Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Russia Does Not Know How To Win" video.

  1. As putin gets desperate he will be at his most dangerous. Probably ratcheting up tensions with teh west to near war levels not seen since the cuban missle crisis. officially annexing his winnings in Ukraine saying its Russian territory so he can legally mobilize and crom forbid legally be allowed to use tactical nukes. These tensions will make a global recession even worse crash the markets even more. I think by autumn, Ukraine would have trained a significant force of several hundred thousand volunteers properly enough to do a proper effective operational offensive and the Russians on the other hand are getting weaker. militarily, the new recruits they are throwing in are traiined about a week or so or even less bfore they throw them in Ukraine, there are reports some of them dont even know how to use a machine gun. Prisoners are even being recruited. Its that desperate. Putin is going and begging and buying drones from Iran. the Russian military is getting to be that stupid. Putin getting significant defeats on the battlefield will really endanger him politically. Putin I think is really hesitant to use nukes, since he knows the poliitcal implcations on this one. his enemies in the Russian gov. willl not only not obey to use tac nukes but use this to remove him from power. In a good ending, scenario autumn to winter 2022-2023, Ukrainian renewed counteroffensive deal decisive defeatrs on the Russian army in southern Ukraine, gain significant territory, heck even Kherson is captured. after Russian army in the south to near collapse. the Russian army in Ukraine is unravelling. Putin ratchets up tensions with the west, Putin orders the use of tac nukes to stop the Ukrainians, his orders are not followed instead putin in placed under arrest. Russian gov. annoucnes Putin has died of "natural causes" during surgery. New Russian gov announces ceasefire and peace talks, after a few months of talks, Russian forces withdraw back to pre war borders. Most sanctions are removed business as usual except for most western investors dont go back to Russia, and the EU gradually levels down their energy buys from Russia. Plans are underwayi to develop Ukrainian gas fields and the EU can buy gas from Ukraine. hundreds of billions of USD of economic reconstruction aid to Ukraine from USA and EU. Ukraine is fast tracked to EU membership, NATO membership also fast tracked. Russian gov barely protests and blames the war opn Putin and hjis inner circle. Russia does undedrgo a period of political and economic social turmoil but the Russian army is intact and the economy while depressed does not collapse. Russia gives back the crimea in exchange for massive economic aid and full lifting of sanctions. lots of Chinese investment in Russia, the USA and EU counter and western investments come back to Russia. It is not to the best interest of the USA that Russia collapses nor have its gov and economy to be dominated by the Chinese. Bad ending: Putin uses nukes to stop the Ukr army offensive. NATO enters Ukraine and forces a ceasefire for both sides. No WW3 but tensions are bad worse than cuban missle crisis. Armistice is declared after months of negotiations, there is a peace treaty with UN troops being deployed in Ukraine However while Russia gets to keep its winning in Ukraine Russia is practically a pariah state No trades with USA and EU and their allies, Economy is worse , near collapse. Putin dies a few years later after that Political, economic and social chaos in Russia, to near civil war levels. Russian economy collapses. Russian revolution in Moscow, Russia breaks up and loses 50 percent of its territory to secession esp. In the Caucasus , Siberia , Far East. Army cant do anything as it collapses due to bankrupt Russian gov.k not able to pay its military. This chaos takes 10 years or more to play out. But when the smoke clears, Russia the moscow gov. still controls 50 percent of Russia, west of the Urals. the others turn into a colleciton of Indpependent republics dominated by China, Turkey , Saudi. The new Moscow Gov. is democratic and Pro West. Ukraine gets back all of its territory including Crimea. as the Russian gov. wants western aid .
    1