Comments by "Tx240" (@Texas240) on "WarLeaks - Military Blog" channel.

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  4.  @matthiasdarrington3271  - No. At first I thought it was odd that Putin would attack at this time of year, knowing that he'd be road locked because of muddy terrain. Think about it a bit more and it makes sense why he chose this timing. First, the Russian supply trucks are having enough trouble not breaking down on road. There's no way Russia would try to move supplies off road. Even if tanks and IFV could move off road, they won't (or won't very far) because the trucks they need to protect are on the road. Second, moving off road will burn more fuel and lead to more breakdowns of tanks and IFV that also already have maintenance issues from not being used or maintained properly during long storage. Third, Russians are having enough trouble navigating by road. Take them off road and it's entirely possible that they entirely miss their objective. Sure, it's possible to navigate by map and compass, but not nearly as easy as with a GPS in every vehicle, especially with only the vehicle commander or possibly the unit commander knowing where they are and where they are going. Heck, the US had reservist convoys get lost in the middle east and the Russians don't seem to have top level training either. Fourth, if you sent vehicles off road to attempt to maneuver around defenders to strike them to clear a path for the trucks, Russia still needs tanks and IFV with the trucks to guard them. That means both the expeditionary elements and the security element are weaker. Fifth, and probably most important is that Russia currently doesn't control territory as it advances (except in a few areas, mainly near Kyiv and eastern Ukraine 2014 invasion front line). What Russia controls are the roads. Securing a road is MUCH easier and requires much less manpower than securing a region. As Russia moves further into Ukraine, they have to leave troops back for security. That's less available to push an attack. As it becomes necessary to secure an entire region to prevent Ukraine also traveling off road to attack from random directions, that's a lot more manpower that must be spent on security instead of on advancing. Ask yourself why Russia chose to invade Ukraine during this time of year. The muddy terrain is a double edged sword. As soon as the ground dries up and Ukraine hunting teams can freely move off-road to attack Russian positions unexpectedly and unpredictably, the invasion is over. Russia will have to dig in and fortify positions it holds to prevent such counterattacks by Ukraine from any angle. Russian ability to sustain those troops that are dug in only becomes even more difficult as they still have weak logistics support.
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