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John Walsh
Jake Broe
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Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "YES - Russia Destroyed the Dam" video.
Blowing up dams during war is a sign of weakness, since its done to halt or slow the advance of a perceived superior military force like what Ukraine did in early 2022 when it blew up that dam near Kiev to halt or slow the Russian invasion. and what the Chinese did in 1938 when it blew up the Yangtze river dikes and cause a massive flood in Central China to halt the japanese army advance. In this case, the dam was blown up to prevent a possible Ukrainian offensive into southern Ukraine and on to Crimea. also this action has the additional effect or shortening Russian supply lines and making Russian resources a lot more manageable. so it can devote its troops to another front since the flooded areas now consitute a strong defenseive barrier vs. the Ukrs. (also for the Russians).
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also ukrainian cross border raids into western Russia will become worse sa the Ukrainians want the Russians to divert sizable forces to counteract these raids. As Igor Girkin predicted months ago, I think the Ukrs will actually do a major offensive into Russia possibly capture a sizable city or town like Belgorod. that will be something the Russians cannot ignore, heck the Ukrainians can exploit this and rampage behind Russian lines cutting disrupting logistics. Putin cant afford another major mobilization. More mobilizations mean more unrest. More mobilizations without Russian major battlefield victories means more unrest. and poltiical destabilizatoin in Russia. along with more hits to the Russian economy.
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after thsi war is over, the Russian will civil war and during the civil war they will still blame Ukraine for the invasion and collapse of Russia hahaha. the Russians will deserve everything they get after this war is over. they will regret the day Putin came to power.
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Ukrainians I believe are doing multiple strong probes into Russian controlled territory, with its main strike force in reserve at the back. the Russians did something similiar but failed badly with Bakhmut arguably their only success in the winter offensive however in that case the Ukrainians stlll hold ten percent of the city with Ukrainian flanking attacks reportedly successful. The Russians built a formidable defence during winter with Russian regular infantry as blocking forces in trenches , fortifiucations along with teh lines with massive numbers of mechanized units held far back as a rapid reaction counterattack force backed up by heavy artillery and air power. For the Ukrs its a very hard job to break thru the lines since they dont have air superiority(neither do the Russians) and the Russians are on the defense behind trenches and fortifucations and back up by superior artillery. A Ukrainian advantage for be NATO sattelite intel. I think the Ukrs for now are trying to shape the battlefield, make the Russians stretch resources and manpower. all the while both sides hit each other infrastructure and logistics, the Russians built up strong SAM and ECM defences in occupied Ukraine which makes Ukr HMARS JDAM and even Storm Shadow strikes less effective. if the USA can get around the Russian ECM, this will be a game changer and yah probably open the way to punching a hole and majorly exploiting thru Russian defences as Russian logistics and command and control get disrupted so much that its not able to counteract Ukrainian probes.
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