Comments by "MarcosElMalo2" (@MarcosElMalo2) on "Taliban allows plane loaded with Americans to leave Kabul" video.
-
3
-
I think the Taliban leadership does want us out of their hair, but it should be recognized that the Taliban is made up of factions. The Taliban of 20 years ago was more unified, but to survive they had to become a coalition and cut deals with other groups. As a side note, this is what we fail to understand, that the taking of Kabul and the fall of the Afghan government was more of a deal-making victory than a military victory.
But now that the Taliban is in power, what does that mean? It means they have to deal with competition between their internal factions and external challenges to their power. They don’t (at least not yet) have the same level of control they had 20 years ago. The leadership in Kabul might control the airport there, but a different faction might control the airport in a different city. This complicates and delays negotiations. Countries trying to get their people out must negotiate with the leadership, but the leadership then has to negotiate with their sub-faction, which is (possibly) using foreign nationals as a bargaining chip to negotiate their own power in the government.
Yes, it’s a huge clusterfluck. But it would be a lot worse if the country was plunged into civil war, which could still happen.
1