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MarcosElMalo2
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "MarcosElMalo2" (@MarcosElMalo2) on "Russia's Black Sea Blunders" video.
@JohnRodriguesPhotographer Economic issues? Like component shortages? I’m thinking specifically of modern CPUs used to build Electronic Warfare systems. Apparently Russia’s own chip making capabilities are, at best, 70 nm processes. That’s 2004 technology. Contrast with 5 nm current technology and 3nm manufacturing processes being developed independently by Samsung and TSMC (projected to be commercially available in 2023). Russia’s future war making capabilities are being technologically crippled by sanctions.
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@ericmartin5720 it was their best in the theatre. Russian plans for an amphibious assault near Odessa have been complicated,as they can no longer provide very good air defenses for landing craft (not to mention they’re down one of their landing vessels). Such an assault would have been very important as a flanking maneuver if the Russians mounted a serious land offensive towards Odessa (think Anzio for a parallel with WWII). Without the flanking maneuver, the Russians face two or three defensible lines.
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@JohnRodriguesPhotographer that’s not entirely true. Many important upgrades can be accomplished without dry docking, particularly EW and weapon guidance systems. Some armaments can be added to the superstructure without needing a dry dock. We’re not talking about upgrading engines or installing a new turret.
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@lachlanbell8390 That doesn’t contradict the fact that the “Moscow” was the best ship they had in the Black Sea, deemed worthy of being the flagship of the Black Sea fleet. This puts any amphibious assault on Odessa the Russians have planned at a major disadvantage, as they no longer have very good air defense capability for their landing craft. Without an amphibious assault (or the threat of it), a land offensive against Odessa will face increased difficulty. I could be wrong, but I think this effectively ends Russia’s threat to Odessa. The sinking of the “Moscow” also opens the possibility that Russia’s Black Sea corridor can be cut up. It’s not necessarily a strong possibility, but it now exists as a threat.
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