Comments by "William Morris" (@williammorris584) on "Ukraine withdraws Abrams tanks from front line amid barrage of drone attacks I Ukraine: The Latest" video.

  1.  @anthonyhulse1248 The Russians just advanced in two days roughly the depth of the 2023 Ukrainian offensive. On two recent occasions, elements of two AFU brigades have taken a runner to a degree that can’t be disguised. That’s an ebb tide.
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  2. With respect to Ukrainian men in Poland, don’t refugees have Geneva protection against forced repatriation?
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  3. Dom’s first segment: more “nothing to see here folks, Steiner’s aid package will set everything right”. Ukraine would give their eyes for the stalemate they plaintively decried months ago, to say nothing of gains like the Russians have made since last fall. It’s odd that the Ukrainians suddenly can’t do a unit rotation. One might think that this might just be a cover for a company here or there just breaking and legging it, and the units nearby having to retreat due to an observant Russian response. The implication that all Russian advances result from mindless bludgeoning and the weight of numbers is belied by the events at and around Ocheretyne. The thrust forward there was a rapid response to developments, and a subsequent move to the south from that town outflanked the Ukrainians in Novobakhmutivka and Soloviove, causing the Ukrainians to withdraw hastily with little fighting. That’s planning and maneuver, not knuckle dragging.
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  4.  @stream2watch  Russia is unlikely to completely take over Ukraine, but Ukraine is at least as unlikely to recover its lost territory. About ten months ago, Ukraine was in its best position of the war relative to Russia in personnel, equipment and logistics, and their offensive quickly broke down against a deeply disadvantaged but well entrenched enemy. Now, even with new aid incoming, Ukraine has no prospects for an offensive this summer, and probably not this year. The Russians apparently have the means and the intention to step up offensive operations this summer. As great as their dependence for materiel is, what Ukraine needs most of all is something that cannot be bought or sent by the West: more Ukrainians. Look at Ukraine’s 2023 population pyramid; there are virtually no young men. As bad as Russia’s demographic pyramid is, it is better than Ukraine’s, and several times larger. Whence come the troops to retake their territory? There is only one answer: they will eventually be asking the west for combat troops.
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  5.  @stream2watch  Oh, so they just keep the 25-30% of Ukraine they now hold.
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  6.  @anthonyhulse1248 Center for Global Energy Policy at Columbia U, among others.
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  7. Thirty F-16’s will bring the Ukraine Air Force halfway back to the strength it had in 2022. They will then be outnumbered in multirole fighters by a little more than 10:1, and the F-16 requires long and relatively pristine runways. Most air analysts agree that F-16 was an inferior choice to the Gripen, which may eventually be available as well.
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  8.  @rmdomainer9042 Lviv would disagree.
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  9.  @rmdomainer9042  Holding 30% of Ukraine, and advancing more in the last couple days than the 2023 Great Ukrainian Offensive.
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