Comments by "MarcosElMalo2" (@MarcosElMalo2) on "Demographics Part 5: The Chinese Collapse" video.
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Of course there are, but note that Pete himself says he doesn’t know what Chinese collapse will look like, because the scale is unprecedented. When Pete makes these predictions, he’s looking at what the data is telling him about trends. When he gets into hard-to-predict territory and the unknown, he favors the worse case scenario as his best guess.
He is pretty bold with his predictions in general, but when there is uncertainty he says so. When there is more certainty on something, he gets specific—like his prediction that the collapse will begin by 2030 or earlier is specific. (And part of my enjoyment of Pete’s presentations is that he is willing to go out on a limb.)
Anyway, Pete’s strength and expertise, is demographic/economic analysis (let’s call it population, industrial and energy, and food inputs to an economy). He’s less strong in other aspects of geopolitics (imho) but is conversant in those aspects. Watch this video again (it’s worth it and not too long) and watch carefully for his specific claims and for his uncertainty. Pete often sounds over confident (and it’s true that he sometimes gets out of his specific lane), but he’s pretty clear about where he is certain and where he is uncertain.
And let me throw something out there. What if contraction of the global economy and the economic collapse of major countries IS the optimistic best case scenario?😮
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