Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Russia Loses Ground in Syria as Conflict Goes Global" video.
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I predict war ends in 2025 with a negotiated settlement, possibly 1st quarter of 2025 with the lines frozen. Russia controlling 20 percent of Ukraine, no Euro troops for Ukraine but Ukraine receives hundreds of billions of USD in rebuild aid plus the right to rebuild its military. no peace treaty. its a korean war style armistice both Russia and Ukraine technically still at war. Trump threatens the Russians if they told cool off and stop their offensives and agree to an armistice, USA will resume military aid to Ukraine. even bigger than what Joe Biden sent. In return Russia gets all sanctions lifted, its foreign funds unfrozen.
Both sides will declare victory , however analysts will conclude the Russians technically won a marginal victory controlling 20 percent of Ukraine.
however the Russians while saying its a victory wont feel its a victory, the Russian military has been embarassed, discredited, Putin's hold on power disrupted diminished as elites start doing the blame game on how incompetently the Russian military and gov handled the war. Putin will of course Purge and arrest elites who he thinks threatened his power along with firing a bunch of generals and replacing them with more loyal officers. All this in the midst of a Russian economy in depression, possibly hyperinflation and high unemployment rates, social instabilty due to high crime rates and returning Russian veterans ,foreign investors most dont come back to Russia. and the Europeans are still hostile to Russia. Ukraine meanwhile also declares victory that they managed to survive and bloody the Russian bear despite Russia's massive military capabilities. however they feel they lost the war and are angry and vengeful and want to take back their lost territories and then some. Ukrainians receive hundreds of billions of USD in aid along with investments from the west. the Ukrainians rearm and reform their military along NATO lines removing old Soviet style command structures and doctrines. along wtih rebuilding a booming economy. Also the Ukrainians secretly pursue the development of nukes. as insurance vs. the Russians. Ukrainians also support Russian secessionist groups and anti gov forces. trying to exacerbate the already bad social and political situation in Russia. Meanwhile the Russians are busy trying to rebuild their economy and reform and rebuild their military. Putin does not have the stomach for another war since he just got out of the lat one with the skin of his teeth. But fears the resurgence of a vengeful Ukrainian military in the future. while at the same time trying to secure his regime.
Not surprised if round 2 happens like 10-20 years after the possible armistice of 2025. Whether Putin is in power or not. While there is an armistice , Ukraine and Russia relations are still very hostile. both sides do everything to undermine the other in the intermission period until the next war occurs again.
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