Comments by "PeterC" (@peterc4082) on "Lex Fridman"
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@Caballaria-sc2sj Back when Chang Kai Shek left for Formosa China did not have the capability to invade him. But China always said that is part of their country. And America in fact agreed - which you keep on ignoring.
America is interfering in China's back yard. America has no rights to that part of the Pacific. It would be as if China or Russia started to make demands on the western hemisphere.
I don't really know why you create arbitrary distinctions between 'long established' and recently established. China had no power to reclaim Taiwan back in the day but now will have this power increasingly so. Ultimately if we follow the trajectory, China will be the No 1 superpower in the world. They have more people, a higher average IQ than the US and have easy access to Russian resources. On the other hand Ukraine has been pro-Western too for many years. Their people have voiced their opinion that they want to be part of the West. Russia is a declining power while the PRC is ascending. The Chinese are now having the means to enforce their demands while Russia failed in her influence on Ukraine. Ukraine is fighting Russia and is denying Russia's supposed sphere of influence.
I think Mearsheimer is a sophist and a hack. He is only repeating that what's good for the US is what's correct and is ignoring the same issues in Ukraine. But it's not good for the US or Japan to start a war with China, a war they will likely lose because Japan is an effeminate society spoiled by wealth and America is too far away and overstretched in the Middle East, South America, Europe and all over East Asia. I know what you want to say but you're trying to pidgeon hole reality into particular categories which suit your model. The reality is that: Taiwan was always considered a part of China by even the US. Many Chinese there would not even mind returning. China is now becoming stronger and will become even stronger in the future. Taiwan is probably the most important issue for them after taking back Hong Kong. For America, Taiwan is a CPU factory. That's all. There is not the need to keep Taiwan. Now in Europe I would argue that Europe out of Russian hands is key to the well being of America. We Europeans are closer culturally to Americans than Koreans or Japanese or Chinese people on Taiwan. Also we are physically closer. And sort of often form one sort of bloc. America will lose Europe if she refuses to support Ukraine against Russian aggression and thus far America is able to weaken Russia using Ukrainian peoples' own blood. And they are willing to shed it. So unlike Afghanistan and Iraq, the Ukrainians feels Western and one day will make for good allies the way Poles are good allies now. As for Taiwan, if it can deter aggression, that's great, but overall in the long term America will definitely lose against China over there as Americans are not as desperate to keep Taiwan. Remember America lost in Vietnam and lost in Afghanistan and that was against weaker enemies when the tech difference was larger back then when it is now. It's sheer hubris to believe otherwise.
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