Comments by "Archangel17" (@MDP1702) on "The Icarus Project" channel.

Imo Kaliningrads importance was pretty overblown from the start in these days war. In case of a war Kaliningrads air defenses likely would get saturated and taken out by large scale missile attacks followed by aerial bombardments against any site threatening NATO troops going through the gap. Moreover if Belarus gets involved it seems logical that NATO would launch a swift invasion against Belarus before Russia can properly reinforce it, with the aim of pushing the frontline as far back from EU soil as possible and more importantly just widen the Suwalki gap. And if Russia already send stronger reinforcements before the start of the war to prevent an invasion of Belarus, this would also have been noticed by NATO, causing them to increase the defences in the Baltic so they can last out longer and likely forces meant to isolate Kaliningrad would be put on higher alert too. NATO likely has done hundreds if not thousands of war games about it and should be prepared to quickly implement a plan specifically created to deal with this threat. Kaliningrad imo was more a of a threat in the age of weapons and tactics from 30-50 years ago or further back, not necessarily modern warfare.
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@robertbradbury7921 So you aren't really interested in a real discussion looking at your comment?
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@borreLore Thing is, NATO wouldn't just push reinforces through to the Baltics, they'd likely try to immediately move along a wider front, invading Belarus. Any Belarussian military deployed to hit the Suwalki gap definitely would be quickly taken out. Belarus can't stand against NATO longer than the Baltics can stand against Russia. And if Russia reinforces Belarus in those areas, NATO should be responding to pre-emptively reinforce the Baltics, thus decreasing the need to swiftly move reinforcements through the Suwalki gap. NATO's first act in a NATO-Russian+Belarus war would always be a large scale air offensive (missiles and planes) against (Western) Belarus and Kaliningrad. In this day and age, NATO likely almost knows as well as Russia were all important defences in Kaliningrad are located. Kaliningrad doesn't even need to be taken, its capability to strike outside Kaliningrad just needs to be taken out, which is likely to quickly happen if they expose itself to try to use force against the Suwalki gap or the Baltic sea.
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@jeanettebrannstrom2320 The moment Sweden gets attacked by Russia and knocks on NATO's door, article 5 will be triggered de facto. There is no doubt about that.
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@flowname Says the one only able to make a stupid so often used insult instead of actually starting a real discussion. Why should I ever care about the opinion of a troll like yourself.
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