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MarcosElMalo2
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "MarcosElMalo2" (@MarcosElMalo2) on "Peter Zeihan || Is the AI Revolution Here?" video.
@LaFonteCheVi The fundamental problem of “general AI” isn’t the hardware (which might be a limitation as well, if you can solve the fundamental problem). The fundamental problem is that we do not know what intelligence is or how it arises from the biochemical processes of the nervous system. Intelligence is a black box and it might be impossible to reverse engineer it. Turing recognized this issue and came up with the concept of the Turing Test, which incorporates the unknown/unknowable black box aspect of the problem—while also opening a philosophical can of worms.
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@adeveloper6653 when he gets too far out of his lanes, he can sound like a doofus to domain experts. I don’t mind too much because when he makes mistakes in his explanations, they’re of the partial/imperfect understanding type. He’s at least wrestling the the material, and then testing his understanding by putting it out there for our criticism. Pete is pretty ballsy if you think of it that way. That said, he’s fallen into a very common misconception about general AI, probably because he’s trying to define it by a use-case. The problem is that general AI is undefinable because human intelligence is still undefined and not understood. Turing side stepped this with his concept of the Turing Test( testing for observable symptoms if human intelligence) but when one starts to think about the Test itself, oh boy. It’s a philosophical mine field. A general AI isn’t a machine that can replicate human intelligence (or even improve on it). A general AI can only create an appearance of human intelligence good enough to fool an observer. (Prompting questions about this observer testing the prospective AI, no?)
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Plenty of people are getting paid not to work. They just weren’t hired not to work. This isn’t anything new. There’s a common fundamental misunderstanding of “general” AI that Pete has fallen into. To understand the fallacy better, one should 1) take a look at the Turing Test to determine “AI-ness”, 2) examine the assumption that humans represent some sort of gold standard of decision making.
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