Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Why Russia Will Not Use Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine" video.
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If putin uses nukes, in Ukraine, NATO military intervention in Ukraine. I think NATO will hit the Russian positions in Ukraine and crimea with conventional weapons, and NATO troops will enter Ukraine , I think before the Russians use nukes they would have very much prepared before hand , like more mobilization uptick in Russian troop deployments along NATO borders, and the Russian black sea fleet leaving crimea and going to Russian ports. and his troops in Ukraine hunkering down. and when Putin uses nukes in Ukraine it will be multiple tac nukes hitting Ukr logistics , command centers, communication lines. transport hubs. Putin will do this to force NATO to intervene to end the war, I think the Russians will endure the conventional NATO attacks but will not retaliate. In fact Putin warns NATO if NATO ground forces try to push the Russians out of Ukraine, the Russians will use nukes on NATO. So this will effectively freeze the war to an armistice. SO putin can go back and say he aquired a lot of territory from Ukraine. However total sanctions on Russia will remain. Russia goes into economic free fall depression economic collapse. However Putin has massively mobilized his secruity and military forces and is still in power having barely suppressed unrest. Putin is still in power and even manages to do a victory march in the Kremlin, however his hold on power is tenous, his oligarchs have already lost so much with most of their foreign assets seized. Russian threats of war with NATO if the West does not stop the sanctions falls of deaf ears. while the economy has collapsed and Russia is a isolated pariah state similiar to North korea. Putin still holds power albeit tenously. Ukraine loses 25 percent of its territory to Russia. large parts of its territory contaminated by radiation and chemical weapons. having lost a few hundred thousand dead soldiers and more civlians however Ukraine remains defiant while aggreing to peace terms does not recognize the areas Russia has occupied, Ukraine becomes a NATO protectorate with hundreds of billions of USD poured into teh country for reconstruction. NATO warns Russia any attacks on Ukraine will result in war with NATO. NATO troops are deployed in Ukraine. UN troops are deployed between lines of control between Russia and Ukraine. Despite martial law, millions of Russians leave Russia as the economy is in free fal and the gov unstable. in the next ten years after the end of the war, putin dies shortly after the endof the war, there is turmoil and power struggle in the Kremlin, meanwhile the unrest in the Russian republics grow as returned troops from Ukraine mainly not paid or partly paid revolt. Russian military mutinies as many are not paid. due to the gov being bankrupt. massive shortages in basic goods. the Russian ruble going into inflation weimar style free fall. A new Russian gov. takes over in Moscow and begs teh west for negotiations. Russia would leave Ukraine entirely including Crimea in exchange for the total lifting of sanctions, economic aid and normalization of relations with teh west. Russia also finalizes a formal peace treaty with Ukraine and acceptance when Ukraine joins the EU and NATO. Depsite foreign aid and lifting of sanctions, Russia loses 25 percent of its territory to secession in the Caucasus and Central Asia. while there is normalization of relations with the west, western companies mostly do not reinvest back into Russia. Chinese companies buy many Russian companies to control its energy sector, China also supports the newly independent former Russain repbulics anad invests in them. so does Turkey. Post putin Russia never really recovers economically , its a corrupt anarchic state with chaotic economic and politics with a downsized military but strong internal security force. The more or less Pro Western leadership in Moscow has a tenous grip on power.
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