Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "This Man Will Defeat Russia" video.

  1. Yah I remember those times in the 70s and 80s when the oil prices were high, the USSR was really building up its military and really threatening the USA and NATO. The Soviet army was much feared and there were war scares in the early to mid 80s with tense moments beetween NATO and the warsaw pact. However when oil prices collapsed in 1986, the Soviets were amping up their confrontation with the west to raise the oil prices, also the collapse in oil prices resulted in the end to the iran-Iraq war due to both sides fuelling their war with oil sales. The Iranians started doing attacks on Oil tankers in the Persian gulf stating they were doing it to cut off oil exports from Iraq but in truth the Iranians wanted high oil prices to fund its war, and was causing a crisis to raise oil prices , however it failed and oil prices still dropped Iran called it quits saying possible US entry into the war and high casualties and poor battlefield performance and growing Iraqi strength made it quit the war. The collapse in oil prices also led to the collapse of the Soviet economy. made worse by its really bad economic mismanagement, really bad corruption, poor command Soviet economy, very high military spending, and massive economic assistanace to its allies for little economic benefit in return. Yep even back then the Soviet economy was heavilly dependent on oil natural gas and other resource exports(even more so back then than now). , the Soviets really did not have a domestic market and did not export on a big scale its finished products to the west. in fact, its weapons manufactured on a massive scale back in the cold war, did not really make the Soviets money as they were given to allied nations rather than sold to them. Iranians in the 80s even worse they were almost totally dependent on oil exports to fund its war with Iraq. The Iraqis had USA and Saudi economic support to prop up its economy.
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  5. USA EU and their allies are reportedly financing the Ukrainian equivalent to an entire year Russia spent on its military. Yep a a USA recession will trigger a global recession which will really put a hurt on the Russian economy. and the Russian economy currently is already hurting. You'll see it with the Ruble crashing. and staying crashed. Yep I think the war will end in 2023. due to a global recession perhaps starting in early to mid 2023. In this scenario I can see oil prices crashing war ends probably late 2023. as the Russian economy is collapsed on the brink of collapse with unrest in Russian cities, Russia essentailly becomes Venezuela 2.0. Putin dies of "natural causes" new Russian gov. blames putin and purges Russian gov. of Pro Putin elements. New Russan gov. calls for a ceasefire and withdrawal but states it does not have the money to withdraw from Ukraine and asks for western help, Russsian gov. and military abandons its troops in Ukraine just as it did in the first chechen war. Russian troops drife or walk home leaving most of their weapons equipment and even vehicles behind . many Russian soldiers claim political refugee to immigrate to the west. Russian soldiers who are captured by teh Ukrainians for war crimes are put to work in penal work units to reconstruc Ukraine. The rest sent back. The Ukrainians get back everything they lost except for Crimea but its later given back to Ukraine by the new Russian gov in exchange of lifting all sanctions and wester economic aid. and normalizing relations with Ukraine and the west. Ukraine goes thru an economic boom . Russia goes into massive unrest semi civil war political chaos and economic depression. its the 90s back with a vengeance on steroids. high crime rates, rumors of coups and outright attempted coups. Russia military mainly demobilized due to lack of financing. Russian republics esp. in east of Urals and Caucasus becoming independent states. Uprisings unreat , millions of Russians leaving hte country. possbly 25 percent of Russian pre war territory balkanizes and becomes independent states. Russia becoms a proxy battleground between USA and China. for its resources . Russian politics chaos is characterized with Pro Western Democrats. vs. Anti west nationalists vs. seperatists. and could be characterized as a near civil war. Russia undergoes 10 years or so of strife then settles down.
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