Comments by "buddermonger2000" (@buddermonger2000) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

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  7.  @dabo5078  Yes I'm talking about the mobilization rate because that's a very important factor in war (btw worth noting that by that point the nationalists had united all of the warlords within a few years of the invasion and even then still couldn't mobilize more) and on top of that I'm using it because both countries fought so you can use the conflict and is the closest metric we have. Could that change? Possibly. However culturally the Chinese are fairly opposed to the military with China historically having mostly mercenary armies and WWII attitudes being "Why aren't they doing better when we're paying them so much?" and the Confucian value being that "good steel isn't used for nails" in relation to the military. Also yes why am I bringing it up mobilization rates? Because that's a percentage of the population and thus unaffected by actual population but I made those estimates with modern populations. Also no the reason why China is still cheaper is not because of actual volume but because that the labor pool is so massive as to keep wages low and thus in comparison to the US labor which commands a much higher price. And it's just unlikely to manage to produce more especially since the American factories can still be tooled up incredibly high. In terms of the ballistic missiles the US has very good defense technology against those and so they're unlikely to really do anything. They're also primarily tooled toward local distrances of around the south China sea. They're also expensive, difficult to replace, and overall really not much of "reaching the US". This is also compared to the US who can literally fly higher, fly more, and can fly nearly undetected. The Chinese Air defense however isn't really up to snuff to taking up the US air power in the higher altitudes. Overall kind of not up to the task.
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  8.  @dabo5078   @da bo  Well no mobilization rates has little to do with how well they can be supplied. While yes that's important, what's more important is getting people to actually fight for you. Even if they're using swords it's still better than nothing. And it's not like I'm using just them as precedent even during the Taiping rebellion the mobilization rate for China was incredibly small. And then in comparison the American Civil War saw a comparable rate to the second world War. Basically the comparison for me is that I'm looking at the long-term trends of the past roughly 200 years to see about how willing each country's population has been to go to war in a comparable high intensity conflict. Your attempt to brush it aside as saying "it's like saying the US wouldn't be able to mobilize because it left Afghanistan or won't help Ukraine" has 0 basis in analyzing how the country fights and reacts to actual conflicts. Afghanistan wasn't a war it was an occupation and the US simply didn't care to end up in a war it didn't care about (which btw is WWII situation is it not?). The Afghanistan war ended within a month. So that's just in no way accurate. And then the US simply didn't care for the war but given a war the US supports (a defensive war for a strategic interest against an enemy the population agrees on despising) you'll likely see the actual mobilization. Also lol no China is still cheap and you compared it to other southeastern neighbors which are all known as cheap labor and thus that argument kind of falls flat. Also the reason India and Bangladesh haven't taken over the industry is that India keeps out foreign investment and so there's been no-one to start up more factories there. Also worth noting that the Chinese usage of all of those materials make sense in the context of providing for the largest population on the planet but also when you consider that they're for thought of future growth which is actually unlikely to occur basically inflating the number higher than it otherwise would because it was only produced what was needed and for a much smaller population. Overall just isn't an apples to apples comparison there. PS American aircraft can fly above all but the newest Chinese Air defense and also operates stealth bombers which would be undetected.
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