Comments by "Louis Rossmann" (@rossmanngroup) on "Secular Talk"
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Money is kind of the score. For some, it isn't the money, but money as a proxy for having a score at how much you're winning the game. When you realize doing something makes you money, it frames the game around the thing that allowed you to score.
At some point, you stop playing the character and become the character. For some, it just so happens to coincide with their personal belief systems , and they're lucky. I make money doing what I'm good at and believe in. You make money doing what you're good at and believe in. For some, they have no choice. I don't think you'd be a good right wing pundit even if you wanted to be. I don't think there's be any money there. You don't believe it. You don't like it. To do what he did for as long as he did it, I think he enjoyed, and At some point, bought his own bullshit.
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Citadel doesn't own robinhood. if I have bad data and I'm missing something, and someone can provide a citation for citadel owning Robin hood, I will eat my words. But I don't believe citadel owns Robin Hood. Citadel has a relationship with Robin Hood where they purchase order flow, and they are also execute trades for them, to my knowledge.
A big portion of them stopping purchases was DTC raising deposit collateral requirements for gamestop and a few others. Robinhood as well as other brokers who weren't as well capitalized weren't able to allow buys either. The real question is who raised the collateral requirements at DTC at this point.
Robinhood's CEO had this as an out but he said on TV he had no liquidity problems which is why so many people jumped to the conclusion that this was citadel meddling with robinhood. The reality will more likely be that they are just one of the shittiest capitalized brokers, not surprising given that they are a new startup that targets newbie traders.
I still would like an investigation into their relationship with citadel, and I would like to know who made the decision to raise deposit requirements, and whether or not raising those deposit requirements at DTC occurred under any stress or corrupt conditions.
If you look at what happened before and after the line of credit, you will see that prior to the line of credit they were allowing people to purchase as little as one to 20 shares of certain restricted stocks like blackberry, and then after the line of credit you were able to purchase 700 shares of stocks like blackberry that had heightened collateral requirements at DTC. The line of credit was put to work so that people would be able to purchase more, not less.
I am not saying that there is no corruption or potential for corruption in this entire situation. I do not want this to be taken as an attack. I do not believe you have read up on everything that is going on here.
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I actually agree with him. Scott Galloway has given an insane level of quality advice when it comes to business and development, and he's also a fairly progressive person. In spite of the news network he appeared on, you two probably have more in common than you think!
I agree with him, as someone who has gotten stuck in stockmania in the past. even if you do wind up making some money, staring at your phone to check news and check charts every 90 seconds and live in perpetual fear of a line going down slightly on a graph is no way to live. I could never be a day trader. A big part of the work is carrying around this ball of stress in the back of your head and then the pit of your gut Non-Stop that explodes emotionally and physically every time the line goes up or down. And when there is so much riding on small movements of a line on a chart, why would you spend time with those that you love, when you could be reading about the direction the line may go in, doing research on the company, tapping into every area of the internet to figure out what consumer sentiment is regarding that company, and monitoring it all the time? when I have spent more time trading in the past, I spend less time on my business, and less time on my relationships, and the money I make rarely winds up being worth the all day long stress.
But above all, and this is a point I hear progresses bring up a lot, is that of real work. Work that matters. If you are a bricklayer, if you are a plumber, if you are a scientist, you are doing real work. what productivity is being added to society, even if you make money at it, by buying and selling three letter tickers on an app on your phone? The time that you spend doing that, and focusing on that at the expense of everything else, is time that you could have spent producing something, or cultivating your relationships. I can speak firsthand as someone who has for a weeks at a time, completely blown off my conventional responsibilities for investing a few years ago. I'm not saying that all people are as weak-minded as I am in that regard, but I'm most certainly in weak mindset in that regard, and I completely connect with what he is saying, even if I don't agree with all of it.
I felt this way when I was investing in normal stocks. I can only imagine the level of stress and aggravation and disconnecting from the world that would occur if I were investing in highly volatile memes with real amounts of money
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My interpretation is that corecivic and geo trading above 6 and 8 dollars suggests that this means nothing. If the shareholders think this is fine news to hold through, then nothing is going to change. It makes a good headline though.
I did my research in 2016 about the population of everyone in the prison system, how many people were there for non-violent offenses, how many people were in private prisons versus public prisons, and the overcrowding rate of the public prisons. I don't have any of that stuff available anymore, but I came to the conclusion at the time that ending private prisons without outright purchasing the prisons would not be possible. Even if you let out a lot of the nonviolent drug offenders. I wonder what the numbers would be on this now.
I am fairly certain the only way to make this work would be to have the government purchase the private prisons to run themselves, which would result in every single shareholder of the private prisons being considerably richer than they are now; especially those the top.
Any buyout of that magnitude, particularly when local governments that cannot print money to fund their spending are as hard strapped for cash as they are, would have to happen at the federal level, not the state level. Since state prisons and federal prisons are separate, that's just a whole mess in and of itself to coordinate. Given the difficulty of coordinating this, and the number of other issues that are more pressing, this will most certainly be swept under the rug for the next 4 years, with platitude inducing headlines like the one you just read being the status quo. It did give people a chance to buy in at the 7% dip though, and get a heftier dividend. At least until GEO winds up suspending dividends as a result of their horrible debt. Both of those companies are hogs.
If anyone has better updated information regarding the prison population by crime type and prison type, State versus federal, public versus private, that also includes how overcrowded the facilities are, I'd love to see it and learn.
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In NY, $15 minimum wage solves nothing. $15/hr and you're still broke here.
In Custer, South Dakota, hiring a 16 year old kid to work the counter or do stock at the corner store... for the 3-7 customers you get to walk in a day, $15/hr starting out is probably devastating to them. There are parts of Arkansas where a decent house is $65,000. $15/hr is probably wealthy there.
It's a weird thing to do federally. I would be for universal basic income before I was for a higher minimum wage. Minimum wage hits every business owner the same - be it Amazon, or some rural storeowner. UBI is more progressive. Someone who makes $30,000/yr, is not putting in as much of their tax to pay for the $12k/yr UBI as someone who makes $30,000,000/yr.
Further, consider automation. Even without a federal minimum wage, more and more jobs are being automated or algorithm'd out of existence every day. This is a natural trend regardless of minimum wage hikes. What good does minimum wage do to someone who no longer has a factory job because robots are working the line better than the employees used to? What good does it do if minimum wage is $30/hr if your job can be done by a drone? Minimum wage doesn't solve the underlying problem of how do you pay people when they do not provide something of value to your business, that is becoming a larger problem everyday. Kicking the can down the road on that will do us no good.
If the underlying issue to be resolved is poverty & wealth inequality, I believe UBI is a better vehicle for solving it. It is a more progressive way of implementing wealth redistribution, that also takes into account automation & the future in a way minimum wage doesn't at all.
Let's say I just started my company. I finally get to the point where I make $750/wk in net profit, it's a one man band. Someone wants a job.. any job. Maybe he's a felon and can't catch a break, or just wants experience. $15/hr is $600/wk, and after taxes/workmans comp/payroll taxes closer to $800. I don't even make that... so how do I pay that? I have to say no, sorry, you stay unemployed. But with no minimum wage, I could hire him for what I can afford.. $100-$250/wk to help me out, and when business gets better I can pay him better. If he learns something useful and can help me more, either I can pay him more or he can take the skills he learned and move on. with min wage at $15/hr, he stays unemployed because at $15/hr you can hire the person who graduated high school that doesn't have a criminal record.
You may think $100-$250/wk is a travesty - but he's getting UBI already in this scenario. Whereas, in this scenario, the people worth less than $15/hr wind up with no work, and the people worth more than $15/hr get gobbled up by companies that can afford $15/hr.
Me personally, the lowest salary here, for a lower level employee who needs guidance, and can't do repairs, is $18. I am not affected by this... at all for the pro jobs. But I hate not being able to take on new potential talent and take them under my wing, teach them a skillset, and then hire them at a real salary once they get good. That is how I learned what I know and it makes me sad that it is illegal to do this in a way that is financially viable.
People ask me for internships all the time, who have zero valuable experience. I turn them all away. If you can't solder, can't deal with difficult customers who try to trip you up to make you feel bad so you give them discounts, and can't fix boards, I have no reason to pay you the minimum wage of $15/hr. I honestly have no reason to pay such a person anything... but might be able to find some stuff around the store that would be "nice to have done"that you an do for a lower rate. and while you're here, maybe you sponge up some knowledge that allows you to start learning, get better, and be worth $3-$42 like the rest of the technicians who work here. After workman's comp, payroll taxes and everything else that shit's closer to $20/hr, and $3200/month for someone who can't bring me any money via their skillset just aint gonna work.
I am not independently wealthy. I cannot afford to take time out of my day, to spend months with people who may go nowhere & never learn anything, at $3200/mo - and that's what it comes out to after payroll taxes & insurance. Maybe gates or bezos can afford that, but I have rent & other employees to pay, and keeping my head above water in NYC is hard enough as is. So I hire people who already know how to do the job. People ask, "how do you expect me to get experience if you don't have a job", but I usually respond with "how can I pay you $3200/mo if you don't bring in revenue?" I get flamed asking but it is reality. I got about $7/hr and cleaned toilets and it sucked, but I got experience. and then i got a better job
I hate turning away the next generation. I hate turning away people who just want to do anything to get a foot in the door, to not sit at home playing video games nihilistically all day, who want to get a job and get started doing something... doing anything. This is how I started... I went door to door when no one would hire me and offered to work for free. I finally found a world class studio that said yes.. and then wound up working next to the best techs in the industry. that's all going to be gone.
Damn I can't believe I typed this much.
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I don't hear it that way. I hear someone who gave 40% of their income to taxes their entire life asking, why is it that my taxes now go to other people's college, but not that of my own offspring? I don't think they want it to be shitty for people going forward, so much as they wanted to be less shitty for them retroactively. If you refunded the tuition payments of all people who let's say, made under $400,000 a year, going back for the last 5 to 10 years, there would be little to no legitimate public protest. but the reality is that this is not doable because the government wasted the money they could have utilized on this policy elsewhere due to corruption and poor decisions.
I don't understand what capital Elizabeth Warren from saying, sure. Why not rebate people for the last 5 or 10 years?
These people are lashing out - but rather than focusing on their frustration at the unfairness, let's drill into why they are frustrated. This is a cold reminder to them that they give 40% of their salary away, then probably $5-$15k/year on top of that in property taxes, 8% everytime the buy something with sales taxes, and have nothing to show for it. That money doesn't ever help them: and they've repressed this aggravation. They realize they can do nothing about the fact that 40% of their tax revenue goes to corrupt politicians, useless wars, inefficient nonsense. But when that money goes to help other people who you don't know, after you sacrificed for your own family, it hits you like a ton of bricks. "I get to keep less than 60% of what I earn, and the 40% I give away does nothing for me but blow people up in the middle east and subsidize corruption." That hurts. People begin to mourn all over again - that they piss away 40% of their earnings and have crumbling infrastructure, expensive healthcare, high housing prices & a horrible education system to show for it.
The argument regarding immigrants who want a better life for their children, not a worse life - I hear that. I too want a better life for my kids than my childhood. I wouldn't tell my kids +"ah, my childhood sucked - so should yours!"_ At the same time - those immigrants were killing themselves for their own kids - not someone else's. People wouldn't be as opposed to it if it were generalized relief, but it isn't - those who did pay $100k for their kid's education did so and suffered to do it, and will not see a dime of relief.
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Maybe I'm nuts but I kind of feel for him there. I have sometimes had the crazy day dream of what it would be like to run for office, but I don't know what you do once you're already knee deep in the problems. someone could go back in time to 1992 and undo the decisions that got New Jersey to have over 200 billion dollars in unfunded pension liabilities and a complete and utter clusterfuck of finances. But what does someone do in 2020 to fix that problem? Every possible decision they can make will wind up screwing over one group of people. There's no decision that doesn't suck.
I remember when Obama started to withdraw, and then isis came about, and then more drone strikes started. I would never want the job of president, you could not pay me enough, in either money, prestige, or both. There are so many messes that someone else started, that you will be forced to make difficult decisions on, that no matter what you do, will suck in one way or another.
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