Comments by "buddermonger2000" (@buddermonger2000) on "Is WW3 About to Start?" video.

I think part of what makes this scenario most likely to me is geography. I was always trying to make sense of how any world War could really be pulled off given the only place with any real ability to be fought over is Eastern Europe which realistically is just Russia alone at this point and facing about a billion people. Himilayas, Indo-China, the caucuses, and the mountains which define the borders of Iran are just really difficult to move troops through and is largely why everyone is in the places they are today. The positions are just too defensible with the exception of the Pakistan-Indian border on the north Gangetic plain with realistically the Indian army actually being the better army here. It's really difficult to do any real war. The best you have is a naval conflict at the first island chain which limits casualties a LOT (ships are just inherently limiting with regards to Population) and a conflict in Eastern Europe because of Russia but Russia can't take on all of NATO anyway. So a conflict where China and the US try to break each other's backs economically while trying to keep themselves alive at home makes the most sense with various collapses elsewhere.
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Just spread across theaters in multiple continents. Frankly I mostly can't see Russia doing a full European alliance fight and definitely can't alone so I'm personally predicting a fight between the US and China at sea without ever touching either mainland. The geography involved makes conflict in Eastern Europe inevitable but conflict in Asia almost impossible. If you have enough army to guard your coastline naval invasions realistically are just not going to be successful and trying to put anything through the Himilayan mountains and the jungles of southeast Asia is damn near possible thus making a Sino-Indian conflict difficult to pull off. So no real world War possible.
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@Aldon Froelick When was this? We saw the collapse of only one nuclear armed country and that was a peaceful dissolution.
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@Pierre-Olivier Jolin Yeah no I have to disagree. Chinese are boxed in and they're still going to have to deal with their own supply lines. And the numbers start to even out once you take the population of the whole NATO alliance vs an Eastern one. However those supply lines will also be incredibly difficult since how are you going to try to push through Siberia with modern supply trains and even just modern forces? There's a reason Russia hasn't been threatened from the East since it got to the pacific and it isn't just because China was weak. Japan would've never made it to Moscow even at its height just because it's Siberia. Just no infrastructure all through there to use. On top of that... realistically China doesn't want to fight Europe anyway and the Russians and Chinese are nowhere near strong enough allies to let troops within each other's borders except under heavy surveillance. It just isn't realistic and frankly it's the same complaint I have about China invading through Pakistan: where would it get the supply through? Just doesn't work. Also as an addendum: barrier between China and Russia in Manchuria is also mountainous.
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@Pierre-Olivier Jolin While the geography is literally the same, the interactions with said geography have changed. And frankly, this is the point here when it comes to moving armies through the Steppe. It's a VERY long way through not great terrain and poor infrastructure not conducive to moving supplies and men and without really means to get those things over very well.
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@Pierre-Olivier Jolin Few things here to address: Mongols were completely sweetly sufficient nomads. In fact their logistics were AMAZING because they didn't need nor use any and it's the reason they could operate with impunity. The fundamental issue of industrial warfare is logistics in a way that wasn't a problem in the ancient world. Before and during the early stages of gunpowder adoption the chief limiting factor was food and repairs. Now you have to worry about oil, bullets, and complex parts which require resources from around the world. And another thing to address here: only fully Eurasian powers have been the Russians and Mongols. Of which Mongols were primarily a central Asian power and Russians have primarily been a European power who wanted to never have a Mongol horse army exist again. Conflicts in Asia were also very limited from Russia.
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