Comments by "buddermonger2000" (@buddermonger2000) on "Explaining the Borders of the 22nd Century" video.

I think with Isreal that it's worth noting that they've got Good relations with basically everyone but their immediate neighbors now and are a fairly important regional power that has only survived by having a kick-ass military and a committing to technological superiority. I think there are enough interests in keeping Isreal alive that it can survive.
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I'm going to be honest I don't think China will populate Siberia because it just won't be in any way expansionist demographically and thus doesn't have a way to actually populate the area probably staying within their own boundaries for a while longer. It doesn't make sense to expand in area with a shrinking population and less young people than old. Edit: watching this again the same thing applies to Poland honestly since well... it's aging and a declining population thus making little sense as expansionist unless Belarus just joins Poland willingly.
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A: First thing is that events like any climate disaster is just kind of ignored for the sake of this video. B: The thing with the US is that he's gone over why he thinks it'll stay alive without much issue: the US is having a bad day. Ideas like Healthcare being a basic principle of a democratic society is kind of naive and more reflects your own personal beliefs than anything inherent or can be compared to history. The US has internal tensions but France went from being invaded in 1790 to 1810 going on to face off multiple coalitions. That's 20 years of not much and there isn't really any dooming Achilles heel the US faces. C: The Hispanic integration is one of statistical fact. Say what you want about the blacks but US born Hispanics marry into the white population at 40% and Asians at 45%. And since Hispanics are primarily over 60% white by grandchildren it would make that generation only 10% non-European. As a population we also are definitely more invested in the US System than our home systems which is why we left in the first place. So what that indicates is that there will be a strong cultural heritage but ethnically Hispanics will be known as white like everything else. Also come on you really believe that racism nonsense? Racism happens but it's so little against us lmao I think you've been watching a bit too much TV. D: European collapse into war and extremist groups would be after the coming demographic collapse which will in real-terms destroy their societies. Yeah no desire for war now but when everything has gone to shit? E: American neo-colonialism of Europe will in no way have the intention of colonialism and you seem to have not been paying attention if you missed that part. The entire idea about it is that it's an attempt to actually protect Europe and prevent it from collapse where the US continually tries to let it be free but it can't keep itself together without the US military and so it just keeps coming back until it's a permanent presence. F: Sweden and Norway joining would be a trend of smaller countries joining together to survive in a world where countries are just bigger. I hope this alleviated any issues.
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Short term vs long term. Remember that in 1945 Africa was under complete English and French control while in 1845 it was completely left alone. 1845 Russia was a backwater state which hadn't even started industrialization to 1945 where it was the powerhouse of the East and dominated all of Eastern Europe into Germany. 1845 Japan was closed to 1945 having an empire being taken away from it. 1776 America was a colonial society of roughly 2 million to in 1876 around 90 million, industrial, and one of the largest economies on the planet. 1645 to 1745 Spain starts from the fringe of Europe to largest colonial empire. 1745 Spain is the master of the colony game, to 1845 stripped of nearly all of it. 1645 Poland-Lithuanian Commonwealth is a powerhouse of Europe. 1745 Poland is depopulated, weakened, and soon going to be partitioned by Austria, Prussia, and Russia. Why all of this? To reinforce the point that a century is a very long time. It's the time between the rise and downfall of nations. Really don't underestimate what can change in a century. You've only been around in this form for a single one. You're surrounded by completely non-functional governments and split ethnic identities. And frankly you have a history of being the core of a multi-ethnic empire united under Islam, with a good geographic core, an active industrialization, and honestly an economy and population on the upswing. Also EU is probably coming apart and Russia on the decline. You've got more in your favor than you realize and a lot of time to do it.
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He's going over roughly the region not being exact
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@Ashlevon The reason you believe the US to be a dumpster fire is because of the current political turmoil. Imagine a revitalized economic and Political system with a lot of unity and growing wealth, which is the expectation for the US going forward and would make it attractive to join. Especially if Canada starts to fracture due to its own demographic and political issues.
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@Archenw That's actually kind of funny
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We're just genuinely the romans but with the ability to actually make new technology besides architecture
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@ozymandiasnullifidian5590 Please explain why it's unrealistic
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 @Guardian__Angel I just want to know what parts you believe are illogical
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 @shonewarrior2178 Why do you believe his Turkish projection is nonsense?
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Another criticism I have of this is the explanation of the relationship between the Americans and Europeans as well as the relationships of the Europeans. First off: the whole idea of America dominating clashes with the idea of France having an empire. If America dominates all involved, France can't have an empire. Second off: realistically the 3 countries that the Americans care about in Europe are France, Germany, and Britain. The Americans have a vested interest in preserving the British and if France has an empire then in real terms Germany is on its own which would leave it being sucked up more into the orbit of a more militarized Poland gaining control of more of Eastern Europe due to the fall of Russia which has arguably always been the interest of Germany. Third: the second most stable country demographically in Europe is Britain which means it should have the ability to stay alive. It's also reaching out to its former dominions to join together which all populations support. This is a union which would easily be approved by the Americans and so even if it requires the Americans to stay alive, realistically this is the power they'd take most interest in and culturally this would be the power it has the most interest sustaining even more than France and Germany, especially if France has its own empire. Fourth: Poland, has almost as terrible a demographic situation as Russia. So it taking control of say Belarus makes no sense when it itself is losing in population because realistically it'd be too weak to join voluntarily or conquer. Realistically this would make an informal German empire in Eastern Europe made of economic dependencies. This is aided by the fact that Germany is more stable demographically than Eastern Europe and thus would have the pull to keep them in their orbit. Fifth: Realistically the Americans are caring a Lot less about Europe now than they did before. Before, America was a European wannabe due to them being the great powers of the world. Now, America is the greater power and its issue was with Russia due to it being its ideological opponent. As time goes on, and especially as Russia falls, I can't see America caring that much about it. The entire argument of this as well is completely predicated on Europe having no way to function on its own, and having France at all powerful (which it is even now with no signs of it decreasing in power) would run counter to that whole idea. France still maintains control over West Africa even now to a degree that both realize they need each other. France still maintains relationships with its former colonies in a closer tie than Britain ever has since its decline. France is still a world power. There's nothing which endangers that in any of the places which it has power. Even in the Arab world it already has no power making its entire power base from its state itself and west Africa which are under no threat from any other power. And frankly the Americans would be happy to give control over to France as it would rather focus on other matters. Honestly the more great power allies the Americans can have, the better. And the Americans would be all too happy to encourage that reality.
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@Ruiseal CANZUK is what I'm referring to but in all places the UK is the one with the least interest and last I checked it was still with a majority stake. Also remember that this scenario is a world where Europe mostly falls apart as a unit. In a world where there is no single market, suddenly trying to join that single market is no longer a viable option. Not to mention trying to rejoin the single market is just an absolute nightmare. Canada took 10 years to get a deal with the EU and Brexit still had no deal. The reason for that is that there's no deal which can satisfy everyone. It's a much easier option to try to rejoin culturally similar and linked areas despite the geographical distance. Remember That all parties still trade with China so the issue with distance isn't a huge issue. One final thing I mentioned is that it's really only a union that a true naval power would really take away. The only one capable is the US who has a vested interest and it'd suddenly become the second largest naval power with the support of the first.
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Okay the German confederation had no legal way to change the states within it but was effectively dissolved anyway. No legal way to change things doesn't mean much in the way of history.
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Well to be fair American regionalism is just more well known and on more display
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@Archenw The point is that the neo-colonialism will basically be accepted and not really be any form of oppression. Even now they're basically subjects of the American empire although not explicitly and that's the idea behind the whole thing. Any "neo-colonialism" will be a lowering of autonomy as the US tries to protect them since they're unable to protect themselves. Frankly I'm unsure this will happen and I don't think even Britain will collapse (especially with things like the Norwegians and Swedes rejoining like come on). Frankly this seems like an outcome where they're so weak as to be useless which I don't think can happen if they at all recover from the collapse but I guess the whole idea is that they don't. May have pulled too much from Rome and Greece like you said but he also pulled it from a book.
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@Archenw While I agree, we'd probably have our view points changed if we read the books in question, and on top of that the US already is managing the protection of Europe. Any crisis was basically managed by the Americans. When you're that reliant on one player you're basically their client. It's Amero-centric because reality happens to support it in regards to Europe. The rest of it really isn't especially since it puts China as colonizing Siberia (which I actually can't see happening given their demographics lol) and Japan becoming part of China's "imperium" once again (even though Japan really wasn't much of a Chinese client for a long time having stopped tributes to China centuries before Europeans arrived). Honestly the thing with the US is that it's such a new state on a place which didn't exist in the minds of the world 550 years ago that it's kind of hard to see where it goes. It has its own series of patterns to develop and hasn't had a chance to solidify any yet. Also he in another video put France as a future superpower with control over west Africa and that'd probably prevent statelessness in west Africa along with going against European solidification of going under the US umbrella. Poland expanding and a new civilization rising in the gap where Ukraine and Russia once was (frankly I've got an idea of Ukraine becoming the New Russian elite and possibly leading to an immense reform) also goes against that idea as it presents autonomy and ability he presented Europe as just not having post crisis.
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@Archenw Well it'd be weirder if you did because it was released less than a day ago and tbh I can kind of see that being LARP
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Australia is basically an island and none of the powers have enough of an actual blue water navy to contest the navies of the west.
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@BruceWayne-qe7bs Which is ironically their pre-industrial population.
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