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buddermonger2000
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Comments by "buddermonger2000" (@buddermonger2000) on "Why Do Rich Countries Face Demographic Collapse?" video.
If it was just demographic that'd be a far smaller shock. The real issue is that due to the millennials' experience with college and the realization that it doesn't guarantee wealth, people have stopped going to college as other avenues open up
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@Lost Souls No we aren't. Those estimates are very old ones which didn't take into account the effect of declining birth rates. That's the world where China and India reach 2 billion and Africa is a few extra billion. This isn't that world. The revised one is one where all of East Asia and Eastern Europe halve their populations, India loses 300 million and Nigeria reaches 900 million (which is basically impossible because that's actually pushing on real Malthusian limits and the kind of thing which creates the pressure for a large civil conflict or outside conquest keeping it from ever getting to that size). Not to mention, creating a demographic structure like that will KILL an economy and basically be the death of that nation in some capacity, especially if a power grows strong enough to capitalize on that. There has never been a single time in history where population decline has been peaceful. You want the setup for worldwide chaos, this is it.
2
That's if the nations involved don't die. Also this is going to be a period of INCREDIBLE chaos as population contractions of this size are NEVER peaceful. This would be like the black death level of bad.
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This is historically an important factor. Birth rates tend to go up when times are good but also decline in times of economic hardship. They both increase age of marriage and decrease children per marriage
1
Given how many countries have offered free childcare and managed almost 0 effects of population correction from these attempts, I always bring up that this point is genuinely one which means nothing. It's one that appears like a point because it's an interesting disincentive, but it's not enough of an incentive to really help even if fixed.
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where did you read it?
1
@Neonpowar No the cities to do greater advancements and concentrations of people and wealth, usually meant that they had better ability for sanitation than the rural outside.
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