Comments by "Archangel17" (@MDP1702) on "VICE News" channel.

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  7. I said/meant it would hurt the EU marginally compared to how it will hurt the US. Now if the US only focussed on the EU, fine it will hurt the EU as much as the US, but the US is basically starting a trade war with everyone, allies and non-allies. They can't keep that up, while the EU is only hit on the US market, the US is hit on nearly every great market. Decimate the German auto business? German car companies are already building many cars in the US and on a wider range NAFTA. Many of the german cars produced in the US even get exported. Now if tariffs are imposed these already existing factories are just going to make more cars for the US market instead of focusing on export. Furthermore, if he wishes to hurt German car companies, he'll have to do something about NAFTA, because there are also a lot of car factories in Mexico. Another problem is that if China is going to put tarrifs on cars (also German cars) made in the US, this would be another reason for the companies to change the focus of these factories to the US market. Honestly, yes companies will get hurt, but they will survive and probably just make more cars in Mexico and export it to the US from there. The US definitely isn't going to gain much from this. There even is a question whether such tariffs could even be imposed, because even republicans will be against it, due to some of these factories being in their states. So how is Trump going to impose them? Again citing national security seems a bit unlikely to be accepted by congress, and congress might not be willing to impose tariffs on this. The first we even hear now of a consequence of the trade war is that harley davidson is going to ship a part of it's production out the US because of EU tariffs. Even if Merkel falls, that will not be the end of the EU, it's not like she's an irreplaceable pro-EU leader, french President Macron is also very pro EU and most Germans want EU too (they just don't agree with what's happening on immigration, which in the end is a national topic, not an EU one, altough Merkel wants to rather find a larger EU solution to the migration problems). Bilateral trade agreements between EU memberstates and other countries aren't possible, they'll need to leave the EU first and deciding between the EU and the US/UK will for most countries be a given (the EU). Besides personally I wouldn't really care if most off the EU countries leave, this would be eastern and/or southern european countries and it would make it easier for the EU to reform and move forward (altough it's very unlikely that these countries will leave anyway). oh, and most of the US trade with the EU is with western european countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Belgium and Ireland) which are not going to leave the EU, they created it (except Ireland ofcourse, but they have done rather well in the EU even taking into account the crisis). Only Italy (right before the Netherlands) an Spain (28th) are in the US 30 top trading partners. To think that this trade war will somehow make/help the EU explode is laughable at best. It might even strengthen the ties within the EU with this common "enemy".
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