Comments by "buddermonger2000" (@buddermonger2000) on "Ask Peter: Will Azerbaijan Try to Take Nagorno-Karabakh from Armenia? || Peter Zeihan" video.

  1. I don't think that's quite the correct direction that's going to be taking. Dog like robots would be at best logistics carriers or perhaps for certain breaching operations since those will be operated by humans. True AI controlled systems are frowned upon and not really used. They have to have orders carried out by humans. Not to mention, there are all kinds of disruption tools to interrupt links, shut down advances, or otherwise defend against that technology. So it's not going to be one to one. Not to mention, there's the time tested tactic of DIGGING protects from 99% of all attacks and even robot dog infiltrations doesn't exactly work when facing a minefield, machine guns, and heavy artillery, which I hope you've caught on to, are tactics and equipment straight out of WW1. While I think you do have a point regarding the utility of drones, I don't think they will purely become the tip of the spear. In fact, much like the tank, a probable integral part of both offensive and defensive actions. Their current utility is primarily with reconnaissance, but also with lower level fire support. I don't see them escaping from that role because they're VERY good at those and other systems are better at long range roles (though if you give a missile wings, is it now a drone?), and payloads simply reach limits in terms of weight due to the requirement to becoming airborne without a large rocket or jet engine which just makes them missiles. The true question is going to be this: will the mobile protected firepower role still be an optimal way to break through enemy units? I'd suggest, that much like the cavalry it replaced, that role is far better suited to being the tip of the spear, than local limited firepower. The way to use drones is to not create an independent drone force. That completely defeats the purpose. No. What you want is complete integration of this equipment throughout all combat arms from Land, Sea, Air, and Space at even the individual soldier level.
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  2. ​@jamsbean4383 Drones do not act autonomously. We've half banned the concept already. Basically, everyone recognizes the danger in that and has an incentive to prevent that vector of use. Not to mention that it's just that much more vulnerable to fratricidal engagement than simple remote controlled measures.
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  3. ​@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311 This is basically entirely false. Lancets neither roam nor are Ukrainian drones completely jammed. Drones, as they currently work, are slow movers incredibly vulnerable to air defense, making larger drones simply not viable in the current conflict. What's far more useful of a concept is using them for artillery spotting, making them incredibly huge headaches and priority targets whenever seen for both sides. Also, the Ukrainians have had more success with those small drones than the Russians have due to just having more experience with off the shelf options. That's how you get the grenade drop videos, with most FPV videos being Ukrainian. The battlefield is littered with drones from both sides.
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