Comments by "Tx240" (@Texas240) on "CBS Evening News"
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@jj007104 - I have an ethnic Russian friend who fled Donetsk (city in part of the region in eastern Ukraine that was taken by Russian proxies, not separatists) during the 2014 Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Initially, when I tried to tell her war was coming and to be ready to leave, she didn't believe me because, being Russian, she watched the Russian news on TV (TV stations from Russia) and online with Russian news sources. They all were saying everything was fine, no fighting, nothing to worry about.
She even blew me off saying, "no all that stuff is just in Kiev" regarding the Maidan revolution that had just taken place.
Finally when gunfire was audible, she tells me she's so confused because Russian and Ukrainian news say opposite things.
Luckily she left before the Russian proxies started shelling the city with captured artillery. Her grandmother wouldn't leave her home though and did die from injuries during an artillery strike.
A not on "separatists" in eastern Ukraine: there were no separatists until AFTER Russia took over the regions. Russia used proxy fighters, foreigners that they bussed in, mainly criminals and anarchists supported by Russian special forces who trained them and called in helicopter gunship air support when Ukraine tried to retake the areas.
After Maidan, even though there were some "anti Russian" murmers and potential legislation to make Ukrainian the sole official language, nobody in the eastern regions (Luhansk and Donetsk) cared because those regions were already mostly autonomous and governed themselves within the borders of Ukraine.
As an added bonus, the first president of the Donetsk People's Republic wasn't Russian OR Ukrainian.
The Russian people in Ukraine didn't pay much attention or care as to what was going on in Kiev and certainly weren't being persecuted. My friend didn't flee until the danger arrived FROM THE EAST, from Russia.
I'm not sure what reporting you saw on it, but that's my experience from talking to someone who lived there and researching what was going on so I could relay less confusing info to her about what was happening in the geopolitical realm and where the Russians were moving.
Unfortunately, we're playing the same game again. I'm having to watch the Russian invasion and give her outside updates that cut through some of the Russian and Ukrainian propaganda.
Speak the Truth channel is a great resource. It's a couple former military guys who are doing the best they can to vet information and update a map and provide discussions and context based on the operational history in our (USA) recent wars.
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We still have lots of Americans saying, "see, lock downs and social distancing aren't reducing the spread."
The really fun part of this is that it IS helping slow the transmission. 2 million deaths possible if people keep walking around like there's nothing to be concerned about... Or, 200k dead if we actually do things right.
It could actually be much worse than that. Without proper ppe and enough ppe to change for each patient, medical workers will end up catching and spreading it and they'll get knocked out in bigger numbers than other counties. A triple whammy.
Worse still is if medical personnel answer Cuomo's call to come help. Then take covid19 back to their communities. Stupid, stupid response.
We got started Waaaay too late, in large part because president T-Diddy, being a certified medical doctor and scientific data analyst, said covid19 was very, very under control because we only had 9 cases.
Wait, those 9 cases were out spreading covid19, unknowingly, for 14 days before actually getting sick with symptoms? That's kind of a pertinent thing to consider.
Well, let's test people they've been in contact with and isolate.
There's no tests available?
Uhhh, well, if there's no tests available, we can't have any more confirmed cases. So, it's all very, very under control.
/facepalm
Mr. President, here's some crayons and an Applebee's placemat. Keep yourself occupied and let the adults talk, please.
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@MoeDoe1 - he said "well over 200k casualties". 200k casualties would INCLUDE around 50k KIA. And, those are the conservative estimates.
Then, there's the possibility that when people say, "Russian casualties" they aren't including DNR and DPR fighters, which are technically Ukrainians or the massive casualties Wagner and smaller private military companies have sustained because, while predominantly Russian, they aren't "Russian military".
Russia doesn't count those categories as Russian casualties.
So, after a year of fighting, 200k isn't high, it's conservative when you consider all the various entities fighting under the Russian umbrella.
The fact is that Russia mobilized over 300k citizens and many were immediately deployed to the frontline in Ukraine to prevent Ukraine from being able to overwhelm Russian lines the way they did with Kharkiv.
The ones that did actually receive training, have been showing up in Ukraine in infantry units instead of whatever jobs, artillery, tank crew, etc that they were trained for.
That is evidence that the Russian mobiliki losses have been very high, if mobiliki trained for other jobs are having to fill gaps in infantry units that the mobiliki who went straight to Ukraine had filled.
Further backing that up is that Russia is doing stealth mobilization after the fallout of the previous mobilization. Russia is recruiting from prisons, extending contract soldier's terms indefinitely, and has implement nonstop conscription instead of the previous twice yearly conscription calls and raised the age of who qualifies for conscription and removed the exemption for university students and graduates.
Russia wouldn't be needing so many extra troops just to hold back Ukraine in the south and make nearly zero progress in the east if they weren't losing troops.
I'd guesstimate total casualties for all Russia affiliated combatants at over 400k with around 100k of that being KIA.
Those numbers may seem outrageously huge compared to what we, the US, experiencesd in 20 years of invasioneering in the Middle East.
However, unlike the massive air campaign followed by a rapid invasion and then counterinsurgency effort, Ukraine is a total conventional war between forces that have some level of parity in combat power (Russia having more troops and vehicles with less regard for casualties while Ukraine has better training and more flexible leadership along with some battlefield tech superiority).
Total casualties for both sides will probably be nearing 1 million after Ukraine's next offensive.
Lots of fighting, lots of dying. Think of it like this, Russian tank crew deaths have been over 6,000. Nobody is surviving as wounded when the tank is destroyed by missile or tank gun hit. To think that some sources are claiming 16k Russian casualties total means injuries and deaths from all other sources, including artillery and direct infantry combat only add up to 10k after over a year is ludicrous. Western estimates had Russia, including Wagner and DNR / DPR incurring nearly that many casualties PER MONTH through February and March.
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