Comments by "" (@sinoroman) on "Explaining the Borders of the 22nd Century" video.

  1. the US is at the very least stagnating, not declining just yet i think. both major parties in america will argue against accepting a canadian province into the states, while hilariously pulling them in probably. will be a bad political move to try expanding the US further territorially
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  2. not a good idea for the EU or mainland europe to federalize. there will be a lot of decentralization and inefficiencies
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  3. many highly skilled europeans just move to america. if given the chance, i think they are willing to move. everything can be lost if there is political disaster. the EU federalizing will make decline worse
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  4. would like to see a confederation of central asian countries
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  5. current-day politics, always favorable to puppet than annex outright. just state that a country is nominally independent
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  6. depending on the politics, europe's borders eventually closing off
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  7. dynastic china fractured into a "warlord" era if many people seized power while the emperor is a child (Han and Tang) or the empire suddenly ended (Yuan Shikai's Empire). since PRC is a republic, hard to say what will happen
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  8. everyone agrees that 1940s/50s america was the peak culturally, economically, and politically. in matching, Julio-Claudian era of america had already started. following the trajectory, we are in the Flavian-Antonine era of america since we are the sole superpower since 1991. eventually, we'll hit our version of Crisis of the Third Century
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  9. republics work differently. if germany continues to hold back, germany will be left behind imo
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  10. hard to say when Russia will collapse, but i don't see Russia going down that easily
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  11. horde tributary and han tributary were different. horde forced tributary, while ethnic han didn't impose annual tribute. not exactly sure what will happen to china's communist party but am sure there won't be a warlord period
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  12. that happened because america beat the japanese in ww2. america put south korea and japan into the american sphere. idk why whatifalthist says sk and japan hate china for being communist. they hate china from what they learned from the US. in a scenario where america leaves, i can see the two koreas (or a unified korea) being friendly towards china
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  13.  @Evanderj  japan and south korea are within the US sphere, so it is ideological difference due to the spheres
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  14. do you see the EU or some western european country defying the US?
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  15. depends on political grip
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  16. france wants to hold onto its influence over west africa, unlikely to change. the US probably won't invest too much into subsaharan since the major turnoff for us is that we can't politically influence the countries there. china investing anywhere favorable like a business, to directly or indirectly boost the economy in china; it helps as a counterweight to america
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  17. Bulgarians have been moving westward, Bulgaria slowly dying
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  18. i think it depends on politics whether indonesia will be cohesively together
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  19. i can see israel falling to a direct neighbor. whoever that direct neighbor is is up for debate, but it is probable to happen
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  20. not an exact equivalent but there will be something alike to crisis of the third century. possibly one bad political decision after another, causing a spiral. i think the region of mexico is a wild card to what can happen to america
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  21. true
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  22. perhaps europe will be isolated if it is a federalized right-wing state
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  23. the thing about korea is, they will always fall into a sphere. korea can't project their own political sphere while staying put where they are. and there is a difference between horde tributary and han tributary in history
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  24. ukraine fought against itself too
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  25. i think turkey can use religion correctly to help boost the economy. russia gains a small long-term benefit from the ukraine war than a big short-term profit from not doing so
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  26. the EU federalizing will be a bad idea. the philippines will have to turn on the US to become a powerful naval power
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  27. > OP backpedalling yeah ok, mr absurd
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  28. i think america is in the equivalent of roman empire phase (our version of it ofc). if america is in the late roman republic era, then something will happen to not have america enter the empire era since it doesn't make sense
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  29. yeah, i don't expect that much from turkey (or Türkiye)
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  30. i think china will be fine. turkish turks will try to expand but probably minimal due to the militants backed by other countries. would be prophetic if israel ended by 2100, since every unified state in that area (israel/palestine) having a life span between 70-130 years. i think israel will have a max of 200 years (by 2148) before collapse. south africa will likely die off, but i think certain coastal countries in africa will be fine. the EU should stay as a simple union as it currently is, and some countries within the EU will turn far-right. india is very decentralized politically and culturally, so there is a chance of fracture whether resourceful or not. indonesia will stay together or collapse based on a coin-flip
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  31. people thought the roman empire would have lasted forever
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  32. the han population is pretty huge and collective, even with a drop in numbers, still a large proportion compared to elsewhere. russia is predicted to fully decline but we'll have to see
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  33. saudi arabia really needs to correct itself politically to stay a major power in the future
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  34. specifically governments collapsing than nations themselves
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  35. hard happening with the EU existing
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  36. the crusader state in modern day palestine/israel was really powerful until it got gobbled up. i can see something like that happening. perhaps some big empire willing to throw people at israel
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  37. who knows, anything can happen
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  38. whatifalthist really wants a turkish empire
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