Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "NFKRZ"
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IUn a Russia uses a nuke in Ukraine scenario I can see the Ruble after total sanctions go from 70 to 700 Rubles to 1 USD. Also I predict Putin will mobilize the Russian population to fight in Ukraine. This will be seen to be more preferrable to using weapons of mass destruction. The Russian public will go along with this. however the newly mobilized conscript reserves will be even worse trained, worse motivated and probably even less well armed than the initial frontline troops the Russians threw into Ukraine. and the Ukrainians are increasingly getting well armed, better trained, still high morale. in fact, arguably very high morale due to atrocities done by the Russian army. getting put into social media. Ukraine still has not mobilized all of its population. I predict the Russians will do a short training session probably 1-2 weeks at most for the new conscripts then throw them into the Ukrainian hell. They will get slaughtered. I think war will end when Putin dies, and there is a change in gov. to a more moderate one. or Russia goes down into revolution civil war. After the war , I see political and economic chaos for Russia, a Russian civil war , the Chechens declaring independence and declaring a Emirates of the Caucasus. maybe invading Daghestan, Chinese will take advantage of this and support certain factions in the Russian gov. and former Russian repbulics in the Far East with the aim to influence control Russian Siberia, Russian Far East and Central Asia and possibly the Caucasus. China will try to control the Russian economy and gov. probably support the Russian nationalists anti USA west factions in the civil war, USA and EU and NATO supports the pro decmocracy forces in the Russian civil war. Belarus overthrows Lukashenko and becomes democratic. Ukraine regains all of its lost territory including the Crimea. Moldova and Georgia regain their seperatist ex. Russian protectorates. Not surprised a joint Moldovan and Ukrainian invasion of Tranistria during the civil war. The Russian civil war will be extremely bloody.
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What words come to me when i hear Russia as a Canadian Filipino Chinese is as follows : Communist, dictator, Putin, Stalin, tanks, Blini, Borsch. , Caviar, Kalashnikov, RPG-7, Eastern Front, cold, snow., cossacks,
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Well if yoiu say comfortable under Brezhnev, that means no breadlines of the 80s. otherwise when compared to the west, Soviet and allied lifestyles are several steps down, similiar to a few steps up the poorset of the 3rd world but western aligned countries. Im from Canada and I remember going to the USSR in the early 80s, and remembered it like the tourist areas were clean , good but the the infrastructure looked old and run down, lots of KGB agents in our hotel the Cosmos, the only 5 star hotel in Moscow in the 80s local citizens had shabby clothes, only cars you see are Russian cars, and a few mercedes benzes driven by Communist officials. and everyone is trying to make a buck out of you since you are a tourist they think all tourist from western countris are millionaires, I remember I was eating in the main resto in th Cosmos hotel, when a waiter approached me and was selling stuff, I bought like several bottles of beluga cavair for like 5 USD each. ( or 3 rubles in 1982). The waiter was a funny guy, he told me he only accepts USD, UK Pound, Deutchmarks, Franc but NO Japanese Yen and Italian Lira hahahaha. He told me those were mickey mouse money and he cant change them. He told me while the Ruble was officially strong , it was also mickey mouse money hahahaah. he offered to change 1 USD to 1 Ruble when the official exchange rate was 1 Ruble = 1.25 USD . He was curious about Canadian dollars though but did not accept it since it was unknown money . We exchanged in his view useless mickey mouse money I bought a bunch of Warsaw pact , North Korean won, from him. and I gave him a bunch of Philippine pesos, Canadian dollars, Hong Kong dollars , Taiwan dollars. in exchange haha. He actually said the so called not accepted western currencies were a lot more valuable than the Ruble and warsaw pact currency haha.
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