Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Stephen Kotkin: Putin, Stalin, Hitler, Zelenskyy, and War in Ukraine | Lex Fridman Podcast #289" video.
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My view, Russia uses nukes in Ukraine, west responds: 1. Total economic embargo on Russia, Russia is now considered a terrorist state and anyone else who trades with it gets the same sanctions. 2. NATO mobilizes , NATO troops enter Ukraine. and demand to the Russians any more nuke use, or attacks on NATO troops personel, in Ukraine or elsewhere will result in war with NATO. Also US 6th fleet with NATO ships largest of which are the UK and French elements enter the black sea, and establish a safety cordon to Odessa, Near WW3 confrontation between NATO and Russia. However Ukraine offensives stop, there is a ceasefire and peace talks. Russians stop bombing and missling Ukraine itself and NATO troops stay well away from the Russian troops and protect the major cities but there is still fighting between Ukrainian and Russian troops in the front line. USA EU pressure Ukraine to stop offensives vs. the Russians, Russians however do major offensives vs. the Ukrainians which fail badly. war truelly ends when Putin dies. Power struggle in the Kremlin just like the ned of hte Korean war peace talks but the fighitng itself ends. and in the end , Russians totally withdrew back to the 91 borders Crime is abandoned by Russian troops , in exchange for total lifting of all sanctions vs. Russia, normalizaiton of relations betwen Russia and the west. as well as well as a massive economic aid package, also the sweeten the pot the Russians allow extradition of war criminals to stand trial in the Hague. for war crimes. several hundred billion USD reconstruction of Ukraine. Russia while saved from economic collapse by the USA and EU along with a democratic reformist gov pro west is suffering from political and economic chaos with Chinese and Turkish supported secessionist groups rising in east of the Urals and in the Caucasus. downwards slide for a decade or near civil war. after that Russia stabilizes however loses 50 percent of its territory to secession but comes out economically stable democratic robust. with a pro west reformist stable demoratic gov. the new former Russian independent republics are Turkish or Chinese puppets with authoritarian govs. effects on the world, markets massively crash , Nasdaq 100 crashes to 6K pts before being rescued by a massive QE by the US FED. BTC bitcoin crashes to 9K USD. then inflation rises to 20-30 percent and the US FED does a drastic rasising of the interest rates to 20-30 percent and a QT which crashes the markets more after a massive rally due to the death of Putin and peace in Ukraine.
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