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@pedrolmlkzk Nope. Launch vehicles and weapons have very different requirements. Generally, launch vehicles can tolerate things weapons can't such as delicate handling of hardware and propellants, slow tanking and slow preparations for launch, trading speed for higher payload mass to orbit. A missile is basically a bullet sitting in the chamber of a gun (silo) which needs to be able to stay ready for years on end and able to launch at a moment's notice. Missiles trade efficient performance for speed and reliability, and must be easy to handle for maintenance people. The liquid fueled Atlas, America's first ICBM, was mediocre as a weapon but made for a great launch vehicle later. Atlas had to be stored empty until an alert, when it would be raised out of the silo or coffin, and it took 15 minutes to load it with fuel and ox, while the current ICBM, the solid fuel Minuteman family, is much better suited to the task.
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There was an article recently about how Boeing's merger with McDonnel Douglas changed Boeing's corporate culture, and not in a good way. Basically, before the merger was the old Boeing that created the 707, the 747, the B-52, and other long-running success stories, but since the merger something changed and the 787 and newer versions of the 737 (such as the Max) have seen a decline in various aspects. Something else to consider, though, is that Boeing is a huge company and the space side is pretty separate from the jetliner side; much of the space side came from the merger with Hughes Space, which is a whole different story than the MDD merger. Big corporations are complex organizations and it's hard to make broad generalizations, although it's fun to joke about it.
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The US has, in the past, made conscious decisions not to implement certain types of new weapons technology, in order to avoid sparking new arms races. Project Pluto, for example, the nuclear ramjet cruise missile, was canceled, along with nuclear powered bombers, and treaties were signed by the US to preclude certain types of weapons which US engineers absolutely know how to build. But we are now entering a time where major US adversaries, China and Russia, are starting to build this stuff despite America's restraint. The US can certainly build hypersonic weapons as well as anyone else; the question is whether it's good policy to do so.
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Interesting thought about the Shuttle's aesthetics. The Soviet Buran shuttle orbiter was a very similar design, approximately the same size and shape, but it was not a direct copy system-wise. It turns out that to do what STS did, your orbiter has to look pretty much just like it did. Function over form, as has been stated. But if you look at the two spacecraft side by side up close, the Rockwell orbiter looks a bit different than the Buran orbiter. The nose is a bit different, the windshield frames, the tile pattern, all these things represent the differences in philosophy between American and Russian aerospace engineers. The Buran looks Russian, while the Rockwell orbiter looks like it came out of a US aircraft factory, like it has some Boeing or Lockheed DNA mixed into its aesthetics. Personally, I think the US orbiter is better-looking, but that's subjective.
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The thing about Atlas and Titan is that they were such good launch vehicles, and so inadequate as alert-worthy weapons, that they actually stayed in production as launchers long after they were retired as weapons. These solid fuel jobs, on the other hand, are really optimized as weapons, designed to sit in storage for years, like cartridges in a rifle magazine, and then work simply and reliably if fired in anger. They will get warheads to the other side of the planet very quickly, but they aren't as efficient as liquid fueled launchers, can't lift as much mass for a rocket of their size, and their high accelerations, desired in a weapon, can be rough on more delicate payloads. But it's good that they've found a niche launch market.
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Bomb damage comes in three types: radiation, heat, and blast. Blast damage includes flying debris, such as tree trunks, fragments, and splinters. If you're hiding in a ditch or a hole you may be safe from the heat and radiation, but if the trees overhead are exploding and showering you with splinters that might be bad. So one purpose of testing is to look for things like that. ("Radiation" in this context means the prompt, direct radiation from the bomb when it detonates, which doesn't last long but is very intense if you are close. Think of a camera flash, but instead of visible light it's gammas, X-rays, and neutrons. Radioactive fallout is radiation you worry about hours to weeks later.)
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@toohardtowatch Yes, lack of atmospheric haze is a big thing. Human stereo vision stops being good at angular range-finding beyond a certain distance, but we can still estimate the range to a distant building or mountain based on haze and humidity. We also have familiar objects to aid us, such as trees, animals, people, cars, light poles, etc. On the fractal surface of the moon, though, most of these advantages are not present. During the Apollo landings, the landings were all set up so that the sun was behind the LM and the crew would be able to see the shadow of the spacecraft on the surface during final approach, which gave the crews a familiar shape to help judge distance and height.
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These little things are the kind of thing that can kill astronauts on long missions to places like Mars. In concept, a spacecraft is such a simple vehicle; you fill a can with air and food, stick an engine and some sensors on it, man it, and launch it into space. Since the early days when Clark and Heinlein and Asimov wrote about this stuff we have learned, and keep learning, so much about the space environment and how it interacts with spacecraft equipment and crews, but we still miss things like this in designing the devices. These RWA's were tested rigorously by the vendor, under the watchful eye of NASA and other customers, and passed every test, and yet there was something going on that nobody had ever though to model. If we are going to start sending people into deep space, or even long duration missions to the Moon or near-Earth solar orbits, we need to make sure the mission can absorb the weird things nature will throw at us. These unknowns, and the risk incurred, is part of what makes spaceflight so expensive.
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Back in 2007 or 2008 I remember telling people that no matter what NASA was planning with Constellation, the next administration was going to cut it and change it to something else. And now, again, we see the same thing happening to Constellation's successor. If you want something to happen, you need it to have a shorter timeline, preferably before the next president gets elected. That's the basic reality for a government agency like NASA. It's not the 60s anymore, nobody is trying to beat the Soviets to the moon, and the president who started the current program was not loved and admired before being tragically cut down like Kennedy was. Even, then, remember, after Apollo 11 the writing was on the wall for major cuts and Apollo was dead within a few years.
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STS was imperfect, expensive, and yes, it was dangerous. But it was the first of its kind and it represented several bold technological leaps. And while we like to think of the Apollo-Saturn system as being safer, let's not forget that it killed 3 crewmen even before its first flight, nearly killed three more in Apollo 13, had its share of technical problems, and only flew a handful of times, compared to STS's 133 successful flights and 2 failures, so it doesn't have a large enough sample size to declare it superior. Spaceflight is dangerous. Space Shuttle scared me every time it flew, along with thrilling me, and I'm glad it's retired, but you have to give it credit where credit's due. The ISS is built, the Hubble is still in service along with many other payloads, and future spaceplanes will benefit from the lessons learned.
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Actually lots of people are dreaming of using something pretty like it. Starting with the unmanned vehicles, the X-37 is using shuttle tech and it's in active service with the USAF, so it's more than just a dream. Buran was an example of a shuttle-like side-stacked vehicle that avoided the foam and solid booster issue, so at least in concept it was safer. VentureStar was another spaceplane idea that would've avoided boosters and external tanks altogether. Then there is the British Skylon project, which may or may not ever fly, but it's prompting some advanced engine and airframe research. Had Congress the willpower to go with a "Shuttle 2.0" instead of the SLS, NASA may have been able to solve problems that STS couldn't, such as debris strikes, reusable first stage, and crew bailout options during launch. As for the SRBs, they worked fine as long as you paid attention to the engineers who told you not use them in freezing weather, and after the post-Challenger redesign, that quit being such a problem as well. There was also the idea of swapping them to kerolox LRBs, which would return and land at the launch base after separation, but no money was ever allocated for it. It would've made boost-phase aborts possible and increased the performance of the whole system.
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In an abort scenario it's a good idea to keep everything as simple as possible. Capsules, Russian, Chinese, and American, are usually designed so that if you do nothing, it will settle into a heat shield forward attitude, making it inherently safe. You just need to rotate it to cancel out any lift, and just let it hurtle through the sky until the altimeter senses you are low enough to open the chute. This is the simplest way to get the crew safely back to the surface even if the autopilot electronics all fail, if there is no way to tell what your attitude is, if the crew is already unconscious, etc. Just get the thing back to the ground in one piece.
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@adamc1713 Yeah, that's true, but the fact is that STS really was kind of dangerous. When it was designed the idea was to limit it to a catastrophic accident about once every 1000 flights or so, which is totally unacceptable by commercial aviation standards, and that turned out to be wildly optimistic. The actual accident rate was about 1 in 60, with almost no hope for crew survival or rescue during most of the flight. Now that may be acceptable for a test plane with test pilots, like an X-15 type program, but for a vehicle that is to be the core of the nation's space access and which risks 7 people at a time, that's too much to ask. Especially since the Shuttle had a huge public profile and had the emotions of millions of Americans (and quite a few American friends and partners) riding on it, watching 7 people die live on TV is unsustainable. Would've been better had, say the USAF operated it and kept it mostly hush hush, SR-71 style. I'm just rambling now, of course, the real world did not and does not work that way. Friend of mine worked on the Challenger mission that failed. To this day he still feels guilty even though he had no part in the mistakes that caused it. That's a heavy load to bear.
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From a technical standpoint, this isn't hard to do, and in fact by now we should've had one or two missions sitting "in the hangar" in case of something like this, since we've been worrying about it and putting it in the public conscience for about 30 years or so now. But politics, bureaucracy, etc. will probably bog everything down as it gets talked to death and likely by the time they determine whether it's going to hit it will be too late to get a mission up in time. Or they'll try, and it'll be a Starliner-style SNAFU where whoever is doing the launching embarrasses themselves and faceplants.
Meanwhile, in the target area, they'll drag their feet evacuating...
Okay, reading what I just wrote, I guess I am way more jaded than I thought I am. I will stand by my first sentence, though: we know how to do this stuff, and we should be ready by now, for at least a limited number of scenarios.
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