Comments by "Kasumi Rina" (@KasumiRINA) on "Naval war is back after grain deal collapse" video.
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@perfredelius since 2014, either invade full scale or get frozen conflict that wastes resources with no gains (Minsk shenanigans)... Early 2022, get surrounded near Kyiv or retreat... on the other side, keep trying to encircle Mykolaiv, push to Odesa, or retreat to the river, then across it from Kherson... in Mariupol, keep throwing stuff at Azovsteel or let the garrison out... no further credibility loss than Azov commanders and Marines back in action (Turkey let them go). In sea and air they're pushed to be very careful because the dileema is losing another flagship or squadrons of jets or only acting from deep behind frontlines. Same with stretching supply routes on land since HIMARs and later, Storm Shadow appeared. Tons of no-win situation... mind you, russia is making these for us too, like moving air defenses to capital/West/away or wasting resources on civilian infrastructure over figthing on the front. They fail to make some too: nobody in Ukraine actually falls for "imminent attack from Belarus" after first one failed. So no extra resources sent up north.
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