory. He said he hated allegory. If the book was 'Christian' Frodo would have been eaten by lions in a Roman circus and canonized by the Pope.
    2
  894. Sounds like you should report it to animal cruelty.
    2
  895. Toyota will be like VW in 5 years time. They have no EVs and no plans to make them. Already they are losing market to BYD in Asia.
    2
  896. They probably said 'practically infinite' but we have seen this year that Tesla have found the limits of demand for 3/Y and CT will find it too. That is not to say demand is not growing, it is, but clearly it is not infinite.
    2
  897. ALL the cameras?
    2
  898. Structural strength
    2
  899. Demand and supply. Price is affected by both.
    2
  900. The simple reality is nobody can make a desirable and profitable EV other than Tesla. If Tesla continue their progress into cheaper models Toyota is going to get hurt.
    2
  901. DoesSomethingUndeterminedToYetAnotherVariable(paramz){///codehere}
    2
  902. This is the way...of the Dodo.
    2
  903. No. It would be like half that and it is not paid - it is shares. It was a deal - he 20x the share price and gets 5%. No different to any other bonus scheme at any other company.
    2
  904. He is the worst possible guy to be talking about this, because he tries to explain the problem in abstract concepts, rather than in emotional pictures. Research shows that explaining makes people skeptical, just like when a vacuum cleaner salesman wants to explain his amazing product to you.
    2
  905. We learned how to fix things the next time, at Nuremburg. By the following time, we had forgotten again.
    2
  906. Internet rage. Get some air. Maybe even a girlfriend.
    2
  907. Hummer - attention. Cybertruck - all 3.
    2
  908. Poor is a relative term. It costs 10USD to buy a tuna sandwich in Bruxelles...
    2
  909. I am not a developer. But with o1 at my side I am no longer afraid of dependency injection.
    2
  910. And that is the thing. When something provides more utility than its cost, people buy it and use it.
    2
  911. Humans, as animals exhibit many animalistic behaviors, including pack dynamics as described. But the human can also transcend the animal - and choose to behave however he or she wants. I have taught my children alternatives to these behaviours, and it works fine - there is no requirement to join the pack of wolves and no requirement to become the scapegoat.
    2
  912. Don't tell him. Check username first. :-)
    2
  913. They always leave out one important metric. How long does it last? 1.5 million miles? If not, give me LFP in my car.
    2
  914. All of it.
    2
  915. The idealogies that unpinned Rome lived on in the British Empire and now in an evolved form in the American military hegemony.
    2
  916. Strictly speaking you are enjoying both a house and an internet connection.
    2
  917. Stretched? Wait until he buy Walmart.
    2
  918. Sam saying nothing about a private argument he had with Elon. 13 minutes of my life I will never get back.
    2
  919. Most recessions are over before we even know about it. This one looks like one of those. Get a lot of opinions - not just PBD's.
    2
  920. "developers to compete" Here is the problem. If you hire competitive types they will spent their efforts destroying their colleagues and then jump ship to your competitor for 10% pay increase. Rather hire people with a collaborative mindset. Aside: Read about the experiment when scientists wanted to breed the best chickens by selecting only the strongest most competitive chickens. End result was chickens who just killed other chickens on sight and battery productivity dropped to zero.
    2
  921. Depends for which engineers. Top engineers it has very little utility. Those still learning - gives you super powers.
    2
  922. most people love to drive in the right circumstances. But everyone hates driving 3 hours a day in crawling traffic to get to work and back. Tesla have driver orientated vehicles. The next Roadster will be 0-100 in sub one second. Also, 1 million deaths on the road a year most due to driver error. Today someone looking at their phone nearly hit me and my kids in the car.
    2
  923. There was no choice. If Germany did not tow the line then the US will sanction them too.
    2
  924. Robots are some way away still. All the companies are in prototype stage including Tesla. Expect to start feeling the impact in 10 years if my gut instinct is correct.
    2
  925. The defunded 4680 when lithium prices dropped and battery availability was no longer an issue. They are not idiots, they just don't explain their moves very well.
    2
  926. Solar panels have never been cheaper.
    2
  927. Someone once said: " 'One does not live by bread alone, but by every word that proceeds from the mouth of God.'" Note that He did not say "One can live without bread and needs only the Word of God". Just as one should not accept slavery willingly, there is the opposite risk that throwing off the yoke also means destroying that which provides your livelihood, even if it is 'stolen from you'. It is for this reason that normally every bloody uprising soon gives rise to a nation just as willing to be enslaved as the previous one, in order that they might 'buy bread', pay their mortgage and send their children to school. Rather than strive towards drastic revolution it is recommended one try to bring balance and curtailment to national power through progressive and gradual approaches rather than destructive ones. Of course, this requires a significantly high level of general consciousness in the voting public, something that is many places today is sorely lacking.
    2
  928. Tariffs transfer wealth from asset owners to workers. That is why AAII fear level is the highest since mid 2008 and mid 2022. 60+%.
    2
  929. Cmmn man. Heard nothing you said.
    2
  930. Mostly Democrat shareholders too
    2
  931. We have a long history of smart machines with no conscience. It is called a psychopath.
    2
  932. AGI/ASI discussions are stupid. Obviously something that powerful and uncontainable would cause an unsolvable problem. The thing is, what data would something like that be trained on - there is no such data source and it cannot be reasonably conceived of.
    2
  933. For some buyers, for others they specifically choose one or the other.
    2
  934. Tesla 3 looks a lot like a Mazda.
    2
  935. It is the wrong term. It should be "Launch and Forget" as autonomous systems can identify targets, lock onto them and decide when to fire. All you have to do is decide how many to launch and where.
    2
  936. Interesting. When did the joke change? Was it 20 years ago?
    2
  937. Waymo won't disclose how many 'backup drivers' they have per vehicle. At least with Tesla FSD its shortcomings are bared for all to see.
    2
  938. New model incoming.
    2
  939. US - Tech is doing well. Banks are doing well. Property is doing well. That is half the US economy right there. World - China is doing poorly. India is doing well. That is half the World economy in PPP right there.
    2
  940. No. Narrative is always just a temporary state of affairs. Interest rates will drop and sales will increase. New models will start to be seen in the results and Tesla will once again be the darling of the hoi-poloi.
    2
  941. 1. They are heavily geofenced. 2. Tesla is doing 1000x miles compared to them 3. Waymo is thought to use tons of backup drivers, far more than Tesla. 4. Waymo's solution is $120k per car while Teslas is $1000.
    2
  942. I know, they never stop wining about it.
    2
  943. That makes no sense. Range goes down with battery size.
    2
  944. Nothing makes a voter base learn faster than some pain.
    2
  945. It will end when they put you in the goo tank - like in the Matrix.
    2
  946. Glad there are those who memories.
    2
  947. Songs are a 20 second commitment and quality is clear evident from the beginning or not. Movies are a 100 times more commitment and quality assessment takes a week to sink in.
    2
  948. That is correct. These are semi-solid state, they still have liquid on the one side.
    2
  949. If I am not mistaken, every Roman soldier had a sling and was highly proficient with it.
    2
  950. Makes no difference. If VW falls Germany will fall and with it the EU. Just like Germany made a deal with the US after WW2 VW should make a deal with Tesla - shares for technology.
    2
  951. Xpeng is going to struggle to compete with Tesla without access to Nvidia GPUs.
    2
  952. I am similar with most of those points. IF ONLY it could display multiple monitors from various computers, so you could have 2 Macs, 2 Pcs, a Linux server and your phone all streaming in - each with up to 10 windows or something like that ---> this would make my work much more organized.
    2
  953. You are correct but probably not for the reasons you think. Car people who attempted costings came out at $10k-$15k cogs. It may sell for 30k but you only get to keep 30% of the fares for yourself - the rest goes to Tesla. Tesla has been mum on revenue sharing so far.
    2
  954. Now the GOP is a lover with Ayn Rand. Another mess.
    2
  955. The demod games in the Keynote.
    2
  956. Some of us would need to buy a MacBook Pro as well.
    2
  957. You are starting to understand. The chassis will last forever, the motors will last forever. Battery packs will last 15 years and then you pop a new one in. Later versions will use battery packs that last 30, 50 or 100 years. Then are buying an asset that last longer than a house.
    2
  958. That is your instinct but the research shows that psychopaths are genetic monsters while sociopaths are formed by social conditions.
    2
  959. So you want big government THAT WORKS but the only living example you can name is China? How about just admitting that Democrats have no realistic economic plan - just like in the 90's when they gave up and copied all the GOP's economic policies. The Democratic Party will forever be remembered by its flagship project - California High Speed Rail.
    2
  960. That is the same refrain in every industry. My job is hard - AI could never be used. When you show them the demo then the tears well up in their eyes.
    2
  961. Naw. Opus 3.5 is incremental. Strawberry is of a different kind.
    2
  962. Spot on. 1984 is more like China. The West will never become like that - too many Snowdens running around in the West.
    2
  963. European EVs are simply rebadged chinese EVs. There are only two EV manufacturers: Tesla and the CCP.
    2
  964. In her defense she probably has ChatGPT write the script.
    2
  965. The very first FSD 12 video with E2E was the moment for me. I took every cent I had and went 100% into Tesla. I was hoping for a doubling of Tesla's value thanks to FSD. FSD 13 feels like vindication.
    2
  966. No. They will need the data. Unlike with deepseek, nobody will be given high speed access to the API to allow for distillation. They will protect it because it is worth real money.
    2
  967. Why get personal?
    2
  968. No. Model quality improves linearly with compute. Right now they are compute constrained and data constrained.
    2
  969. Research shows that teaching reading and writing too young arrests self development of creativity.
    1
  970. Electric vehicles are now strictly superior to ICE. No fuel if you have solar, they last 1 million miles - and sticker prices are now cheaper.
    1
  971. Elon has IQ of 170+ and thinks 10 steps ahead. 99% of people have IQ 90-110 and only understand results of the last quarter. Disconnect was inevitable. They will reconnect when Robotaxi is returning 10x current Tesla profits in couple years.
    1
  972. This is the hard part that almost bankrupted Tesla. Going from a low volume high price tag car that is unprofitable to something they can make in volume and sell for a profit. To make matters worse they need to compete with Tesla who got a massive head start doing this sort of thing properly. Rivian needs that Apple buyout or the odds are stacked against it.
    1
  973. George Orwell was also a supporter of communism - just not in its Soviet form.
    1
  974. Depends on the the government.
    1
  975. The recession indicators all seem to be related to the salary earning class. The asset owning class are living the life of Riley.
    1
  976. This is about legal immigration - most of the GOP wants it to stay but the far right want it to go. Very typical and expected disagreement. Not really news.
    1
  977. This makes more sense.
    1
  978. Somewhat ironically, the Youtube suggestion algorithm is an AI agent, and everyone who watches this video was thus brought here by AI.
    1
  979. 🙂Model 2 would be great in the US. I worry it might struggle against BYD outside the US though...if only because the CCP is heavily subsidizing its EV industry.
    1
  980. 99% of these will be owned by Tesla. You can buy one if you have a small kid and can't share the car with others for the next 3 years.
    1
  981. It called rhetoric. Politicians use it to bluff. The forget previous rhetoric in the blink of an eye if it suits them.
    1
  982. No. AGI is not possible - the technology does not exist in any form. What is possible is that humans using narrow AI f up the World with machines becoming intelligent.
    1
  983. But what about 10 years from now?
    1
  984. Plant scale solar and residential scale solar have entirely different costs. Downvoted.
    1
  985. It is their main source of data but they use others. They don't track you though. Sick of googling something random then just seeing ads for it for two weeks.
    1
  986. No money. No troops. No friends. Those are funny cards.
    1
  987. Anything is a store of value as long as it keeps going up. I would like to see what happens to BTC if it goes down say 3 years in a row.
    1
  988. German automakers are getting a hiding at the moment. Could be directly or indirectly related to this.
    1
  989. A lot of other owners are unhappy with quality, especially when evaluated against price.
    1
  990. Video is for the US. Chinese cars are 'banned' in the US.
    1
  991. I agree. But Tesla announced you can buy them giving no further details. I wish Tesla had just chosen to own the fleet 100% themselves.
    1
  992. Irony: your reply and your profile picture.
    1
  993. "Also think anything is possible when thinking outside the box." Then lick your elbow, Einstein.
    1
  994. They don't mention everything. Lithium batteries will soon be 1.5m miles expected lifespan. Sodium batteries will be 200k miles.
    1
  995. Disagree with the babies thing - economists keep repeating this idea because a long time ago governments decided unfunded pensions are a good idea - just steal from the younger generation. This genuinely stupid idea only works with a stable or growing population. Earth is probably best suited to 1bn or so people. Anything more an resources become strained - even more so with an infinite free labour force. Not all resources can be mined from Asteroids or other space bodies.
    1
  996. Bathroom reporting at its best.
    1
  997. Pretty useless. Big mileage Tesla drivers have found their batteries degrade until about 85% and then stop degrading permanently.
    1
  998. I don't think this will be a thing - Tesla has plenty of things that go wrong with FSD but they just add better data and the problem goes away - no need to track down the cause.
    1
  999. SpaceX is a bigger portion of his net worth, by a small fraction.
    1
  1000. Its cutoff is still 2021 - GPT4 is the base model
    1
  1001. This is very fixable. They just record a hundred videos of staff doing it correctly and it will be solved. Think to the future, my friend.
    1
  1002. I think what she was trying to say was her artillery unit made extra sure they were firing on the correct target before firing. She implied other units did not care for the risk of doing that as much so the occasional shell hitting a school or mosque or hospital was just collateral damage. She was not implying the equipment was anything but accurate.
    1
  1003. Gravity is the square of the radius. Double the size is four times the gravity.
    1
  1004. They will try. But Tesla gets the better deal - production of Teslas at 25% less than in America or Europe.
    1
  1005. Andrew Ng's company is already selling that software for container ships and oil tankers.
    1
  1006. "No business plan survives first contact with customers." "Everyone has a plan until they get a new competitor."
    1
  1007. Probably none at all. Inequality has been out of control for some time now and their reponse was... wait for it... to halve the fckn tax for corporations and rich people.
    1
  1008. Stock is up 10%. Not 20%.
    1
  1009. The World needs more Patricks. Clear head. No grudges.
    1
  1010. Bah. Is it not possible he was wrong then and right now? Have you ever been wrong in your life?
    1
  1011. 'Canary deployments are not always possible, either for technical reasons (users must be networked) or for business reasons (the want the benefits now). That said, I was the manager of a business where just before I started they went live with a system that worked great in development and failed big in production, mainly because the damage it was doing was hidden from users for a couple months. The damage to the business was extensive and took about three years to repair reputational damage with customers.
    1
  1012. So the left leaning politicians make money from being prophets of doom on climate change. But it would be remiss to not mention that those who support continuation on the hydrocarbon path also make money. Both sides in this debate have a conflict of interest.
    1
  1013. In any civil war, what the army decide to do, and the loyalty within its ranks, is often the kingmaker. Typically, the army just does their duty and continues to get paid by the government. Since I don't think the Dems are at risk of starting a civil war by firing the first shots, its not their style, there is strong chance the army would side with the Democratic government. In which case, one billion AR-15s are no match for the equipment the army can bring to bear. In Ukraine, artillery backed with drones is the main threat. Also, I question whether all nuclear weapons can be kept secure in a civil war. After all, nuking a city in your own country is not against any international treaty.
    1
  1014. Apartheid was a system of laws - it was abolished in the 1990's.
    1
  1015. If I could give this man a Bells, I would.
    1
  1016. Everyone who drives it feels the same way. Wait for next quarter to get information on conversion rates. If they are good, expect shares to go up.
    1
  1017. Tesla Model 2 coming soon. Baybe a year or so. Probably be more like 500km range.
    1
  1018. He is going to share a cell with that guy who turned into a lady who spilled the military secrets. I am taking way down the road. You and I too, for positing in the comments. /jk
    1
  1019. Elon is also playing 4d chess. The winds of change are blowing in American politics. Black and Mexican voters are not longer broadly in the Democrat corner and it is showing up in the polls for the election. Why else would an illegal immigrant atheist scientist cityslicker with 11 bastard kids suddenly find a problem with wetbaks and transvesties at the age of 50?
    1
  1020. Some editing issues.
    1
  1021. Thanks for sharing Jaedson. I also had two web/app failures that cost me two years. I did learn a LOT though. Of course, that doesn't pay any bills.
    1
  1022.  @jaedson-barbosa  To get to those higher levels you normally need a different type of client who wants a different kind of work so at some point you will have to pivot your client base.
    1
  1023. Nothing much was really destroyed. The main cities are intact. The fighting taking place in the countryside. Compare that to WW2 where major cities were reduced to rubble. Sure, they have to get back to their normal lives and so on. Poland is their neighbor and doing exceptionally well.
    1
  1024. @TheSnowscar Thanks
    1
  1025. You should have gone. Prompting is hotter that C++ right now.
    1
  1026. They can sell their cars to Russia, North Korea, Pakistan.
    1
  1027. ? BYD also building a factory in India.
    1
  1028. Well, experts know more, but they have conflict of interest because the whole way experts get paid by elites means they use all their expertise to help their masters at your expense. This guy failed to mention THAT!
    1
  1029. Tech is not ready yet. Cost is not much lower than LFP without the long life of LFP.
    1
  1030. Next generation batteries being sold now from CATL and BYD (who are profitable) are looking at 1 million mile warranttee.
    1
  1031. He cannot move FSD out of Tesla. Every single shareholder would sue that same day. You cannot just move assets around.
    1
  1032. Gandalf died for trying that stunt. Just try that with Bezos and watch what his bodyguards do to you.
    1
  1033. The whole point is not to paint it or have to repaint after bumper bashings, trolley dings and so on. Over the life of a vehicle I reckon it could save ten of thousands of dollars. Over a fleet of 10m vehicles it could easily save $1 billion.
    1
  1034. Correct, but some problems are really good at hiding from sight before you start developing or even go live. That only means you should double or triple your effort to find these problems before choosing.
    1
  1035. Static robots are dangerous to humans and cannot move around - these are real drawbacks.
    1
  1036. Temperatures were rising before we burned fossil fuels and they do go up and down naturally. But that does NOT mean that fossil fuels cannot increase temperatues. Venus has a greenhouse atmosphere and temperatures down there are problematic for the local inhabitents.
    1
  1037. Iran is the mostly Godly nation on the planet. They are all starving to death.
    1
  1038.  @rioriggs3568  Sure. But they will have to license AV software from Tesla.
    1
  1039. Error in video: share buybacks don't increase returns at all. Returns are calculated using the earning per share method, which requires that prior periods be restated to account for share buybacks. Share buybacks are nothing else but a dividend, but rather than paying each shareholder the same amount per share, they offer the option for some to choose cash and others to choose a higher stake in the company. The issue with share buybacks is the same one with dividends - being that the company does not have enough faith in themselves/the economy to re-invest the cash into operations. Further, the cash to pay these dividends/buybacks is coming from cheap loans supported by artificially cheap interest rates. In other words, the central banks are stealing from pensioners to pay shareholders. Edit: spelling
    1
  1040. In theory, no. In practice, yes. Might cost you more in transport and import duties though...
    1
  1041. Mountain of a mole hill.
    1
  1042. I come from an industry where code of ethics was considered a real big deal. What it did in reality was create a shield for people to use cleverly constructed arguments behind - and billions were lost and people jumped and life went on - and nothing changed because we were 'ethical'. What you really need is whistleblower protection program - so those who want to spill the beans don't suddenly find themselves in Tony Soprano's trunk on the way to the lake.
    1
  1043. If you watch the Animatrix - the animated introduction stories - the Robots demanded equal rights to humans and humans capitulated. Two decades later they put all the humans in snot buckets with an audio jack into their spinal cord.
    1
  1044. There is no evidence that Teller recommended first-striking the USSR - it is based on hearsay. He created the H bomb and advocated for SDI. Hardly the devil.
    1
  1045. Like the intro to the 2nd Blade Runner...
    1
  1046. In the 20 year future I can see effortless switching to any interface - screen, display onto surface, voice, facial expression (from a room camera), body internal (via watch) etc with compute and communications being handled behind the scenes so you don't even know when your phone hands the running app over to the cloud or your watch in whole or in part. The AI will automatically select the correct interface based on the situation so you are note fiddling around with things.
    1
  1047. millions?
    1
  1048. Except those who are invested are well aware of the PE ratios. They get 5 PE ratio videos every day. They all ignore the effect of technology stocks on PE ratios. Factor that out and the current PE ratios are reasonable.
    1
  1049. If life's meaning was working as a programmer to make money - it already had no meaning. Meaning other than money can be found everywhere if you know how to look for it.
    1
  1050. They did. But they are only one making a profit on EVs so the 'moral high ground' remains with them.
    1
  1051. Ford and GM are 'votes for jobs' programs. Since those votes go to the Democratic party the piper must be paid.
    1
  1052. It generalizes. There was a video of it driving fine in Georgia (the country) where it has zero data. They obviously hacked its GPS.
    1
  1053. No, because it uses ChatGPT or Bard for underlying prompts.
    1
  1054. I love them too. But they are going to change them into a different story that might make you nauseous - like watching Luke Skywalker drink milk.
    1
  1055. And that if for adults. Think about children for a second. These days every fckng kid I see has his head inside an iPad.
    1
  1056. Capitalism will cause problems for AI. Communism, even vaguely similar to its 20th century USSR form, when combined with AI, would be the end of everything we know as good.
    1
  1057. Elon is going to carve out the carve outs.
    1
  1058. Soon being 5, 10 and 15 years.
    1
  1059. Elon is truthful to a fault. His estimates have been very wrong but he qualified them as estimates.
    1
  1060. Bah - Tesla already have AI that can predict the future of real World space and reduce it to an abstract output. It is their self driving software.
    1
  1061. Brilliant video... :-)
    1
  1062. That is like saying as long the room is in darkness there cannot be light.
    1
  1063. None of these reasons are game breakers. There are serious players looking to use Sahara concentrated solar that is 10x cheaper. They have the tech developed and are very aware of all the points you raise.
    1
  1064. I disagree 🙂
    1
  1065. Every racist nation in the World going back to Romans readily used soldiers of other skin colors - for obvious reasons...
    1
  1066. BYD has an blank cheque when it comes to EVs. The CCP is putting all their spare cash into EVs.
    1
  1067. Live long enough and nearly every person becomes immobile.
    1
  1068. 6. Commenting on productivity videos.
    1
  1069. Did 2 billion just die? 75 million cars a year and 10 year life with 4 people sharing the average car. Roughly half can afford to travel by car.
    1
  1070. Pre-orders are fake demand. Cybertruck had 2 million and 95% chose not to buy when the final option came.
    1
  1071. Sam is talking nonsense. The Cybercab could probablt fit 4 foldable wheel chairs. 60% of the car is boot space.
    1
  1072. This. Tesla needs to educate potential customers. 90% of non-owners think they cost 2x an ICE vehicle, catch on fire, need a new battery every 100k miles and that there is nowhere to charge them. It is not 2011 anymore.
    1
  1073. Yes. But this makes them angry. It is like telling your fat kid his food intake is going to be adjusted based on his weight gain.
    1
  1074. Anyone who can read short term fluctuations in the stock market would be a billionaire in a couple of months. There are no such people. There are plenty people, though, who type the second half of their post in caps.
    1
  1075. Joe Biden. Donald Trump. They both smell like it to me.
    1
  1076. Exactly what anyone not US, Russian or Chinese should be thinking.
    1
  1077. Teslas Semi is better than any mid or short range diesel equivalent. It just takes a couple years to ramp up production.
    1
  1078. There is a flat version that is even more space efficient.
    1
  1079. Nuclear physicists were running around freely, visiting the USSR and doing whatever they wanted in the early days.
    1
  1080. You can only make that statement because your level is music understanding is high. As a philistine I cannot tell if it has soul or not. Unfortunately, I think 90% of the general population are more like me than they are like you. I hope that I am wrong though and people do stick to real music. @riffdealer 
    1
  1081. In that same line of thought - China is fine. The UK is fine. France is fine. Italy is fine. Hell, even Russia might be fine.
    1
  1082. "The Robotaxi will not be approved by the regulators until 2026 at the earliest." 41 States require no approval. There have already been accidents and these caused no delays.
    1
  1083. The politically left are roughly 20% of the population. The right are also about 20% and those who are non-political are about 60%. This is a nothingburger.
    1
  1084. I noticed it too but I would say it is for adding emphasis to what he is about to say. An interesting oratorical trick.
    1
  1085. Yes. That is why there is a reveal on 8/8 of Robotaxi. Robotaxi will be like a $5000 dollar car for the World.
    1
  1086. Allergies are when something poisonous is entering your body, often proteins from other organisms. It is the warning signal. You can often tough through it but then you are flirting with the endgame of repeat poisoning - cancer.
    1
  1087. Lol Jacob Zuma - any wonder he f'd up South Africa.
    1
  1088. " Not ready for the actual crash that's coming... oh, it's coming, but this, wasn't that." Those who know are selling. I bet in Q1 Berkshire Hathaway will have EVEN MORE cash.
    1
  1089. Thumping sound in background: I went outside to check if someone is using a sledgehammer.
    1
  1090. There is only one authoritative study which basically examines an India - Pakistan nuclear war. All of this extrapolates from Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It could be 10 degrees or 100. If it 10 or 100 y'all still starve to death after you eat your kids.
    1
  1091. This mentality gets nowhere. Republicans will always be back in power every few years. Rather find a way together with Republicans to kick fossil fuels out.
    1
  1092.  @richharr  Some?
    1
  1093. Sure. We can just borrow and print our way to prosperity.
    1
  1094. Its an epic movie scene and a good quote but Tesla was basically last to take this direction. Tesla will win because prototypes are easy and mass production at low cost is insanely hard.
    1
  1095. He wrote that book - the devil's manual, but not from personal experience. It is a terrible book. He then wrote another book that is much better and helps people survive against these behaviours. You might find it in your heart to forgive his earlier actions based on his later actions.
    1
  1096. As an accountant I can tell that Megapack revenue will not be recognized when it is paid, but rather as it is delivered.
    1
  1097. What is gain of function research? Sound like something that helps Alzheimer patients.
    1
  1098. Who will survive: Tesla - because of FSD BYD + other CN brands - because infinite resources ensures survival - will license FSD Ford - because they license FSD and government bails them out VW - because they license FSD and buy BYD skateboards and good brand Toyota - same as above The rest will go the way of Studebaker
    1
  1099. Everything must be maintained. The question is whether that maintenance is efficient and green or as you propose, a magnet for endless corruption.
    1
  1100. There was the lady doing $1m+ dev contracts in SF. I worked out they were basically at 30x. You better pick up your game.
    1
  1101. Watch Sicario to understand.
    1
  1102. It would been like a 1000 years of water torture.
    1
  1103. He is the only one doing any innovation - Apple Vision Pro does not count.
    1
  1104. This is typical of all post Soviet countries. Russians outside Moscow earn near nothing.
    1
  1105. Inference is limited by single thread speed and that has been flat for more than a decade. I can imagine future LLMs which take 24 hours to get back to you but accuracy is excellent.
    1
  1106. Enron has no products or cash. Tesla has several products and 30bn in cash.
    1
  1107. As a White South African I don't consider Elon Musk to be anything of that sort - he had a Candadian Mother and Ukranian Father and emigrated to the US when he was 18. Final analysis 70% US and 10% split to the others.
    1
  1108. Reuters report was mostly true. The false part is that the Model 2 is not cancelled but delayed until a later date. Tesla needs no be re-evaluated as an AI/Software company - because car companies are mostly like airlines, a good way to lose money slowly until the next government bailout.
    1
  1109. Tesla can build a mostly automated car factory in two years (1 year in China) and ramp it up in another year. Because Robots are new it might take double, so six years. As for raw materials you get about 100 humanoid robots for every car. The most importantt thing is getting the software to work well.
    1
  1110. The only CEO who is 'consistently candid' about his plans is Elon - and doing that causes him a never-ending avalanche of troubles.
    1
  1111. My take: Robots will take 7 years to get to hospitality - they will be supply contrained for a decade or two going to the most lucrative industry first. If seven years is suitable you can still work there. Immigrants do not do well in people facing positions.
    1
  1112. Stop looking for hard evidence - look to the behaviors. If China had found proof that it came from animals they would have thrust all evidence into the face of the rest of the World. If they know it came out the lab they have no option but to obfuscate and stonewall. This is how the CCP behaves in all matters so why would it be different this time?
    1
  1113. In your other videos the pictures change much slower and I prefer that.
    1
  1114. There were barriers to smartphone adoption.
    1
  1115. Bannon's political career lasted a couple months 8 years ago. Musk is the playmaker right now.
    1
  1116. I think repairs will be close to 0 for the first 5 years. Accident repairs under FSD will be covered by Tesla.
    1
  1117. OpenAI blocks that.
    1
  1118. Meds and technology are not solutions but they are something like high-interest rate payday loans. You feel good for a while and then have a massive hangover down the line.
    1
  1119. I made up my mind I was done with franchises for good. Then I accidentally watched one episode of Mandalorean... and now I am so confused...
    1
  1120. War crimes are a convenient fiction. Watch the film "A Judgement at Nuremburg" to see why.
    1
  1121. Underwater Ian.
    1
  1122. YouTube is buggy. I upvoted once for the talk and once for the Thundercats reference. Instead of recording two upvotes it did none. Strange.
    1
  1123. You need AI to power the robots and China cannot be Nvidia chips.
    1
  1124. The devil of the historical Caananites.
    1
  1125. What sticks out most to me is her hair is over-groomed and his is under-groomed.
    1
  1126. It is a dead technology with because it costs roughly 10x solar and wind + batteries.
    1
  1127. It is a two edged sword. Allying with the US probably prevent USSR sponsored civil war/coup at some stage.
    1
  1128. Their mendacity can be stratospheric.
    1
  1129. These things are allowed in terms of the rules.
    1
  1130. Once you stop trading they will just incorporate you as part of Alaska or Greenland.
    1
  1131. The deal you are reading is just a preliminary deal, no ways it is the deal Elon made.
    1
  1132. Just to be clear - the Tesla stopped for the kids. Tesla statistics show it has by far the fewist accidents - Forward Collision Warning is part of that statistic.
    1
  1133. Let your guests speak more.
    1
  1134. Tesla's Cybertruck will sell in numbers when they release the 60k version. Tesla does the impossible immediately by miracles take a little longer.
    1
  1135. Its not on YouTube - checked that already.
    1
  1136. Infinite demand long term. First production runs will sell out but demand will not be infinite.
    1
  1137. I have used Xiaomi phones for a number of years. Their value for money is unquestionable but their software engineering is horrible.
    1
  1138. Big Brother is watching your YouTube posts.
    1
  1139.  @jimmanley2796  You are 100% correct but don't waste your breath on 12 year olds with keyboards.
    1
  1140. Statistics always lag the situation on the ground by 5-10 years. Governments want it that way so they can escape accountability.
    1
  1141. The US bases cluster around three locations - Moscow, Beijing and Tehran. Former East Germany is closer to Moscow than Frankfurt.
    1
  1142. Unboxed means they make the car in four separate sections simultaneously, then join those together like Lego at the last moment = 4x production speed. Chassis, left side, right side and top. Much harder to do than it sounds.
    1
  1143. Thanks so much, this is valuable. And never stop saying y'all.
    1
  1144. It is not called Q. The chinese translators messed it up.
    1
  1145. That is what they are saying - o1 is a great coder. o5 will be a great software engineer.
    1
  1146. I thought that seemed a bit odd. What if South Africa deny it and the enquiry finds no evidence and the US back down - then he looks like a fool.
    1
  1147. The only way you can internalize that is to watch a whole bunch of FSD V12 videos - it takes hours to understand that properly.
    1
  1148. Elon is also for Open Source but Elon is way more autistic than the new Zuck so it is hard to follow what he says.
    1
  1149. It is not science fact either, not yet.
    1
  1150. How so? Reducing spending means less inflation, less taxes, reasonable entitlements -this benefits the whole population. Elon gets nothing.
    1
  1151. No. They will make 500M next year because they are ramping. Tesla understands ramping better than anyone.
    1
  1152. Sarcasm is the lowest form of wit.
    1
  1153. How about for $2bn he agrees to outright ban ice. Elon could cut him a cheque.
    1
  1154. did you even watch The Matrix?
    1
  1155. lame
    1
  1156. Boomers can't live forever.
    1
  1157. Almost certainly the last one. Tesla prefer vertical integration and direct to consumer models - it gives them control over the quality of the service. When you consider how awful most Uber trips are now, I think this is the only way.
    1
  1158. They used AI to make the vaccines. Initial proposals are AI driven.
    1
  1159. Fei-Fei - gonna do AI research to interact with the real World. Elon - Robotaxi will go live next year.
    1
  1160. It should be noted that China, the 2nd largest consumer of oil went to 50%+ sales of EVs in 2024 and this could go as high as 75% this year.
    1
  1161. Remember that China effectively subsidizes production of photovoltaic panels. I wonder how long that can continue now that they are turning themselves into a pariah state.
    1
  1162. I got burned by Heroku. Spent a lot of time putting stuff on there - only to have SalesForce tear it all down because they couldn't keep abusers off the platform.
    1
  1163. Tesla trying to move away from the model with Cybercab. Personally, I can't wait. 29 years of vehicle ownership has been mostly pain for me.
    1
  1164. Elon - are you watching this?
    1
  1165. Total economy = government's share of the economy + private economy
    1
  1166. Banking as an export service works fine until you push your thumb in your customer's eye a.k.a. Brexit
    1
  1167. No infrastructure is needed. It can go wherever other cars go.
    1
  1168. Sucks is a bit too strong a word. It just needs more data. If people can drive in snow FSD can learn to do it to.
    1
  1169. Those three skills work together. Some people learn 2d, then think they should switch to teaching karate only to decide a few years later they always wanted to play the stock exchange = disaster.
    1
  1170. If only Will Smith watched CoC.
    1
  1171. Fusion - there are those claiming they will 'bring it online soon' but they are generally searching for investment - so I trust their opinions about the same as a 2nd hand car dealer. Some industry veterans are saying we will still be 30 years away in 30 years time.
    1
  1172. Every time he says universe he means known universe. The unknown universe is beyond the range of our sensors and could be 2, 100 or 1000000 times larger.
    1
  1173. No. Passengers will never be required to operate the taxi. Tesla employees can always get it out of a jam by driving it over the internet.
    1
  1174. With a margin call - you get to choose and keep half your assets. If they are letting the gold go its because they prefer something else.
    1
  1175. China is currently fighting with the West. As a result, Chinese real estate has crashed leaving multi-generational bonds underwater. This means they cannot draw down on their bonds to fund a new car, and they likely don't qualify for car finance, so the Chinese car market drops. They need to export but import tariffs elsewhere make this impossible.
    1
  1176. Five QA's have watched this video.
    1
  1177. You obviously never saw Terminator 2.
    1
  1178. It depends on what software it is. Put up a scaffolded website with .Net or similar - sure. Program the flight systems for a passenger jet - no ways.
    1
  1179. Gamble is wrong word. Business is about risk, even doing nothing or sticking in your lane can be super risky. It is about taking the right risks in the right way and Elon is the master of that.
    1
  1180. The romantic itself means a certain vision of somethng that is not founded in reality. You would have thought that that alone would be warning enough.
    1
  1181. Um no. Most serious data products are built by experienced data scientists, a discipline with practices and principles going back to the pen and paper only era. Much care is taken to organize the work and the assumption that error is present is the guiding principle.
    1
  1182. GPT pushed an update yesterday or so with new maths in it. Elementary maths is now much more reliable based on my limited testing. Bigger numbers still bugged. There are other AI made that can do very accurate maths so in time they will fix the maths problem as well.
    1
  1183. You should not have noticed anything because you should be using the UBlock Origin plugin.
    1
  1184. They could release FSD provisions to profit. The profit will have to be a lot worse than the delivery numbers implied as well.
    1
  1185. Leading edge chip production is so complex that no country can do it alone. You need lenses from Japan, machines from Holland and Fabrication Factories from Taiwan. America gave up. South Korea is struggling to keep up. China is faking their chips - they are low volume only.
    1
  1186. Total population is meaningless - the size you should track is the working age population.
    1
  1187. We even have a song for that, by Shaggy.
    1
  1188. Sleepy Joe will just make it more appealing to buy a Tesla with more charge points.
    1
  1189. There are downsides to LED - a portion of the population suffer eye strain if the LED is running on AC.
    1
  1190. Bull. Industry is supporting political campaigns of legislators. It is not called the swamp for nothing.
    1
  1191. "Tesla needs to open more delivery / service / collision centers." No worries, next year August it will drive itself to Chicago during the night, get the job done and be back by 7am 🙂
    1
  1192. No idea. ChatGPT went to 100m in two months. Cars took roughly 60 years to achieve the same.
    1
  1193. Hard times for woke folks.
    1
  1194. 100% correct. But because it takes 100+ words to explain this 99% of keyboard warriors not going to read it.
    1
  1195. The idea that neural networks are impossible to predict is antiquated and comes from their early years when proponents of older AI models tried to use the same techniques from those networks to understand neural networks. Techniques such as latent space or simply building a smaller, human understood test set, as well as data science/statistical techniques - these can all give a very good grip on a neural network's functioning, at least a good a grip as, for example, Microsoft has on what it has written in the Windows source code, which is not perfect.
    1
  1196. I suspect he said Google is losing in tech because of they put employees over customers/shareholders.
    1
  1197. With no paint to fade, it can just be parked in the driveway, if you have one.
    1
  1198. Hot war with China. How hot? Thermonuclear hot or just a couple of Amraams fired off the coast of Taiwan?
    1
  1199. You just buy one of these for 30k and while you are not using it, it goes and earns money for you. Net cost of two years = 5k. If you don't want vomit on the seats just restrict to family and friends on the app.
    1
  1200. Hells bells! Lemon really came at this with the hardest possible agenda. I think Trump has the election in the bag, not because of anything to do with him, but to do with the hardline Democrat agenda that has run out of steam.
    1
  1201. You could probably connect a PlayStation steering wheel to the usb port.
    1
  1202. Elon and Trump are trying to stop this before it happens.
    1
  1203. Democrats would posit that right wingers are not people. Neanderthals or something like that.
    1
  1204. TV is bringing them up.
    1
  1205. Matrix 2 and Matrix 3.
    1
  1206. He intentionally wrote bad code to mislead regulators. He knew exactly what he was doing. He wasn't he only one involved but if you make guns and give them to people you know will murder people - you share in the guilt - this is part of the law of all countries.
    1
  1207. "the current products aren't selling liked before" I question the general veracity of this statement based on information we have receive from Tesla
    1
  1208. Pandemic. Chip Shortage. Inflation. Fauci screwed the pooch.
    1
  1209. The AI profits go to the companies. The government will not tax them because of campaign finance and lobbying. You will just get a repeat of the end of the railway era where the barons owned nearly everything and nobody else owned a dime. A New Deal 2 will eventually come but the last one took about a 100 years and two World Wars before it got passed.
    1
  1210. Its a short term trick. Ropes 3 monkeys in and you lose 1 good viewer. Monkeys never stay around for long before they lose interest. @WesRoth 
    1
  1211. That you watched Alex Jones should also be put under the spotlight.
    1
  1212. Thank you. Had half a mind to investigate Tesla alternatives. I think i'll skip.
    1
  1213. 3 just refreshed. Y new version next year. The myth of stale models is something CNN made up because Elon = bad.
    1
  1214. As a Tesla shareholder, I really, really like the way VWs look.
    1
  1215. No idea. But I bet the Tesla Next Gen Vehicle will have zero rustable steel. Plastic outer body. Aluminum chassis. Some things must be steel like coils but those are replacable.
    1
  1216. "Also can R1 be run locally without the data being leaked?" Yes, you can run it locally but you need a $40 000 server to fit the full size model. It is not like anyone has ever caught AWS stealing their data.
    1
  1217. Real quality advice clearly presented.
    1
  1218. Xiaomi pre-orders are almost certainly fake in the sense that most will cancel.
    1
  1219. Remember the day you wrote this.
    1
  1220. VW employees make more than anyone. They also vote.
    1
  1221. And if they catch you they will use techniques of persuasion straight out of your worst LGBT nightmares --> like making you listen to Elton John sing for 18 hours straight.
    1
  1222. Dax is 18% German.
    1
  1223. Jo did 100% last year - mostly during the stagnant 1st half. Chris Camillo has 10x'ed his money five times in a row but he takes 10x leveraged risks. These things are possible if you have infinite risk tolerance, which I don't really have at the moment.
    1
  1224. UBI will be for Americans. Because America can tax the proceeds of AI. The rest of the World will eat dirt.
    1
  1225. Long term Lithium is very much needed. Short term all the US manufacturers (besides Tesla) are switching to hybrids because they can't compete at a profit with EVs.
    1
  1226. Tesla makes Y in Berlin. 3 comes from China. Tesla will have to move production of 3 to Berlin. This is the exact reason Tesla has a factory on every continent.
    1
  1227. I see what you did there. You mixed all kinds of different things together and pretended they were all the same. Very sly. For example - anti-elitism is in fact grounded in science. The Gini coefficient has been rising since at least the 70's and nothing is seemingly able to stop the run-away inequality.
    1
  1228. I have less eventful Dungeons and Dragons adventures.
    1
  1229. You should use ChatGPT, Grok and Claude to criticize each other's chats.
    1
  1230. Level 6 - Government. Level 7 - God.
    1
  1231. The alternative to 'getting on' played out in WW2. If you recall, the globalists won that war and the nationalists were exposed as mass murderers. You have a surname of slavic origins - if nationalists had won - you would have spent your life in a labour camp or worse.
    1
  1232. Jo - I think you have the technology risk wrong - by this stage the chance that Robotaxi's don't work well enough is trending to zero. Version 14 in June. V15 in December - the rate of improvement is way too high. On the other hand, 10% for Optimus is too low, it is still in the prototype stage with remote operators. I think the technology risk is high there - if Tesla stalls or takes a wrong turn and someone else pulls ahead then Tesla becomes what AMD is to Nvidia. I would put it at 30%.
    1
  1233. As part of their own operations. That is different as it forms part of your own business. No comparison to a portfolio of office buildings.
    1
  1234. In the 80's video machine repairman was a high skill well paid job...
    1
  1235.  @MostViewedTop40  Mini is the best for certain tasks.
    1
  1236.  @deaffeb  Innovation takes time, capital, and will. VW has no will to innovate. When Tesla arrived they mocked them while the Chinese got to work copying them.
    1
  1237. Safety rating? Like PG 2-13? Or NSFW?
    1
  1238. They can't. They lack the battery technology because they refused to invest in it. Only America and China have invested enough into battery technology to compete in this space.
    1
  1239. Thing is, the average size of a car/truck in the US is so large that you literally cannot buy the smaller cars that are very viable in other countries. If you are in an accident you will be pancaked. To say nothing of girth sizes.
    1
  1240. Performance issues. He does that when it is clear they are just coasting along and not trying to advance Tesla. If you think that cruel you need to understand that by not doing he is cruel to others - employees, shareholders, suppliers, customers.
    1
  1241. Don't get me wrong - but he makes the reasons for that clear.
    1
  1242. Please can you just share the Google Sheet as read only.
    1
  1243. Would make no difference - everyone would buy Starlink and Elon would become the first Trillionaire.
    1
  1244. Sure. Will it with water then plug them into a Supercharger. It will cost $5000 to fill it though and explode if you bump it.
    1
  1245. Would you still do it if you got paid (say) 25% of your current salary?
    1
  1246. Tesla. China. There is no third place. US and EU traditional brands are losing money on EVs.
    1
  1247. I can tell that little to none of the ruling party travel to the USA or its allies. They make plenty of trips to Iran, Turkey or Russia.
    1
  1248. Internet is actually far easier to control than the printing press because it relies on having a single network that can be targeted by the powerful. This is why the internet is now completely censored in China. The Edward Snowden revelations showed the serious effort is being exerted in the West to achieve something similar.
    1
  1249. This. Also, 4680 ramp went poorly - possibly explaining why Drew left.
    1
  1250. The good stuff was always anemic and very late. Biden was always more scared of angering Putin than he was keen to see Ukraine take back Crimea. The war is now completely about who can produce more drones and artillery shells, an equation not likely to favour Ukraine.
    1
  1251. Check your facts. They are now cheaper to buy than ICE. And 3x cheaper to run. In China EV sales have passed 50%.
    1
  1252. That report that musk is donating $45m a month is 'Fake News' according to Musk.
    1
  1253. Recessions are better than inflation - so expection the former
    1
  1254. Misses the big picture : Tesla. If you buy a Tesla for double what you should pay for a car it still works out cheaper - fuel. maintenance, residual value.
    1
  1255. Likely based on the above there was that Movie where in Berlin the US tank crew shoot heroin and then drive the tank threw the marketplace and over a VW Beetle. Can't remember the name.
    1
  1256. There are curently as many supercharger stations in the US as gas stations. That said, Cybertruck is not yet the vehicle for off the grid.
    1
  1257.  @pp_ca_2000  egnlish r badd
    1
  1258. Ouch. V12 should be better with potholes and speedbumps. Unfortunately it tries to kill you by randomly pulling in front of cars...
    1
  1259. " I wonder what how the robots will effect the current Chinese labor cost advantage" It would completely wipe it out. Chinese labour cost is already wiped out because their mortgages are unpayable and their property values have halved 'since Evergrande'.
    1
  1260. There is one thing you can do as a parent and that is block your kids from technology as best you can, as long as you can. We have done and the effect on our child's development relative to others is monumental.
    1
  1261. The thing about Chinese EV vs Tesla is subtle and hidden. When Tesla sells a model y for $45000 they built it for $40000. When Xpeng sell a Model Y beater for $35000 they built it for $40000 with another $100000 in hidden subsidies. In other words, the one is a business, they other is a jobs program. One is sustainable, the other will eventually collapse just the like Chinese property market did.
    1
  1262. It is brilliant!
    1
  1263. The whole of China operates at a loss. They take most of the proceeds of exports and invest them into US bonds to keep their currency low. That is how they compete. That is why they must work 996 to rent a two bedroom flat over 99 years.
    1
  1264. His name is pronounced Pre-gaw-shin.
    1
  1265. It is easy to mock Russian TV. But consider what the US has done when its geopolitical power felt threatened - and you will see the Russians are not much different at their core.
    1
  1266. Price = supply and demand. The asteroid increases the supply so the price drops 1000000x. Then it only worth $4 trillion. A helluva lot, but not an earth shattering amount.
    1
  1267. Waymo expensive. Thats why they called Waymo. $100 000 to kit out a vehicle. $1000 to kit out a Tesla for FSD.
    1
  1268. You are right, but hey are going to play the China card in repsonse. The China card reads : UU Counter target argument.
    1
  1269. No mention of how you will prevent CRISPR edited microbiomes from spreading from the patient into the general environment, potentially causing massive damage for those who don't need the CRISPR bacteria. Very worrying.
    1
  1270. No. He wrote it as an outlet for his language knowledge. Silmarillion was written as the Anglo-Saxon myth.
    1
  1271. He was elected. They declared GOP the winner despite this.
    1
  1272. Irony: Playing music in the background of video explaining why we are addicted to content.
    1
  1273. I disagree with the the ending argument of the video that the struggle is between control and freedom. Rather, I would frame it that the struggle is to find a balance between too much control and too much freedom. Having lived in a country which oscillated from complete control to complete freedom during my lifetime I can comment from first hand experience that too much freedom (and a lack of control) quickly creates a free-for-all society of warlords, thieves and opportunists - one in which ordinary people suffer just as much as under the iron boot of authoritarianism.
    1
  1274. No, because they will use Hong Kong data. Neural nets can learn anything if you give it the right data - that we know without a doubt.
    1
  1275. Caus Brawndo has electrolytes.
    1
  1276. That is not so bad. After WW1 was far, far worse.
    1
  1277. It fixes it for VW pensioners. Robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    1
  1278. I can imagine an 'alternative universe' where they have a big legal fight and South Park win, and Disney must pay, but they have no money, so they give them the Star Wars rights, and Parker and Stone can resurrect it.
    1
  1279. You little liar. He said it would go up until end of March and then continue down 50%. Exactly the same story as today. He never flipped-flopped.
    1
  1280. Tesla employees with stock option are all multi's.
    1
  1281. The speaker understands this. That's why they created the World Bank, so you can finance renewables in Africa rather than coal and oil - it only takes a week or so for emissions to spread around the world. Except they are not doing their job.
    1
  1282. It is if you join Pied Piper @Scatmanfan45 
    1
  1283. Thousands of different precision manufactured parts in a box. The Chinese tried to do it cheaper and could not pull it off.
    1
  1284. Bravery: He goes surfing. What do you do?
    1
  1285. The local government will get a cut so they will be falling over each other to be first in line.
    1
  1286. Top models are sold in secret. Ticket prices start at $300M.
    1
  1287. 1. Why is US medical costs so high compared to other 1st World countries? Cut benefits. 2. Open up the medical industry to people other than doctors. Why should doctors be a protected industry?
    1
  1288. It is all creative accounting. They will say for example that "Today green energy made 10GW and fossil 5GW, therefore we are 66% green". What they don't tell you was that 80% of the green energy was overproduction during the middle of the day so the real ratio is 14% green. This is just an example, they can spin it a hundred different ways because they can sit all day thinking how to deceive you and you have limited resources to try and penetrate the lies.
    1
  1289. While you are correct in a general sense - often when the only thing you have breaks, even if its a shitty thing, your world gets turned on its head. That is often fine if you are an above intelligence male with no kids - but others less capable can suffer in ways that changes them for life.
    1
  1290. As apposed to what? A sharpened stick up the rectum?
    1
  1291. This one will be a bigger wave. Like the one in Interstellar.
    1
  1292. Since WW1 major wars have largely been 'out of control' already. You are right of course, that takes it up another notch.
    1
  1293. It is all quite funny right now - but when they release GPT-AutoMemeGenerator next week Fireship will be joining the soup line with the rest of us,
    1
  1294. My first thought. CSP solar uses molten salt.
    1
  1295. Liberals have traditionally been in the corner of free speech and transparency. Today's left seems 'authoritarian' for want of a better word.
    1
  1296. Cameras everywhere. Do that and face damages and even jail time.
    1
  1297. All the Chinese EV makers are owned and funded by the CCP. They will pick a few and move the staff from the others to the chosen few. They are all effectively one company.
    1
  1298. Underperformance is another killer. You fund manager thinks Elon Musk is a moron so allocation to Tesla is 0%. Then Tesla is up 120% for the year.
    1
  1299. Hyperloops would work fine if there was a strong market for them, but 99% of people hate trains and their inconveniences, so Elon built self driving EVs instead.
    1
  1300. Elon's antics. 60% of Americans are not political. Whether you are Blue or Red there is 20% of the population who won't buy your cars. And the rest of the World don't care. It makes less that 1% difference.
    1
  1301. Somalia is the most corrupt country. Why did he help them?
    1
  1302. Never is a very long time. If they don't do it America will simply collapse when the courts declare the Federal government insolvent.
    1
  1303. I beleive this to be 100% correct. When there are no other moats cost becomes the only differentiator. Tesla builds factories that smash cost.
    1
  1304. Thomas, Thomas. You are making a straw man of a straw man. Those who use the phrase know it is not a singular theory but rather a class of economic theories that by benefitting the rich you benefit everyone - such as Supply Side Economics which is the mainstay theory of the Republican Party. (I read the Wikipedia entry).
    1
  1305. The cheapest model 3 has a sticker price lower than its competitors. Its lifetime cost is 50% of any similar ICE vehicle. What exactly are you talking about?
    1
  1306. Battery lifespan not good.
    1
  1307. For nations - factories are always the primary creator of wealth. Banking services are an ancillary service that nearly anyone from anywhere can do.
    1
  1308. Results may be better than expected because Tesla may release FSD reserves to profit.
    1
  1309. 8k Rebate may still be running if Biden oops Harris wins.
    1
  1310. 100k pickup does not make you wealthy. They probably owe more than its worth and bought it before things got ugly with inflation.
    1
  1311. I think he means the dataset on which the notebook was based has not been kept as a copy - maybe it is 22TB etc. Of course the notebooks themselves are backed up.
    1
  1312. A hundred and fifty years ago there used to be more horses than people. Basically this world doesn't need many horses today.
    1
  1313. I company needs to find where the sweet spot is for margin and volume - they need to try different things.
    1
  1314. Bill, Steve, Larry, Sergey, Jeff - all left or died. Nothing happened. I do think Elon is different though...Tesla will no longer bet the farm on new innovations.
    1
  1315. I think the essay is spot on about Rome but misses some important points about modern economics. Modern central banks are not inflationary but seek to balance inflation with another problem, shrinking the economy. It is difficult to do because there a couple of years of tail on your actions and seeing the future is hard. However, the creation of money through billions of loans to the politically connected is a system that must find an alternative.
    1
  1316. "Better than ChatGPT 3.5" --> There are open source models you can run locally that have this down. It needs to be better than ChatGPT 5 which started training this week. Remember the Apple Maps launch.
    1
  1317. Buckle your seatbelt Dorothy. Cus Kansas is going bye-bye. -Cypher
    1
  1318. Debunked as fake news. Oil companies pay PR firms to spread that message.
    1
  1319. Your facts are ruining a good argument. Could you maybe just keep them to yourself?
    1
  1320. Y refresh coming in some number of months. Robotaxi is 10x the value of Vans and Model2 put together. They will come, but maybe in 2026.
    1
  1321. Viking - you are thinking at level 1 and Elon is thinking at level 3. Electric cars are getting cheaper so on a long enough timeline ICE is doomed. If the subsidy goes Tesla will still be profitable and all other US ev makers cannot keep up. In a nutshell, Tesla just checkmated the entire US car market with this move. Counterintuitive, I know.
    1
  1322. I watch this channel once a month and it is always the same stock video - can we get some new vids please.
    1
  1323. No. Robot has a a machine body. Slaves have a meat body. Agents have no body - only various digital AIs working together.
    1
  1324. Little bit rigid sometimes, like they trained it off a robot voice.
    1
  1325. China operates on a bragging rights system. The US works on an execution system. Because China cannot properly access Nvidia chips this thing cannot have any sort of serious AI. Outdoor experience is more for military use than anything else. The most important thing is the hands and the weight and this one is no good for either.
    1
  1326. Spit-balled alternatives to moving to space that come to mind. 1) Shrinking population down to 1 billion through education - all educated populations shrink. 2) Moving cities underground. 3) Depopulating 50% of the World's habitable land areas into one connected and fenced off nature reserve. 4) Get rid of cars and roads - transport everyone and everything in the air - modern zepellin airships and quad-copters. 5) Get really, really serious about circular economy. 6) Change mindset of people from self centered to encompassing of all life. 7) Punish those who trample on the natural World like we treat the worst criminals. All the above is cheaper than a colony on Mars or in Orbit - by about a factor of 1000.
    1
  1327. Thanks Randy - I really needed to hear the tribe analogy.
    1
  1328. 30% - compared to vehicles of 5%. Tesla is the only battery manufacturer in the US and you can't import them because of tariffs.
    1
  1329. They will leave for better opportunities and you will be left with the ladyboy dregs.
    1
  1330. And potential EV buyers, I suspect.
    1
  1331. Some facts 1) 56bn was a long ago value - now it is worth half that 2) It was expensed years ago in the books. 3) Elon must PAY cash to Tesla to exercise the options
    1
  1332. You will listen to damn JBP whether you want to or not.
    1
  1333. No. They might make the taxis stainless steel like Cybertruck, with high mileage batteries, self closing doors and high wear interiors. Same platform means same production line like the S/X or 3/Y - cars can be fairly different.
    1
  1334. The quality of this video was somewhere around GPT-13. Keep it up.
    1
  1335. The votes are bought with proceeds from corruption - which is why the ANC turns a blind eye to the corruption.
    1
  1336. Except the people who grow wine are not the same people as the government. The wine growers would be for Western values.
    1
  1337. Drive in the night. Wake up at a new location each morning. Avoid bad weather this way.
    1
  1338.  @aleksandarsusnjar9574  Fair enough
    1
  1339. 100% Tesla will include insurance but I think $600pm and not $200pm is what you are looking at.
    1
  1340. US Airforce drones use max stealth technology. They look like small B2 bombers. Small things have very limited range.
    1
  1341. Uber for dag washers.
    1
  1342. Larger compute coming online could also be involved.
    1
  1343. AI is learning from human generated data. It remains to be seen whether this will allow them to surpass human intelligence. The baseline is that it will not. So AI-super-intelligence may be just another scare-mongering idea.
    1
  1344. What PE would justify a company that will 10x in 5 years? Probably 300 or more. There is no limit to PE ratios up or down. Only expected returns and risk. Right now the former looks excellent and the latter not so bad.
    1
  1345. A lighter battery is easy to verify. Longer time to degradation needs to be tested someone trustworthy other than the manufacturer.
    1
  1346. If there was political will the solution would be easy, the stroke of a pen. There is currently no political will. Thanks to generous political donations expect this to continue indefinitely.
    1
  1347. The individuality that resides inside a human body places a heavy weight on it. Any substance or activity that reduces the individuality makes the body feel good. Alcohol, mj, opiates, television, devices, excessive sport, most music etc.
    1
  1348. Democrats are going to have an apoplectic fit when DOGE replaces government with Optimus bots.
    1
  1349. TLDR - 4x Fuel cost saving and 2x-4x CO2 saving for the Tesla. So yes, it makes sense. It does cost more to buy though...
    1
  1350. Acceleration is massively improved. Did you miss that?
    1
  1351. Total cost of ownership is way cheaper. Doubly so if you have solar.
    1
  1352. That's what she said.
    1
  1353. My 6 year old daughter understands the effect dropping prices has on demand. Literally.
    1
  1354. Several of his predictions have not panned out.
    1
  1355. Interest rates still high = firms not hiring, people not buying
    1
  1356. The movie A Judgment at Nuremburg is probably the best examination of the concept of following orders vs complicity. Warning - hard hitting and viewpoint challenging.
    1
  1357. Battery needs to be made in the US to get $3500 of the rebate. Tesla has to license the tech from CATL and produce it in a high labour cost country which means the battery will be $6000 and take 24 months to set up that factory.
    1
  1358. In addition - the Robotaxi is that same platform, i.e. the same production line. So once Robotaxis are coming off the line every 20seconds it will be easy to switch to the Model 2, which is already designed and prototyped. When you announce it, it will be like Apple - available from Friday for anyone who wants one because they have built up an inventory.
    1
  1359. Yes. Unless you want attention, then buy now.
    1
  1360. There are 4 cities in Texas. Would you say it is in the top 4?
    1
  1361. We already had nuclear war. Two bombs were dropped on Japan.
    1
  1362. 69 is an auspicious number
    1
  1363. From what little I know about CGI, videos like this are also more fakable in ways they were not 20 years ago.
    1
  1364. It has to do with relative hate. Gop hates gays less than asians. It is a simple hierarchy system in their eyes.
    1
  1365. Sure, but you live in a bad neighborhood.
    1
  1366. Because he has different politics to you or for another reasons?
    1
  1367. Propaganda and censorship - tools of all narcissistic regimes since time began.
    1
  1368. Guys - if you are watching this back in May 2020 - sorry to disappoint you - we vaccinated everyone - the virus mutated twice and nothing has changed.
    1
  1369. Marques is rich so he does not understand the problems of the other half. This will drop the cost of transport roughly 10x.
    1
  1370. China is too big too fail.
    1
  1371. GTP3's randomness is not part of the model - it is added using regular code like C++ post-training. This is to prevent it being boring. They force it come up with things to say that are far from the most probable, just to keep you entertained. Tesla does NOT do this with its self driving AI for obvious reasons.
    1
  1372. Same production line - not same car. Robotaxi will have taxi features like self closing doors, high wear replaceable interior.
    1
  1373. Reminds me of Dr Strangeglove, which ironically he references. More the pattern of his hyper-rationalistic thoughts than his speaking style.
    1
  1374. Think of it as $100 a month to save 60 hours a month. If your time is worth more than $2 an hour just pay.
    1
  1375. Somebody subsidized you about $60 000 to buy it. Would you love as much if it cost $60 000 more? I think not.
    1
  1376. 100%.
    1
  1377. Us houses need to be stripped and re-finished after 20 years due to the large presence of plastic derived materials. In addition, many US regions subsidize the construction of new local infrastructure but refuse to pay a cent to repair or replace it once it is needs replacing - normally 20 years on - leaving the greater area 'bankrupt'.
    1
  1378. Narcissist to the right of me. Psychopaths to the left. Stuck in the middle with you.
    1
  1379. Yup. 2 miles across every one of their borders.
    1
  1380. 2nd hand prices follow new prices. New prices came down because interest rates went up. Depreciation is an illusion if you keep the car - they are engineered for 1 million miles.
    1
  1381. Buy why dee
    1
  1382. Nobody is arguing that. They are arguing why can VW not reduce salaries to make it more competitive with China.
    1
  1383. On a long enough timeline, if there is tiny chance, it multiplies out to a near certain thing.
    1
  1384. Your points are reasonable - but the future is quite uncertain. I would say testing starts next month as they hare hiring thousands of robotaxi testers right now. Also, they cannot add sensors so easily because they will lack data - the driving data is of the current Tesla fleet is video only. Robotaxi will probably not be used in heavy snow areas where you cannot see the edge of the road.
    1
  1385. All the largest companies in the World are software companies because software can be duplicated for free - without labour or raw materials.
    1
  1386. China is ramping solar panels and batteries. No Russian oil needed.
    1
  1387. It will be massive for even trivial prompts because planning reduces hallucination. These days I often don't believe what the LLM spits out - I need to go verify it. This will work even better when it checks the internet, science journals and books as part of the planning.
    1
  1388. The problem is humans. RLHF trainers prefer confident responses.
    1
  1389. 5:40 Randomness: This is generally speaking, not correct. During inference, the same result is generated from the same input in traditional networks without any random interference other than noise coming from the data itself. What you are referring to is likely things like DALLE which are trained to turn random data into a text prompt - but this is far from the standard type of neural network used.
    1
  1390. Aside: There is a random starting point when training data. But in 99.9% of cases if you retrain that network it will form via another route into something that behaves exactly the same as neural networks are exceptionally good at getting every last bit of pattern matching out of the data available.
    1
  1391. Gddmmti Nolan. I watched that film and could understand the big picture. Because it was about film. That is like the jokes Andy Kaufman played in his audience that only he found funny.
    1
  1392. When the AI voice generation servers are overloaded they clip the voice at the end.
    1
  1393. North Koreans or South Koreans? Today their cultures are quite different.
    1
  1394. Segways into ad for Patreon.
    1
  1395. Regarding intelligence of AI, modern AI is only one type of intelligence - pattern matching, combined with logic and computation types through traditional programming. Scientists reckon there is over 20 distinct forms of human intelligence (e.g. understanding World state, intuitive reasoning, good decisions from small data ) which AI is just terrible at. This it is not a competitor to human intelligence in terms of breadth, but in terms of its sheer power in pattern matching it has us beat hands down.
    1
  1396. The Nothing in Neverending Story made perfect sense. It a pictorial representation of Bastion's psyche after his mother died, his father treats him with distain and the school kids bully him.
    1
  1397. Geothe was a wise man but also a lawyer. He would also be forced agree that there is but one majority and also a thousand-thousand minorities who believe they are right. Of those minorities there either exactly zero or exactly one who represent complete truth.
    1
  1398. The Robotaxi will be cheaper than Uber and completely private so adoption rates will be double or quadruple Uber. Each one is worth $500k over five years while each model 2 is worth $5k. They will be welcomed and work great in other places, just like Uber have. I think we are going to need 10m a year until 2030. Model 2 will be weak value compared to BYD outside the US, mostly because the CCP subsidize it.
    1
  1399. He knows. He just need 3 more years and then he buy that yacht.
    1
  1400. Open data + open weights + open reflections + no political censorship = open ai. Best to worst in order. Grok (X), Llama (Meta), everyone else, last place = Google.
    1
  1401. Unless you put them in reverse. Then they are the way to move backwards.
    1
  1402. FYI Elon Musk cannot run not being born in America.
    1
  1403. 1) Google duplex was deployed and does work at actual clients. ChatGpt meant it development was stopped. 2) ChatGpt stealing content does not make it fake. 3) Your general point stands - we need to be cautious here.
    1
  1404. The CCP is pumping all its spare money into this. I think they have over-pumped.
    1
  1405.  @AudiTTQuattro2003  30-40k per year. But they cannot do 20 hour shifts while a Robotaxi can.
    1
  1406. Option 1: adjust prices during the day and night until consumers start managing their usage around this. Option 2: CSP Solar, while more expensive than silicon panels, uses molten salts to store energy late into the night without any expensive batteries. Option 3: Use excess solar capacity for manufacturing hydrogen from water, or smelting aluminium, or any other high energy process that can be started and stopped.
    1
  1407. No words for Tesla? Elon bad?
    1
  1408. Elon owns 50% of the World economy. Shareholders own 49%. The last 1% get shared amongst the rest of you. You will get unlimited food and Netflix though.
    1
  1409. Tesla will regulate the price of their self driving software so there is only a small oversupply. A glut is bad, but you want oversupply so people don't wait for cars.
    1
  1410. So slow. Probably the Air Force by 2030. Probably the Conventional Army by 2040.
    1
  1411. Covid was a bioweapon. How did we do?
    1
  1412. If you look at set theory 'part of' should be defined as either an intersection, union or subset. Just saying "it is a part of x" does not fully describe the relationship.
    1
  1413. This is all fine and well. But not all transitions are equal and WE are collectively the authors of that transition. Imagine that post Manhattan Project the US took a different path - to pre-emptively nuke anyone else who could build a bomb. This was a real option at the time, but a more sane 'transition' was adopted, probably for the better.
    1
  1414.  @ulrichtietz1327  And then get access to financial resources...next military resources.
    1
  1415. With hands like that there is a very low ceiling on what it can achieve. Pick and place robot.
    1
  1416. At least in Terminator they kill you. In the Matrix they put you in a snot bath and stick cables up your orifices.
    1
  1417. This seems to be a problem with all 'multi-prompt' creations, either they forget what they are doing or they make up horrendous lies to please you. Maybe ChatGPT5 will be good enough to make them work, but for now it seems like a pipe dream.
    1
  1418. He has seen the next iteration - that is to say, its inputs. There is certainly a certain amount of uncertainty, even then. He is far more likely to be aiming high than low.
    1
  1419. AGR - Artificial General Reasoning - yes AGI - Artificial General Intelligence - no - spacial reasoning, thinking outside of training data, EQ, problems with massive state (large codebases) - etc.
    1
  1420. You are paddling two boats. You are on the one hand saying it produces low quality content and on the other saying it is going to replace anyone whose job it is to write something.
    1
  1421. I actually like it. Still prefer CT.
    1
  1422. Rawlinson is a vigorous blowhard. They sell a car 1% better than the Model S for $160 000 more. Thing is, nobody is really buying the Model S anymore as all those potential buyers bought Cybertrucks instead.
    1
  1423. It is representative of the political left. Everything looks great at first glance. Dig down and the whole thing is rotten to the core.
    1
  1424. The fall of the Roman Empire - the final chapter.
    1
  1425. So pretty though...
    1
  1426. "The problem, Ezra, is us." Why is why most white male voters switched to DT. Black and Latino males too.
    1
  1427. You are going to use it at your desk or at home so battery life doesn't matter. Or just buy a 2nd battery pack if you are going to use it on the subway for 4 hours a day.
    1
  1428. Probably because he associates you with your mother. Narcissists fuck everything up for everyone - only then they are happy.
    1
  1429. Maybe so, but the new Atlas is really creepy the way it moves.
    1
  1430. That is fine when the tool choice does not matter so much, but if everything hinges on the success of the project and its tool choice - then gambling for fun may have harsh consequences.
    1
  1431. No doubt. I think the original estimate of 40k (50k inflation adjusted) was only a little off - I think in the future (maybe 3 years) we will see the base model sell for $55k in todays money - maybe $60k in 2027. Holding it back is 1) Interest rates so high right now 2) 4680 dry cell ramp 3) Huge backlog 4) It takes a couple years to drop costs of a new line, especially labour costs.
    1
  1432. Cybertruck doing great. FSD doing great. Maybe you are referring to his politics? It is a zero sum game - if you suck up to Dems then Magas cancel you, and vice versa. US is only 20% of customers and only 40% of the US vote.
    1
  1433. It is already 10x safer than humans. It is just about 10x more embarrassing.
    1
  1434. In WW2 nuclear weapons were used to secure a 'diplomatic advantage' over Japan.
    1
  1435. So you are saying AGI was created by simply fine-tuning with extra reasoning data. It is like discovering nuclear fission can actually be achieved with equal parts baking soda and vinegar.
    1
  1436. Leisha trollmel.
    1
  1437. For me AGI has always been code for 'mass unemployement caused by AI'. We are not there yet but three years seems about right.
    1
  1438. He will insist you get vaccinated against conservatism first. With a horse syringe.
    1
  1439. Everyone knows Xpeng paid you. It has been obvious from your sudden change to shilling for them half way through the year. Nothing wrong with making money but I for one will not be believing it.
    1
  1440. "Who unplugs it from the charger?" Wireless charging on Cybercab. "how much downtime us there when waiting for the car to recharge" Probably zero - because Ubers have plenty idle time outside of rush hour. ""doesnt have enough juice left in to get your kids to school" Software can handle issues like this. If you insist that the product is designed dumb of course it won't work.
    1
  1441. I think Robotaxi is going to have social resistance against it, much like Uber did in the early days. Moreso because the US is arguably the richest nation which leads to non-economic mass behavior. They should rather launch Robotaxi in Mexico or Poland, middle income economies. Optimus will have zero social resistance until it shows up in the employment figures by which stage it will be a massively success already. Optimus does have potential competition - it is easy to say only Tesla can pull it off at scale, but Boston Dynamics is owned by Hyundai now, and China will likely move fast to mass production - see what they did with EVs these last few years. Bottom line, I think Optimus will be the major catalyst in 2028 - 2025, 2026, 2027 - there be both Robotaxi and Optimus minor catalysts - but until the 'Alien Dreadnought' is pumping out a million robots a month I think Tesla stock will be stuck below 1000. Not that 1000 is a an awful price - only I prefer 20k a share.
    1
  1442. In a nutshell - US military companies soak up all excess taxpayer money and invest it into these systems. A full 50% of the population actively and vocally supports this (GOP) and the other 50% support it silently (Democrats). China and Russia not much different. This is how the Cold War happened, ditto for WW2, WW1 and all the wars before.
    1
  1443.  @DickCheneyXX  The votes are bought - with funds looted from corruption in government. Local leaders are paid to lie to their constituencies. It is like what Nixon did - just way bigger.
    1
  1444. 1.4 million road deaths a year. Double that people who survive but never walk again. YOU may want to drive but I have kids and so would prefer that the Robotaxi software keeps them safe.
    1
  1445. I don't think you get it. If he holds the patent then the 65% goes to him only.
    1
  1446. Test hypothesis or eliminate hypothesis?
    1
  1447. Primogen did a video on it. Amazon may be spreading propaganda to boost sales of their AWS AI products, which they have invested heavily in but don't have a 'boost to own value' like Tesla or OpenAI do.
    1
  1448. True - but the competition in that space will increase as well.
    1
  1449. Toyota deserve respect as the greatest car company before Tesla. I've never had the chance to own one.
    1
  1450. This is true but when you make the battery pack it allows for weight savings in other ways.
    1
  1451. Shhhh...ut up. I am trying to buy at the bottom here.
    1
  1452. You have to plant huge forests, there is nowhere suitable for this, and even if there is, one dry path and they all burn.
    1
  1453. California?
    1
  1454. Just like Thomas Anderson - most enlightened individuals lead two lives. The enlightened life they keep mostly secret - from colleagues, family and friends. Even their spouse. If you do not do this expect to get attacked from every angle. Lower consciousness either dismisses or fights higher consciousness. Almost never does it simply accept it and become higher consciousness itself.
    1
  1455. The community made up the term for the refresh. Tesla no doubt have a different name internally.
    1
  1456. Axiomatically, you start with 'suffering is bad' - I am however reminded of the Universe 25 experiment where removing suffering from the rats resulted in eventual massive overpopulation that then resulted in social breakdown - rat on rat violence. I think humans are already about 7 billion past this point and acceleration from here will lead to something akin to the movie Idiocracy.
    1
  1457. Correct, hence the drop from 409 to 142. But global car sales are down 50% too. And interest rates are high so people are holding off. And Tsla has many sources of future profits not from selling more 3s and Ys. So time will pass, interest rates will drop, new projects will come online and the trend will reverse. Those who jump on and off based on quarterly results will lose out.
    1
  1458. 50% discount. 50% chance of an oil leak.
    1
  1459. Sorry, but this was a 'game changer when lithium was over 544000 a ton, now at around 100 000 these batteries will cost a whole lot more than lithium ones - in particular LiFeP04 ones.
    1
  1460. FFS Cnn - I read "Retired Maj. General who may be behind alleged drone strike on Kremlin". That would've been a video worth watching.
    1
  1461. It depends. If your hostile neighbor is the one doing the developing - the sill 100% never launch a nuke at your on a 1st strike basis - because the rest of the World will retaliate. On the other hand, if they invade you with these things only nobody cares - see Armenia/Azerbaijan.
    1
  1462. The two companies with the most resources invested into this open sourced it. You might think Elon and Zuck are demons but they probably just saved us.
    1
  1463. I have never met someone who does not believe themselves to be a enlightened centrist.
    1
  1464. Thanks for sharing.
    1
  1465. Because AI objectives are ALWAYS set by humans, that is how it is programmed. And the list of downright evil things humans can do is pretty long.
    1
  1466. Ad hominum
    1
  1467. I see this differently: Mark swings his politics to the centre as the public sentiment moves against social network censorship and control. Queue the hit pieces from the left leaning media - of which this channel is one.
    1
  1468. So this video is an ad for the actual video on Nebula.
    1
  1469. 30 years ago South Africa had the #1 electrical supply in the World - not only rock solid but also the cheapest. The thing is - power plants only last 50 years - so the ANC 'stole' the money for replacement plants for cadre deployment - local lingo for redirecting political lackeys into positions where they can enrich themselves.
    1
  1470. Yuck FooTube
    1
  1471.  @k.t.5405  He was an expat living here from Canada - South Africa was never 'his county'.
    1
  1472. They never said that.
    1
  1473. Global car sales of all brands and engine types are down 50% from their high a short while back. Elon's fault as well.
    1
  1474.  @1foxmark  Boeing 737 was because they wanted to copy Airbus wing tips but it required changes the plane was never meant to have. Was not faulty code - was faulty management.
    1
  1475. Cables can fail. If statement can fail. It is hard to make the call which is safer. I do know that Teslas with self driving are like 10x safer than regular cars - going by deaths per km. Software is not necessarily more dangerous than hardware systems.
    1
  1476. My understanding is that if no date is mentioned for a price target it is a year from now. Possibly to the end of the quarter a year from now.
    1
  1477. The only reason you are saying this is because you have done your homework and studied what is actually going on here. Otherwise you would be like "Robohype - Elon fascist - Elon liar" on repeat.
    1
  1478. You are butchering his name - say it exactly like a nerve in English - you are saying noove.
    1
  1479. To follow your advice would mean outsourcing production to China.
    1
  1480. Nah. Black Forest is actually a type of cake. The Germans just stole the name for their forest.
    1
  1481. The counter argument is that AI is a broadly disruptive and powerful technology - like electricity or steam but unlike email or Segways. Doubly so when paired with robotics. There are not a lot of options to invest in. The investment has already poured into NVidia and Microsoft despite there being no moat for LLMs. Personally I prefer Tesla, as they have a quadruple moat - compute, data, mass manufacturing, engineers.
    1
  1482. Been following this advice since 1 January and waking up at 3am. It is like having double the time to work on stuff.
    1
  1483. You are right. But currently OpenAI just trains off of GitHub data. The underlying model will improve fast when they hire 1000 experienced programmers to generate much better data.
    1
  1484. If you have leaky gut do yourself a favor and investigate Fibromyalgia. You may find that LG is a secondary problem. Especially look at the work by Dr Rutherford (on Youtube).
    1
  1485. CNN says the drone 'hit its target' when it was a frickn apartment building.
    1
  1486. Welcome to the club.
    1
  1487. His hair. That reference goes back a few years...lol
    1
  1488. They did. For like 15+ years. The adapted and laid low until the cost was prohibitive.
    1
  1489. It is not easy to see. If EVERYONE could see change would happen tomorrow. The problem is 97.7% literally cannot see it - at least not clearly. They have been trained since a young age not to think for themselves - school, television, mind-numbing jobs.
    1
  1490. Strangely enough they already do. Blue collar workers from middle America have pretty much lost everything and there has not been any riots over it.
    1
  1491. The new electric one was going to be way, way too heavy for cornering. Rather buy a restored classic one for weekends and drive a Tesla during the week.
    1
  1492. No. Rome was confined to a small section of the World. They were irrelevant outside of Western Europe and some of the Middle East/Africa.
    1
  1493. France n'avait pas le meme problème avec l'inegalité mais il y egalement bcp des problemes economiques. Enfin, le problem est plus nuancé qu'une seule chose.
    1
  1494. In the USSR parallels initiatives were given some some room. In modern China, they land you in trouble fast. Google Persecution of Falun Gong.
    1
  1495. Elon agrees. Watch on 10/10 for prototype reveal.
    1
  1496. Lol. One one guy in the comments is awake today.
    1
  1497. It was fixed before the recall. Like a 1000 units had to go back to get a single screw put in.
    1
  1498. You are correct - the price of manufactured things will come done - 100x cheaper. But the cost of a small piece of land or an education taught by humans will go way up - 100x.
    1
  1499. Elon will be de facto leader of the US, the UK, Germany and France - with a friendly report with China. Interesting times.
    1
  1500. I often get the "I don't know that stuff " answer from ChatGPT so the Dunning Kruger criticism is not a fundamental limitation - merely a problem with not enough or inaccurate training data - meaning it will improve over time.
    1
  1501. Because S400s are way cooler than US interceptor systems. Ask Turkey.
    1
  1502. Meritocracy only really existed between 1945 and 1990. The rest of history was about kissing ass and selling your daughters for a couple of sheckels a pair of oxen.
    1
  1503. In a WTO driven World, manufacturing will go will labour cost is the lowest. The reason it left if no one in Britain wants to work for 2 quid an hour. But on the other hand, you were happy to pay $400 for your phone or laptop that would have cost $4000 quid if made locally.
    1
  1504. China is running their manufacturers at a big loss paid for by the government - who wholly or partially owns all the manufacturers. Nobody is managing to compete with them other than Tesla - and even for them it is tough.
    1
  1505. He thinks you are a conspiracy theorist who can't be trusted. So waah.
    1
  1506. Nvidia can't just do end-to-end because they don't have the camera data, the neural net architecture, the engineers. That said, there is not an infinite technical moat surrounding FSD - just like Bing cloned Google and China cloned Apple - but the mindspace advantage in Western markets is real - if you are first and you keep improving you dominate the market indefinitely. Look at Apple trying to create a self driving car and failing. No guarantees in this game, but I am betting my money on Tesla.
    1
  1507. They say "wisdom is not a product of schooling" but in truth he is a dude from a Nigerian call -center.
    1
  1508. OpenAI is keeping ChatGpt-5 under lock and key until they are certain it will bring good news cycle publicity.
    1
  1509. Price changes are always regional. The are the same in the UK because people are buying them in the UK, which implies their price is correct.
    1
  1510. The word for it is payola
    1
  1511. I can see a future where Robotaxi is successful and the others suddenly pay attention. Then Waymo, Ford, Gm, VW and Toyota form a consortium and each contribute $5b and put cameras on their cars and hire a lot of Tesla's engineers. Will lots of capital and urgency they get it up and running in 3 years. They buy EV designs from BYD. They pay politicians handsome donations. Suddenly you do have a major competitor. Tesla will be ahead. Nobody is immune to competition.
    1
  1512. While it is correct that often the first to market is the only competitor who makes profits, there are examples where others overtake them - Microsoft overtook IBM, Google overtook Altavista, Amazon overtook Walmart, Facebook overtook Myspace - and so on.
    1
  1513. No. Once humans are economically useless we become a liability. Either they give us a food and entertainment allowance or find ways to kill us. The primary customers will be other corporations with their machines. Customers are not really needed when you control all the resources - you just use them directly to build your empire - no need to buy and sell stuff anymore.
    1
  1514.  @whowhy9023  That is Ford. Rivian is at $40 000 negative gp.
    1
  1515. It is just political. They were all kissing his buttocks when he was Democrat.
    1
  1516. Sure. India and China are always conducting military drills together in the Himalayas. Unfortunately, a couple of people die each time.
    1
  1517. Elon said it is not cancelled. It comes after Robotaxi and that is what everyone is complaining about. Both Model 2 and Robotaxi fit in line with the mission statement.
    1
  1518. FFS - it said edible glue. Edible glue is wheat and water mixed together, the same stuff pizza is made from.
    1
  1519. The problem with 'hard bounds' is who gets to decide those and do they have a selfish agenda? I think it safer in general to censor nothing. If someone wants to know how to make a bomb they will find out some way or another - but if someone wants to ask ChatGPT about the origins of Covid and you keep blocking any real answer - as you currently do - you create a society where you have to have a "Ministry of Truth" and that leads the darkest of ends - remember, Winston choose to love Big Brother in the end - and that has parallels in the major unfree societies of today.
    1
  1520. For the most part that is correct. But throughout history there were times when the general population temporarily woke up and set things right, only to later relapse. So is a sheep who can become a man something cut-and-dried or is it an eternal struggle each man wages inside of himself, a choice, to be a man or a sheep on that given day?
    1
  1521. This. Cushy jobs in exchange for votes are going away. Not a bad thing.
    1
  1522. Yes. But they will make 400M in the next year. Now do the maths for that.
    1
  1523. Every Legacy auto countries is in for a tough time. Germany, Japan, US, South Korea. Chinese cars have them beaten outside of their home country (which they can still protect with tariffs). They days of prosperity from exporting cars is over. Tesla excluded from this trend, obviously.
    1
  1524. Tesla's first bot is targeting $20000. I know you don't like Tesla because of Elon's politics.
    1
  1525. Especially in the US. Life expectancies have ballooned but the chronic disease rate keeps going up. Of course, lonely people often want to die, and it remains to be seen if machines are a good substitute for people on that front.
    1
  1526. This is true to an extent. You have to have something of a psychopath inside you to recognize all-out psychopaths. It just has to be under control. If you are completely innocent then it is only a matter of time before a monster finds you and makes you his/her victim.
    1
  1527. You need to be selective on your books. Find people you respect who are older than you, ask them what book had the biggest influence on them. Read it. Read it carefully again. Speak to them about it. Reread again a couple years later. Picking off the NT bestseller books is going to get you book that Joe Average likes to read half the first chapter of after two glasses of wine with dinner.
    1
  1528. Fiction is great for exercising your ability to see the World through the eyes of others. It is bad for learning things that have a technical underpinning - Programming for Dummies will get you a 1000 miles further than reading Ready Player One.
    1
  1529. This
    1
  1530. For our lives I think you are right. Humanity has changed course before, but right now we should all be investing in gas mask companies.
    1
  1531. UblockOrigin. Blocked since install. 18.9 million ads.
    1
  1532. Gently explain to your superiors the market cap of Amazon vs the market cap of your company. Graphs could be helpful. /jk
    1
  1533. Maybe it can fix your capitalisatioN
    1
  1534. Extinguish ended when Satya Nadella took the rains. Microsoft has switched its childish Bill/Balmer type plans for Total World Domination to the adultlike goal of just being a profitable tech company. Your video ending does not work because programming is 80% domain driven problem solving and 20% coding. This means that if Copilot is beyond brilliant and no code ever gets written by humans again, companies will employ MORE programmers because AI cannot think for itself, so programmers will do the hard part of programming - problem solving through thinking.
    1
  1535. Good points. Exterior size is meaningless.
    1
  1536. An Uber Driver is making $40k in the US. This is the available profit. $20k to Tesla and $20k to the owner. Or something like that.
    1
  1537. Jessica is out of focus.
    1
  1538. If a man's paycheck or pride depends on him not seeing something he will insist that you imagined it. Even if it is potentially life threatening, like a crack in a dam wall.
    1
  1539. 15:00 This idea is incorrect. The 30000 pieces of a Coronavirus can bend and curve in near infinite ways, and those curves and bends have an absolute effect on the functioning of the virus. Top genetic researchers will also tell you that genetic code only account for a small percentage of what is going on with biology - they are missing a huge piece of the puzzle (maybe some additional smaller structure?) - the idea that life is just proteins printed off a gene blueprint was a convenient fiction propagated decades before by speculating scientists - actual research paints a different picture.
    1
  1540. We already knew this as credit card debt dropped - Americans used their Christmas bonuses to pay down debt rather than buy things they don't need.
    1
  1541. Both versions are used liberally. Or we could just say stock - inventory is a decidedly American-only word.
    1
  1542. Bad people vs. Good people - this is kindergarten reasoning. We saw with the Stanford Prison Experiment that you only need one bad person telling many ambivalent people 'I am responsible' to recreate an something approximating the Holocaust.
    1
  1543. Memory has nothing to do with speed. That said the Mac Should run it but it will take 52 weeks to fine tune. Rather just rent some H100 and smash it in a couple days @SahilP2648 
    1
  1544. Really? 150k views? Cat videos get 15m views and gangster music videos get 150m views.
    1
  1545. I am calling BS. Provide proof.
    1
  1546. Biden and Kamala were going for that. It did not end well.
    1
  1547. Nope. Capital flight. Rewatch video.
    1
  1548. They are corrupt because they are in the pay of corporations. The biggest payers of campaign donations are military companies. The biggest supporter of unnecessary war - Tony Blair - just got bust with billions in secrets funds with no obvious source for them.
    1
  1549. A good idea, but people need to get around and trains/buses are hard work to use.
    1
  1550. No. Every major manufacturer is a jobs for votes program designed to transfer government money into jobs for loyal voters. Ford, GM, VW, Toyota, Stellantis. All are circling the drain in the face of real competition. i.e. Tesla and China
    1
  1551. It is by far the most expensive, has most of its fuel originating from Russia and takes 10 years to build it. To say nothing of what happens if an errant artillery shell hit Zaporizia.
    1
  1552. No choice? They are all effectively owned by the Chinese government. They take orders from Beijing.
    1
  1553. No worries. Stellantis will soon sell it too. Tesla will buy it to store Cybertrucks before delivering to customers.
    1
  1554. Its not absurd, in other countries the cheapest cars sell well simply because many can ONLY afford that car and even then it is a stretch. Americans just don't realize how wealthy they are in comparison to many other countries.
    1
  1555. Profit looks into the past. Share price looks into the future. What are Toyota going to sell when the various EV mandates kick in? Toyota is the greatest car company of the last 50 years but that does not guarantee the next 50.
    1
  1556. It would make it heavier. By about 20%.
    1
  1557. With the first two industrial revolutions it was the case, but a generation later it balances out as the new generation bring new skills. Basically, you are excluded but your grandchildren will be fine.
    1
  1558. Tesla is currently hiring at least half of those people back in Robotaxi targeted roles. Many let go were related to the building of the Mexico plant.
    1
  1559. If you run for president I am voting for you.
    1
  1560. Used it for years. The web is still unusable with it. Everything is part of some massive dragnet to get a $10 subscription out of you.
    1
  1561. You need it to get the media hyped about AI again. They have given up on the 'AI is Skynet' thing so they need a new scare for the knuckleheads who tune in.
    1
  1562. Elon will soon be looking for Neuralink Guinea Pigs - why don't you offer up your skull?
    1
  1563. Mad Max: Fury Road was a soft reboot better than the original. Just sayin.
    1
  1564. Maybe - but he never said he is.
    1
  1565. That was part of it. Also China went on holiday for half a month, which is the biggest market. Also, Chinese consumers are going through a massive economic crisis. Also, Osborne effect for Model 3.
    1
  1566. Well spotted. Here in South Africa all last mile delivery is done in privately owned small passenger cars. It is more cost effective than vans.
    1
  1567. Education is not the problem. Elon Musk never studied business or technology. Steve Jobs never finished college. Zuck neither. The problem is that in the tech World the winner takes all. Other than Onlyf***s what UK tech companies are doing well? Deepmind recently faked their product launch so they don't count.
    1
  1568. " this is the fly in the ointment!" China has fabs that are increasing in ability. Elon overpowered the hardware 100x over what was needed so if it is 10x what is needed it will be fine.
    1
  1569. Patrick, it could also be 300% caused by us, and -200% caused by the natural cycle.
    1
  1570. Thanks to Uber. Younger generation don't want to drive.
    1
  1571. " career websites and the company websites" This could be the problem. Mostly fake jobs to 'gather data'. Reach out to people you have worked with before and ask them to keep a look out for you including positions adjacent to QA.
    1
  1572. Or bots can repair other bots in the field. Spare parts on hand or brought in with drone.
    1
  1573. I saw it and then overslept badly. Still got to short some of it.
    1
  1574. Chasing Will 'o Wisps might have been more apt.
    1
  1575. They book sales when it goes to the stealer. So management needed to stay employed. So they overproduced and sent them out.
    1
  1576. Tesla is already signalling they will go it alone. Uber does not really have a value add. Tech companies learned long ago they need to own the platform = otherwise they get hurt - see what Apple did to Facebook.
    1
  1577. Double spoiler: so are the corporations. Ironically, it is us, the people who voted in/bought from them.
    1
  1578. "Its latest gross margin on cars is 25%" Off the books the CCP is paying them and giving them free land, electricity, labour. Anyone can make a profit on the books, the real trick is to make an economic profit. This is why they sell more than Tesla and the market cap is 10% of Tesla. You can't fool the market as to your real margin.
    1
  1579. Same thing that happened to Stalingrad 82 years ago.
    1
  1580. I agree. Musk does not need Sandy to defend him. Sandy was better purely as a dismantler of vehicles.
    1
  1581. After Skool needs to find a way to make ends without embedded adverts. As for you MSI, mental note made to never buy one of yours. Unsubscribed.
    1
  1582. I don't think people understand the word platform. It means it comes off the same production line. If you told them that the penny would drop.
    1
  1583. 4680 is ramping with Cybertruck so it is not cancelled - it experienced unexpected technical problems related to physics. Inflation (thanks to pandemic spending) cancelled 50% CAGR. CT can, in the future, easily have 500 miles - teardowns show the battery area is 50% empty with space for a 2nd battery.
    1
  1584. Some have already made good progress. Big tech cut 40% of programmers no problem. Tesla will have autonomous driving pat in 2-3 years.
    1
  1585. Brexit. When all you sell is financial services what are you hoping for when suddenly every transaction must now cross a border.
    1
  1586. Sure. But if this specific hype is real then that would change your opinion.
    1
  1587. Unfortunately, stealing someone's website idea is perfectly legal. Google stole from Altavista. Facebook stole from Myspace. And so on.
    1
  1588. Russians conflate risk to the empire as risk to their country. That is why we are here now. @benfowler1134 
    1
  1589. This will come once 4680 ramps higher. 50% of the battery area is empty in the CT.
    1
  1590. Virtually every vehicle has multiple trips to a panel beater. The Cybercab is designed to be 10% of the usual cost for paint and other minor repairs. It will be plastic on the surface which returns to shape with some heat and can be buffed to look new. No taking off panels and repainting them.
    1
  1591. The problem with spinning up a trillion agents is it will cost a trillion dollars and nobody, and I mean NOBODY, has a trillion dollars.
    1
  1592. It is worth considering the opinion of mystics on this topic of drugs vs. the spiritual. Their general view is that when you take drugs you indeed do enter into the spiritual world, but it is a highly distorted version (by your brain/body) of it. Like the guy who loses a bet and tries to run a marathon without training you basically come into contact with something you are not adequately prepared for, and can do serious damage to your spiritual constitution - to say nothing of what drugs do to your physical body. This is the reason why most societies have a dim view on taking mind altering substances, even when the drugs are 'medically safe'.
    1
  1593. Virtually every country in the World tariffs cars not manufactured on local soil. Normally they will let foreign manufacturers build local plants. In this case China stuck its thumb in America's eye way too many times of late - supplying Russia's war effort being just the latest one. For now, it will be Tesla and some rats and mice selling EVs stateside.
    1
  1594. How so
    1
  1595.  @SK-kh2rs  Nothing funny for German taxpayers who don't work at VW.
    1
  1596. Kathleen Kennedy would like to be in charge...
    1
  1597. The wheat vs real estate comparison is weak because more wheat can be grown in a year or two. Good property (being near good jobs) is absolutely limited due to land in cities being already owned, typically generations ago.
    1
  1598. They certainly broke Hitler's armies.
    1
  1599. I am glad they didn't put the rear wheels behind a body panel. Would have been too 1950's.
    1
  1600. Gas cars are dying fast in China - the CCP has decreed that they should by subsidizing EV makers.
    1
  1601. None of that matters. The courts will look through things like that to the realty of what is going on. At the Nuremburg trials the Nazi regime all claimed they were following orders and so it wasn't their fault. They were found guilty because there is a principle in law that if you knowingly assist in ANY WAY to commit a crime you must share in the guilt.
    1
  1602. They were, and then the lithium prices fell a huge amount, now they are not.
    1
  1603. Those who know how typically crack 80% of the salted passwords in these salted and encrypted files in a day with dictionary and commonly used passwords by using large GPU's to launch billions of attempts a minute. If you are going to stop this you need to not allow users dictionary words, common passwords, etc. Users should use passwords like wywBhFppYB^q#81wZ1@5
    1
  1604.  @steven4315  Respect for seeing it through. I can't help suspect that things are not going to go well because there will be a permanent shift to EVs and Tesla is heavily automated, and will automate further. There will always be auto jobs but they will be more and more engineering and less and less working on the line.
    1
  1605. Tesla is a startup with a cash burn of negative 2bn a quarter.
    1
  1606. You made me laugh. It has been a strictly no-laughs-week but now you ruined that!
    1
  1607. Research: Roughly 50% of people 'like to drive' with 15% 'really liking it'. If you dig into the reasons they like it, a Cybercab might suit half of them better e.g. They like to see the scenery fly by or get out of the house. There is also the matter of safety - 1.5m dead per year, 41k in the US.
    1
  1608. The people always know what they want but they don't always know what is better for the country as a whole. The graveyard of once great nations (like mine - South Africa) is kept full by spineless politicians who bowed to the unreasonable wishes of the people. The ruling class are really good at ruling - the problem starts when they start serving their own agenda and not that of the people. It is far better to get them back in line than to dispense with them and make the decisions oneself.
    1
  1609. Taxing bots is impossible. Just tax corporate profits properly - no reduced rates via tax havens. And then tax billionaires with a 75% death tax, or if they try to live forever, at 80 years old.
    1
  1610. Stayin' Alive. Never really worked for the BeeGees. Only 1 left.
    1
  1611. Your doctor has 65% of fixing your medical problem. The AI has 95% chance of fixing your medical problem. The doctor can be sued but the AI can't. Pick one.
    1
  1612. My understanding is that if no date is mentioned for a price target it is a year from now. Possibly to the end of the quarter a year from now.
    1
  1613. Tesla have about 10 businesses - 7 are have products and are making LOTS of money. 3 are still coming and will likely make more. What is so hard to understand?
    1
  1614. Why not mention Rhino? No, not the animal Rhino. The country called Rhino - with just two letters switched for two others.
    1
  1615. Depends on competition. YouTube have never made money. Creators on YouTube has made money. This is because YouTube has no moat other than running at a loss.
    1
  1616. He dealt with industrial constraints.
    1
  1617. "Its a trap" was bad acting/script inside a really great movie. That is how a meme is born. Bad lines inside a bad movie are just forgettable.
    1
  1618. Not quite. In America they raid and arrest prominent alternative medicine practitioners.
    1
  1619. I think Dave might be getting to far over his skis here - shortage of free data could put a stick in the spokes of the whole thing.
    1
  1620. Even with just the latest available version the issues with it are known - a guy keeps a massive spreadsheet rating every aspect. There are a whole bunch of things that need work but each of those is a solvable in a month or two. Think of a marathon runner when he finally sees the 1 mile marker to the end - he knows for sure that he is going to make it and can expend the rest of his mental energy.
    1
  1621. Actually, the fox population is up this year. /s
    1
  1622. There are a lot of idiots out there who believe their financial advisor can pick stocks for them when something like 95% of professional portfolio managers cannot beat index funds over 15 years. These clients are just muppets and the advisors just leeches. The clients see no value in what they consider secondary services - budgeting, tax planning, estate planning, retirement planning, medical etc.
    1
  1623. Except in Germany workers can vote - so any attempt to cut labour costs would be shot down.
    1
  1624. Meh - the Chinese government is currently pumping all their spare cash, resources and people into their car industry. Once that stops and competition must be on an equal footing, then things get much more difficult.
    1
  1625. It is a fake price in China. Only for sale to party members.
    1
  1626. Broe is an unusual surname.
    1
  1627. Pax means peace. The US has had nine major conflicts since the end of the Cold War.
    1
  1628. And has needed it for as far as the history books go back. Can you ever see America sharing its wealth with China, Russia, Muslims? No chance - they are the enemy.
    1
  1629. The problem is trust. The majority of people are just not ready for an economy based on trust and empathy, they can only see the World through their own nature - dog eats dog, survival of the fittest. The Soviet experiment required trustworthy leaders, but instead corruption became widespread and it collapsed. If you can find a nation of high empathy, high trust people - it does not matter so much what type of economy they have - it all just works well - for example, the Scandinavian nations seem to fit this mold.
    1
  1630. The test is not whether it is 'yours'. If you draw your completely 'original version' of Mickey Mouse it is copyright infringement. Like all copyright it is going to depend on the enforcement power of the plaintiff and who is the enforcer. Do some Disney/Marvel AI pics and put it somewhere visible and see what happens next - the will come after you with lawyers. If you have millions you can fight them and then a judge may get to decide.
    1
  1631. He would have taken that fast if America didn't pitch up with the Russian battle plans and a commitment to Ukraine that if they resist they will get Western support.
    1
  1632. Blavatsky had nothing to do with the new age movement. That is an error - albeit an easy one to make. She was a Theosophist which if you do proper investigation should be placed as something quite the opposite of New Age.
    1
  1633. Yeah. Sam paid him to spout his mouth off.
    1
  1634. Tesla is the most volatile large share on the market. It also has the highest expected return over 5 years. Unless you are 65 years or older you are making a grave mistake as all volatility vanishes over a 10 year period.
    1
  1635. If you look at models sold in the US available in other countries - the lowest spec model in the US is usually the highest spec elsewhere.
    1
  1636. Tesla has a factory in Berlin. And can ship from the US.
    1
  1637. ZOMG WE ALL GONNA GET PROBED NOW!
    1
  1638. Everyone might drive in Cybercabs 5 years from now - and the 10x saving on transport might trigger deflation - the good kind.
    1
  1639. March Meltdown Madness! I am counting on this.
    1
  1640. The source for the excessive Ukrainian deaths seems to be a Russian propaganda channel. Fox should be careful repeating that, as all other ways to measure casualties like photos/videos of destroyed equipment are not painting the same picture.
    1
  1641. You might be right, in which case, kudos. If you are wrong, the costs for humanity could be high. Do you want that on your conscience?
    1
  1642. I know I guy who is near quadriplegic after an accident - he is fine and life continues. I have never met a guy who has a big ego be fine after it is chopped in half - at least not for the first 10 years or so.
    1
  1643.  @ilovu7790  Everyone paying attention and watching 10s of videos. But for every one of those there is nine 'buy-the-dippers'. Dip buying works until the first big cycle change comes. There you can buy all the way down and bag hold for 7 years. Your returns will never recover.
    1
  1644. You can frame anything with cherry picked statistics to get the answer you want. 😞
    1
  1645. This thinking is now completely out of date. Tesla has factories which are mostly robots. They have zero sales staff. The product speaks for itself and it is sold by word of mouth or by the curious just investigating themselves. Also, no unions allowed through the gates.
    1
  1646. Yes. Every week they post a new one. From footage taken in 2002.
    1
  1647. No. If it was panic they would have dropped on all models in all regions. Instead it was just the odd model in certain regions.
    1
  1648. CNN had it nowhere on the front page during the hearing. Fox had it somewhere near the bottom under 50 other meaningless stories.
    1
  1649. The Gold ran out long before the ANC lost their way. What the ANC needed to do was to avoid demonizing white people - both local and foreign - and work with them instead - but it was easy politics to play the blame game - so the best white wealth creators left and the foreign investors (mostly white) silently redirected their money elsewhere.
    1
  1650. Maybe the union can buy the unsold China cars.
    1
  1651. They never give the battery longevity. Would be nice to have a cheaper chemistry but Lithium Iron Phosphate batteries will last 1 million miles+ (modern ternary batteries good for half that).
    1
  1652. Tesla could solve the 10 year problem in 2 years. Give them a shout out.
    1
  1653. Smokers are a dying breed...both figuratively and literally 🙂
    1
  1654. EV prices outside China can't continue to drop forever - only Tesla is making a profit on them and even they are running out of room to keep dropping.
    1
  1655. In a perfect World, yes. In the real world both are extremely difficult projects to pull off - if you do both at once failure is guaranteed. He picked the far more promising option. Beer and peanut gang disagree but those who think as entrepreneurs do see the pure genius of the move.
    1
  1656. The will cast the chassis in one piece unlike current 3/Y which use 2 parts.
    1
  1657. Awkward style is a memorable style.
    1
  1658. Depends on punishment. 10 years hard time and it will drop to very, very low levels.
    1
  1659. China's electricity is basically grid semi-functional since they banned Australian coal. Heavy EV rollout will only make that worse. China is notorious for parading fake products, military equipment etc. Caveat emptor.
    1
  1660.  @crispinotechgaming  google
    1
  1661.  @davidfujkk8018  CCP is investing everything they have into EVs and batteries, just like previously with solar panels, phone manufacturing and real estate construction. Tesla needs to continue to make its own batteries because of the US incentives and to prevent CATL gaining pricing power over Tesla.
    1
  1662. Everyone knows this. The questions is whether the curve dies out before AI intelligence exceeds our intelligence or not. If it is the latter there will be serious problems. I suspect the former.
    1
  1663. 1500 vs 2500 - how is that triple?
    1
  1664. The thing is China always saw trade with the US as part of a forever war against the West. The subsidize as much as they can while they steal as much technology as they can.
    1
  1665. Imagine how powerful you would be today if you started with binary.
    1
  1666. Dunno. People loved Matrix. People don't like the two sequels. I think it TFA sucked from the beginning - it is just the sheer magnitude of the slow motion car crash only became fully revealed after Luke had to drink milk.
    1
  1667. Left and right are at each other's throats about which is more important: freedom or equality. You can point to times in the past where too much freedom caused massive pain (1920's America -> Depression) and you can point to times when too much forced equality caused social pain (Collapse of the USSR or Great Leap Forward). I don't see why we cant just see that some situations need one and some need the other. Profit from both and trade them off cleverly.
    1
  1668. That is O2 - the LLM would have been o2. OpenAI are lying, as they are wont to do.
    1
  1669. Well spotted.
    1
  1670. Don't take it personally - it is just Hunter Biden's chatbot network.
    1
  1671. AI Large Language Models make it easier for companies to cut jobs but still have good profits.
    1
  1672. China was very badly treated by foreign powers during its history (research it and it is very clear) and memory of that is constantly refreshed by progaganda. The West forgave Germany its sins but China cannot forgive, and so they must lock themselves into a forever war they are ill prepared to fight.
    1
  1673. As an investor I can tell you 99% of people today are thoroughly incapable of being a decision making investor. I would go so far as to say that 90% of professional decision makers are just herd animals and so are also unsuitable. There has to be a better way than creating a giant casino where every beer drinking Joe can gamble his life's assets.
    1
  1674. Picking AI assets managers changes nothing - you will pay them for their service and those fees will eat into returns. Just like picking meat asset managers today is typically a path to underperformance. Far better is the index method - everything goes into an index and everyone automatically owns 30% of the index - 5 year rolling average growth in the index can be drawn out in cash after leaving a buffer behind.
    1
  1675. Ignoring what they say only works when you know an even better way. Maybe you are that guy, but most people are not. Coding is a skill with broad applications across many industries. Physiotherapists don't really need to know but most other jobs do.
    1
  1676. Short term - yes. Long term - it saves their bacon.
    1
  1677.  @emilsohn1671  But what about the high salaries and pensions. Germany still lose because of that. As do Ford and GM.
    1
  1678. China use every tool available. Good engineering, automation, cheap labour, government subsidies, capital availability, burning the boats, copying Tesla, casting, battery innovation.
    1
  1679. The original inhabitants of Britain were dark skinned. You, my pale skinned friend, should return back to wherever the Viking boats, the Roman Galleys and the French flotte came from and leave England to it rightful brownish inhabitants.
    1
  1680. There is a lot of innovation happening in the developer space. .NET etc. Compared to the alternatives anyhow.
    1
  1681. Those are technical terms. These words are also used in everyday speech with far looser definitions.
    1
  1682. I used to think like that, but don't anymore. The problem is ultimately every one believes that [they] deserve better than what they get and will cherry pick facts and logic to suit their own selfishness. Martin Wolf appears very logical in the video but he leaves out important things like a discussion of inequality. In other words, the 'illogical thinking' is completely willful and not accidental. It is willful because of a prevailing egotistic world view which exists as the 'base layer' of the problem. [edited - words]
    1
  1683. Most used Teslas are excellent cars and require little to no maintenance for 500k miles or so.This smells like anecdotal bs or somebody who does not like Elon's politics.
    1
  1684. If corporations were run with common sense and common decency 80% of people would not hate their jobs.
    1
  1685. Some mistakes are a learning opportunity for the species. Darwin Awards and all that.
    1
  1686. I want to know how long China can government subsidize their EVs? One year, five years or forever. This is a critical question.
    1
  1687. I think its cool. In the early nineties this was how we did it.
    1
  1688. You think Reuters shorted the stock? Or someone worked with them? If that ever got out there would be hell to pay.
    1
  1689. In every failed state the elites use USD while commoners must drink blood soup.
    1
  1690. Most people who self describe as scientific want hard evidence like "Show it to me under a microscope or nothing else will convince me". This is a limited viewpoint because it presupposes that all things in the universe are 1) known 2) the same 3) made of matter.
    1
  1691. Neither. AI cannot surpass the intelligence in its training data. Instead it will get better and better at driving up corporate efficiency, military efficiency, cyber attack efficiency - which can cause problems that ruin your life all the same.
    1
  1692. Nobody wants politics until a foreign nation attacks - either with soldiers or economically, then they all come crying crocodile tears.
    1
  1693. It will be called 'Sociopath' just so there is no confusion.
    1
  1694. That would be incorrect as of Friday when OpenAI released Strawberry.
    1
  1695. But he betrayed the Democrats - so they are out for blood, and in their eyes he can do no right.
    1
  1696. The problem has to do with the business trying to do low value things with an expensive tool, programmers. If you work working on something that will make or break the business and will make them $100m they will treat you like gold. Instead, some low level nobody in accounting wants a button so she does can do nothing all afternoon. Software development should focus only on high value business projects. Spreadsheets work fine for everything else.
    1
  1697. Wes: "I steer clear of politics" --> proceeds to keep calling X as Twitter
    1
  1698. Can't 1. They will be voted out 2. EVs are taking over - in 5 years ICE will be nearly gone. Reason is EV prices keep dropping while ICE technology is already at a cost minumum.
    1
  1699. 85% don't not apply to LFP batteries. They are good for 100%. Tesla tend to use LFP and NMC in different models.
    1
  1700. The things is that they mask themselves. While in TV there could have been a lot but they keep it hidden. At the college they didn't bother with the mask, normally because they have some kind of power over you.
    1
  1701.  @Aurelien-xf8dj  I feel the same way but like every technology that came before we are powerless to stop it. Remember the hippies protesting nuclear? It is an incoming tsunami and we must surf the wave.
    1
  1702. Robotaxi in mass production by 2026 is what Elon said. Now you say he said 2027 - he did not. And you assume slippage on top of that.
    1
  1703. If you go back in history genocides of various sorts were common - either the conquered made good slaves or they were eliminated. Although it cannot be easily proved I suspect every people of the earth has both suffered them and committed them. No more protected classes.
    1
  1704. A very, very wide gamut of things can affect the value of investments. Anyone who works in hedge funds knows the core theory by age of 25. What separates the top players is their broad take on the World. I can only posit you just don't like conservatives.
    1
  1705. and Democrats are saints.
    1
  1706. There is no such thing as an EMP. A nuclear blast creates an EMP but now you are shooting flies with a cannon. You will have to wipe out your own city to stop the attack. Shielding electronics is not hard to do.
    1
  1707. Imagine : 7h00am You get into your pod directly from your 10th story appartment. You kick off your shoes . 7h01 The pod merges into the elevator and takes you to ground floor. 7h02 The pod is merged with a Selfing Driving (SD car) - it picks up 3 other pods hardly slowing to do so. 7h06 The car drops your pod into an underground system like the Loop (not Hyper). 7h10 The pod switches to a SD bus. 7h11 the pod reswitches to a SD car. 7h12 the pod connects to your office elevator. 7h13 you step onto your floor. 7h15 you are in your office after getting coffee, the pod is auto-parked in the basement taking up 1/10th the space of a car. This is 45 minutes faster than 10 years ago.
    1
  1708. No. If your shareholder goes bankrupt it does not mean anything for you.
    1
  1709. Did not remember how to stop get smaller or staying the same size. Thank me later.
    1
  1710. Elon never once said the words Model 2. Nor has he ever.
    1
  1711. It reached inflexion about 15 hours ago.
    1
  1712. To mine Moon, Mercury, Mars, Asteroid Belt we would need roughly 1 trillion - so 50%.
    1
  1713. Is the measure of views a measure of quality? Gangnam Style has over 10 000 times as many views as this video but is patently less likely to solve humanity's problems.
    1
  1714. Growing up around this time adults, even liberal ones, would often talk of a betrayal by America. The word was they had unofficially encouraged South Africa to 'go into Angola' and they would be close behind with real support, after all, we were up against the USSR and their allies. Then they changed their mind, citing 'apartheid', once it was impossible for us to back down. Obviously, the veracity of this is hard to confirm but such things were commonplace during the Cold War.
    1
  1715. If you are using agents for a corporation it will be easier to go full agent rather than 10% agent. You will still need 'agent engineers' and 'agent managers' but they work outside the day-to-day workflow of the company.
    1
  1716. I had a bad experience with Mosh. Tim Corey is great.
    1
  1717. Tom Nash runs a good channel. Rebellionaire specialize in manage concentrated positions. All depends on what risks you wan't to mitigate.
    1
  1718. Did your rocks travel 7000km below radar, then loiter for 4 hours till it spots a specific vehicle and then launch a JDAM at a specific man, before returning to base for refueling?
    1
  1719. Cybertruck is currently only selling the 'suburbanite version' due to demand. In a couple years they will sell the utility version for less money. Self driving will make a huge difference - you can work on a laptop or the phone while you drive long distances. Also, a zero fuel cost could be a thing for a working truck.
    1
  1720. Even Brokeback Mountain?
    1
  1721. They ran out of local money to steal. So they sold their last 100 artillery shells to Russia.
    1
  1722. Except these ones might be closer to 50% as well now, making them suitable for small installations.
    1
  1723. Burning one tree is not a civil war. Cmmn Wion.
    1
  1724. Because a Robotaxi will make like $80000 a year there is no way Tesla is going to just let people use FSD for that. Maybe they will allow you to buy a different software for - say $200 000 and use that - but the base case is that all Robotaxis are build and owned and operated by Tesla.
    1
  1725. Tesla have 5 cars with very few versions. Cadillac is GM - how many models is GM trying to pull off? 100?
    1
  1726. T2 war scene is not far from Ukraine front lines. Almost everything is automated.
    1
  1727. "The space elevator will be built “about fifty years after everyone stops laughing." Arthur C Clarke Ditto electric cars, reusable rockets, search engines and computers in our pockets.
    1
  1728. Model 2 is half the risk. Robotaxi is 10x the profits. 10x trumps 2x.
    1
  1729. Everyone is part of a cult. Those in the Tesla cult at least know what cult they are in and its attendant risks.
    1
  1730. Tech stocks are not crashing. If you bought mag7 in 2024 you would have doubled your money and then some - recent drop is 25% from all time highs.
    1
  1731. Both sides seem to have a problem with understanding proportionate response. Every response always has to be 10x the intensity of the original action.
    1
  1732. Peter lives under a rock. China bought 50% EVs this year. Next year 75%. 2007 - 100%. No need for Arab oil.
    1
  1733. By a certain measure, everyone is some kind of cult - this could just be the anti-Tesla cult.
    1
  1734. No, because they workers got their agreed salary and Elon did not get his. There was a deal that he lead the company so its share price is 10x - he did that - and shareholders and government were paid too. Only Elon was left sucking hind tit.
    1
  1735. Chaps. That is indeed a generous description. @rorykeegan1895 
    1
  1736. Do you know what they say about fancy shoes... ....fancy feet!
    1
  1737. There is no other game in town for the poor - they cannot get employment - they cannot self employ themselves - so they can only rely on hand downs from politicians, crime and the odd NGO. Seventy years ago the black population of South Africa was 13M not it is probably north of 45M.
    1
  1738. It will fail badly - for the same reason Microsoft failed - no Google Play Store, no Apple App Store.
    1
  1739. Also f'ed up the Ray Kurtzweil date.
    1
  1740. Clearly a deepfake, no politician speaks so clearly about things.
    1
  1741. The US may still achieve a soft landing. It hangs in the balance.
    1
  1742. No. Glasses are creepy. That is why Google Glass failed and Ms Hololens is a corporation only product.
    1
  1743. This smells like payola
    1
  1744. Many of Elon's views are left leaning. Atheism, disregard for family life, tech disruption of gas, climate friendliness - even free expression of ideas. The problem is he left the tribe, if you will pardon the pun.
    1
  1745. No. Job is collection of task + collection of non-tasks like duties. AI can't have lunch with one of your major customers.
    1
  1746. Closed software environments are always a moat. Moats protect large players from smaller ones. If you are large and they are small economies of scale dictate you are winning anyway - as long as your moat holds. See Nvidia and CUDA. See Microsoft and Windows. See Apple and App Store.
    1
  1747. Tesla wins on profitability. Lucid is competing with Tesla of 10 years ago.
    1
  1748. It happens in other industries. In insurance, people change their broker so seldom that the average age in my country was near 60.
    1
  1749. Vehicles almost never fall under export agreements. Vehicles are special, every country wants them made within their borders as they bring jobs.
    1
  1750. They are busy actively hiring 5% on other projects.
    1
  1751. 1st World problems. In China there is no 'bathroom to use' because the government reduced the value of labour to zero. You are a slave. @thetapheonix 
    1
  1752. How old are you? What companies do is artificially lower prices using government subsidies for say a decade, they then get all the market share, the mind share, the technology, the know-how, the talent and so on. Once their competitors are dead they jack up margin to Apple levels and profit like are Al Capone. The consumer might 'win' for 10 years but they suffer for '50' thereafter. This is why WTO bans government assistance to companies. They still do it, just real sneaky-sneaky.
    1
  1753. WW2. Once you lose a war the occupier never leaves. The occupier in the East was worse though...
    1
  1754. No way Robotaxi functionality is included in FSD. Maybe for some early vehicles but not for future vehicles. Wait for 8/8.
    1
  1755. People will get killed in line waiting to get plugged back into the Matrix. For every one Neo there is 666 Cyphers.
    1
  1756. They probably don't like us either
    1
  1757. Every great city breaks this mold. Every mediocre one embraces it.
    1
  1758. How is a 21 year old kid given access to state secrets anyway?
    1
  1759. True. But they are blocked from the US and the EU and India. They can sell to themselves and some odds and ends locations.
    1
  1760. Should be an easy problem to solve since they telegraph themselves with their bro-iness.
    1
  1761. There is something screwy about the concept of GDP. If I sell (say) guns to organized crime, it boosts GDP but is kills prosperity in the country. The quality of GDP needs to be evulated more than the quantum. China taught us and is still teaching us this lesson.
    1
  1762. Whats missing is a very large context without forgetting. The context for most real world programs probably going to need something like 100M tokens of input. Since the cost of adding context is geometric it will slow things down a lot. You might need your own dedicated instance with an H100 for inference. Or it might need to run overnight - just like in the punch card days.
    1
  1763. The ANC never 'blew up civilian areas'. They had a policy of targeting infrastructure only.
    1
  1764. No. People can kick in your front door for stuff like that. So no.
    1
  1765. South Africa is a living political experiment in Critical Race Theory now coming to fruition. Since 1994 every single aspect of society was based on reserving place for the 'previously disadvantaged' and merit was kicked to the curb. Business, government, sport, media - you name it. Mediocrity and then inaptitude became celebrated. Now the economy is dying - politics is utterly corrupt - sports and culture is a joke and was once very respectable. In essence - the country is dying (for all races, ironically) but because there has been a generational brainwashing under this Critical Race Theory - the only solution proposed by those with power is to double down on this 'reverse racism' - to call for even harsher measures against whites - well at least those whites who are too old, uneducated or poor to have emigrated.
    1
  1766. Tesla has declared plans to 10x Optimus production each year. Elon said no guarantees but if it goes to plan it looks like this: 2025 - 10k 2026 - 100k 2027 - 1m 2028 - 10m 2029 - 100m 2030 - 1bn At which point every business and every 1st World family will have one.
    1
  1767. Natural AI voice. There are no mouth sounds, ums, breaths or other tells. Just perfect delivery sentence after sentence.
    1
  1768. Cars were curiosities before mass production. Cars displaced horses because Henry ford reduced their cost 10x. This made cars many times cheaper per mile than travel by horse. People never cared about the inconvenience so much as they cared about the cost.
    1
  1769. Except for death taxes. If you take 50% of every dead billionaires shareholding as a tax you WILL decrease asset inequality.
    1
  1770. $25000 was a price point meaningfully lower than the best selling cheap cars in the US, which is about 28k-30k. It would probably still need to be $25k.
    1
  1771. It is a fallacy that if consumer demand drops to zero the economy grinds to a halt. There is still business demand and government demand and exports.
    1
  1772. The common heuristic today that consumer demand = economy is first of all a US thing and 2nd of all just an illusion that results from the US consumers spending a lot of money on a lot of junk. The implications of an economy that only produces junk and only consumes junk is well documented in the film Idiocracy.
    1
  1773. An inconsistent argument. You cannot argue on the one hand that nothing matters after 'the nothingness of death' and on the other hand you should achieve things which outlast you such as monuments - as by your own logic nothing at all matters to you yourself after death.
    1
  1774. X usage is double. Censorship is one tenth. Snowflakes have left. What is the problem again?
    1
  1775. It will have 10% accuracy for agent tasks. OpenAI one will come out with 80% accuracy.
    1
  1776. I know that production is moving to India and elsewhere but if this process is only (say) 15% complete we also leave ourselves without 85% of the technology we need to work and live.
    1
  1777. Yup. Because of the music band. If they called themselves Dumbstein nobody would even know there was a base there.
    1
  1778. This was true when Lithium was 5x the price compared to now. Alas, no longer.
    1
  1779. And the reason is both sides now have a 'total war' mindset. Democracy only work well when the winning side acknowledges they did not get 100% of the vote and then gives the losing side some things they wanted - say they got 40% they bend on 40% of the issues. Getting 60% of the vote and using it as an excuse to tread on the other 40% always leads to perpetual civil war, as evidenced in other countries.
    1
  1780. Impossible to export to the US and EU due to tariffs. Only Brics left - but Russia, Brazil and South Africa are bankrupt. India is not a friend of China.
    1
  1781. I think the days of auto-manufacturers being jobs-for-votes programs are coming to an end. Tesla Cybercab factory will probably have no humans inside - a so called dark factory.
    1
  1782. Brics is a stupid club. India and China are at each others throats. Russia and China are trying hard to become a pariah states. South Africa has fallen behind Nigeria despite being gifted the best infrastructure, laws, press, economy etc in Africa.
    1
  1783. Short terms bulls already folded. Long term bulls are willing to wait 5 years for 20x.
    1
  1784. Insightful.
    1
  1785. 90% of trips are 1 person. I think 96% are two people. 3+ make up the remainder of trips. If you are a family you can call a model 3, Y, S, X, Cybertruck or Robovan - everything can fit it. You will be allow to put heavy stuff in a cybercab or scratch the inside of a Robovan kitted for goods transport.
    1
  1786. They are not playing a game. Demand is all over the place thanks to interest rates. Once it stabilizes so will prices.
    1
  1787. I rewatched this today and nine years ago. The words must ring true because I remember every single one of them.
    1
  1788. Elon's pay package is straw man argument - it was for growing the company to 10x its previous size - so he literally created 100 000+ jobs out of a small company. Ex-Tesla employees are instantly hired by competitors - so they don't sit at home and rot. Edit: grammar
    1
  1789. Just an idea - maybe Tesla software can prevent this - AI can easily see if the driver is drunk, tell it is Friday night, tell there are no seatbelts on, tell it is going 100mph in the inner city, tell it is going to hit the curb and so on. If people want to kill themselves let them buy a Ford instead.
    1
  1790. Reuters is considered a worldwide bastion of reporting integrity. Or I should say was. Viking is a surfer who reposts news in the afternoon. What sort of comparison are you trying to make here?
    1
  1791. Germany gave too but Germany had so little to give, at least compared to what Russia managed to dig up.
    1
  1792.  @maestrovso  Only way to pay for the repairs.
    1
  1793. That is why VW, GM, Toyota and Ford are not investing - they are making zero profits on ICE and -100% margin on their EVs. Take a look at their stock prices - they seem to be circling the drain.
    1
  1794. The work of historical loss ratios - a car with FSD should have 10x-100x less accidents, so yes. Maybe not today, but in time.
    1
  1795. If you have enough money to live out your life diversification is the single best thing. If you have very little, bet on one thing, research it like mad, and hold on tight.
    1
  1796. The same kind of thing affects all 'gatekeeper professions'. Politicians, credit rating agencies, auditors, religious leaders. They (almost) all let their actions be affected by the incentives. Strangely this is a rather human condition as 90%+ of people put incentives over principles in real situations. I think the solution is to use some kind psychological test process to only allow highly 'principle driven people' into gatekeeper positions. Additionally, to a have a gatekeeper police with real teeth and no revolving door. Regrettably, these kind of reforms are way beyond the grasp of our present societies. So the for now expect it to get worse over time.
    1
  1797. Canada is a backwater. In the US lawsuits decide who rules the World and generally, there is unlimited legal budget on both sides.
    1
  1798. People have high vanity when it comes to the look of cars.
    1
  1799. 90% of Elon's critics, if they were him, would take his money, donate most of it to the Democratic party and then go live on a beach somewhere.
    1
  1800. The AI owners will trade among themselves.
    1
  1801. Autonomous driving is doing really well. Tesla will do 9/10 commute runs with no safety issues. Waymo are far ahead of that.
    1
  1802. All 5 recalls were fixed the next day with a software update. Only an out-n-out liberal with an axe to grind would call that a recall.
    1
  1803. I doubt you have two kids.
    1
  1804. Cybertruck space for the battery is currently 50% empty but the drop in Lithium prices have made Sodium Ion an unlikely contender.
    1
  1805. Synthetic fuels by pathetic fools.
    1
  1806. The difference between good, bad and ugly is purely a political one. Of course, in the future, those who own robots may simply choose not to heed the voter, and rely instead on a robot army to exercise control.
    1
  1807. I think Tesla is going to charge $600 or more per month for Robotaxi FSD. This will include insurance while operating as a Robotaxi.
    1
  1808. That is not the test. Go to any other country and compare them to the leaders of the two main parties. You will see that they are not so bad as you think...;-)
    1
  1809. There is no secret anymore. About 100 years ago the German Mystic Rudolf Steiner revealed in full detail (about 300 books worth) the contents of the ancient mysteries in a form acceptable to the modern scientific man. It turns out very few people were actually interested in learning this because what he revealed took considerable effort to understand and didn't conform much to their pre-existing ideas.
    1
  1810. I think you missed the election that just happened.
    1
  1811. Nope. Tesla had lidar and radar. Lidar can be accurately simulated from camera images and rader creates phantom breaking because it is so low resolution.
    1
  1812. Absolutely. They won't compete. Jeff will have to eat humble pie and write a check to Tesla.
    1
  1813. Very similar. Possibly get hotter than a sand battery.
    1
  1814. It is a mostly irrelevant problem as the lack of good data is a 10x bigger problem. In my somewhat limited experience most neural nets train pretty quickly. Even groundbreaking algorithms like Alpha Zero trained in only 4 hours. Sure there are some big training requirements like GPT-3 but for those, creating and cleaning the data was a MUCH more expensive and time consuming exercise. Nvidia stills sells more cards for graphics than for compute revenue wise .
    1
  1815. My 2c - The most effective weapons in Ukraine has been 155mm artillery and Himars - and those are not cheap. Drones were effective early on but as Russia ramped up massive use of drone jamming they are less effective, especially once you are couple km into enemy territory.
    1
  1816. China is filled with wonderful people living under a poorly considered political system. Good people always triumph over bad systems - patience, often for many years, is required.
    1
  1817. The developers or the management who set the budget?
    1
  1818. Pricing also announced: Chatbots - $20pm. Reasoners - $200pm. Agents - $2000pm. Innovators - $2million pm. Organizations - $2bn pm.
    1
  1819. Recycling is not working anywhere. It is cheaper to make new plastic.
    1
  1820. You are assuming there are infinite layers, in which case don't bother, just inject something illegal each morning. The fact is that there are limited layers. This is what being a Buddha means, it means you have removed all layers of the Matrix.
    1
  1821. Dear Jordan. Some valid points here, no doubt, but I am not sure you have improved the tone at all. People who lead with heavy anger and unjustified distrust have a poor historical track-record - as you have noted with your early life studies on authoritarian regimes.
    1
  1822. Why on earth would they not keep the data? Tesla is #1 cheapest car to own - fuel, repairs, maintenance - all things considered. It is not even close.
    1
  1823. A perfect truck at the perfect price. Estimated loss per vehicle covered by a CCP subsidy - $100 000 USD. Runway to reduce costs massively - 1 year.
    1
  1824. Careful what you wish for. Without Elon innovative urgency dies. It will end up like VW or Nissan or Stellantis.
    1
  1825. If Chistopher Nolan spent 15 years on a movie he would be 410 years old now (26 *15 +20). He spent 1% of 10 years coming up with the ideas.
    1
  1826. 1984 was perpetual war. Trump wants peace? Or are you using double-speak?
    1
  1827. Engineering should always be evaluated at a price point. Chinese EVs seem at first glance to be amazing engineering at an amazing price point, until you understand how heavily subsidized they are by the CCP. I think real subsidies compared to Tesla are near 50% while Tesla is subsidized maybe 15%. In other words, Rawlinson is right.
    1
  1828. The technology is very far along. FSD only needs a human to intervene one in every 3 time it drives.
    1
  1829. It is blood on the streets right now for all car manufacturers. Everyone is drowning except Tesla who are barely treading water.
    1
  1830. That moustache style has been out of fashion since the 30's. Could be a next level thing...
    1
  1831. Human language is anthropomorphic. Saying "models have a predisposition to learn" captures exactly nobody's attention.
    1
  1832. Ostensibly Waymo drives just as well but it can't scale because to kit the car out is $200000. Also, it not clear how often Waymo staff remote drive their taxis.
    1
  1833. How is this even news?
    1
  1834. It is not sad - it is disgusting. Disgusting that black South Africans don't have the balls to kick these fckrs out.
    1
  1835. Yes. So you can play Grand Theft Auto on the screen.
    1
  1836. If Trump knew that most of his supporters were once Obama supporters...
    1
  1837. Louis. You may have lost the battle, but long, long after you die bitter and disillusioned you will win the war. History is full of such stories. Take solace or no solace in that depending on who your God is.
    1
  1838. Bah. In the 80's engineers ruled Porche but their price was 3x the competition and quality was bad. Managers are needed as well.
    1
  1839. Finally, an economist with a sense of the bigger picture.
    1
  1840. Within a year construction navigation will no longer be an issue.
    1
  1841. Doubtful. Data has x amount of signal in it. The arch can either extract x or not. In the case of TF models they took the internet data from 0 to X. To get to 2x you will need another dataset on par with the internet.
    1
  1842. Actually, the transition from horse to car took a long time 1887 to around 1960 - or about 85 years. Cars exceeded horse worldwide around 1960. It was earlier in America and England of course.
    1
  1843. AI adoption = great GDP but low jobs
    1
  1844. You probably never watched the video. Is it blocked in China?
    1
  1845. Fix the real economy. Tariffs, deregulation, smaller government, automation, innovation. Same as always.
    1
  1846. Tesla will not flourish thank to MAGA. Simply that the endless regulation and warfare are now out of reach of the Dems.
    1
  1847.  @jordanslingluff287  Um...you sure?
    1
  1848. Great. Lets first strike Russia and China then. Catch them with their pants down.
    1
  1849. Self driving is roughly 10x safer than a human over its total lifespan - latest version is probably heading to 100x - often dodges tricky situations 99% of humans don't even see. The problem is it can create embarrassing situations sometimes but the latest version got rid of most of those - prompting Musk to see the way to the finish line.
    1
  1850. "It was brutal, immoral, and unjust wars." Every war is so. At some time or another every single country and people have been subjected to brutalities or committed brutalities. The difference is that the Western countries respect the freedom of their own people while communist and Muslim countries not so much. There are exceptions but the general rule holds true.
    1
  1851. The lowest recorded temperature in Minnesota is -60°F (-51.1°C). This record was set on February 2, 1996, in the city of Tower, located in northern Minnesota near the shores of Lake Vermilion.
    1
  1852. I grew up in a family full of this type of thing. Then 15 years ago I married someone who has zero issues and my life became 100x better. Cut the destructive people out, understand that the damage can be repaired, and move on to something better.
    1
  1853. Fear is preventing a first strike by America or Russia - so no.
    1
  1854. I think Farzad's demand number of 1 million taxis is a poor one. Adoption will 10x because it is half the price of an Uber with the convenience and privacy of an own vehicle. People will sell their vehicles and use Robo Taxis.
    1
  1855. Comparing fees between actively managed vs index is disingenuous.
    1
  1856. No, because you are superhumanly intelligent. Nor am I.
    1
  1857. You would be dead wrong - they cancelled roadster, S, X, 3, Y and Cybertruck. Bunch of fools.
    1
  1858. Pretty much. However, it should be recognized that Europe and the US have some problems as well.
    1
  1859.  @apextroll  Elon is IQ 180 so if you don't understand his stupidity you must be IQ 240 cough
    1
  1860. "… Don't stop thinking about tomorrow Don't stop, it'll soon be here It'll be better than before Yesterday's gone, yesterday's gone"
    1
  1861. Tesla is the only AI stock with a clear path to monetization. FSD took 10 years and data from 5 million cars to get to current levels so it has a moat.
    1
  1862. Uncertain can be bad. Think of the years before WW2 - those were uncertain times.
    1
  1863. Wall street only go nuts when there is revenue growth. That will be a year or two later.
    1
  1864. Australians are upside down.
    1
  1865. With Tesla is does. They don't squat. They patent what they build so trolls can't come after them.
    1
  1866. Until Nvidia crashes to 10x earnings we are so not in any trough. We are just between major versions.
    1
  1867. In a perfect World you would be right. In the real World, Chinese government owns and heavily subsidizes its car manufacturers. This is a type of economic warfare where you plan to recoup you losses many times over once you are the only game in town.
    1
  1868. Horse drawn? @danharold3087 
    1
  1869. Disagree. Most tech billionaires live in a cheap house and don't have a garage full of Ferraris or a yacht. Some do. Prefer it to nation states having a monopoly on it, see WW1, WW2, Cold War, as well as all the other wars. What were we looking for in Iraq again?
    1
  1870. It lies like a congressman.
    1
  1871. "Intelligence too cheap to meter" comes from "Electricity too cheap to meter" coined when nuclear energy was taking off. We all now know how that original prediction ended up. I think the opposite is going to happen - Open AI will allow others to build highly capable agent swarms on top of its technology and the cost of these will be thousands, or even millions per month.
    1
  1872. They never invested in battery r&d. They never invested in automation. So now Tesla and China produce a car twice as good for half the price. It is like Apple and Blackberry.
    1
  1873. China may want to prove itself but it knows it cannot get into a shooting war with the US. The reason is that China is heavily dependant on imports, food in particular, and the US has cut them off in the South China Sea - no Chinese ships would get through.
    1
  1874. Naïve. After your bot army is wiped out you will be wiped out - probably through an engineered civil war.
    1
  1875. What are you talking about? FSD is currently being used in every state of the US.
    1
  1876. How is subcontracting thinking outside the box? Health costs are the main problem and they are already 'subcontracted' to private corporations.
    1
  1877. Narcissists, sociopaths and similar types actively try to find your boundaries and then cross them everytime they want something unreasonable from you - normally once a week. You need to find a way out if you are involved with these monsters.
    1
  1878. I wrote this after watching the first minute. Dr K literally talks about this the rest of the video. Lol.
    1
  1879. Today, very few people are old enough to get this
    1
  1880. You might not have to worry about the UAW but I can imagine a scene similar to Jan 6 outside the Gigafactory.
    1
  1881. How would you even begin to know that, unless you work at Tesla and your name is Elon Musk?
    1
  1882. They still mislead their readers by implying Tesla was circling the drain. The leaks were from low level employees who had no context.
    1
  1883. OpenAI only plans to develop and own the base AI model. Like Apple owns the platform or Nvidia owns the software stack.
    1
  1884. "That is not going to work. The SEC is just going to sue you into oblivion." I think Dave was walking in the woods during the election. This type of 'protect people from themselves' regulation is on the decline.
    1
  1885. Surprisingly it does. Drones fly slower than an assault rifle bullet so if you can spot one and fire off a few rounds you might save a life.
    1
  1886. What would be a good PE to buy Amazon, Tesla or NVDA at? 1000? 10000? More? There is no theoretical limit for PEs for growing companies. If you buy Ford or Walmart pay close attention to the PE.
    1
  1887. The ever increasing prices were a way to discover the volume * profit sweet spot - $8000 seems to be it.
    1
  1888. The problem with Villeneuve movies is that despite their artistic excellence if you have seen one you have seen them all. Blade Runner 2 was a bit too slow, too confusing and way too hard to identify with the main character. Just like all Villeneuve's other movies.
    1
  1889.  @davidfrankel9267  I don't think Elon will miss that trick. It will fit with the smallest of tolerences.
    1
  1890. Ahead for now. Cybertruck is going to ramp and ramp and ramp and ramp - until they are more common than F150s of any engine type. Cheaper Cybertruck versions will arrive in a couple months.
    1
  1891. Heavy industry switched to robotics in the 80's. Amazon's robots are the 1980's dumb version - not the 2030 smart version. Very different.
    1
  1892. Viking pecs. True to the name 🙂
    1
  1893. Facebook has gone up in price because they realize that its going to die. Once people realize they can just ask their LLM - say ChatGPT - "Tell me what my friends have been up to" using an app on your phone will seem antiquated. Since they realized this they have started pushing up the amount of ads while reducing ROI for advertisers. Google too with search. Every wave coming into shore is tallest just before it breaks. The wave will take a couple of years if not a decade to break because habits, cash, buybacks, brand and so on. Nokia did not die the day the iPhone was revealed.
    1
  1894. They will soon outlaw deathtraps like that.
    1
  1895. Because they are worried a Republics wins the election and pulls the rug under their feet, cutting off support.
    1
  1896. The World has moved on since 1938. Teslas cars are neither inexpensive nor simple - yet they sell, and sell at a profit.
    1
  1897. You can only jump the shark so many times before the shark escapes into the stockholder pen and starts a feeding frenzy.
    1
  1898. I think for small home projects Docker (or even full virtual machines) is a great technology - whether for Data Science or Software Engineering.
    1
  1899. " No one lsitened to me though because im poor" How would they know you are poor?
    1
  1900. US varsities like 90% Mac. New Windows machines are ARM. Intel is heading for zero - or will become a branch of the US military as local fabs are needed by them.
    1
  1901. They have no option because global car sales are down 50% thanks to inflation/interest rates. They have $30bn cash and they will burn $20bn on Robotaxi - half on design and half on production ramp - this has the most potential for returns and so is the 200 IQ move.
    1
  1902. Everything I heard here makes me believe that pushing Robotaxi in front of model 2 is a genius move. Worldwide, it took from 1885 to roughly 1960 for cars to pass horses as the main mode of transport. That is 75 years. I think Ev's will knock ICE out in 20 years but 5 years is out of the question. Early majority have not yet taken to Evs, to say nothing of the late majority or laggards.
    1
  1903. It was caused by a massive blunder. Germany made two decisions 1) We can get all our energy from Russia 2) We can get rich selling cars to China. But Russia was a bar brawler and China was a technology thief. Now they are paying to fight Russia and their cars are 90% Chinese parts. FAFO.
    1
  1904. Anonymous is fine for the better 98% of humanity. The last 2% use it to have individuals blackmailed, killed, trafficked, bankrupted or alternatively whole societies ruined. If you think it is fine you have not spent enough time watching these types.
    1
  1905. You can but those 'personnel' can suddenly be 'activated' when the need arises.
    1
  1906. Tesla Roadster : 0-100 in 1 second.
    1
  1907. They cannot legally agree to this because shareholders will sue and likely win. Welcome to capitalism.
    1
  1908. It would read better as "Any empire long divided must unite. Any empire long united must divide."
    1
  1909. 130 000 staff. Currently hiring maybe 7000 of the 14 000 laid off.
    1
  1910. Nope. Tariffs prevent that. China factories sell to China. US factories sell to the US.
    1
  1911. Every time Elon says something that is so obviously wrong it is because everyone else is looking one step ahead and he is looking 10 steps ahead. Eventually, all the detractors must eat humble pie.
    1
  1912. Without NHS the employers must directly pay health costs of employees - like in the US. The price immediately doubles. Unions and the bloat can go.
    1
  1913. It can't swim.
    1
  1914. Most ex-British countries don't use that word, we say stock.
    1
  1915. Their range is low. So you will deploy into an area - say a 10km x 10km geofence. Within that zone there will be false positive and false negatives. It will be messy when they take out your kid sister because she was holding a long pole like object.
    1
  1916. So you are moving to China then? They are not coming to the US or EU.
    1
  1917. But how often? 10%? 50%? Delays are often just heavy winds or a disruptive passenger. Only if its a Boeing and the panels are falling off might they need to cancel.
    1
  1918. Waat? Billionaires don't pay much tax. Government spending comes mostly from taxes on the middle class.
    1
  1919. If we manage the AI transition like we managed Covid everything will be fine /s
    1
  1920. User is a f__k_ng m_r_n. Like that?
    1
  1921. They should be conscientious people. Helping that ambitious blowhard ahole get ahead is just asking to get 'scorpioned' - referring to the Russian folk tale of the frog and scorpion.
    1
  1922. He probably would have had a Youtube channel. It probably would have been demon(eti)ized.
    1
  1923.  @kamsunleong6648  BYD has 60 000 engineers. How many engineers are working on BEVs in Germany?
    1
  1924. Ukraine will buy them all. They remote-control them into enemy positions leaving everything 'flatter'.
    1
  1925. A PUPROSE!!!???
    1
  1926. Tesla will roll out Robotaxi towards the end of next year. That will be real AI doing real work.
    1
  1927. When using python for data science or any tabular data the Numpy/Pandas libraries are roughly the same speed as C++ so its performance depends on what you do with it.
    1
  1928. Don't troll the comments please
    1
  1929. I tried to use Gemini to test out a 24000 token document. It starts but then throws an error and returns nothing. Way to go, Googlebrains.
    1
  1930. I don't think you understand how it works. FSD can go on any type of road that it has data for, and with millions of Teslas on the road it has a lot of data.
    1
  1931. China have already built some of the most massive supercomputers. Before the bans. Maybe these are suitable.
    1
  1932. China also said Tesla could take 'training relevant data' back to the US. The just don't want video of their military bases or CCP offices leaving the shore.
    1
  1933. These can all make a difference 1. Open source AI over closed source 2. Middle and working class realizing they are on the same side here and stopping fighting over crumbs. 3. Largest problems will be between nations - those without AI will be like the Aztecs. Time to allow free movement of people between nations. 4. Realizing UBI is a trap - the ruling class will set it so they are very rich and those on UBI are poor. 5. Changes to free trade rules - if you want to sell robots in my back yard then a quid pro quo must be established for the greater good. 6. 90% death tax for those dying with more than $1 billion. 7. Avoidance of AI driving a new arms race.
    1
  1934. Gold goes up when its inflation. Inflation looking less and less likely. Deflationary recession incoming.
    1
  1935. Russia has it all. You are going to have to ask nicely if you want them to give it back.
    1
  1936. I have never understood 'hold' ratings for the same reason.
    1
  1937. The working class stagnated because the merchant and political classes moved production to China. China stole all the secrets, subsidized all their products and is about to teach a lesson to Europe about short-termism.
    1
  1938. foreach r in strawberry print r Now they also need to do lollapalooza
    1
  1939. The are losing because they have insufficient suitable weapons provided to them. The US gave them 4 predator drones. Four. To fight the 2nd largest army on the planet. Four. They need around 400.
    1
  1940. Roger Smoke.
    1
  1941.  @johannbraunstein1190  There is no good evidence that Mandela was a Marxist.
    1
  1942. Incentives work great in the lab, in reality it degenerates into a massive fight over pork between left and right.
    1
  1943. This
    1
  1944. Yo ChatGPT!
    1
  1945. Worst idea ever, because someone else will decide what pocket money you get, and it won't be much. Better is that all technology shares (Worldwide) go into a trust and every person who breathes is an equal beneficiary.
    1
  1946. Jake Heller - already had a legal tech business for helping with case research, complete with clients and profits - GPT4 just slotted in nicely.
    1
  1947. Sounds like you are saying raising your kid with an iPad is fine so long as they are a good kid. You may want to clarify your position.
    1
  1948. The ANC reserves jobs for blacks. It is the same thing.
    1
  1949. How much it can 'ingest' is currently quite limited. When Bill Gates wrote DOS v1 it could run on 16kb. I think you know how this is going end.
    1
  1950. No. Xiaomi is like a drug dealer giving kids free drugs. Once a market is established and competition eliminated what will happen to prices? Through the roof.
    1
  1951. The chip is in the headset you won't need a PC. The chip is also faster than most Pcs.
    1
  1952. Well the button is there, it is counter that is missing...
    1
  1953. Yes. That is why Elon open sourced Grok. That is why Elon removed broad censorship from Twitter.
    1
  1954. So you are saying winners should punch down? In sport, politics and family matters alike?
    1
  1955. When he asked him if he is agreeable he said yes. I suspect it is you who is disagreeable.
    1
  1956. In my neck of the woods getting an Uber in a Model Y costs 4x the cost of getting a ride in a Toyota Yaris or some tiny car. This should be a factor.
    1
  1957. Cumulative since the start of the year is what you should take from this. So cash reserves with drop from 30 to 20.
    1
  1958. There are lots of them and they will be spread across a (likely) Gaussian distribution. Some research shows that as a rule of thumb 10% of people always cheat, steal and lie and 10% are honest no matter the consequences while the middle 80% follow the apparent incentives lying before them. These percentage change will the all kinds of factors but it gives a good feel. In other words, 80% are probably trying to get the answers that benefit their careers. That said - we are clearly fucking up this planet and CO2 is just one thing to worry about. The Republican idea that climate change is not real is a political motivated maneuver as their voters tend to work in dirtier industries - not that Democrats are any better - just different.
    1
  1959. Maybe in your limited reality.
    1
  1960. You would have been right 10 years ago. China's car industry is now the new Germany and the new Japan.
    1
  1961. Reminds me of Dr Strangleglove
    1
  1962. I had a period of 10 years when money was easy. Then came 10 years of nothing. I had also occasionally splurged on some fancy cars and some over priced equipment - but I mostly saved. Today, I regret every splurge and honor every cent saved. You cannot see what the future will bring.
    1
  1963. But why have only one interface? Also: Being using Excel for 20 years and I STILL CANNOT access the page setup from the print preview. I suspect they really just don't care.
    1
  1964. Q* was not good at math. It reached grade school level.
    1
  1965. When cars replaced horses the horses didn't go away. They are now just pets for wealthy people.
    1
  1966. Yup. My instant reaction.
    1
  1967. Open source. The man is a saint. Literally, a saint.
    1
  1968. You know what all women want better than he does as a scholar? I am somewhat skeptical.
    1
  1969. They really need to start giving meaningful penalties - I suggest they start with a wedgie for both Larry and Sergey.
    1
  1970. Imagine using it for touring around the countryside. It drives while you sleep and you wake up in a new holiday location each morning.
    1
  1971. Can I purchase your rock?
    1
  1972. I use Android because it is 10% of the cost. But it sucks compared to the apple ecosystem.
    1
  1973. Most inference runs on a CPU with little overhead. Even likely the biggest Neural net in the World - Tesla autopilot - is running inference on relatively modest hardware. This is because inference is multiplication of a single set of weights with the inputs. Even 98%+ of neural net training is possible on modest hardware - a single GPU - and software optimizations can lead to 1000x efficiency gains (see DAWN benchmark). The bottleneck for Neural Nets is mostly good quality data, the cost of hiring 20 data scientists/engineers and the need for a high value application well suited to AI.
    1
  1974. Please excuse my random capitalisation - dunno what went wrong 🙂
    1
  1975. Facelift, in other words.
    1
  1976. It knows who you are for everyone "Dave Farley is a software developer and author who is known for his work in the field of continuous delivery and DevOps. He is the co-author of the book "Continuous Delivery: Reliable Software Releases through Build, Test, and Deployment Automation."
    1
  1977. Other than you need a big computer for inference. Already the hardware inside a Tesla is massive by computer standards, and can't get much bigger without a die shrink or shift to ASICs.  @FutureAzA 
    1
  1978. The clue is in the name: Samson pulled the pillars of the temple down and killed everyone. Altman = alternative to man i.e. machine overlords.
    1
  1979. FAAK - Facebook, Amazon, Apple and Kodak - 10 years from now these will be the celebrity list of failed corporations.
    1
  1980. Thanks so much. I am new to programming but an old hat in other industries and most of these point apply there too, in modified form of course.
    1
  1981. Quickbooks has an 'API' in the backend. He just does not know about it.
    1
  1982. Tesla passed 7 million delivered this year (since inception). To get 8 million per annum even the compact car won't get you there but Cybercab sure will - probably by 2030.
    1
  1983. No. GPU boxes are for training or heavily parallel inference and this is neither of those things.
    1
  1984. EVs don't need a service. If you send it in the wash it and replace (the still unused) brake pads.
    1
  1985. How will you 'force government'? DT and Elon Musk are trying to force government and is monstrously difficult.
    1
  1986. If your bug is in a web environment - clear cache - on your dev machine, on your server machine, on your test machines - maybe even phone some of your friends and ask them to clear their cache too.
    1
  1987. Time to switch.
    1
  1988. No mention of the Chinas nuclear weapons?
    1
  1989. I invested time into Heroku. Time is money. Let us never do business again, Mr. SalesForce.
    1
  1990. As an AI practitioner and programmer I have no idea what you are saying. That NN are bad because they are not explainable? This was a criticism in like 2016 - the stone age of NN - we have come a long way since then.
    1
  1991. Some narcissists agree to therapy because they believe they can charm or dominate the therapist. When it is clear they can't they quit.
    1
  1992. Did you know there where 750 of them?
    1
  1993. The video says it accelerates capital flight. You might have missed that.
    1
  1994. 10 am to 2am is low usage time. Perfect time to charge the vehicle using effectively free solar. This may take some work to get in place but once it is there it will work great.
    1
  1995. They can theoretically, but practically nobody outside of China is trying as they don't have the engineering for capital. China is burning all their spare cash to try and catch up, only to get tariffed out of the 3 largest markets - US, Europe and India.
    1
  1996. Mercedes gambled everything on being able to sell overpriced cars to China. It worked for a couple years but China kept improving its own vehicles and now the Chinese don't want a Mercedes anymore. Xiaomi SU7 is selling like hotcakes (hint - its a Porchse 911 for $20k).
    1
  1997. McLovin.
    1
  1998. Every country has socialist policies. In America, if you call out the police, you don't have to pay them.
    1
  1999. No. Others are likely working on the same thing. 3 months and Claude, Gemini and Grok will do the same.
    1
  2000. Well, you might give a dam. Most dams cost millions or billions. Damns, on the other hand, are free.
    1
  2001. Radiation patients cannot touch children and must wash their clothes separately from other peoples.
    1
  2002. ID Buzz is so pretty. When my Tesla shares go up I might buy one.
    1
  2003. Without somebody injecting a billion+ it is not going anywhere.
    1
  2004. Yup. And where is Babylon today?
    1
  2005. Kamala gonna need one soon.
    1
  2006. One day it will be revealed Nick wrote the letter using ChatGPT.
    1
  2007. 25% of Uber miles are typically surge pricing miles.
    1
  2008. There are videos on your channel that would be personally useful to me - especially the Crawl, Walk, Run, Fly stuff. Please consider deleting certain videos you want off your conscience and leaving others that are useful.
    1
  2009. Powerful tools should be locked away from small children.
    1
  2010. My UBlockOrinin has now blocked 13.9M ads since install two years ago.
    1
  2011. The left ignore the time periods inconvenient to their agenda. The right ignore the rapid rate of change. Anyone else get the that sinking feeling?
    1
  2012. The US depends on revenue from outside the US. Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Tesla, NVDA - 50% of revenues are from outside the US.
    1
  2013. Nicely put.
    1
  2014. Absolutely. But is creates an investment opportunity because half the public think he is crazy and can't run a company meanwhile he is engineering his way to 10x Tesla.
    1
  2015. You just generated some extra text data with your post. It is not the best quality but every little bit helps.
    1
  2016. Nice to hear the opinion of someone who did their homework. Thank you.
    1
  2017. Nothing to do with electric. Everything to do with Golden State communism.
    1
  2018. It is not clear from that video that she is upset about not being paid. She could simply mention that as a rhetorical question - saying "as if the money is more important than mothers knowing if their son is dead".
    1
  2019.  @WestOfEarth  "So much of stock market growth is based on thin air. " Then sell me some stocks with the thin air component removed from the price.
    1
  2020. I think over time you will get riders with their own insurance, if they have this they will ride cheaper. As an owner you can choose to only pickup insured riders.
    1
  2021. Capitalism is doing great. Central planning died a horrible death. The problem is runaway inequality. Rather than confiscate the wealth which causes anarchy followed by harsh regimes, it is better to tax the wealth. I would start with a death tax of 90% on anyone with over $10 million net worth.
    1
  2022. Courts normally jail people for intent or unrestrained recklessness. Mere carelessness is normally a rap on the knuckles. This does not apply to directors though, as they have an active duty of care and skill - so even mere carelessness can hurt them. There is also a massive different depending on what is at stake. Did you cover up bugs in a website or a nuclear reactor? Where those bugs incidental or critical? The judge or jury must decide things on many factors.
    1
  2023. Unlikely. Nvidia tends to 5x performance per new AI chip.
    1
  2024. They both start with A. So does ass-hole interestingly...
    1
  2025. There is a rebuttable presumption that AI can never be smarter than its training data. Since it needs massive data and most data is generated at IQ100 it is very hard to increase it intelligence beyond a certain point, doubly so for physical world scenarios.
    1
  2026. @eugenefirebird8938 2.3 seconds from ChatGPT Title: "Beyond the Yesterday Sky" (Verse 1) In the meadow where the sunbeams play, Where the clouds dance in the sky so grey, There's a whisper from the wind so shy, Singing softly, "Beyond the Yesterday Sky." (Chorus) Oh, beyond the yesterday sky, Dreams are sailing, oh, so high. In the land where our hopes don't die, We'll be flying, beyond the yesterday sky. (Verse 2) Through the streets of memories we roam, Past the shadows where our thoughts have flown. With a melody that never lies, We're still searching for the why's. (Chorus) Oh, beyond the yesterday sky, Love is waiting, don't you cry. In a song that never says goodbye, We're still trying, beyond the yesterday sky. (Bridge) In the hush of a starlit night, Underneath the moon's gentle light, There's a feeling, oh, so right, As we wander, lost in time's flight. (Verse 3) Through the echoes of the days gone by, In the glimmer of the morning's eye, There's a promise in the air so sly, Whispering, "Beyond the Yesterday Sky." (Chorus) Oh, beyond the yesterday sky, Where our spirits dare to fly. In the heart where the truth won't lie, Keep on seeking, beyond the yesterday sky. (Outro) As we wander where the eagles soar, With our dreams, who could ask for more? In the beat of the love we ply, We'll keep singing, beyond the yesterday sky.
    1
  2027. Lol. That was actually more LGT/BLT than anything else.
    1
  2028. The Wolf of Vine Street (see Monopoly Board)
    1
  2029. It should be, but is not.
    1
  2030. He created electric cars - by the time he dies he will have saved over a million lives, especially in places that suffer from smog like big cities in China. What have you done again?
    1
  2031. China gets pretty hot in parts, and they are selling there.
    1
  2032. Game of Bone(er)s.
    1
  2033. They will fork it again in 2035 so that you can use a 70's editor in The Metaverse without triggering discarnation.
    1