Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Could Russia Double Its Troops in Ukraine?" video.

  1. also the war has to viewed on economics Russian economy is heavily dependent on sales of oil and natural gas, oil prices need to be 30 USD at least for the Russians to pay for thier operating costs th pump the oil out of the ground alone. Now the current oil price is 75 USD for Russian crude oil. The Russians are selling their oil at 20 to 30 percent discount, EU put a oil cap on them at 60 USD. so China and India and others are buying the oil at around 56 USD. Now with the coming worldwide economic recession depression forecast to occur in 2023 to 2024. In every recession oil prices crashed very much. So what happens if worldwide oil prices crash to 30 USD by 2024. EU imposes a oil price cap of 30 USD. and China and India and other buy Russian oil for say around 22 USD. this will be disaster for the Russian economy. I can see a near collapse of the Russian economy by 2025. resulting in high rates of unrest and possible armed insurrection in Russia. coupled with costs of the war in Ukraine. along with sanctions. Im not surprised if Putin starts getting desperate by 2025 or even 2024 if a Pro Ukraine USA pres. is in the white house, and starts using WMDs on the battlefield. I think by that time the Russian military is very much dillapidated with a fractured unstable political siutation in Russian with Putin faciing economic collapse and widescale unrest and resistance to new calls foir mobilization. Putin will do anything to remain in power. 2024 will be an important year to the Ukr war a turning point.
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  2. @Alex Tim that is why Russkie propogandists making strange propoganda Russians getting desperate hahahaah
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  3. yep then again these troops will get chopped up in the meatgrinder that is Ukraine. a meatgrinder of such brutality not seen since WW2. Russia will probalby have to keep on mobilizing more troops.
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  4. Well from what I read, Putin is not looking to "win" the war as originally planned by replacing Zelensky with a Russian puppet. Now Putin wants regime survival , peace with honor with teh minimum of retaining the whole of Donbass and Crimea. at the very minimum. SO the plan now is to fortify his current holdings. freeze this war so it becomes a WW1 style of attrition. and to inflict so much damage to the Ukranians that they cry uncle or someone friendly to Putin like Trump becomes US pres. in 2025. The Ukrainians know this and will not play Putin's playbook. THe Ukrs will fight this war smart. Notice the Russians are building massive lines of trenches and fortifications stretching from Dinipro to Luhansk borders. and they are doing offensives to kcik the Ukrs out of the whole of the Donbass. The Ukrs are doing defensive actions causing as much damage to the Russians while limiting damage to themselves, the Ukrs will trade territory for massive Russian casualties. make the Russian pay heavilly for every meter. The idiots int he Kremlin who have been micromanaging this war from Day 1 have switched over to WW1 style infantry trench warfare. using WW1 style infantry attacks supported by heavy ari and artillery with Russian mech units acting as reserve emergency rapid reaction gap plugging units. Very similiar strategy the Iraqis used during the attirional phase of the Iran Iraq war of the 1980s. The Ukrs are still sticking to their Brigade level flexible maneuver warfare. the edge of the Ukrs is their flexible more decentralized command and control , Russians still have a rigid inflexible command and control. excellent leadership high morale and Ukrs artillery while outgunned heavilly by the Russians are much more accurate, Russians pray and spray just like WW1 and 2. Also Russian battlefield drones which are important for artillery spotting and fire control do not function in very cold weather . ukrs have no such problem. Ukrs also rotate their units to make them more effective in combat, Russians nope nothing like that. I think Putin will wait for the results of the USA pres. elections of 2024, try to hold on , after that if a new US pres. turns out to be Pro Ukraine, Putin will get really desperate, possibly use WMDs in the battlefield.
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  5. yah like the Russians stated start of the war they will defeat Ukraine in a few weeks. Well its nearly a year Ukraine regained 50 percent of its lost territory and the Russians got so much casualties they had to mobilize something not seen since ww2 . In 2021 the Russians had a military budget of 69 billion USD, Ukraine had a military budget of 6 billion USD. now the much weaker Ukr military had made fools of the Russian military. Its that EMBARASSING RUSSIA LOL>
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