Comments by "buddermonger2000" (@buddermonger2000) on "The weapons Ukraine uses against Russia" video.

@Internetbutthurt The biggest thing is the threat more than the actual effect. Forcing pilots to take evasive action disrupts the sorties. The TB2s have seen continual usage throughout the conflict and are still being seen. Static AA emplacements have still been seen active in many areas of the country. The idea that all of the S-300s were in one location seems a bit weak and even then the Ukrainians still have a lot of AA systems such as Tor and Strelas. The reason we see so much footage of infantry is that it's easiest to follow by civilians and it's why they're often recording the aftermath of battles. Following tanks on foot just isn't really possible and following in a truck is a death wish. It's also the fact that most of what's seen is in cities and not in the countryside where there is still substantial fighting because that's where the people are. Civilians are logging this not military. The idea that Ukraine is out of the fight is ludicrous by any metric even if the odds of actual victory slim. However it's very clear that on both sides total victory is not being pursued as peace negotiations were started within days of the invasion by the Russians and are still ongoing. Frankly the question of Ukraine winning shouldn't really be the question anyway. The question should be "How many concessions can Ukraine avoid?" or even "Can Ukraine get back the previously annexed regions from a weakened Russia?"
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@ThePandafriend Frankly the biggest thing that will decide this is if Russia stays away from a total war (which I'm unsure it can engage in) and if it's willing to just destroy all of Ukraine. The goal was for a quick and decisive victory which would keep the population mostly not feeling the effects of the war and thus mostly able to accept Russian rule (easier to accept a change in regime when the fundamental change is just a governmental one instead of a physical one) and would break any spirit of resistance. So the conditions for victory are to hold back the Russian advance and wait for Russia to collapse. Which is about all that can be done unless Ukraine suddenly turns into Prussia. If Ukraine does suddenly turn into the Prussia of the steppe and does something like unifying with Belarus (which doesn't seem completely impossible considering the Belarusians seeing themeselves as kin to the Ukrainians) to then take Russia proper, you could see Ukraine March on Moscow. The rule of the Russisn regime doesn't seem strong and so a change in government in that fashion seems possibly something that could be accepted. Well anyway that's my favorite future alt-history scenario. Realistically it's just defend until Russia collapses. However there's something important here: Ukraine is holding on because it's doing everything RIGHT while Russia is doing everything WRONG. So if Russia starts doing everything right, then suddenly this war would likely turn in a heartbeat.
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