Comments by "Anders Juel Jensen" (@andersjjensen) on "Anders Puck Nielsen" channel.

  1.  @katerinacervenkova5797  That is pretty well documented elsewhere. Even Prigozhin is pointing out that the Russian loss figures are being understated by at least a factor of 10 on state TV.
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  2. As per the video Ukraine just dropped of an F-16 in Ukrainian battle colors, yes... The Ghost of Kyiv is now flying F-16 and already has a 5:0 score on his new platform.
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  3. Let's see what happens next week when they retreat from Kherson.
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  4. The latest upload on Reporting from Ukraine suggests that, at least for the time being, Russia has chosen to attempt to prevent a proper bridgehead. It also suggests that the Ukrainians expected exactly this and were well prepared. At a glance it looks like Ukraine is going slower, than they actually might be able to, because they're doing the all the legwork needed to be able to withstand even a very powerful Russian counter attack. Which again suggests that Ukraine is not just trying to provoke Russia to stop attacking in Avdiivka, or similar short term changes of the dynamics, but rather that they're perfectly serious about this direction, because they'd rather deal with the hassles of crossing a river, than dealing with the hassles of crossing the absurdly dense and wide mine fields towards Tokmak.
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  5. Vent 72 timer. Så ved vi hvad der skete i går :P
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  6. I don't think Putin believes a word he said. I think Putin thinks that that is the constructed reality he can get away with pretending. He knows Russia was never "under attack by the west", but rather that the Russian oligarchy was "under attack" by the free market. Russia has utterly failed to become anything more than a gas station with an army because the systemic corruption, that keeps Putin in power, is incompatible with actual competition and innovation. If Russia had gotten rid of the corruption foreign capital would have developed Russia into a very rich country. But nobody wants to operate in a sphere where the law will be changed if you don't constantly cough up lube money, or you have bogus charges pressed against you by the police if you don't pay protection money, etc, etc, etc.
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  7. Time to start grinding away at the resistance to provide Tomahawk missiles then. The Lockheed Martin Mk 70 Mod 1 containerized delivery system was actually tested in Rønne in Denmark back in september of last year. This is a container with 4 Tomahawk or SM-6 missiles that fit on any regular semi truck trailer bed. The system is called Typhon (not Typhoon) in US military jargon. With just a few launchers Ukraine could push Russia's most vital assets so far back that it's not even funny, as it exist in both cluster, unitary and anti ship versions. A couple of unitary warhead Tomahawks would also make short work of a certain bridge.....
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  8. He's an analyst at the Danish Military Academy, so his speculation does have a bit more gravity than your random user in the comment section.
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  9.  @mirekslechta7161  If NATO wants to fight Russia it will be an air war. No boots on Russian ground. But every single factory that produces anything of value to the military, every rail way and high way bridge, every military harbour and every military air base will be gone within a few weeks. Russia could not establish air dominance in Ukraine when Ukraine didn't have any modern air defence at all, and Russia can't defend itself against big slow fixed wing drones. How the hell would they handle B-2s, F-22s, F-35s and volley after volley of cruise missiles?
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  10. Ukraine just dropped a video where they teased an F-16 in Ukrainian battle colors. They've chosen a dark gray that looks suspiciously close to the radar absorbing paint on the F-35. Don't know if that's psy-ops or the madlads actually got "a left-over can of that" from Lockheed-Martin and decided that a little is better than none at all.
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  11. When the Russians themselves acknowledges the loses no photos are needed.
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  12. The charities need to go, but every company that sells useless shit in Russia and takes the money out of the country is contributing to Russia's demise. Nobody should buy a single damn thing from Russia, and everyone should be selling them things that are completely irrelevant to their war efforts. Especially things like Spotify and Netflix (that is, not even a physical product is being sold) are freaking great as sucking money out of their economy. Bananas, condoms, little paper umbrellas for drinks, movie merchandise and porno mags are all great options. I know a lot of people want to see "solidarity that shows Russians what we think" but it's completely useless in practice. Financial hurt, to the point of hyper inflation, will wake them up much faster than "The rotting west hates us so now they wont sell us beer. HA! I'll just drink superior glorious Russian beer instead!". But the point is that it should be useless shit we sell them. Anything that helps repair/maintain infra structure of any description and anything that might in the most remote corner case have a military application needs to be blocked hard. We want their society to crumble both physically and financially. And consumerist garbage helps with that.
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  13. Nope. But I would like to be munching popcorn next to the German AA systems they got recently. Seeing a Hind full of ammo blow up is probably very pretty...
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  14.  @tomk3732  Nobody but you stooges believe Ukraine ever shelled ZNPP.
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  15. You guys have already been awesome! Norway's capital fund has been put to good use.
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  16.  @mike_oe  In terms of lethal aid, yes. In terms of financial support, no. Norway can't make military hardware they don't have appear out of thin air. But they have a stacked bank account, and Ukraine needs both.
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  17.  @Damn6real  Gasoline, no. But diesel and heating oil has gone up. And we are not at the full depth of winter yet.
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  18. It would probably be in China and Iran's interest if the conflict in Ukraine turns in to a frozen conflict with frequent low intensity skirmishes. "A kettle that is rumbling but never fully boils" so to speak. So basically back to the 2014 situation.
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  19. The question about NATO was answered before the election: Europe needs it's own defense alliance... Notably without the US, Turkey, Hungary and Slovakia.
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  20. Yet another very good set of reasons why we need to escalate the economic warfare against Russia and go from sanctions to outright embargoes. As much political leverage as can be mustered must be applied to stop anyone and everyone from trading anything with Russia. You can't keep funneling state money into a private war if there is no money to funnel anywhere.
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  21. Have you seen the second drone strike? That one managed to set a good patch of the roof on fire. And secondly, why do you think it was the wrong building? At 2:15AM there will be nobody in any of the buildings, so just hitting the most visible one could make sense. And they immediately published that both drones were "downed" before they realised there was a good shot of the second one available. And it has gotten very little coverage, which is probably the most objectively measurable one. I do not think this was Ukraine. I think this was either the same group who's claimed responsibility for a lot of train derailments (also suspected to have blown up the gas line in Eastern Russia) or the far right nutters who want every man, woman and child to be conscripted, armed, trained and sent to burn all of Ukraine to the ground.
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  22. Because it happened in Russian held territory. But the Russian VKS has acknowledged all 5 and send their condolences to the families. Anders wouldn't treat it as fact if there wasn't proper evidence.
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  23. Just getting JDAMs in the game would be huge. We have SO many of those, as they're just conversions of dumb bombs. But the full potential is hard to gauge, as the F-16 is compatible with the entire NATO catalogue of air delivered ordnance.
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  24.  @michaelsnedker5446  What we would today bluntly call Fascism or Oligarchy.
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  25.  @drgonzo305  You hear the radar lock siren go off and see two planes in front of you blow to confetti, what do you do? Eject!
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  26.  @tomk3732  The Danish ones are Block 52 with a subsequent radar upgrade from Block 72 and all the latest software updates, and if I understand things correctly, that is the combo that is being strived for across the entire F-16 Coalition. Lockheed Martin is being very forthcoming with parts and expertise and don't mind mixing and matching. Fun fact 1) Even original 1979 F-16s can be upgraded completely to Block 72. And now where Taiwan has just completed upgrading their 144 F-16s to Block 72 Lockheed Martin has excess production capacity. Nothing prevents Ukraine from ordering an upgrade kit if, say, Bulgaria gives them an old Block 25 or Block 30 plane. Fun fact 2) The 18 planes from Holland, the 19 planes from Denmark and the 10 planes from Norway are more than "two dozen". Belgium is "considering" 42 which means "Guys, we really need the funds from the sales of those in our defence budget... help us out here!". By the end of 2024 Ukraine will have at least 40 F-16s fully operational, and by the end of 2026 I wouldn't even blink if they have 100.
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  27. They're actually Nazi Satanist Capitalist Oppressive Homosexual Paedophiles. Russia has just been trying to be polite about it so far to not whip up drama. But now they're telling the whole truth.
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  28. Yeah. For something "just thrown together in a hotel room" this was darn good. Even the audio was pretty good.
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  29. They're getting absolutely desperate on 9gag. Anything pro Ukraine instantly gets swamped with really low quality/juvenile copy-paste hip shots that clearly shows that they're on a quota schedule to plant as much "discredit" as possible.
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  30. That is exactly what NASAMS is... an AMRAAM launcher with a radar on a separate vehicle.
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  31.  @truthseekerodinson5094  I reply for the sake of others reading along. The krembots don't bother engaging in proper discussion.
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  32. Being a military advisor to the government, the de facto media liaison of the armed forces, an analyst with an area of responsibility and from a country who has close ties to two other countries that just joined NATO... I think he has his plate full. So while I enjoy his videos I'd still prefer him to do his other responsibilities first and foremost. Because if he screws up in his day job people could die.
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  33.  @BernardoBr1982  Mine was a sort of joke too. I just have a very dry and morbid sense of humor :P
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  34. How enormously "polite" of you to think that Mike Johnson isn't perfectly aware that he's spouting absolute BS that, at face value, sounds plausible enough to not cause immediate backlash.
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  35. "If Russia has a big setback in the war".... like getting Crimea completely cut off from supplies because the Ukrainians are at the doorstep in one end and a certain bridge blew to rubble in the other end. I don't even think the Ukrainians have to take Crimea this summer. They just have to make it obvious to everyone that the situation is completely untenable in the long run for Russia. This will make the Ultranationalists go apesh@t over Putin's and the MoD's incompetence and it will make the anti-war movement dread the casualty ratings that will result from fighting a lost conflict.
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  36.  @anderspuck  They appear to get the better of between 15 and 25 artillery systems a day. Let's call it 20 on average. Between 122mm barreled, 152mm barreled and 122mm MLRS Russia probably has about 5000 systems left... the time scales we're looking at here aren't pretty. We need to help them get to 50-100 artillery kills a day, and doing that with spotter drones alone is just not going to cut it.
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  37.  @Grouse2275  Their NASAMS launchers already use the D model.... so they are already actively stocking them.
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  38. It is not enough that Ukraine wins. Russia must actively lose. Hard. This needs to go down in history as the dumbest thing Russia ever did. I don't know precisely what that will look like, but sentences like "1 trillion € in reparations to Ukraine", "reduce the number of nukes to 500" and "nothing but air defense systems can be closer than 300km to NATO borders for the next 10 years" seem like good starting positions.
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  39.  @kevoliver7443  Some time ago the UK announced that they were gearing up to 10,000 soldiers every 120 days. New Zealand, Denmark, Norway and a few others are pitching in by moving qualified personel to the UK.
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  40. The bald pig got an unhealthy amount of clout from the "de-politicised" part of the population. People that would never riot, never speak up and never lash out got out to shake his hand and take their picture with him. This tells us that they are not nearly as de-politicised as western analysts portray them. They've just been brought to submission. That is absolutely not the same as not dreaming about a liberator who can upend the mafia known as the Kremlin. You can't become too popular in Russia. Only Putin is popular. You can't become too competent in Russia. Only Putin is competent. You can't become too powerful in Russia. Only Putin is powerful. These are the rules in every autocracy. And they apply to everybody. Everybody.
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  41.  @lat78610  Assuming no AWACS assistance... but there are AWACS constantly patrolling the borders of both Poland and Romania.
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  42. There is a specific clip during the initial breech of the fences/walls where a Russian speaking (presumably Wagner) soldier is yelling instructions in Russian to the Hamas troops advancing through the hole. So I would phrase it as "Russia has directly supported Hamas with military training and leadership" now where Putin has officially confirmed that Wagner always was a sock puppet of the Russian government only existing for the sake of plausible deniability. That Prigozhin had "a special military disagreement" with Putin and subsequently went kasplat over it, along with the entire power core of Wagner is one thing, but that Wagner is still perfectly operational and engages in new activities after the fact, along with Putin's direct confirmations on TV tells us everything we need to know: Wherever "Wagner is conducting operations" should no longer be considered asymmetric warfare, or any of that vague nonsense, but should be considered exactly the same as if Russia was sending in the Spetsnaz or VDV.
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  43. The F-16 theory could be kicked around to confuse Russia, or it could be partially true. Holland sent 5 F-16s to a training facility in Northern Romania specifically for Ukrainian pilots. Combine that with the fact that there are NATO AWACS planes constantly patrolling both the Polish and Romanian borders. Their combined data covers nearly all of Ukraine (and a big chunk of the Black Sea). Now imagine, if you will, F-16s taking off from Romania and flying very very low until they're well into Ukraine, where they ascent and launch their AMRAAMs (range is 105km) based on AWACS data. AMRAAM supports "blind fire" where the missile goes to a pre-programmed location before it turns on it's own radar and homes in on the nearest target. The F-16 ducks below the horizon after launching, and goes back to Romania. If you squint really hard and tilt your head that could pass for "a live fire training mission in realistic conditions".
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  44. Nix all that... Ukraine dropped a video of an F-16 in Ukrainian colors just a few hours ago.
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  45. And then there is the last point of consideration: Can Russia AFFORD to deliver on the threats? Last I heard a non-trivial portion of the Russian GDP comes from gas sales to the EU. So I think it stands to reason that if Russia felt they could sustain the financial losses, then they would have retaliated much earlier by simply cutting off the gas completely. If they had the dole for it, why not cut if off 100% the second the sanctions and support for Ukraine set in? That would be the time of year where would be losing the least amount of money on doing so. And that would have given the EU no time to look for, and implement, alternative solutions. I think they're just ratling the sabre, but are unable to do the chopping when it comes down to it. Putin is reliant on political support from oil and gas oligarchs. And they would lose vast sums rather quickly if he outright forced them to stop delivering completely... The oil and gas companies in Russia are largely privately owned, and "the toes you step on today may be connected to the arse you'll have to kiss tomorrow" :P Russia is not the USSR any more, but their foreign policy rhetoric is narrated as if they were. But I'm not buying it.
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  46. If that was the case Putin would not have made a fool of himself by trashing on the US intelligence brief they got.
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  47.  @ikiruyamamoto1050  Considering how many in the GOP that types the headlines of RT News and TASS straight into Twitter, as their daily mouth diarrhea, phasing it as "There is a pretty good chance" is not far fetched.
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  48.  @АлексейВ-х8ч  The non-tabloid economic analysts predicted this 2 years ago. They all said "Putin has to win fast. A country with an economy the size of Italy can't keep this up for very long". And here we are. So no, we do not have poor memory.
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  49. Now we just need some semi-autonomous "hunter killer" torpedos to roam the part of the black sea which is outside the grain corridor and automatically engage everything.
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  50. I don't think Prigozhin wanted to get rid of Putin. I think he wanted to insert himself at the highest level of the Russian MoD. But being the dumbskull that he is he didn't have the foresight to understand that forcing yourself into that position will always reflect very badly on Putin.
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