Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Ukraine and Russia are still far from real negotiations" video.

  1. Typical Russian negotiation tactics. By the time this war ends, Russia will be totally messed up. Again depends on who win the 2024 USA elections. If Kamala wins, war ends in 2025 or in 2026 with the Russian elites deposing Putin cut their losses preserve the economy and teh Russian state, a Russian total withdrawal from Ukraine including Crimea in exchange , all sanctions lifted, all Russian assets are unfrozen in western banks, normalized relations with the west, formal peace treaty with Ukraine recognizing borders, no war crimes trials for Russian leaders. If Trump wins, war ends in 2025 or in 2026 with the Russians keeping whatever they conquered from Ukraine. This is spun as a victory by Putin. There is an armistice but no peace treaty , sanctions vs. Russia are still in place. relations with the west still filled with tensions, and Russian assets in western banks still left frozen. Ukraine gets hundreds of billions of USD in aid from the USA and the west with Trump and his friends companies benefiting. Both sides build up their militaries again and ready up for a next war. Either way, Ukraine joins NATO several years after the war ends, faster if Kamala Harris wins. Ukraine gets hundreds of billions of USD in reconstruction aid from the west. Ukrainian economy booms during reconstruction. Russian economy goes to depression mode , hyperinflation , high unemployment, political and social chaos as the Moscow regime tries to assert control along with hundreds of thousands of Russian veterans coming back from the war causes social chaos in Russia. Putin if still in power clamps down hard on crime and civil disorder. If Putin was overthrown, Russia goes thru a period of social political and economic disorder simliar to teh 90s However Russia economically is kept stable with western support for the new Moscow gov. If PUtin still in power Putin with military force manages to restore order to Russia but after Putin dies, bloody civil war erupts in Russia. between various armed groups. I posit that it would be better if Russia lost the war, since it wont be burdened by economic sanctions and will western economic support so a soft landing. If Russia won the war, Putin would try to restore order with military force and might work in the short run but after he dies Russia goes through a bloody civil war not seen since 1917 to 1922.
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