Comments by "Grenade Tennis" (@hughjass1044) on "VisualPolitik EN" channel.

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  5. A fine notion.... we'll see how long the sentiment lasts. I wish I could say I was confident that any of this big talk was going to be followed up by action, but I'm not. The financial crisis of '08 taught us valuable lessons about market regulation. Did anything change? No. The pandemic taught us valuable lessons about supply chains and self reliance. Will anything change? Not so far. Ever since the end of the Cold War, the west's default reaction to every problem is to find the cheapest, easiest, fastest and most politically expedient way out of it.... and then just carry on with business as usual as though nothing happened because if it does, it'll be someone else's headache. Russia is headed for economic collapse. It's going to default on its debt which means foreign banks aren't going to get paid. At the same time, Europe relies on Russia for nearly half of its energy and even if they went full bore away from that starting today, there are no other alternatives which would come on stream for 10+ years. At the same time, the absence of grains and fertilizer products from the region is projected to induce a worldwide price explosion in foodstuffs if not an outright famine in much of the world so combine all that with already sky high food and energy prices and you have your recipe for European and western leaders sitting down with Mr. Putin and making some deals that are very favorable to him and not to them. Western leaders will do what western leaders have always done.... make deals to buy their way out of a jam and worry about the consequences later.
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  47. Here in Canada, there's kind of a running joke that comes up now and again, depending on the situation, that one day, the US will just absorb us and make us the 51st state. To this, many people reply that it wouldn't be worth their while to do so since if they did, they'd be responsible for us and have to look after us and since they already control everything of importance anyway.... the narrative goes.... and we're no threat to them, why bother, as the other old joke goes, "buying the cow when you already get the milk for free?" As you say, Russia already controls everything of even marginal importance in Belarus and their leader is a reliable and loyal puppet. I have a friend who is Belorussian and he's explained to me several times that Putin isn't really bothered at all by former Soviet states, including Ukraine, being sovereign countries since he doesn't view that distinction the same way we would. He looks at things in terms of him being in control of anything in his neighborhood which he covets. In short, you answer to him and do what you're told, when you're told, and in other matters, do what you want. If you refuse, "nice little country you've got there. Be a shame if anything happened to it." If Ukraine had decided to follow the same path as Belarus... or more accurately, Lukashenko's Belarus, all would have been fine but they did not and likewise, if the Belorussian people had been successful in toppling Lukashenko, Ukraine's fate would likely also have been Belarus's
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