Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "The Russian Military Looks Desperate" video.
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I have been saying it for a long time, since the war started, the Ukrainians are going to win this war and badly defeat the Russians(and the Russians are badly defeating themselves too with their incompetence). I see Putin removed by the Russians claiming he died of "natural causes" probably poisoned, there is a power struggle and a group of Russian military civilian officials and oligarchs take over . War ends chaotically for the Russians. Russians withdrawal is chaotic like the first chechen war, the Russian gov. is in chaos nad bankrupt. however there is a cessation of hostilities and a ceasefire, after a few weeks new Russian gov takes over and annouces a complete withdrawal from Ukraine except Crimea. However the withdrawal is chaotic and Russians start looting and ransacking whatever areas they still occupy and Ukrainians unit have to come in and fight them. Russians abandon many of their vehicles and go back to Russia on foot or in stolen vehicles. Russian gov begs NATO for assistance in withdrawing the RUssians, the RUssian troops in Ukraine are abandoned these Russians troops m any go on a rape and looting rampage in the Russian border areas. fighting with local Russian security units. These russian troops are never paid. for their time in Ukraine, they go back to Russia abused discriminated blamed for losing the war. going back to unemployment shame no paid at all, but they know how to kill people they have military experience know how to use military weapons, many of them are ex convicts from Russian jails. they go back and use their newly acquired skills to cause chaos in Russia and Russia is in political and eocnomic chaos with a collapsed economy and a unstable moscow gov. Since the Russian gov is bankrupt, the Russian army is mainly demobilized. and whatever monies they have is put on keepng the economy stable. and security services paid. With a demobilized Russian army there is a breakdown of law and order all over Russia. also The EU USA and their allies are not lifting all the sanctions until Russia gives back ALL plus the Crimea of Ukrainian territory back. A deal is maide to lift all the sanctions plus economic aid if Russia gives back the Crimea plus hands over many Russian military leaders for trial in the Hague for war crimes.plus democratic electins. In the meantme China and Turkey take advantage of the chaotic poltically environment and support secessionist Russian republics to go independent esp. in the Caucasus , Central Asia, Far east and Siberia. within 5 to 10 years, Russia loses 50 percent of its territory to secession. and these republics become independent puppet states of the Turks and Chinese. the break up is relatively peaceful just like the breakup of the USSR. Russia however within 10-20 years. while smaller leaner is easier to govern is still a huge country(Canada would now be the largest country in the world followed by the USA. ) but Russia is still #3. and Russia will boom again with a democratic western leaning gov. in 20 years. having removed its shackles to the USSR. and become a country with western european values and governance. and possibly in the 2050s become a EU member. Effects: Armenia will probably lose half of its territory to teh Azeris and Turks in a bloody war after the fall of the Putin gov. Armenia becomes a garrison state. in the Caucasus. Later becomes part of the EU. NATO is dissolved later as the RUssian threat has been taken out and replaced by EU military alliance. Turkey is in chaos after Erdogan dies. in the next 5 to ten years. relations between EU US and Turkey are very much strained after the very bloody third Armenia Azeri war.
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